College Football 11/13/2009 5:00pm 115West Virginia+300+10 (-110) Ov 56 (-110) 116Cincinnati-360-10...
-
Upload
lambert-lindsey -
Category
Documents
-
view
217 -
download
2
Transcript of College Football 11/13/2009 5:00pm 115West Virginia+300+10 (-110) Ov 56 (-110) 116Cincinnati-360-10...
College Football
11/13/2009 5:00pm
115 West Virginia +300 +10(-110)
Ov 56(-110)
116 Cincinnati -360 -10(-110)
Un 56(-110)
Please come and make a bet on the game listed above. Whether you have any sports betting experience or not, just try to make one bet. It’s all for fun, so give it a shot!
The Probabilities of Basic Sports Wagering
Ronald W. YatesPatrick L. Villa
College of Southern Nevada
52.380952381 %
What is aSquare?
Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football
West Virginia 0 14:12
Cincinnati 0 1st Quarter
Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football
West Virginia 0 5:46
Cincinnati 7 1st Quarter
National Football League – Week 10
11/15/2009 5:20pm
239 New England Patriots +120 +3(-120)
Ov 50(-110)
240 Indianapolis Colts -140 -3(100)
Un 50(-110)
Pro Basketball
11/13/2009 7:05pm
713 Houston Rockets -180 -4 1/2(-110)
Ov 207 ½ (-110)
714 Sacramento Kings +160 +4 1/2(-110)
Un 207 ½ (-110)
Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football
West Virginia 0 End
Cincinnati 7 1st Quarter
Money Line BetsLine Wager To Win
-120$120 $100
$12 $10
-180 $18 $10
-700 $70 $10
100 $10 $10
+140 $10 $14
+185 $10 $18.50
+600 $10 $60
Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football
West Virginia 7 13:52
Cincinnati 7 2nd Quarter
Pro Football – Week 10
11/15/2009 5:20pm
239 New England Patriots +120 +3(-120)
Ov 50(-110)
240 Indianapolis Colts -140 -3(100)
Un 50(-110)
Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football
West Virginia 7 10:20
Cincinnati 14 2nd Quarter
Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football
West Virginia 7 Half
Cincinnati 21 Time
National Hockey League
11/13/2009 4:35pm
59 Los Angeles Kings -185 -1 1/2 (+115)
Ov 6 (-120)
60 Atlanta Thrashers +165 +1 1/2 (-105)
Un 6 (Even)
Major League Baseball
11/4/2009 5:20pm
401 Philadelphia Phillies +160 +1 1/2 (+110)
Ov 9 (-105)
402 New York Yankees -180 -1 1/2 (-120)
Un 9(-105)
Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football
West Virginia 10 9:42
Cincinnati 21 3rd Quarter
BoxingWelterweight Bout
11/14/2009 8:00pm
2003 Miguel Angel Cotto +220
2004 Manny Pacquiao -300
2007 Will Go 9 Full Rounds +110
2008 Will Not Go 9 Full Rounds -130
2251 Cotto By Decision 4/1
2252 Cotto By KO 5/2
2253 Pacquiao By Decision 2/1
2254 Pacquiao By KO 5/8
2255 12 Round Draw 20/1
Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football
West Virginia 10 4:37
Cincinnati 28 3rd Quarter
Parlay Bets
Off the Board (Current lines) Parlay Payouts (-110)
# Teams Payout
2 13/5
3 6/1
4 11/1
5 22/1
6 44/1
7 88/1
8 175/1
Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football
West Virginia 10 End
Cincinnati 28 3rd Quarter
Expected Values of Parlay Bets
With n bets in a parlay, the probability of winning is (1/2)n, and the table is based upon a standard $10 wager.
ParlayType
Probability of Winning
Expected Value Formula
Expected Value
2 Team (1/2)2 = 1/4 (1/4)(+$26) + (3/4)(-$10)
-$1
3 Team (1/2)3 = 1/8 (1/8)(+$60) + (7/8)(-$10)
-$1.25
4 Team (1/2)4 = 1/16 (1/16)(+$110) + (15/16)(-$10)
-$2.50
Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football
West Virginia 17 12:59
Cincinnati 28 4th Quarter
Off the Board (Current lines) Parlay Expected Values
# Teams True Odds Payout Gain from aWinning $10 bet
Expected Return
($10 bet)
2 1/4 13/5 $26 $9.00
3 1/8 6/1 $60 $8.75
4 1/16 11/1 $110 $7.50
5 1/32 22/1 $220 $7.19
6 1/64 44/1 $440 $7.03
7 1/128 88/1 $880 $6.95
8 1/256 175/1 $1,750 $6.88
Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football
West Virginia 17 9:27
Cincinnati 35 4th Quarter
Payouts for Money Line Parlays (Lines are something other than -110)
The money line of each proposition is substituted into [(win amount/ bet amount) + 1], and the resulting terms are then multiplied together.Example: a 3-team parlay of the following propositions.
Bet #1 Bet #2 Bet #3 Result
Line -125 (SD) +220 (Buf) -180 (Den)
[(100/125) + 1] * [(220/100) + 1] * [(100/180) + 1]
1.8 * 3.2 * 1.5556 = 8.96
$30 bet Pays $30*8.96 = $268.80
Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football
West Virginia 17 1:31
Cincinnati 35 4th Quarter
Parlay Cards
The Language of Sports BettingSquare Action Bad Beats
Handicapping Added GameHedging a Parlay
Buck Circled Game Hook
Dollar Straight Up Units
Dime Middle Move the Line
Chalk ATS Opening Line
JuiceHalftime Wagers
Outlaw Line
Prop Bets First Half Bet Run/ Puck Line
Scoreboard UpdateCollege Football
West Virginia 17 Final
Cincinnati 35
Post Time
Expected Value of a Straight Bet:(1/2)(+$10) + (1/2)(-$11) = - $0.50
In order to break even, must win 11 out of every 21 bets
(11/21)(+$10) + (10/21)(-$11) = $ 0Winning 11 out of every 21 bets = 52.38… %
Makes winning sound easy… doesn’t it?
Experimental Probability15 Picks per week over the course of 7 Seasons
7 SeasonsPlayer A Player B Player C Player D Pooled
Wins 952 899 770 924 3545
Loses 872 854 741 880 3347
Ties 40 45 38 33 156
Winning % 51.47% 51.28% 50.96% 51.22% 51.44%
Experimental Probability15 Picks per week over the course of 7 Seasons
7 SeasonsPlayer A Player B Player C Player D Pooled
Wins 952 899 770 924 3545
Loses 872 854 741 880 3347
Ties 40 45 38 33 156
Winning % 51.47% 51.28% 50.96% 51.22% 51.44%
If everyone had wagered $11 per game…
Net: -$72 -$404 -$451 -$440 -$1,367
Round Robin Parlays
Let's say you have 4 bets that you like, call them A, B, C, and D, and you want to bet every possible parlay with these 4 bets.
Using combinations, we can find that this includes a total of 11 bets:
Parlays Combinations Different Bets
2 Team 4C2 AB, AC, AD, BC, BD, CD 6
3 Team 4C3 ABC, ABD, ACD, BCD 4
4 Team 4C4 ABCD 1
Betting ParlaysLet's say you do extremely well, and pick the winner in 4 out of
7 games (which is a 57% success rate). We will call the bets A, B, C, D, 1, 2, and 3, with the letters
being winners and the numbers being losers.Using a $10 wager:
Round Robin Parlays
Number of Bets
Winners ExpectedValue Formula
2 Team 7C2 = 21 Bets
AB, AC, AD, BC, BD, CD
(6/21)(+$26) + (15/21)(-$10)
+$0.29
3 Team 7C3 = 35 Bets
ABC, ABD, ACD, BCD
(4/35)(+$60) + (31/35)(-$10)
-$2.00
4 Team 7C4 = 35 Bets
ABCD is the only winner
(1/35)(+$100) + (34/35)(-$10)
-$6.86
Pro Football – Week 10 (1st Half)
11/15/2009 5:20pm
1239 New England Patriots +1 1/2(-110)
Ov 25(-110)
1240 Indianapolis Colts -1 1/2(-110)
Un 25(-110)
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 0 14:31
New York Jets 0 1st
Denver 0 15:00
Washington 0 1st
Cincinnati 0 15:00
Pittsburgh 0 1st
Detroit 0 14:29
Minnesota 0 1st
Atlanta 0 14:01
Carolina 0 1st
Tampa Bay 0 13:29
Miami 0 1st
New Orleans 0 15:00
St. Louis 0 1st
Buffalo 0 14:42
Tennessee 7 1st
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 0 10:09
New York Jets 3 1st
Denver 0 9:31
Washington 7 1st
Cincinnati 7 12:47
Pittsburgh 0 1st
Detroit 3 11:16
Minnesota 0 1st
Atlanta 0 8:57
Carolina 7 1st
Tampa Bay 0 8:24
Miami 0 1st
New Orleans 3 13:02
St. Louis 0 1st
Buffalo 0 11:05
Tennessee 14 1st
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 0 4:17
New York Jets 3 1st
Denver 3 5:34
Washington 7 1st
Cincinnati 7 6:01
Pittsburgh 7 1st
Detroit 3 5:25
Minnesota 0 1st
Atlanta 0 2:31
Carolina 7 1st
Tampa Bay 0 4:01
Miami 0 1st
New Orleans 10 7:48
St. Louis 0 1st
Buffalo 0 2:57
Tennessee 14 1st
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 0 14:38
New York Jets 10 2nd
Denver 3 0:52
Washington 7 1st
Cincinnati 7 1:28
Pittsburgh 7 1st
Detroit 3 2:29
Minnesota 7 1st
Atlanta 3 13:08
Carolina 7 2nd
Tampa Bay 0 0:09
Miami 7 1st
New Orleans 13 3:22
St. Louis 0 1st
Buffalo 0 13:42
Tennessee 14 2nd
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 7 8:21
New York Jets 10 2nd
Denver 3 11:44
Washington 7 2nd
Cincinnati 7 13:10
Pittsburgh 14 2nd
Detroit 3 14:31
Minnesota 14 2nd
Atlanta 10 9:30
Carolina 7 2nd
Tampa Bay 0 11:57
Miami 14 2nd
New Orleans 20 14:30
St. Louis 0 2nd
Buffalo 0 9:18
Tennessee 14 2nd
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 7 3:43
New York Jets 10 2nd
Denver 3 5:21
Washington 7 2nd
Cincinnati 7 7:52
Pittsburgh 14 2nd
Detroit 3 7:07
Minnesota 21 2nd
Atlanta 17 5:52
Carolina 7 2nd
Tampa Bay 0 6:24
Miami 21 2nd
New Orleans 27 10:33
St. Louis 0 2nd
Buffalo 0 3:52
Tennessee 14 2nd
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 7 2:00
New York Jets 10 2nd
Denver 3 2:46
Washington 7 2nd
Cincinnati 7 3:39
Pittsburgh 14 2nd
Detroit 3 3:56
Minnesota 21 2nd
Atlanta 17 1:57
Carolina 7 2nd
Tampa Bay 0 3:09
Miami 21 2nd
New Orleans 27 7:44
St. Louis 3 2nd
Buffalo 0
Tennessee 17 Half
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 10
New York Jets 10 Half
Denver 6 1:03
Washington 7 2nd
Cincinnati 7 1:53
Pittsburgh 14 2nd
Detroit 3 0:52
Minnesota 24 2nd
Atlanta 17
Carolina 14 Half
Tampa Bay 7 0:14
Miami 21 2nd
New Orleans 27 4:01
St. Louis 3 2nd
Buffalo 0
Tennessee 17 Half
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 10
New York Jets 10 Half
Denver 6
Washington 7 Half
Cincinnati 7
Pittsburgh 17 Half
Detroit 3
Minnesota 24 Half
Atlanta 17
Carolina 14 Half
Tampa Bay 7
Miami 21 Half
New Orleans 34 1:57
St. Louis 3 2nd
Buffalo 3 13:24
Tennessee 17 3rd
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 10 11:24
New York Jets 10 3rd
Denver 6
Washington 7 Half
Cincinnati 7
Pittsburgh 17 Half
Detroit 3
Minnesota 24 Half
Atlanta 24 12:39
Carolina 14 3rd
Tampa Bay 7
Miami 21 Half
New Orleans 34
St. Louis 3 Half
Buffalo 3 8:34
Tennessee 24 3rd
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 17 5:37
New York Jets 10 3rd
Denver 9 11:21
Washington 7 3rd
Cincinnati 14 13:25
Pittsburgh 17 3rd
Detroit 3 12:45
Minnesota 31 3rd
Atlanta 24 7:02
Carolina 17 3rd
Tampa Bay 7 14:09
Miami 21 3rd
New Orleans 34
St. Louis 3 Half
Buffalo 6 3:29
Tennessee 24 3rd
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 17 0:24
New York Jets 10 3rd
Denver 16 6:59
Washington 7 3rd
Cincinnati 14 7:44
Pittsburgh 24 3rd
Detroit 10 7:04
Minnesota 31 3rd
Atlanta 24 3:41
Carolina 24 3rd
Tampa Bay 7 8:22
Miami 21 3rd
New Orleans 41 12:09
St. Louis 3 3rd
Buffalo 6 14:39
Tennessee 24 4th
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 17 12:50
New York Jets 13 4th
Denver 16 1:41
Washington 10 3rd
Cincinnati 14 0:39
Pittsburgh 24 3rd
Detroit 10 2:39
Minnesota 38 3rd
Atlanta 31 14:47
Carolina 24 4th
Tampa Bay 7 2:08
Miami 21 3rd
New Orleans 41 6:59
St. Louis 6 3rd
Buffalo 13 9:01
Tennessee 24 4th
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 17 5:13
New York Jets 13 4th
Denver 16 12:04
Washington 10 4th
Cincinnati 21 11:30
Pittsburgh 24 4th
Detroit 10 12:11
Minnesota 38 4th
Atlanta 31 9:22
Carolina 24 4th
Tampa Bay 7 13:29
Miami 21 4th
New Orleans 44 1:20
St. Louis 6 3rd
Buffalo 13 2:00
Tennessee 31 4th
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 24 2:00
New York Jets 13 4th
Denver 16 6:29
Washington 10 4th
Cincinnati 21 4:52
Pittsburgh 27 4th
Detroit 10 4:20
Minnesota 45 4th
Atlanta 34 3:01
Carolina 24 4th
Tampa Bay 14 5:56
Miami 21 4th
New Orleans 51 12:45
St. Louis 6 4th
Buffalo 13
Tennessee 31 F
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 24
New York Jets 13 F
Denver 16 2:00
Washington 10 4th
Cincinnati 21 0:29
Pittsburgh 27 4th
Detroit 10
Minnesota 45 F
Atlanta 34
Carolina 24 F
Tampa Bay 21 End
Miami 21 4th
New Orleans 58 4:19
St. Louis 6 4th
Buffalo 13
Tennessee 31 F
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 24
New York Jets 13 F
Denver 16
Washington 17 F
Cincinnati 21
Pittsburgh 27 F
Detroit 10
Minnesota 45 F
Atlanta 34
Carolina 24 F
Tampa Bay 21 13:02
Miami 21 OT
New Orleans 58 0:48
St. Louis 13 4th
Buffalo 13
Tennessee 31 F
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Morning Games
Jacksonville 24
New York Jets 13 F
Denver 16
Washington 17 F
Cincinnati 21
Pittsburgh 27 F
Detroit 10
Minnesota 45 F
Atlanta 34
Carolina 24 F
Tampa Bay 21
Miami 24 F/OT
New Orleans 58
St. Louis 13 F
Buffalo 13
Tennessee 31 F
Pro Football – Week 10 (2nd Half)
11/15/2009 5:20pm
2239 New England Patriots +1(-110)
Ov 27(-110)
2240 Indianapolis Colts -1(-110)
Un 27(-110)
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 0 14:31
Oakland 0 1st
Seattle 0 15:00
Arizona 0 1st
Philadelphia 0 15:00
San Diego 0 1st
Dallas 0 14:42
Green Bay 7 1st
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 0 6:29
Oakland 7 1st
Seattle 0 9:22
Arizona 3 1st
Philadelphia 0 10:29
San Diego 0 1st
Dallas 3 7:28
Green Bay 7 1st
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 0 14:30
Oakland 14 2nd
Seattle 7 4:33
Arizona 3 1st
Philadelphia 0 3:51
San Diego 7 1st
Dallas 3 1:50
Green Bay 7 1st
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 7 7:41
Oakland 14 2nd
Seattle 7 13:59
Arizona 6 2nd
Philadelphia 0 14:15
San Diego 7 2nd
Dallas 10 12:45
Green Bay 7 2nd
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 7 2:00
Oakland 14 2nd
Seattle 7 9:40
Arizona 9 2nd
Philadelphia 0 8:49
San Diego 7 2nd
Dallas 10 6:20
Green Bay 7 2nd
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 7
Oakland 14 Half
Seattle 14 3:21
Arizona 9 2nd
Philadelphia 0 3:08
San Diego 7 2nd
Dallas 10 1:59
Green Bay 7 2nd
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 7
Oakland 14 Half
Seattle 14 1:01
Arizona 9 2nd
Philadelphia 0 0:39
San Diego 10 2nd
Dallas 17
Green Bay 7 Half
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 7 12:04
Oakland 14 3rd
Seattle 14
Arizona 16 Half
Philadelphia 0
San Diego 10 Half
Dallas 17
Green Bay 7 Half
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 14 5:23
Oakland 14 3rd
Seattle 14
Arizona 16 Half
Philadelphia 0
San Diego 10 Half
Dallas 24 14:02
Green Bay 7 3rd
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 14 0:53
Oakland 17 3rd
Seattle 14 12:19
Arizona 23 3rd
Philadelphia 0 12:59
San Diego 10 3rd
Dallas 24 9:28
Green Bay 10 3rd
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 21 13:19
Oakland 17 4th
Seattle 21 5:52
Arizona 23 3rd
Philadelphia 0 5:21
San Diego 17 3rd
Dallas 31 4:09
Green Bay 10 3rd
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 21 7:40
Oakland 20 4th
Seattle 21 0:24
Arizona 26 3rd
Philadelphia 0 14:10
San Diego 17 4th
Dallas 34 End
Green Bay 10 3rd
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 21 3:12
Oakland 27 4th
Seattle 28 13:58
Arizona 26 4th
Philadelphia 7 11:13
San Diego 17 4th
Dallas 34 10:27
Green Bay 17 4th
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 21 1:20
Oakland 27 4th
Seattle 28 7:02
Arizona 26 4th
Philadelphia 7 6:20
San Diego 24 4th
Dallas 37 4:10
Green Bay 17 4th
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 21
Oakland 27 F
Seattle 28 2:00
Arizona 26 4th
Philadelphia 7 1:56
San Diego 31 4th
Dallas 37 0:18
Green Bay 17 4th
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 21
Oakland 27 F
Seattle 28 0:28
Arizona 26 4th
Philadelphia 7
San Diego 31 F
Dallas 37
Green Bay 17 F
Scoreboard UpdateNFL Afternoon Games
Kansas City 21
Oakland 27 F
Seattle 28
Arizona 26 F
Philadelphia 7
San Diego 31 F
Dallas 37
Green Bay 17 F
NFL Games – Final Scores
Jacksonville 24
New York Jets 13 F
Denver 16
Washington 17 F
Cincinnati 21
Pittsburgh 27 F
Detroit 10
Minnesota 45 F
Atlanta 34
Carolina 24 F
Tampa Bay 21
Miami 24 F / OT
New Orleans 58
St. Louis 13 F
Buffalo 13
Tennessee 31 F
Kansas City 21
Oakland 27 F
Philadelphia 7
San Diego 31 F
Seattle 28
Arizona 26 F
Dallas 37
Green Bay 17 F