Cold green: useful and frightening?

• Very bad if it happens , even worse if it doesn’t (at least one of the major global disasters avoided)

• Very unlikely to happen: - long term sustainability incompatible with extreme inequality - U- turn in terms political will needed • but if only a part of this scenario… - Development coöperation / Collaboration - Civil society emergency

One problem solved

• Threat of climate change is at least temporarily dealt with

• This a major political achievement • Implies dramatically strengthened (selective)

international cooperation, regulation and enforcement capacity

• Strong articulation between national and international policy

• Implies a massive increase of resources (strange mix of financial regulation and increasing public debt)

• Revival of local agriculture

One major problem solved?

Session in the dutch parliament

The world political forum

GUN: Green United Nations

Greening of Big business

Grow local

promising

• Worst case scenario avoided (ecological AND social disaster

• Strong governments and binding international framework (although partial)

• Business interested in ecologically sustainable economy and investment

• More solid financial architecture

• Impressive technological achievements

• Potential of local agriculture/ sustainable production

• Plenty of reasons for resistance

BUT

High social costs

- Selective (even cynical: ‘long? Live the CO2 – neutral poor?’ vs the ‘greening of the BRIC middle class’)

- Repressive: precarity on the rise/ king size Indignados movement

- Exclusive ‘Minimal damage control’ policies (with a role for development coöperation)

- MDG put ‘on hold’ because of emergency

- Unholy alliance between authoritarian politics and big business (agreement on profitable ecological agenda)

- Growing inequality

t

The watercanon on solar energy

Fully recyclable barded wire

Eco- F…

Development ’collaboration’?

• more than ever following the paradigm instead of changing it • Total blurring of DAC criteria (could be N-N or S-S , etc.) • Instrumentalised : ecologically (geared towards mitigation etc)./

politically/ Socially: used for subminimal social protection floor/ migration policy

• Militarised (permanently in between pre- and post conflict, and disaster management)

• Privatised (operational aspects/ expensive technology and infrastructure) • Differentiated: keep the LDC ‘reasonably’ poor and the MIC clean and

decoupled • Reoriented: new sectors/ geographicaly • New alliances outside of traditional donor circle (across regions, sectors,

corporate- civil s - public • Some ‘like minded’ keep development focus on the agenda)

NGO emergency : even if only part of the scenario…

• Keep the fundamentals right: right to development / focus on fight against poverty and inequality/ defence of democracy / challenge the model: keep the social dimension of sustainability on the table • Sneek them in: Embed the social dimension (fix firmly in a surrounding) ,

the right words, concepts, proposals in academic texts/ in constitutions, in government declarations, in EU directives, in UN texts, in international agreements, treaties, work programmes of international institutions etc

• Speed up the research and implementation of ‘transition’ measures Invest in the development of socially sustainable ‘greening’

• use cross border alliances efficiently: (thematic/ regional/ actors) : build new generation of world social fora.

• Private sector Kiss and Kick strategy

• Mediatise the fight (ecoscandals/ spectacular alternatives (and take it to the streets)

• Politicise the fight (take it to the kabinet!) • Intensify work on institutional aspects of

development • Strange: renewed defense of old fashioned ‘real aid’ • Keep various fractions of civil society on speaking

terms (green aid/ emergency/ watch dog/ social movement/ )

• Use the potential of the scenario: lessons /strong int. Framework/ technology, etc)

heat it up