COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor...

37
A HISTORY OF THE SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL WEAPONS PROGRAM Milton Leitenberg, CISSM, University of Maryland 1. WWI 2. Geneva Protocol of 1925 3. The Soviet CW Program, 1919-1941 4. WW 2 5. 1945 6. The Soviet Post-WW 2 CW Program 7. The Novichok Story 8. Soviet Declared CW Production and Storage: The Soviet CW Stockpile and its Destruction 9. Bilateral and Multilateral CW Arms Control: The Soviet Non- Compliance Statement

Transcript of COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor...

Page 1: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

AHISTORYOFTHESOVIETANDRUSSIANCHEMICALWEAPONSPROGRAM

MiltonLeitenberg,CISSM,UniversityofMaryland

1.WWI2.GenevaProtocolof19253.TheSovietCWProgram,1919-19414.WW25.19456.TheSovietPost-WW2CWProgram7.TheNovichok Story8.SovietDeclaredCWProductionandStorage:TheSovietCWStockpileanditsDestruction9.BilateralandMultilateralCWArmsControl:TheSovietNon-ComplianceStatement

Page 2: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

I.WWI

Ø EVERYPARTICIPATINGMAJORPOWERUSEDCHEMICAL

WEAPONS.

Ø ROUGHLY10PERCENTOFCASUALTIESWEREDUETOCW

FORALLPARTIES,ANDMORTALITY10%OFCWCASUALTIES.

RUSSIASLIGHTLYWORSE.

Page 3: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

2.GENEVAPROTOCOLOF1925

Ø PROHIBITSUSEOFCWORBW“INWAR”.

Ø THEREWASNOPROHIBITIONAGAINSTPRODUCTIONORSTOCKPILING.

ØSOMECOUNTRIESRESERVEDTHERIGHTTOUSEINRETALIATION.

Page 4: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

3.THESOVIETCWPROGRAM,1919TO1941

1926TO1933,COLLABORATIONWITHGERMANY,UNDERTHE1922

USSR-GERMANTREATYOFRAPALLO

Ø TOOKPLACEATTHETOMKA-SHIKANY“POLYGON”OUTDOORCWTEST

SITE.SHIKANY,CENTRALMILITARYCHEMICALPROVINGGROUND(VOLSK

REGION,SARATOVOBLAST).

1932TO1935,CWINFORMATIONEXCHANGESWITHITALY.

Page 5: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

SOVIETMILITARYCHEMICALSTORAGESITES,1918-1945

Page 6: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

4.WW2

Ø NOUSEBYANYPARTYEXCEPTJAPANINCHINA:MINIMALANDTONOMILITARYEFFECT.

Ø RUSSIANWW2STOCKPILESWERESAMECWAGENTSASWWI:MUSTARD,PHOSGENE,LEWISITE

Ø GERMANSCIENTISTSDISCOVER“NERVEAGENTS”IN1939ININSECTICIDERESEARCH.ORGANOPHOSPHORUSACETYLCHOLINEESTERASEINHIBITORSLEADSTOTHEGCLASS OFNERVEAGENTS:SOMAN,SARIN,ETC.MANYANALOGUES.

ØNOALLIEDGOVERNMENTHADDISCOVEREDTHESEORKNEWOFTHEGERMANPROGRAM

Page 7: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

5.1945

Ø SOVIETFORCESCAPTUREGERMANSOMAN PLANTATDYHERNFURTH.TRANSPORTEDTHEENTIREFACILTIYANDITSSCIENTIFICANDTECHNICALSTAFFTORUSSIATOTHESTALINGRADBRANCHOFTHESCIENTIFICRESEARCHINSTITUTE#42[N11-42].

Ø NEVERTHELESSITTOOK10YEARSFORPRODUCTIONTOBEGIN.

Ø USSRHELDTHEGERMANSUNTIL~1955,ASITDIDGERMANNUCLEARANDROCKET(V-2)ANDAVIATIONSCIENTISTS.BASISOFPOST-WARSOVIETBALLISTICMISSILEPROGRAM.

Page 8: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

6.SOVIETPOST-WW2CWPROGRAM

LIKETHESOVIETBWPROGRAM,VERYLARGE COMPAREDTOTHE

US ALITTLELESSLARGETHANTHEIRBWPROGRAM.

Ø LARGEDISCREPANCIES:RUSSIANDECLAREDLISTS,WHILE

FEDEROVCLAIMS“HUNDREDS”OFSITES.

Ø USSRDID DEPLOYSOMECWMUNITIONSFORWARDINWTO

MEMBERSTATES,THOUGHITDENIEDTHATITEVERDID.

Page 9: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

THEMAJORRESEARCHINSTITUTESINTHECWPROGRAMØ GOSNIIOKhT:STATESCIENTIFCRESEARCHINSTITUTEOFORGANIC

CHEMISTRYANDTECHNOLOGY ,WITHBRANCHESATSHIKANY,VOLGOGRAD,NOVOCHEBOKSARSK.

Ø EVOLVEDFROMSCIENTIFICINSTITUTENO.42(N11-42;POBOXM-5125)

ASWITHBW:CLOSEDCITIES,CODENAMES,POBOX#’S

Ø SHIKANYBRANCHEVOLVEDINTOTHEGITOS:STATEINSTITUTEFORTECHNOLOGYOFORGANICSYNTHESIS()INVOLSK,NEARSHIKANY.

§ GOSNIIOKhT/MOSCOW:3,500STAFF,500PHDs§ GOSNIIOKhT/VOLGOGRAD:500-700STAFF§ GOSNIIOKhT/SHIKANY:1,500STAFF§ GOSNIIOKhT/NOVOCHEBOKSARSK:~300STAFF.

Page 10: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

Source:PaulWalker,GreenCross

Page 11: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

Source:USGovernmentPowerpoint Presentation

Page 12: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

Source:PaulWalker,GreenCross

Artillerywarheadsandbombs,VXnerveagent

Page 13: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

Source:PaulWalker,GreenCross

SCUDandFROGmissilewarheads,onleft,VXnerveagent

Page 14: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

Source:USGovernmentPowerpointPresentation

Page 15: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

Source:JulianRobinson,UniversityofSussex,adaptedfromShikanyvisitpamphlet,Novosti PressAgency,1988.

Page 16: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow
Page 17: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

Source:“Jane’sIntelligenceReview,”April1999.

Page 18: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

Source:“Jane’sIntelligenceReview,”April1999.

Page 19: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

7.FOLIANT:THE“NOVICHOK”PROGRAMØ POSSIBLERELATIONTOTHEUSMID-1960sTOPHATDISINFORMATIONEFFORT.Ø 1971CENTRALCOMMITTEEDECISION,FOLIANTPROGRAM.ATTHISTIMETHECWDECISIONWASLEGAL,(VSTHE1972CENTRALCOMMITTEEDECISIONTOBEGINARENEWEDBWPROGRAM)INMAY1971,THECENTRALCOMMITTEEOFTHECOMMUNISTPARTYANDTHESOVIETCOUNCILOFMINISTERSAPPROVEDANEWEFFORTTOCREATEA“FOURTH-GENERATION”OFCHEMICALWEAPONS.(WORLDWARIAGENTSSUCHASPHOSGENEANDMUSTARDWERECONSIDEREDTHEFIRSTGENERATION,GAGENTSTHESECOND,ANDVAGENTSTHETHIRD.)THEKREMLINSOUGHTTOACQUIREANEWCLASSOFNERVEAGENTSWITHGREATERTOXICITY,STABILITY,PERSISTENCE,EASEOFPRODUCTION,ANDOTHERMILITARILYRELEVANTPRIOPERTIES.CODENAMED“FOLIANT,”THISRESEARCH-AND-DEVELOPMENTPROGRAMWASSHROUDEDINTHEHIGHESTLEVELOFSECRECY.[TUCKER,P.231]

Page 20: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

MARCH1983,SECONDFOLIANT CENTRALCOMMITTEEDECISIONTHE CENTRAL COMMITTEE OF THE COMMUNIST PARTY AND THE SOVIET COUNCIL OF MINISTERS ISSUED A SECRET DECREE ON MARCH 25, 1983, DIRECTING GosNIIOKhT TO DEVELOP BINARY VERSIONS OF THE FOURTH-GENERATION AGENTS. THE RATIONALE FOR THIS EFFORT WAS TO CATCH UP WITH THE UNITED STATES, WHICH ALREADY HAD THREE BINARY CHEMICAL MUNITIONS UNDER DEVELOPMENT. IN CONTRAST TO THE US PROGRAM, WHICH CONGRESS HAD DEBATED OPENLY FOR YEARS, SOVIET BINARY DEVELOPMENT WAS CONDUCTED UNDER EXTREME SECRECY. ONE REASON WAS THAT THE SOVIETS SOUGHT TO DEVELOP BINARY NERVE AGENTS WHOSE COMPONENTS RESEMBLED ORDINARY INDUSTRIAL CHEMICAL, WITH A VIEW TO CIRCUMVENTING THE VERIFICATION PROVISIONS OF A FUTURE TREATY BANNING CHEMICAL ARMS.CENTRALITY OF GosNIIOKhT AND GITOS TO THE EFFORT.

Page 21: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

“NOVICHOK”ISAFAMILY OFCOMPOUNDS

Ø “NOVICHOK”ISVARIOUSLYTRANSLATEDINTOENGLISHAS“NEWBOY,”“NEWCOMER,”“NOVICE,”“ROOKIE”.THESEARENOT VAGENTS.

ØMADEHUNDREDS OFANALOGUES.5MAJORONES.TWO,A-232ANDA-233,WERESYNTHESIZEDBYPYTORKIRPICHEVIN1972.[SOVIETPRACTICEFORLABELLINGAGENTS,SAMEASINSTITUTES,LETTERDESIGNATION,A.]ATHIRDWASSYNTHESIZEDIN1976.AFOURTH,NOVICHOK-5,PASSEDACCEPTANCETESTINGANDWASACCEPTEDFORUSEBYSOVIETMILITARYFORCES.

Page 22: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

1986,USSRBUILDSNUKUSPILOTPLANT

Ø THEYEARBEFOREGORBACHEV’SUNSPEECHANNOUNCINGTHEENDTOALLSOVIETCWPRODUCTION– THEUSSRBUILDSTHECLOSEDCHEMICALRESEARCHINSITUTEATNUKUS,UZBEKISTAN,FORTHEPILOTPLANTPRODUCTION OFNOVICHOKAGENTS,MAMMALAINTESTCHAMBERSANDMUNITIONSFILLING.

Ø TESTINGTAKESPLACE,ANDPLANSAREMADEFORAPRODUCTIONFACILITYTOBEBUILTATPAVLODARINKAZAKHSTAN,PRESUMABLYFORA-320.NEVERBUILT.

Page 23: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

EVIDENCEOFNOVICHOK AGENTSDEVELOPMENTANDPRODUCTIONINAPRIL1991,FOURYEARSAFTERGORBACHEV’SUNSPEECH,GORBACHEVSECRETLY AWARDSTHELENINPRIZE FORSUCCESSFULDEVELOPMENTANDPILOTPLANTPRODUCTIONOFNOVICHOKAGENTSTOGosNIIOKhT DIRECTORVICTORPETRUNIN,GENERALANATOLYKUNTSEVICH,ANDGEN.IGORYEVSTAVYEVDISCLOSURESBYVILMIRZAYANOVIN1991,1992 INKURANTY 9/1991;MOSKOVSKIENOVOSTII [MOSCOWNEWS],9/1992.INMIRZAYANOV’S2008 BOOK,STATESECRETS.VLADIMIRUGLEV,ANOVICHOKSYNTHESIZERALSOWENTPUBLICINRUSSIAIN1994.MUCHMOREDETAILEDDISCLOSURESINMARCH2018 BYMIRZAYANOV,UGLEVANDLEONARDRINK.THEYDISCLOSEZHELEZNYAKOV’SDEATHDUETONOVICHOKLABEXPOSURE.

Page 24: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

Source:Dr.Vil Mirzayanov,1995StimsonCentermonograph

Page 25: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

RUSSIADIDN’TDECLARETHENOVICHOKCOMPOUNDSINITSCWCDECLARATION

RUSSIAHAS NEVERTOTHISDAYADMITTEDTOTHEOPCWTHATITHAD/HASTHESECOMPOUNDS,APROGRAMFORTHEIRRDT&E– ORTHATONEOFTHECLASSWASACCEPTEDBYTHERUSSIANMILITARYFORUSE.HOWEVER,CONTRARYTOALLTHERUSSIANSTATEMENTSSINCETHESALISBURYEVENTS,RUSSIA DIDADMITTONOVICHOKDEVELOPMENT INBILATERALDISCUSSIONSWITHTHEUSIN1994,BUTEXPLAINEDTHEWORKASLEGITIMATE.ANAPRIL13,2018UKGOVERNMENTSTATEMENTSAIDTHAT“WITHINTHELASTDECADERUSSIAHASPRODUCEDANDSTOCKPILEDSMALLQUANTITIESOFNOVICHOKS”

Page 26: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

WHYTHESECOMPOUNDSARENOTLISTEDINTHECWC“SCHEDULES”Ø THETHREELISTSOFCWAGENTSANDINTERMEDIARIES.

Ø THE6-7YEARNEGOTIATIONSONTHECWCTEXTHADBEENCOMPLETEDINSEPTEMBER1992,ANDAGREEMENTONTHELISTSOFCHEMICALSBYTHEENDOF1991.THEFIRSTINFORMATIONONTHENOVICHOKAGENTSCAMEINOCTOBER1992ANDNOONEWANTEDTOGOBACKANDREOPENTHENEGOTIATIONS,ALWAYSAFRAUGHTAFFAIR.INFACT,THEPOSSIBILITYWASNEVEREVENDISCUSSED.

Ø THESCHEDULES,ESPECIALLYTHEFIRST,WASFORPURPOSESOFOPCWINSPECTIONOFINDUSTRIALCHEMICALFACILITIESANDCONSISTEDOFWWIANDWW2CWAGENTSTHATHADSEENMASSIVEPRODUCTIONANDWEAPONIZATIONBYMANYCOUNTRIES.

Page 27: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

8.SIZEANDDESTRUCTIONOFRUSSIANCWSTOCKPILE

Ø BETWEEN1960’SANDMID-1980’SUSESTIMATESWERE~400,000AGENTTONSANDUKGOVERNMENTESTIMATES~300,000AGENTTONS,BYDIFFERENTESTIMATINGMETHODS.

Ø THEUSDECLARED 31,000METRIC TONS(34,282TONS)ANDONDECEMBER26,1987THEUSSRSAID”NOMORETHAN50,000METRICTONSOFCHEMICALWARFAREAGENTS”.BUT5-6YEARSLATERTHEUSSRDECLARED39,967METRICTONS(~”40,000”)TOTHECWC.

Page 28: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

RUSSIANEFFORTSTOREDUCESTOCKPILEBEFORECWCENTRY1987,GORBACHEVREPORTEDLYORDEREDLARGE-SCALEGATHERINGOFSOVIETCWSTOCKSINTOSEVENSITES,ANDBURIALANDOCEANDUMPING(BLACKSEA)INORDERTOREDUCETHETOTALTONNAGETOSOMETHINGCOMPARABLETOTHATOFTHEUS.INOTHERWORDS– ASINBW– THESIZEOFTHEPROGRAM,ORATLEASTITSOUTPUTINTHISCASE,WASANORDEROFMAGNITUDE– TENTIMES– GREATERTHANTHATOFTHEUS. FEDEROVCLAIMSTHATSOVIETCWSTOCKSWERE“ANORDEROFMAGNITUDE”GREATERTHANTHEDECLAREDTONNAGEAND“BURIEDINSEVERALHUNDREDS[OF]POINTSOF[THE]SOVIETUNIONINANORGANIZEDWAY.”

Page 29: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

RUSSIANEFFORTSTOREDUCESTOCKPILEBEFORECWCENTRYØTHECHEMICALWEAPONSCONVENTION(CWC)WASSIGNEDONJANUARY13,1993ANDRATIFIED/ENTEREDINTOFORCE(EIF)ONAPRIL29,1997.THECWC“PROHIBITSTHEUSE,DEVELOPMENT,PRODUCTION,STOCKPILINGANDTRANSFEROFCHEMICALWEAPONS.”UNTILENTRYINTOFORCE,PRIORUNRECORDEDANDUNOBSERVEDDESTRUCTIONWASLEGITIMATEUNDERTHECWC§ CWCSTATESPARTYDIDNOTNEEDTODECLARECWBURIEDBEFOREJANUARY1,1976.

§ CWCSTATESPARTYDIDNOTNEEDTODECLARECWDUMPEDATSEA BEFOREJANUARY1,1985.

§ INPRACTICE,CWCMEMBERSTATESBYANDLARGEDON’TDECLAREANYBURYINGORDUMPING.

Page 30: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

RUSSIANCWPRODUCTIONSITESANDTHEIRDESTRUCTION

Ø RUSSIADECLARED24CWPRODUCTION FACILITIES.(US,NINEPRODUCTIONANDSTORAGESITES.)

ØONSEPTEMBER27,2017RUSSIADECLAREDCOMPLETIONOFDESTRUCTION– “DEMILITARIZATION”-- OF“CATEGORY1CHEMICALWEAPONS”. (THISIS“FIRSTSTAGENEUTRALIZATION”,ACCEPTEDBYTHEOPCW,VSUSTOTALDESTRUCTION.)

Page 31: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

RUSSIANCWDESTRUCTIONCOSTESTIMATES

Ø TOTALCOSTESTIMATES ARE ~$10BILLION:NOEXACTFIGURES(RUSSIADIDN’TDISCLOSETHEIRCOSTS).

Ø RUSSIASPENT~80%ANDTHEINTERNATIONALCOMMUNITYCONTRIBUTEDTHEOTHER~20%.

Ø US:$1.2BILLION (60%OFTHE~$2BILLION)VIANUNN-LUGARFUNDS

Ø GERMANY,$500MILLIONPLUS

Ø OVER200THERCOUNTRIESCONTRIBUTEDTHEREMAINING~$300MILLION.

Page 32: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

PUTINWITHDRAWSFROMUS-USSRCWCOOPERATION

ONOCTOBER10,2012 PUTINANNOUNCEDTHATRUSSIAWOULDWITHDRAWFROMCOOPERATIONWITHTHENUNN-LUGARPROGRAM,ANDITENDEDIN2013.THERUSSIANMILITARYCLAIMEDTHATTHEUSWASJUSTINTERESTEDINSTEALINGRUSSIANMILITARYSECRETS:ATHROWBACKTOPRE-1987. KUNTSEVICHHADALSOCLAIMEDTHATTHE1987WYOMINGMOUANDTHE1990BILATERALDESTRUCTIONAGREEMENT,BDA,WEREFORUSSPYING.

Page 33: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

8.BILATERAL(US-USSR)ANDMULTILATERALCWARMSCONTROLØ STARTSATTHEENDCINGENEVAINEARLY1960s.USSRALWAYSINSISTEDONAJOINTBW/CWTREATY.USUNILATERALLYENDEDITSOFFENSIVEBWPROGRAMIN1969ANDDESTROYEDALLSTOCKSBYEND-1971.THEUKTABLEDABWONLY TREATYINGENEVA..USSRACCEPTS,ANDUS-USSRWRITEDRAFTABWTREATY,SIGNEDONAPRIL101972ANDRATIFIED/EIFMARCH26,1975.INTERNATIONALNEGOTIATIONMOVESTOCW

Ø JULY1974NIXON-BREZHNEVSUMMIT,“PLEDGE”A“JOINTINITIATIVEON CWDISARMAMENT.”

Ø 1975FORD-BREZHNEVVLADIVOSTOKSUMMIT,PLEDGEREAFFIRMEDØ 1976-1980,BILATERALTALKSALLDURINGTHECARTERADMINISTRATION,BUTUSSRREFUSEDANYVERIFICATION.

Ø1984,BILATERALTALKSBEGINAGAIN,BUTSOON MULTILATERALDISCUSSIONSSHIFTTOACHEMICALWEAPONSCONVENTION,THECWC,BUTGETNOWHEREUNTILGORBACHEV.

Page 34: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

GORBACHEVYEARSØ ONAPRIL10,1987GORBACHEVUNSPEECH ANNOUNCESTHATTHEUSSRWASENDINGALLPRODUCTIONOFCHEMICALWEAPONSANDWOULDCONVERTITSCWPRODUCTIONFACILITIESTOCIVILIANPURPOSE.CWCNEGOTIATIONSPICKUPMOMENTUMANDFORCEUSSRTOUNDERSTANDTHATON-SITEINSPECTIONWOULDBEPARTOFANYEVENTUALTREATY.

Ø AUGUST11,1987,SHEVARDNADZESTATESINGENEVA THATUSSRWOULDACCEPTMANDATORYSHORTNOTICEINSPECTIONS.

ØOCTOBER3-4,1987 USSRARRANGESCAREFULLYCONTROLLEDVISITFORWESTERNOBSERVERSTOPARTSOFSHIKANYANDDISPLAYSOLDERCWWEAPONS.BUTMODCWGENERALSSTILLOPPOSEINPRINCIPLE,ROLESOFKUNTSEVICH,PETROV,THEIRSUCCESSORS,ANDDELAYANYDESTRUCTIONOFCWMUNITIONSANDBULKSTOCKSTOAROUND2003.

Page 35: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

GORBACHEVYEARS,cont’dØ SEPTEMBER23,1989,JACKSONHOLEWYOMING,SOV.FOR.MIN.SHEVARDNADZEANDUSSEC.STATEBAKERSIGNTHEWYOMINGMOU,MEMORANDUMOFUNDERSTANDING.

Ø THEUSANDUSSRWERETOEXCHANGEDATAONTHEIRCWSTOCKPILESANDFACILITIESANDALLOWMUTUALINPSECTIONSTOVERIFYTHEDATA.THEMOUINCLUDEDMUCHMOREDETAILEDPROVISIONS.ITWOULDNEVERHAVECOMETOPASSWITHOUTGORBACHEV,JUSTASFORALLTHERESTOFTHEUS-SOVIETBILATERALARMSCONTROLAGREEMENTSAFTER1987.(NEVERTHELESS,GORBACHEVHIDES/DESTROYSCWSTOCKSANDPROTECTS/REWARDS“FOLIANT”.)

ØONJUNE1,1990,THEBILATERALDESTRUCTIONAGREEMENT(BDA)QUICKLYFOLLOWS,SIGNEDBYUS/USSR.ITCALLEDFORANENDTOALLCWPRODUCTION,THEDESTRUCTIONOFCHEMICALWEAPONSDOWNTO5,000METRICTONS,WITHDESTRUCTIONTOBEGINBYDECEMBER1992,BILATERALWEAPONINSPECTIONSANDCONTINUOUSON-SITEMONITORING,BYHUMANINSPECTORSANDBYONSITEINSTRUMENTATION.

Page 36: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

GORBACHEV-YELTSINTRANSITIONØ BOTHTHEW/MOUANDTHEBDAOCCURINTHEBRIEF“GORBACHEV/SHEVARDNADEWINDOW.”NEITHEREVERFULLYCOMESTOPASS.NEITHERWASRATIFIEDANDBOTHWEREIMPLEMENTEDONLYINPART.

Ø THEMOU,THEBDAANDTHERUSSIANCWCDECLARATIONMARKTHEBEGINNINGOFMASSIVERUSSIANCONCEALMENT,DECEPTION,LYING,ASWITHTHERUSSIANBWISSUE, INUSSR/RUSSIATHEGENERALSAGAINTAKECHARGEOFCWPOLICYANDSAYTHATTHECWCWILLSUFFICE.YELTSINPLACESKUNTSEVICH INCHARGEOFTHERUSSIAN“CONVENTIONS[CWCANDBWC]COMMISSION”,ANDTHEMODWASMADETHELEADAGENCYFORCHEMICALWEAPONSDESTRUCTION.IN1992RUSSIAHADNO FACILITIESAVAILABLETODESTROYCW.BETWEEN1993AND1997,THEUSSTILLTRIESTOGETTHEBDAIMPLEMENTED.RUSSIAREFUSES,ANDDESTROYSNO CWUNTILAFTER2003,10YEARSFROMCWCSIGNING.

Ø INJANUARY1994,YELTSIN-CLINTONSUMMIT,USHADMASSIVE QUESTIONSABOUTTHERUSSIANBDAPHASE2DECLARATIONS,MASSIVEDECEPTION.

Page 37: COLGATE-A HISTORY OF SOVIET AND RUSSIAN CHEMICAL … HISTORY … · kuntsevich, and gen. igor yevstavyev disclosures by vil mirzayanov in 1991, 1992in kuranty9/1991; moskovskie novostii[moscow

AUGUST2011USCOMPLIANCEREPORTONRUSSIACWPROGRAM“THEUNITEDSTATESISUNABLETOASCERTAINWHETHERRUSSIAHASMETITSOBLIGATIONSFORDECLARATIONOFITSCWPFs,[CHEMICALWEAPONPRODUCTIONFACILITIES] CWDEVELOPMENTFACILITIES,ANDCWSTOCKPILES,ANDWHETHERRUSSIAISCOMPLYINGWITHTHECWC-ESTABLISHEDCRITERIAFORDESTRUCTIONANDVERIFICATIONOFITSCW,ALTHOUGHWEHAVEASCERTAINEDTHATRUSSIAISNOWDESTROYINGCWAGENTHYDROLYSISREACTIONMASSESATITSOPERATINGCHEMICALWEAPONDESTRUCTIONFACILITIES.”BETWEENSUPPORTINGSYRIANCWUSEANDTHESALISBURYAFFAIR,RUSSIAHASNOWSERIOUSLYDAMAGEDTHECWC.ITREMAINSTOBESEENIFTHEYWANTTODESTROYTHETREATYENTIRELYASTHEYDIDTHEINFTREATY,ANDIFNOT,HOWMUCHLASTINGDAMAGERUSSIANACTIONSWILLDOTOTHECWC.