Coffee USDA junho/11

_______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Circular Series June 2011

World coffee production in 2011/12 is forecast to outpace consumption for a second consecutive year, although ending stocks are expected to remain tight. Production is forecast to decline a moderate 2.9 million bags, whereas previous down years have declined as much as 16 million bags. However, stocks are forecast to remain at diminished levels, leaving little cushion should there be a supply problem. In response to the multi-year stocks drawdown, prices have spiked.

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World Coffee Production to Again

Outpace Consumption, but . . .

Production Consumption

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Ending Stocks Price

International Coffee Organization Composite Price, May Average

May 2011

Coffee: World Markets and Trade

Decade in Review In the last decade, world production has expanded by 23.5 million bags (21 percent), with Brazil and Vietnam accounting for virtually all of the gain. The other 50 producing countries have been mostly flat, with growth in some countries largely being offset by losses in others. For example, Nicaragua, Honduras, Peru and Indonesia experienced growth in excess of 1 million bags during this period, but declines of similar caliber occurred in Cote d’Ivoire and Colombia. Production in just the last few years has fallen in certain countries because of pests, diseases and/or poor weather. Also, output has been affected by tree renovation programs recently implemented in several countries. Arabica and Robusta production have increased by nearly equal amounts in the last decade, expanding 11.9 million and 11.6 million bags, respectively. As a result, the ratio has not changed significantly from 60 percent Arabica to 40 percent Robusta. The vast majority of the Arabica growth has come from Brazil, with gains in Honduras, Peru and Nicaragua partially offset by losses in Colombia, India and Costa Rica. Nearly two-thirds of the Robusta gain has been from Vietnam and one-third from Brazil. Stocks have been cut nearly in half in the last decade and their location has shifted. Initially, top consuming countries were balanced with top producing countries at about 40 percent. The United States, Europe and Japan are forecast to account for 70 percent with Brazil, Vietnam and Colombia holding just 25 percent.

Brazil and Vietnam Lead Production Growth

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Vietnam and Brazil Account For Nearly All Robusta Growth

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June 2011

2011/12 Production Forecast World coffee production for 2011/12 is forecast at 135.0 million bags, down just 2.9 million as Brazil enters the off-year of the biennial Arabica production cycle. Record Robusta crops in Brazil and Vietnam, combined with Colombia’s continued recovery, are expected to soften the decline. Brazil’s Robusta harvest is forecast to jump 1.8 million bags to a record 14.5 million as favorable weather conditions and good crop management benefited fruit setting and development in the State of Espirito Santo, where nearly 75 percent is grown. Production during the previous two seasons suffered from weather related problems during the blossoming period, making the year-over-year growth all the more dramatic. The Arabica crop is forecast to drop 7.1 million bags to 34.7 million during the off-year of the biennial cycle, a normal amount as compared to recent periods. Strong blossoming, favorable weather and good crop management supported ideal cherry setting and development. As a result, total production is forecast to fall 5.3 million bags to 49.2 million. Vietnam is forecast to rise 1.9 million bags to a record 20.6 million as the rainy season arrived on time, resulting in a good flowering and fruit setting. High prices motivated many growers to irrigate in order to boost yields, while higher incomes encouraged some farmers to begin replacing low-yielding trees. Colombia is forecast to recover 1 million bags to 10.5 million. High prices combined with government support encouraged many growers to apply more fertilizer, pesticides and fungicides in order to improve yields. However, the crop is still short of the five-year average of 11.8 million produced prior to shortfalls caused by coffee rust and the coffee cherry borer. The ongoing tree renovation program has also cut into yields. Indonesia is forecast down 1.4 million bags to 7.9 million as higher-than-average rainfall during flowering damaged the bloom in many areas. India is forecast to slip 300,000 bags to 4.8 million mainly because Robusta areas experienced uneven rainfall during the bloom period, which is expected to lower yields. Mexico is forecast at 3.7 million bags, unchanged from last year’s low production, as dry conditions in certain areas adversely affected the bloom. For further information, please contact Tony Halstead at 202-720-4620, or send an email to [email protected] Users can find the release schedule and generate the full USDA Production, Supply and Distribution (PSD) dataset for reporting countries by accessing the following link: http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

Record Robusta Crop Forecast for Brazil

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June 2011

mailto:[email protected]�

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx�

Coffee: ICO Average Composite Indicator Price

Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.--------Cents per pound--------

ICO Composite:2001 49.19 49.39 48.52 47.31 49.38 46.54 43.07 42.77 41.17 42.21 44.24 43.362002 43.46 44.30 49.49 50.19 47.30 45.56 44.70 42.79 47.96 50.79 54.69 51.682003 54.04 54.07 49.61 51.87 53.19 48.90 50.89 52.22 54.10 51.72 49.81 52.442004 58.69 59.87 60.80 58.80 59.91 64.28 58.46 56.98 61.47 61.10 67.74 77.722005 79.35 89.40 101.44 98.20 99.78 96.29 88.48 85.31 78.79 82.55 85.93 86.852006 101.20 97.39 92.76 94.20 90.00 86.04 88.57 95.78 95.98 95.53 103.48 108.012007 105.81 104.18 100.09 99.30 100.09 107.03 106.20 107.98 113.20 115.71 114.43 118.162008 122.33 138.82 136.17 126.55 126.76 130.51 132.78 131.14 126.69 108.31 107.88 103.072009 108.39 107.60 105.87 111.61 123.05 119.05 112.90 117.45 116.40 121.09 119.67 124.962010 126.85 123.37 125.30 126.89 128.10 142.20 153.41 157.46 163.61 161.56 173.90 184.262011 197.35 216.03 224.33 231.24 227.97

Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO).http://www.ico.org/historical/2000+/PDF/HIST-PRICES.pdf1/ Average through the latest month.

June 2011

Table 01 Coffee World Production, Supply and Distribution

Thousand 60-Kilogram Bags

Beginning

Stocks

Arabica

Production

Robusta

Production

Production Imports Total Supply Exports Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Total

Distribution

Exportable

Production

Coffee, Green

52,23397,01829,43518,82848,75597,01862770,72415,92054,43025,667 1977/78

60,035109,13125,05719,46264,612109,13167879,01818,77059,84729,435 1978/79

62,283107,61625,52319,96362,130107,61665381,90619,20762,30225,057 1979/80

66,007112,37230,97920,43860,955112,37267586,17422,58463,15425,523 1980/81

77,771129,75743,84220,55665,359129,75775598,02322,39675,13230,979 1981/82

61,916126,47940,19920,22166,059126,47973381,90422,19659,25843,842 1982/83

68,490129,60640,83820,57768,191129,60660688,80117,90570,45940,199 1983/84

68,591131,65637,36621,96872,322131,65645690,36224,59165,30240,838 1984/85

74,777133,51341,81521,22070,478133,51339795,75023,99871,29937,366 1985/86

58,416121,47133,28721,20266,982121,47126279,39426,12152,81241,815 1986/87

82,310136,75348,17421,07567,504136,753296103,17023,81078,98533,287 1987/88

73,168142,75450,19321,19071,371142,75441594,16528,90164,93448,174 1988/89

76,157147,40943,01220,99583,402147,40925896,95827,54269,11850,193 1989/90

78,131143,52445,09622,26576,163143,524331100,18127,76872,14343,012 1990/91

81,950149,45146,29822,26680,887149,451291104,06429,80973,98045,096 1991/92

71,722139,97040,52221,57977,869139,97071392,95927,45565,23446,298 1992/93

69,764133,51334,30122,92876,284133,51358592,40627,14665,05240,522 1993/94

74,978132,41341,21522,52668,672132,4131,07097,04228,03368,80934,301 1994/95

65,393131,24033,08824,04974,103131,2401,07988,94627,37261,39441,215 1995/96

79,780137,96529,09524,36184,509137,9651,091103,78637,23666,45233,088 1996/97

72,986128,00224,88325,18077,939128,0021,22097,68732,94064,71229,095 1997/98

83,533135,27124,40025,73885,133135,2711,435108,95334,06074,85924,883 1998/99

88,064139,25620,87525,64892,733139,2561,303113,55340,32373,20024,400 1999/00

91,357139,87422,61826,31990,937139,8741,478117,52147,00070,48620,875 2000/01

84,157141,11025,20727,61188,292141,1106,974111,51843,28968,19922,618 2001/02

99,454257,18747,359115,72094,108257,18790,663127,10242,12184,95339,422 2002/03

80,601248,80739,345119,39190,071248,80790,698110,75044,18566,54047,359 2003/04

89,607253,61840,274120,14993,195253,61893,011121,26243,24377,99439,345 2004/05

84,653249,19031,254125,10792,829249,19092,195116,72146,89469,80240,274 2005/06

99,197260,54333,597124,107102,839260,54397,470131,81949,56782,22731,254 2006/07

88,620252,15928,647127,03396,479252,15996,809121,75348,58373,14533,597 2007/08

99,179258,88135,663123,74299,476258,88196,831133,40350,49282,88628,647 2008/09

91,901262,02524,418135,871101,736262,02599,581126,78152,37774,37935,663 2009/10

101,503266,79926,847132,497107,455266,799104,473137,90852,09685,78724,418 2010/11

98,112262,46726,387133,957102,123262,467100,574135,04654,89680,12526,847 2011/12

Note:

Prior to 2002/03, the database does not include import, consumption or stocks data for non-producing countries such as the

United States, EU-27 and Japan.

June 2011

Table 01A Coffee Production, Consumption and Ending Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jun

2011/12

Production none

46,700 Brazil 39,100 53,300 44,800 54,500 49,200

19,500 Vietnam 18,000 16,980 18,500 18,725 20,600

12,164 Colombia 12,515 8,664 8,100 9,500 10,500

7,500 Indonesia 7,600 9,300 10,500 9,325 7,885

4,665 India 4,660 4,375 4,850 5,100 4,800

4,036 Ethiopia 3,906 3,650 4,000 4,400 4,500

3,460 Honduras 3,642 3,225 3,550 4,000 4,100

4,050 Guatemala 4,110 3,980 4,010 3,910 3,910

4,400 Peru 2,800 4,000 3,300 4,000 3,800

4,500 Mexico 4,350 4,550 4,150 3,700 3,700

20,844 Other 21,070 21,379 21,021 20,748 22,051

131,819 Total 121,753 133,403 126,781 137,908 135,046

Domestic Consumption none

44,555 EU-27 45,885 41,815 51,880 44,925 46,600

23,324 United States 23,726 23,800 23,395 23,952 24,150

16,720 Brazil 17,390 18,030 18,760 19,500 20,100

7,315 Japan 7,060 7,025 7,035 7,250 7,125

4,410 Russia 4,520 3,455 4,075 4,100 3,975

1,335 Philippines 1,380 1,620 2,220 2,314 2,255

1,950 Canada 1,960 1,940 2,010 2,300 2,100

1,825 Algeria 2,025 2,045 2,060 2,050 2,025

1,490 Switzerland 1,710 1,800 1,950 2,200 2,000

1,750 Mexico 1,800 1,950 1,900 2,000 1,950

19,433 Other 19,577 20,262 20,586 21,906 21,677

124,107 Total 127,033 123,742 135,871 132,497 133,957

Ending Stocks none

12,900 EU-27 12,775 16,325 10,850 13,000 12,000

8,361 Brazil 2,781 6,576 2,836 3,836 4,936

5,700 United States 5,600 5,333 4,250 4,800 4,500

2,160 Japan 1,960 2,050 1,850 2,250 1,950

244 Vietnam 1,747 2,307 1,140 895 970

480 Venezuela 370 330 380 315 340

890 Colombia 885 209 284 224 324

200 Switzerland 200 200 200 200 200

125 Norway 125 125 125 125 125

202 Cote d'Ivoire 130 128 173 123 123

2,335 Other 2,074 2,080 2,330 1,079 919

33,597 Total 28,647 35,663 24,418 26,847 26,387

Notes:

Coffee marketing year for producer countries begins either in October (Colombia), April (Indonesia) or July (Brazil), as examples.

Coffee marketing year for non-producer countries begins in October.

June 2011

Table 01B Green Coffee Bean Exports and Imports


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jun

2011/12

Bean Exports none

26,185 Brazil 23,770 28,396 26,580 30,630 24,930

18,740 Vietnam 15,600 15,430 18,425 17,550 19,000

10,460 Colombia 10,770 8,160 6,445 8,400 9,000

6,000 Indonesia 5,510 6,625 7,425 7,050 5,150

3,980 Guatemala 3,890 3,783 3,860 3,940 3,925

3,370 Honduras 3,440 3,050 3,200 4,000 3,925

4,200 Peru 2,660 3,830 3,150 3,825 3,650

2,225 Ethiopia 2,110 1,850 2,325 2,550 2,640

2,550 India 2,620 2,120 2,760 2,775 2,500

1,840 Uganda 2,160 2,770 2,290 1,900 2,100

1,160 Nicaragua 1,580 1,425 1,650 1,850 1,900

1,710 Cote d'Ivoire 1,550 1,180 1,755 1,550 1,700

1,320 El Salvador 1,580 1,506 1,215 1,575 1,450

2,260 Mexico 1,910 2,125 1,790 1,500 1,400

1,582 Costa Rica 1,588 1,410 1,200 1,350 1,390

6,232 Other 5,368 5,676 6,117 5,534 6,129

93,814 Total 86,106 89,336 90,187 95,979 90,789

Bean Imports none

44,370 EU-27 43,550 43,350 44,280 45,000 43,500

22,110 United States 21,775 21,660 20,250 22,500 21,800

6,200 Japan 6,150 6,375 6,160 7,000 6,200

1,950 Canada 1,960 1,940 2,010 2,300 2,100

1,825 Algeria 2,025 2,045 2,060 2,050 2,025

1,490 Switzerland 1,710 1,800 1,950 2,200 2,000

1,400 Korea, South 1,550 1,680 1,705 2,000 1,900

960 Russia 970 1,240 1,430 1,450 1,475

900 Australia 920 950 1,040 1,075 1,100

730 Malaysia 660 650 960 850 850

130 Ecuador 210 310 650 700 750

300 China 300 320 425 575 675

650 Norway 590 610 580 725 600

190 Colombia 110 650 570 750 560

510 Argentina 490 480 500 515 525

3,709 Other 3,426 3,442 4,300 4,160 4,015

87,424 Total 86,396 87,502 88,870 93,850 90,075



For the United States, Canada and the EU-27, exports appear as zero in the database and the actual amount has been subtracted from

imports to show net imports.

June 2011

Table 02A Green Coffee Bean Production


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jun

2011/12

Production none

35 Angola 30 30 30 25 25

152 Bolivia 140 135 140 135 140

46,700 Brazil 39,100 53,300 44,800 54,500 49,200

287 Burundi 209 250 300 250 275

835 Cameroon 695 650 590 615 590

45 Central African Republic 50 10 30 35 30

12,164 Colombia 12,515 8,664 8,100 9,500 10,500

280 Congo (Kinshasa) 315 300 305 285 290

1,782 Costa Rica 1,867 1,580 1,475 1,575 1,640

2,447 Cote d'Ivoire 2,098 1,853 2,350 2,100 2,300

100 Cuba 70 127 120 120 125

390 Dominican Republic 465 545 500 500 500

875 Ecuador 825 635 635 650 650

1,400 El Salvador 1,650 1,550 1,300 1,700 1,525

4,036 Ethiopia 3,906 3,650 4,000 4,400 4,500

29 Ghana 27 19 30 35 35

4,050 Guatemala 4,110 3,980 4,010 3,910 3,910

400 Guinea 250 400 495 225 450

337 Haiti 335 360 275 300 300

3,460 Honduras 3,642 3,225 3,550 4,000 4,100

4,665 India 4,660 4,375 4,850 5,100 4,800

7,500 Indonesia 7,600 9,300 10,500 9,325 7,885

30 Jamaica 35 31 29 25 30

870 Kenya 700 884 750 750 825

420 Laos 355 350 390 450 475

53 Liberia 25 7 2 1 1

582 Madagascar 555 530 475 525 550

17 Malawi 25 25 25 25 25

500 Malaysia 770 975 1,000 1,000 1,100

4,500 Mexico 4,350 4,550 4,150 3,700 3,700

1,300 Nicaragua 1,850 1,650 1,925 2,000 2,150

51 Nigeria 35 30 30 30 30

150 Panama 150 100 100 100 100

810 Papua New Guinea 970 1,035 1,085 890 1,050

20 Paraguay 28 25 25 25 25

4,400 Peru 2,800 4,000 3,300 4,000 3,800

705 Philippines 460 360 245 460 455

400 Rwanda 230 340 240 310 325

31 Sierra Leone 42 87 90 60 70

32 Sri Lanka 35 35 35 35 35

820 Tanzania 830 1,040 920 825 900

850 Thailand 900 800 900 900 900

180 Togo 255 185 450 525 550

2,300 Uganda 2,500 3,200 2,700 2,300 2,500

154 United States 151 133 107 102 100

862 Venezuela 900 900 725 690 800

19,500 Vietnam 18,000 16,980 18,500 18,725 20,600

200 Yemen 150 150 150 150 150

56 Zambia 60 39 27 10 15

45 Zimbabwe 31 22 21 10 15

12 Trinidad and Tobago 2 2 0 0 0

131,819 Total 121,753 133,403 126,781 137,908 135,046

Notes:



June 2011

Table 02B Arabica Coffee Production


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jun

2011/12

Arabica Production none

152 Bolivia 140 135 140 135 140

36,000 Brazil 27,650 40,500 33,000 41,800 34,700

287 Burundi 209 250 300 250 275

90 Cameroon 90 90 90 90 90

12,164 Colombia 12,515 8,664 8,100 9,500 10,500

100 Congo (Kinshasa) 115 100 105 100 100

1,782 Costa Rica 1,867 1,580 1,475 1,575 1,640

100 Cuba 70 127 120 120 125


500 Ecuador 475 360 375 400 425

1,400 El Salvador 1,650 1,550 1,300 1,700 1,525

4,036 Ethiopia 3,906 3,650 4,000 4,400 4,500

4,040 Guatemala 4,100 3,970 4,000 3,900 3,900

337 Haiti 335 360 275 300 300

3,460 Honduras 3,642 3,225 3,550 4,000 4,100

1,415 India 1,580 1,325 1,600 1,500 1,475

900 Indonesia 800 1,200 1,500 1,375 1,230

30 Jamaica 35 31 29 25 30

870 Kenya 700 884 750 750 825

30 Madagascar 30 30 25 25 25

17 Malawi 25 25 25 25 25

4,300 Mexico 4,100 4,300 3,950 3,500 3,500

1,300 Nicaragua 1,850 1,650 1,925 2,000 2,150

150 Panama 150 100 100 100 100

780 Papua New Guinea 925 1,000 1,050 850 1,000

20 Paraguay 28 25 25 25 25

4,400 Peru 2,800 4,000 3,300 4,000 3,800

35 Philippines 35 35 20 35 30

400 Rwanda 230 340 240 310 325

9 Sri Lanka 10 10 10 10 10

515 Tanzania 525 700 620 550 600


400 Uganda 400 400 400 400 400

154 United States 151 133 107 102 100

862 Venezuela 900 900 725 690 800

500 Vietnam 400 480 450 575 675

200 Yemen 150 150 150 150 150

56 Zambia 60 39 27 10 15

45 Zimbabwe 31 22 21 10 15

82,227 Total 73,145 82,886 74,379 85,787 80,125

Notes:



June 2011

Table 02C Robusta Coffee Production


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jun

2011/12

Robusta Production none

35 Angola 30 30 30 25 25

10,700 Brazil 11,450 12,800 11,800 12,700 14,500

745 Cameroon 605 560 500 525 500


180 Congo (Kinshasa) 200 200 200 185 190

2,447 Cote d'Ivoire 2,098 1,853 2,350 2,100 2,300

375 Ecuador 350 275 260 250 225

29 Ghana 27 19 30 35 35

10 Guatemala 10 10 10 10 10

400 Guinea 250 400 495 225 450

3,250 India 3,080 3,050 3,250 3,600 3,325

6,600 Indonesia 6,800 8,100 9,000 7,950 6,655

420 Laos 355 350 390 450 475

53 Liberia 25 7 2 1 1

552 Madagascar 525 500 450 500 525

500 Malaysia 770 975 1,000 1,000 1,100

200 Mexico 250 250 200 200 200

51 Nigeria 35 30 30 30 30

30 Papua New Guinea 45 35 35 40 50

645 Philippines 400 300 200 400 400

31 Sierra Leone 42 87 90 60 70

23 Sri Lanka 25 25 25 25 25

305 Tanzania 305 340 300 275 300

850 Thailand 900 800 900 900 900

180 Togo 255 185 450 525 550


1,900 Uganda 2,100 2,800 2,300 1,900 2,100

19,000 Vietnam 17,600 16,500 18,050 18,150 19,925

49,567 Total 48,583 50,492 52,377 52,096 54,896

Notes:



June 2011

Table 03A Total Coffee Exports


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jun

2011/12

Exports none

5 Angola 4 4 8 5 5

104 Bolivia 73 73 74 75 75

29,260 Brazil 27,290 31,475 29,780 34,000 28,000

240 Burundi 300 250 290 250 270

790 Cameroon 560 480 690 550 525


11,155 Colombia 11,525 8,935 7,435 9,150 9,800

78 Congo (Kinshasa) 110 117 102 95 100

1,582 Costa Rica 1,588 1,410 1,200 1,350 1,390

2,075 Cote d'Ivoire 1,870 1,555 2,005 1,850 2,000

13 Cuba 5 6 7 7 7


951 Ecuador 942 861 1,140 1,250 1,275

1,325 El Salvador 1,585 1,510 1,219 1,579 1,454

2,225 Ethiopia 2,110 1,850 2,325 2,550 2,640

28 Ghana 26 18 30 35 35

3,980 Guatemala 3,890 3,783 3,860 3,940 3,925

390 Guinea 195 375 460 200 400

21 Haiti 19 17 10 6 5

3,370 Honduras 3,440 3,050 3,200 4,000 3,925

3,609 India 3,820 3,120 4,110 4,100 3,750

6,400 Indonesia 6,110 7,700 8,750 8,250 6,350

20 Jamaica 30 26 24 20 25

870 Kenya 820 980 740 750 800

280 Laos 225 250 290 350 375

49 Liberia 25 7 2 1 1

200 Madagascar 165 115 40 85 100

17 Malawi 25 25 24 24 24

1,171 Malaysia 1,422 1,619 1,980 1,870 1,920

2,865 Mexico 2,610 2,735 2,480 2,150 2,125

1,310 Nicaragua 1,745 1,585 1,806 1,925 2,050

9 Nigeria 1 1 3 2 2

95 Panama 96 45 53 50 50

820 Papua New Guinea 900 1,070 1,040 875 1,000

10 Paraguay 10 5 5 5 5

4,200 Peru 2,660 3,830 3,150 3,825 3,650

1 Philippines 0 0 0 0 0

400 Rwanda 230 340 240 310 325

30 Sierra Leone 25 70 70 40 50

745 Tanzania 730 880 875 705 800

925 Thailand 775 644 684 807 760

200 Togo 250 185 440 525 550

1,840 Uganda 2,160 2,770 2,290 1,900 2,100

120 Venezuela 160 0 0 0 0

18,840 Vietnam 15,735 15,565 18,670 17,875 19,350

30 Yemen 40 35 30 25 25

55 Zambia 59 39 27 10 15

41 Zimbabwe 27 18 17 6 10

102,839 Total 96,479 99,476 101,736 107,455 102,123

Notes:

A conversion factor of 2.6 was used to convert soluble coffee to the green bean equivalent.





June 2011

Table 03B Green Coffee Bean Exports


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jun

2011/12

Bean Exports none

5 Angola 4 4 8 5 5

104 Bolivia 73 73 74 75 75

26,185 Brazil 23,770 28,396 26,580 30,630 24,930

240 Burundi 300 250 290 250 270

790 Cameroon 560 480 690 550 525


10,460 Colombia 10,770 8,160 6,445 8,400 9,000

78 Congo (Kinshasa) 110 117 102 95 100

1,582 Costa Rica 1,588 1,410 1,200 1,350 1,390

1,710 Cote d'Ivoire 1,550 1,180 1,755 1,550 1,700

13 Cuba 5 6 7 7 7


300 Ecuador 180 179 450 425 425

1,320 El Salvador 1,580 1,506 1,215 1,575 1,450

2,225 Ethiopia 2,110 1,850 2,325 2,550 2,640

28 Ghana 26 18 30 35 35

3,980 Guatemala 3,890 3,783 3,860 3,940 3,925

390 Guinea 195 375 460 200 400

21 Haiti 19 17 10 6 5

3,370 Honduras 3,440 3,050 3,200 4,000 3,925

2,550 India 2,620 2,120 2,760 2,775 2,500

6,000 Indonesia 5,510 6,625 7,425 7,050 5,150

20 Jamaica 30 26 24 20 25

870 Kenya 820 980 740 750 800

280 Laos 225 250 290 350 375

49 Liberia 25 7 2 1 1

200 Madagascar 165 115 40 85 100

17 Malawi 25 25 24 24 24

21 Malaysia 12 19 16 20 20

2,260 Mexico 1,910 2,125 1,790 1,500 1,400

1,160 Nicaragua 1,580 1,425 1,650 1,850 1,900

9 Nigeria 1 1 3 2 2

95 Panama 96 45 53 50 50

820 Papua New Guinea 900 1,070 1,040 875 1,000

10 Paraguay 10 5 5 5 5

4,200 Peru 2,660 3,830 3,150 3,825 3,650

400 Rwanda 230 340 240 310 325

30 Sierra Leone 25 70 70 40 50

735 Tanzania 720 875 870 700 800

200 Thailand 25 4 4 10 25

200 Togo 250 185 440 525 550

1,840 Uganda 2,160 2,770 2,290 1,900 2,100

85 Venezuela 120 0 0 0 0

18,740 Vietnam 15,600 15,430 18,425 17,550 19,000

30 Yemen 40 35 30 25 25

55 Zambia 59 39 27 10 15

41 Zimbabwe 27 18 17 6 10

93,814 Total 86,106 89,336 90,187 95,979 90,789

Notes:





June 2011

Table 03C Soluble Coffee Exports


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jun

2011/12

Soluble Exports none

3,020 Brazil 3,395 2,991 3,120 3,300 3,000

680 Colombia 720 725 925 700 750

365 Cote d'Ivoire 320 375 250 300 300

650 Ecuador 760 680 680 825 850

2 El Salvador 2 2 2 2 2

1,059 India 1,200 1,000 1,350 1,325 1,250

400 Indonesia 600 1,075 1,325 1,200 1,200

1,150 Malaysia 1,410 1,600 1,964 1,850 1,900

605 Mexico 700 610 690 650 725

150 Nicaragua 165 160 156 75 150

10 Tanzania 10 5 5 5 0

725 Thailand 750 640 680 797 735

75 Vietnam 115 110 195 275 300

8,891 Total 10,147 9,973 11,342 11,304 11,162

Notes:






June 2011

Table 04A Total Coffee Imports


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jun

2011/12

Imports none

1,825 Algeria 2,025 2,045 2,060 2,050 2,025

510 Argentina 490 480 500 515 525

900 Australia 920 950 1,040 1,075 1,100

1,950 Canada 1,960 1,940 2,010 2,300 2,100

300 China 300 320 425 575 675

215 Colombia 142 695 610 790 600

330 Croatia 325 300 300 300 300

210 Cuba 230 240 220 225 225

222 Ecuador 274 389 732 763 817

117 El Salvador 96 167 136 137 142

46,530 EU-27 45,760 45,365 46,405 47,075 45,600

175 Guatemala 193 223 225 230 230

12 Honduras 14 18 18 23 15

334 India 490 555 725 550 500

820 Indonesia 100 120 425 150 200

7,025 Japan 6,860 7,115 6,835 7,650 6,825

1,400 Korea, South 1,550 1,680 1,705 2,000 1,900

1,156 Malaysia 1,200 1,135 1,480 1,420 1,370

49 Mexico 171 114 245 420 370

560 Morocco 570 600 580 510 500

650 Norway 590 610 580 725 600

600 Philippines 915 1,340 1,920 1,850 1,850

4,410 Russia 4,520 3,455 4,075 4,100 3,975

590 Serbia 590 590 525 500 500

430 South Africa 410 330 400 385 400

1,490 Switzerland 1,710 1,800 1,950 2,200 2,000

546 Thailand 530 400 545 675 600

230 Turkey 230 260 275 350 300

23,670 United States 23,475 23,400 22,205 24,400 23,750

96 Venezuela 77 85 205 335 350

115 Vietnam 88 95 75 105 150

97,470 Total 96,809 96,831 99,581 104,473 100,574

Notes:






June 2011

Table 04B Green Coffee Bean Imports


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jun

2011/12

Bean Imports none

1,825 Algeria 2,025 2,045 2,060 2,050 2,025

510 Argentina 490 480 500 515 525

900 Australia 920 950 1,040 1,075 1,100

1,950 Canada 1,960 1,940 2,010 2,300 2,100

300 China 300 320 425 575 675

190 Colombia 110 650 570 750 560

330 Croatia 325 300 300 300 300

44,370 EU-27 43,550 43,350 44,280 45,000 43,500

130 Ecuador 210 310 650 700 750

31 El Salvador 1 3 0 0 0

334 India 490 555 725 550 500

820 Indonesia 100 120 425 150 200

6,200 Japan 6,150 6,375 6,160 7,000 6,200

1,400 Korea, South 1,550 1,680 1,705 2,000 1,900

730 Malaysia 660 650 960 850 850

21 Mexico 1 4 90 250 200

560 Morocco 570 600 580 510 500

650 Norway 590 610 580 725 600

225 Philippines 390 405 420 450 400

960 Russia 970 1,240 1,430 1,450 1,475

590 Serbia 590 590 525 500 500

430 South Africa 410 330 400 385 400

1,490 Switzerland 1,710 1,800 1,950 2,200 2,000

6 Thailand 200 130 205 225 200

230 Turkey 230 260 275 350 300

22,110 United States 21,775 21,660 20,250 22,500 21,800

79 Vietnam 65 70 50 80 125

87,424 Total 86,396 87,502 88,870 93,850 90,075

Notes:



Imports for the United States, Canada and the EU-27 are net imports after subtracting exports.

June 2011

Table 04C Soluble Coffee Imports


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jun

2011/12

Soluble Imports none

91 Ecuador 64 77 79 60 65

72 El Salvador 80 150 125 125 130

2,160 EU-27 2,210 2,015 2,125 2,075 2,100

125 Guatemala 140 160 165 170 170

6 Honduras 7 10 10 15 15

825 Japan 710 740 675 650 625

406 Malaysia 520 465 500 550 500

0 Mexico 150 95 135 150 150

375 Philippines 525 935 1,500 1,400 1,450

3,450 Russia 3,550 2,215 2,645 2,650 2,500

1,560 United States 1,700 1,740 1,955 1,900 1,950

35 Vietnam 22 25 25 25 25

9,737 Total 10,081 8,982 10,389 10,295 10,180

Notes:






June 2011

Table 05 Green Coffee Bean Ending Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jun

2011/12

Ending Stocks none

30 Angola 25 20 11 5 0

75 Bolivia 62 44 35 20 5

8,361 Brazil 2,781 6,576 2,836 3,836 4,936

119 Burundi 23 18 23 15 15

64 Cameroon 124 219 44 34 24


890 Colombia 885 209 284 224 324

43 Congo (Kinshasa) 48 31 34 24 14

77 Costa Rica 76 25 145 105 70

202 Cote d'Ivoire 130 128 173 123 123

12,900 EU-27 12,775 16,325 10,850 13,000 12,000

9 Ecuador 11 7 65 23 5

5 El Salvador 5 42 29 57 40

207 Ethiopia 178 153 53 28 38

5 Ghana 5 5 4 3 3

96 Guatemala 169 229 239 94 39

12 Guinea 27 12 7 2 12

65 Haiti 41 44 25 25 25

41 Honduras 57 50 218 41 31

95 India 65 250 140 40 90

248 Indonesia 108 108 533 33 18

2,160 Japan 1,960 2,050 1,850 2,250 1,950

440 Kenya 270 124 84 34 9

132 Madagascar 72 37 22 12 12

2 Malawi 1 0 0 0 0

19 Mexico 130 109 124 94 89

18 Nicaragua 33 8 37 22 32

125 Norway 125 125 125 125 125

46 Papua New Guinea 86 21 36 21 31

71 Paraguay 54 39 24 10 0

74 Peru 64 84 74 79 49

34 Philippines 29 109 54 50 100

11 Sri Lanka 6 0 0 0 0

200 Switzerland 200 200 200 200 200

9 Tanzania 9 69 14 34 34

12 Thailand 102 42 92 60 50

0 Togo 3 1 9 7 7

93 Uganda 33 43 43 20 20

5,700 United States 5,600 5,333 4,250 4,800 4,500

480 Venezuela 370 330 380 315 340

244 Vietnam 1,747 2,307 1,140 895 970

33,597 Total 28,647 35,663 24,418 26,847 26,387

Notes:



June 2011

Table 06 World Coffee Supply and Distribution, 2011/12


Country Beginning

Stocks

Arabica

Production

Robusta

Production

Total

Production

Total

Imports

Total

Supply

Total

Exports

Domestic

Use

Ending

Stocks

Total

Distributio

Exportable

Production

Caribbean

03500343735022512501250 Cuba

50500045050500050005000 Dominican Republic

53252529553250300030025 Haiti

25300525300300300 Jamaica

00000000000 Trinidad and Tobago

801,205251,093871,205225955095525 Total Caribbean

Central America

1,2751,825703651,3901,825801,64001,640105 Costa Rica

1,2951,724402301,4541,7241421,52501,52557 El Salvador

3,6404,234392703,9254,2342303,910103,90094 Guatemala

3,9004,156312003,9254,156154,10004,10041 Honduras

2,0602,17232902,0502,17202,15002,15022 Nicaragua

5010005050100010001000 Panama

12,22014,2112121,20512,79414,21146713,4251013,415319 Total Central America

East Asia

0675067506756750000 China

09,0751,9507,12509,0756,8250002,250 Japan

01,90001,90001,9001,9000000 Korea, South

011,6501,9509,700011,6509,4000002,250 Total East Asia

European Union

058,60012,00046,600058,60045,60000013,000 EU-27

058,60012,00046,600058,60045,60000013,000 Total European Union

Former Soviet Union - 12

03,97503,97503,9753,9750000 Russia

03,97503,97503,9753,9750000 Total Former Soviet Union - 12

Middle East

0300030003003000000 Turkey

25150012525150015001500 Yemen

2545004252545030015001500 Total Middle East

North Africa

02,02502,02502,0252,0250000 Algeria

0500050005005000000 Morocco

02,52502,52502,5252,5250000 Total North Africa

June 2011

Table 06 World Coffee Supply and Distribution, 2011/12 (Continued)


Country Beginning

Stocks

Arabica

Production

Robusta

Production

Total

Production

Total

Imports

Total

Supply

Total

Exports

Domestic

Use

Ending

Stocks

Total

Distributio

Exportable

Production

North America

02,10002,10002,1002,1000000 Canada

1,7504,164891,9502,1254,1643703,7002003,50094 Mexico

028,6504,50024,150028,65023,75010001004,800 United States

1,75034,9144,58928,2002,12534,91426,2203,8002003,6004,894 Total North America

Oceania

01,10001,10001,1001,1000000 Australia

00000000000 New Caledonia

1,0101,07131401,0001,07101,050501,00021 Papua New Guinea

1,0102,171311,1401,0002,1711,1001,050501,00021 Total Oceania

0300030003003000000 Croatia

07251256000725600000125 Norway

0500050005005000000 Serbia

02,2002002,00002,2002,000000200 Switzerland

03,7253253,40003,7253,400000325 Total Other Europe

South America

0525052505255250000 Argentina

60160580751600140014020 Bolivia

29,10053,0364,93620,10028,00053,036049,20014,50034,7003,836 Brazil

9,30011,3243241,2009,80011,32460010,500010,500224 Colombia

4401,49052101,2751,49081765022542523 Ecuador

00000000000 Guyana

03503053502502510 Paraguay

3,6203,879491803,6503,87903,80003,80079 Peru

01,4653401,12501,4653508000800315 Venezuela

42,52071,9145,65923,45042,80571,9142,29265,11514,72550,3904,507 Total South America

South Asia

3,3005,340901,5003,7505,3405004,8003,3251,47540 India

03503503503525100 Sri Lanka

3,3005,375901,5353,7505,3755004,8353,3501,48540 Total South Asia

Southeast Asia

6,1358,118181,7506,3508,1182007,8856,6551,23033 Indonesia

3754750100375475047547500 Laos

5502,47005501,9202,4701,3701,1001,10000 Malaysia

02,3551002,25502,3551,8504554003050 Philippines

1501,560507507601,560600900900060 Thailand

June 2011



Country Beginning

Stocks

Arabica

Production

Robusta

Production

Total

Production

Total

Imports

Total

Supply

Total

Exports

Domestic

Use

Ending

Stocks

Total

Distributio

Exportable

Production

19,27521,6459701,32519,35021,64515020,60019,925675895 Vietnam

26,48536,6231,1386,73028,75536,6234,17031,41529,4551,9351,038 Total Southeast Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

0300255300252505 Angola

00000000000 Benin

2702901552702900275027515 Burundi

515624247552562405905009034 Cameroon

011757303011703030087 Central African Republic

00000000000 Congo (Brazzaville)

9031414200100314029019010024 Congo (Kinshasa)

2,0002,4231233002,0002,42302,3002,3000123 Cote d'Ivoire

00000000000 Equatorial Guinea

2,6504,528381,8502,6404,52804,50004,50028 Ethiopia

00000000000 Gabon

35383035380353503 Ghana

4104521240400452045045002 Guinea

7758599508008590825082534 Kenya

11001101100 Liberia

1005621245010056205505252512 Madagascar

24250124250250250 Malawi

2300282300303000 Nigeria

32532500325325032503250 Rwanda

507002050700707000 Sierra Leone

0400040004004000000 South Africa

80093434100800934090030060034 Tanzania

55055770550557055055007 Togo

2,1002,520204002,1002,52002,5002,10040020 Uganda

15150015150150150 Zambia

10150510150150150 Zimbabwe

10,72215,1293683,97910,78215,12940014,3017,1067,195428 Total Sub-Saharan Africa

World

98,112262,46726,387133,957102,123262,467100,574135,04654,89680,12526,847 World

June 2011



Country Beginning

Stocks

Arabica

Production

Robusta

Production

Total

Production

Total

Imports

Total

Supply

Total

Exports

Domestic

Use

Ending

Stocks

Total

Distributio

Exportable

Production

Caribbean

03450338734522512001200 Cuba


63252529463250300030025 Haiti

20250520250250250 Jamaica


741,195251,089811,195225945094525 Total Caribbean

Central America

1,2201,8101053551,3501,810901,57501,575145 Costa Rica

1,4701,866572301,5791,8661371,70001,70029 El Salvador

3,5654,379943453,9404,3792303,910103,900239 Guatemala

3,8004,241412004,0004,241234,00004,000218 Honduras

1,9102,03722901,9252,03702,00002,00037 Nicaragua

5010005050100010001000 Panama


East Asia

0575057505755750000 China

09,5002,2507,25009,5007,6500001,850 Japan

02,00002,00002,0002,0000000 Korea, South

012,0752,2509,825012,07510,2250001,850 Total East Asia

European Union

057,92513,00044,925057,92547,07500010,850 EU-27



04,10004,10004,1004,1000000 Russia


Middle East

0350035003503500000 Turkey

25150012525150015001500 Yemen


North Africa

02,05002,05002,0502,0500000 Algeria

0510051005105100000 Morocco


June 2011



Country Beginning

Stocks

Arabica

Production

Robusta

Production

Total

Production

Total

Imports

Total

Supply

Total

Exports

Domestic

Use

Ending

Stocks

Total

Distributio

Exportable

Production

North America

02,30002,30002,3002,3000000 Canada

1,7004,244942,0002,1504,2444203,7002003,500124 Mexico

028,7524,80023,952028,75224,40010201024,250 United States


Oceania

01,07501,07501,0751,0750000 Australia


860926213087592608904085036 Papua New Guinea

8602,001211,1058752,0011,0758904085036 Total Oceania

0300030003003000000 Croatia

08501257250850725000125 Norway

0500050005005000000 Serbia

02,4002002,20002,4002,200000200 Switzerland


South America

0515051505155150000 Argentina

601702075751700135013535 Bolivia

35,00057,3363,83619,50034,00057,336054,50012,70041,8002,836 Brazil

8,30010,5742241,2009,15010,5747909,50009,500284 Colombia

4451,478232051,2501,47876365025040065 Ecuador

00000000000 Guyana

049103454902502524 Paraguay

3,8304,074791703,8254,07404,00004,00074 Peru

01,4053151,09001,4053356900690380 Venezuela


South Asia

3,4505,790401,6504,1005,7905505,1003,6001,500140 India

03503503503525100 Sri Lanka

3,4505,825401,6854,1005,8255505,1353,6251,510140 Total South Asia

Southeast Asia

7,60010,008331,7258,25010,0081509,3257,9501,375533 Indonesia

3504500100350450045045000 Laos

4502,42005501,8702,4201,4201,0001,00000 Malaysia

02,364502,31402,3641,8504604003554 Philippines

1001,667608008071,667675900900092 Thailand

June 2011



Country Beginning

Stocks

Arabica

Production

Robusta

Production

Total

Production

Total

Imports

Total

Supply

Total

Exports

Domestic

Use

Ending

Stocks

Total

Distributio

Exportable

Production

17,52519,9708951,20017,87519,97010518,72518,1505751,140 Vietnam


Sub-Saharan Africa

03652653602525011 Angola

00000000000 Benin

2422731582502730250025023 Burundi

540659347555065906155259044 Cameroon



853192420095319028518510034 Congo (Kinshasa)

1,8002,2731233001,8502,27302,1002,1000173 Cote d'Ivoire


2,5254,453281,8752,5504,45304,40004,40053 Ethiopia

00000000000 Gabon

34393135390353504 Ghana

195232230200232022522507 Guinea

70083434507508340750075084 Kenya

11001101100 Liberia

75547124508554705255002522 Madagascar

24250124250250250 Malawi

2300282300303000 Nigeria

31031000310310031003100 Rwanda

406002040600606000 Sierra Leone

0385038503853850000 South Africa

72583934100705839082527555014 Tanzania

52353472525534052552509 Togo

1,8772,343204231,9002,34302,3001,90040043 Uganda

10100010100100100 Zambia

610046100100100 Zimbabwe


World

101,503266,79926,847132,497107,455266,799104,473137,90852,09685,78724,418 World

June 2011



Country Beginning

Stocks

Arabica

Production

Robusta

Production

Total

Production

Total

Imports

Total

Supply

Total

Exports

Domestic

Use

Ending

Stocks

Total

Distributio

Exportable

Production

Caribbean

03400333734022012001200 Cuba


031925284103190275027544 Haiti

24290524290290290 Jamaica


601,188251,086771,188220924092444 Total Caribbean

Central America

1,1701,6501453051,2001,6501501,47501,47525 Costa Rica

1,0701,478292301,2191,4781361,30001,30042 El Salvador

3,6454,4642393653,8604,4642254,010104,000229 Guatemala

3,3503,6182182003,2003,618183,55003,55050 Honduras

1,8351,93337901,8061,93301,92501,9258 Nicaragua

5310004753100010001000 Panama


East Asia

0425042504254250000 China

08,8851,8507,03508,8856,8350002,050 Japan

01,70501,70501,7051,7050000 Korea, South

011,0151,8509,165011,0158,9650002,050 Total East Asia

European Union

062,73010,85051,880062,73046,40500016,325 EU-27



04,07504,07504,0754,0750000 Russia


Middle East

0275027502752750000 Turkey

30150012030150015001500 Yemen


North Africa

02,06002,06002,0602,0600000 Algeria

0580058005805800000 Morocco


June 2011



Country Beginning

Stocks

Arabica

Production

Robusta

Production

Total

Production

Total

Imports

Total

Supply

Total

Exports

Domestic

Use

Ending

Stocks

Total

Distributio

Exportable

Production

North America

02,01002,01002,0102,0100000 Canada

2,2504,5041241,9002,4804,5042454,1502003,950109 Mexico

027,6454,25023,395027,64522,20510701075,333 United States


Oceania

01,04001,04001,0401,0400000 Australia


1,0551,10636301,0401,10601,085351,05021 Papua New Guinea

1,0552,146361,0701,0402,1461,0401,085351,05021 Total Oceania

0300030003003000000 Croatia

07051255800705580000125 Norway

0525052505255250000 Serbia

02,1502001,95002,1501,950000200 Switzerland


South America

0500050005005000000 Argentina

651843575741840140014044 Bolivia

26,04051,3762,83618,76029,78051,376044,80011,80033,0006,576 Brazil

6,9008,9192841,2007,4358,9196108,10008,100209 Colombia

4661,374651691,1401,3747326352603757 Ecuador

00000000000 Guyana

064243556402502539 Paraguay

3,1403,384741603,1503,38403,30003,30084 Peru

01,26038088001,2602057250725330 Venezuela


South Asia

3,2755,8251401,5754,1105,8257254,8503,2501,600250 India

03503503503525100 Sri Lanka

3,2755,8601401,6104,1105,8607254,8853,2751,610250 Total South Asia

Southeast Asia

8,75011,0335331,7508,75011,03342510,5009,0001,500108 Indonesia

2903900100290390039039000 Laos

5002,48005001,9802,4801,4801,0001,00000 Malaysia

02,274542,22002,2741,92024520020109 Philippines

1891,487927116841,487545900900042 Thailand

June 2011



Country Beginning

Stocks

Arabica

Production

Robusta

Production

Total

Production

Total

Imports

Total

Supply

Total

Exports

Domestic

Use

Ending

Stocks

Total

Distributio

Exportable

Production

17,42820,8821,1401,07218,67020,8827518,50018,0504502,307 Vietnam


Sub-Saharan Africa

050113185003030020 Angola

00000000000 Benin

2953182352903180300030018 Burundi

5158094475690809059050090219 Cameroon



10533634200102336030520010531 Congo (Kinshasa)

2,0502,4781733002,0052,47802,3502,3500128 Cote d'Ivoire


2,2254,153531,7752,3254,15304,00004,000153 Ethiopia

00000000000 Gabon

29354130350303005 Ghana

4555077404605070495495012 Guinea

700874845074087407500750124 Kenya

22002202200 Liberia

25512224504051204754502537 Madagascar

24250124250250250 Malawi

3300273300303000 Nigeria

24024000240240024002400 Rwanda

709002070900909000 Sierra Leone

0400040004004000000 South Africa

82098914100875989092030062069 Tanzania

44845192440451045045001 Togo

2,2902,743434102,2902,74302,7002,30040043 Uganda

27270027270270270 Zambia

17210417210210210 Zimbabwe


World

91,901262,02524,418135,871101,736262,02599,581126,78152,37774,37935,663 World

June 2011

Coffee USDA junho/11

Technology

Transcript of Coffee USDA junho/11