What Do You See?

XG is the New Tipping Point

Merriam Webster

adjective ex·po·nen·tial \ˌek-spə-

ˈnen-chəl\

(1) very fast :

increasingly rapid

Exponential, Defined

Singularity UniversityExponential Trends: The Magic of Compounding

World’s largest taxi

company owns no

vehicles

World’s most popular

media owner, creates no

content

Most valuable retailer,

has no inventory

World’s largest

accommodation provider,

owns no real estate

Social media

network evolving

into a Video and VR

System

Online book reseller

becomes dominant

cloud provider

(see above)

Tom Goodwin/ Jeremiah OwyangSomething is Going on Here

What is Government to Do? WikiMedia Commons

flickr: Harald GrovenSigns of the Times

Chief IoT Officer

25

The World We Knew GAO

Our Time TogetherClosed Expert Systems GAO

Behavioral Changes CLT

Individual Changes e.Republic Labs

Organizational Shifts

Societal Shifts Singularity,com

Everything-as-a-Service

Unbundled or Demassified Everything Harvard Labs

The Question

What Does This Mean?

… A Lot Quicker!

E F F O R T , A D O P T I O N C Y C L E S , T I M E T O M A R K E T

C A P I T A L I Z A T I O N A R E G E T T I N G Q U I C K E R . . .

1 2 3

… And it is Coming

Change Is Exponential

The World Ahead

… Is Arriving Today.

The Tech

… Like Everything and Nothing We’ve Seen Before

Exponential Connected Devices SES, Cisco, CDG

Exponential Computing Ray Kurzwell

Exponential, Cognitive Computing IBM, MIT Technology Review

F E B R U A R Y 2 0 1 6

TODAY

Exponential Risks The Future X Network, 2015

Exponential Cost Decay Wikibon, 2014

Stream.orgHarriett Tubman on the $20 Bill

The New Central Ledger

Work

… Not What It Was, or Is

Work Today

34%

66%

F R E E L A N C I N G

N O T F R E E L A N C I N G

Work in 2020

50%50%

F R E E L A N C I N G

N O T F R E E L A N C I N G

The Millennial Difference Pew Research Center

Automated Things @thatmattsmith

Self-Driving Garbage Truck

Automated Things

A M B U L A N C E D R O N E

Shifting Roles $15Now/ BLS

Jobs today

that humans

do – but

machines will

eventually do

better.

Current jobs

that humans

can’t do but

machines can.

Jobs that only

humans will

be able to do

– at first.

Robot jobs

that we can’t

even imagine

yet.

Robots will take our Jobs … Could be a Good Thing WIRED

Pivoting Toward the FutureGE

What Does This All Mean for Public Service?

Making It Work Where You Are

G O V E R N M E N T O R G A N I Z A T I O N S T H A T H A R N E S S

E X P O N E N T I A L T E C H N O L O G I E S A N D M O D E L S O F W O R K .

I T ’ S B E T T E R T O B E A C I T Y , E V E N

B E T T E R T O B E S M A L L .

… Now on the Horizon

P E O P L E

Infrastructure

People

Intelligence

P E O P L E

Infrastructure

Scalable Infrastructure (Cloud)

Leveraged Connected Devices

Open Data

Data Standards

Exponential Infrastructure

Scalable Infrastructure

Leveraged Interconnected Devices

Open Data

Data Standards

P E O P L EPeople

Exponential People

Crowdsourced Work/ Microtasking

On-Demand/ Hybrid Labor

Adaptive Organizational Structures

Engaged Community

Crowdsourced Works Citizenvestor.com

T A S K S S O L U T I O N S F U N D I N G

R E S E A R C H I M P L E M E N T A T I O N V A L I D A T I O N

What can be Outsourced?

On Demand/ Hybrid Labor Upwork

L E A N - S T A R T U P

M O V E M E N T

A G I L E P R O J E C T

M A N A G E M E N TH O L A C R A C Y

Adaptive Organization Models

Engaged Community

P E O P L E

Intelligence

Third-Party Data Integration

Performance + Innovation Metrics

Predictive/Contextual User Experiences

Government-as-an-API

Exponential Behaviors

Third-Party Data Integration Yelp

Performance Metrics

Exponential Experiences

Piecing It All Together

Whole is Exponentially More than Sum of the Parts

P E O P L E

Infrastructure

People

Intelligence

Government-as-an-API

‘

The Next Medium of Interaction Siri, Cortana, GoogleHome, Alexa

Just a Little Short of the Singularity … Apple

In Action

D I G I T A L M A K E R S P A C E S + K N O W L E D G E

H U B S

F E D E R A L I N N O V A T I O N R E S O U R C E S F O R

C I T I E S

S T A R T U P S - I N - R E S I D E N C E

P U B L I C - P R I V A T E S H A R I N G P A R T N E R S H I P S

I N N O V A T I O N F O C U S E D D E L I V E R Y T E A M S

T O W A R D A N E W U R B A N P R A C T I C E

N E W U R B A N M E C H A N I C S

P R I V A T E - S E C T O R + G O V C O L L A B O R A T I O N S

Exponential Technologies ETF

209 Companies

An Exponential Unicorn iShares/ Morningstar

CivicTech is Pivoting to Become GovTech GovTech/ e.Republic

Crowdfunding Goes Legit with FCC Final Rulemaking Fast Company

Just Enter Your License Number Insurify

Planning Dilemma: Transportation Models are Being Flipped

Where to Start With

1. Educate Yourself & Your Employees

2. Experiment Like You Invest

3. Launch and Learn

4. Start a Conversation With Your Network

5. Embrace Constraints

6. Seize the Inevitable

Next ….

Presented by Alan Cox