CNBC Fed Survey Results: March 16, 2012
Transcript of CNBC Fed Survey Results: March 16, 2012
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MG@M Cdl ]tpsdr ” Jopmf ?3( 09?0Yond ?? kc 03
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MG@M Cdl ]tpsdr ” Jopmf ?3( 09?0Yond ?0 kc 03
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MG@M Cdl ]tpsdr ” Jopmf ?3( 09?0Yond ?4 kc 03
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MG@M Cdl ]tpsdr ” Jopmf ?3( 09?0Yond ?3 kc 03
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MG@M Cdl ]tpsdr ” Jopmf ?3( 09?0Yond ?> kc 03
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MG@M Cdl ]tpsdr ” Jopmf ?3( 09?0Yond 0? kc 03
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Pk`dp| @pt}mo( Com| ogl Kybgbkg Dmkgkjbm}5 Cdl ykhbmr b} gk| }k kt|*kc*
abh|dp gk~ `t| ~d opd kg og bjykp|og| mt}y' Fk~ ~bhh |fd Cdl t}d b|} gd~
fdolhbgd YMD bgcho|bkg .k`edm|bsd;. ^d opd o`kt| |k }dd fdolhbgd bgcho|bkg nk
jkpd pkntd |fog ]opof Yohbg( o} npk~|f nd|} jkpd }khbl' Fk~ lkd} |fd Cdl
nd| t} |k `dhbdsd b|} ykhbmbd} opd kg |poma bc b| mog.| ykbg| |k }|bhh }|o`hd mkpd
bgcho|bkg }bgmd |fd fdolhbgd b} gk~ |fd nkoh; B.j mkgct}dl o} |k fk~ o |opnd|
|fo| ~bhh `d `olhr jb}}dl bg |fd }fkp| ptg `dmkjd} t}dcth( d}ydmbohhr }bgmd b| b}
GK\ dsdg o ypbmd hdsdh mkjjb|jdg|' B |fbga |fo| |fd Cdl( ogl |fd jopad|}(
opd bg ckp }kjd pkmar |bjd}'
Losbl Nkdpu( Fbnfjopa Moyb|oh5 \fd Cdl.} mtppdg| jkgd|opr ykhbmr b}
tg}t}|obgo`hd `drkgl |fd T']' dhdm|bkg( ogl pb}a} tgldpjbgbgn b|} mpdlb`bhb|r
Dmkgkjbm}49$
Dqtb|bd}0<$
Cbvdl Bgmkjd>$
Mtppdgmbd}0$
K|fdp?>$
8/2/2019 CNBC Fed Survey Results: March 16, 2012
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MG@M Cdl ]tpsdr ” Jopmf ?3( 09?0Yond 0= kc 03
CDL ]TPSDRJopmf ?3( 09?0
|fpktnf b|} ykhbmr kc "bgmpdo}dl |pog}yopdgmr" nbsdg |fd }|pdgn|fdgbgn
lbsdpndgmd kc dmkgkjbm mkglb|bkg}' "Kt|yt| noy*dp}" opd hbadhr |k `d ksdpptg
`r "yponjo|bm sbnbhog|d} " o} pd`ktglbgn bgcho|bkgopr ckpmd}( fkt}bgn }|op|}(ogl djyhkrjdg| npk~|f }fkthl lpbsd ty bgcho|bkg dvydm|o|bkg} ogl `kgl
rbdhl}'
]|top| Fkccjog( YGM5 \fd }ypbgn+}tjjdp }htjy bg fkt}bgn( mkg}tjdp
}ydglbgn( ogl ek` npk~|f bg 09?9 ogl 09?? ~bhh GK\ `d pdydo|dl bg 09?0'
\fd |fbpl |bjd b} |fd mfopj//
Hdd Fk}abg}( Yombcbm Pd}dopmf Bg}|b|t|d5 @r mkg|bgtbgn |k ptg o gdno|bsd
pdoh bg|dpd}| ykhbmr |fd Cdl b} lb}|kp|bgn kgd kc |fd jk}| bjykp|og| ypbmd
}bngoh} bg og dmkgkjr' Pdypd}}bgn bg|dpd}| po|d} jb}ohhkmo|d} moyb|oh ogl |fdohhkmo|bkg kc nkkl} ksdp |bjd'
Ftnf Ekfg}kg( Ftnf Ekfg}kg Olsb}kp}5 \fd }bgnhd jk}| }t`}|og|boh
|fpdo| |fo| |fd T']' dmkgkjr comd} b} o }fbc| |k cb}moh pd}|pobg| bg 09?= `o}dl
tykg |fd yk}}b`hd dvybpo|bkg kc |ov pdltm|bkg} &@t}f |ov mt|}( pdltm|bkg bg
yorpkhh |ov mt| ogl pdltm|bkg} bg }ydglbgn &Jdlbmopd yorjdg|} |k yfr}bmbog}(
tgdjyhkrjdg| `dgdcb|}' O }fbc| |k~opl pd}|pobg|( }bjbhop |k }fbc|} bg ?2?9 ogl
?2=6( `dckpd |fd T']' dmkgkjr fo} cthhr pdmksdpdl cpkj |fd dvmd}}d} `tbh|
ltpbgn |fd fkt}bgn jogbo &099<*0993 ~kthl ̀ d o jb}|oad' Fkydcthhr( |fb}~bhh `d mhdophr pd}khsdl `r |fd |bjd kc |fd dhdm|bkg' \fd }dmkgl jk}|
}bngbcbmog| pb}a &oh|fktnf gk| o }bngbcbmog| pb}a o| |fb} hdsdh kc bg|dpd}| po|d} b}
o pb}d bg bgcho|bkg bg 09?= ogl }fbc| bg jkgd|opr ykhbmr |k~opl pd}|pobg|' Mhdophr
|fd Cdl tgldp}|ogl} |fb} pb}a ogl b} tghbadhr |k joad o }dpbkt} ykhbmr `htgldp'
B| b} gk| o| ohh tgt}toh ckp |fd cbgogmboh jopad|} ogl dmkgkjr |k `d combgn
|fd}d pb}a} ltpbgn |fd cktp|f ogl cbc|f rdop kc o `thh jopad|*dmkgkjbm
pdmksdpr' ^fo| pob}d} |fd pb}a} b} |fo| |fd T']' dmkgkjr b} }|bhh ~kpabgn
|fpktnf |fd dvmd}}d} `tbh| ltpbgn |fd }|ond kc fkt}bgn }ydmtho|bkg' \fo|
joad} b| bg|dpd}|bgn ogl bjykp|og|'
Ekfg Ao||op( Do}|dpg Bgsd}|jdg| Olsb}kp}5 Ckp o} hkgn o} |fd dmkgkjbm
lo|o b} bjypksbgn( }|kma} opd jksbgn fbnfdp( ogl k|fdp mdg|poh `oga} opd
do}r( |fd Cdl b} mkg|dg| |k }b|' @t| |fo| mkthl mfognd' B oj oh}k ~o|mfbgn |fd
lkhhop( ~fbmf fo} ̀ ddg }|pdgn|fdgbgn }bgmd ho}| Cohh' O| }kjd ykbg|( |fd Cdl
~bhh ydpmdbsd |fb} o} o |fpdo| |k |fd pdmksdpr'
8/2/2019 CNBC Fed Survey Results: March 16, 2012
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MG@M Cdl ]tpsdr ” Jopmf ?3( 09?0Yond 0< kc 03
CDL ]TPSDRJopmf ?3( 09?0
@oppr Agoyy( @opmhor} YHM5 \fd oyyopdg| tynpolbgn kc |fd ckpdmo}|
&dvydm|bgn jkldpo|d s} jkld}| npk~|f hk~dp} |fd ypk`o`bhb|r kc _D= bg Oypbh
|k dccdm|bsdhr udpk' Etgd*]dy|dj`dp b} }|bhh o pdoh yk}}b`bhb|r bc |fd kt|hkka }hby}`oma |k }t`*0$' Dgdpnr b} |fd jk}| hbadhr gdop |dpj mo|ohr}| ckp o
ld|dpbkpo|bkg bg |fd kt|hkka'
Losbl Ak|ka( Mtj`dphogl Olsb}kp}5 Kbh b} |fd `bnnd}| pb}a' Gbndpbo pb}a b}
fbnfdp |fog jopad|} dvydm|'
Ohog Apoh( \pdskp ]|d~op| @tp|kg # Eomk`}dg5 \fd Cdl ~bhh lk dsdpr|fbgn
|k pd*dhdm| bgmtj`dg|}'
]t`klf Atjop( ]t`klf Atjop # O}}kmbo|d}5 Gdv| mfohhdgnd b}ksdp}|o|bgn jo}}bsd qtog|b|o|bsd do}d( d}ydmbohhr bg |fd T']' ogl Dtpkyd( gk~
bg yhomd bg olsogmdl mktg|pbd} ogl jksd} |k do}d bg djdpnbgn joekp} hbad
@poubh( Mfbgo( ogl Bglbo lb}|kp|} pb}a*pd~opl |k ld|pbjdg| kc moyb|oh jopad|}'
^bhhboj Hopabg( Mo`k| Jkgdr Jogondjdg|5 \fd pdmdg| mfognd bg
}dg|bjdg| bg |fd `kgl jopad| fo} o }|pkgn yk}}b`bhb|r kc `dbgn |fd }|op| kc o
gd~ dpo ckp `kgl}' \fb} b} hbadhr |fd dgl kc |fd =*rdop "cdop |pold" |fo| lpksd
`kgl rbdhl} bg|k gdno|bsd |dppb|kpr &pdoh pd|tpg}' \fd ypk`hdj nkbgn ckp~opl
b} jogr `kgl bgsd}|kp} lk gk| |pthr tgldp}|ogl |fdbp pb}a}( d}ydmbohhr |fd
bgsd}|kp} ~fk opd dv|dglbgn bg|k hkgndp*lo|dl `kgl} <po|bkg pb}a' O} `kgl
bglbmd} ndgdpo|d gdno|bsd pd|tpg} |fb} qtop|dp( |fd yk}b|bsd ctgl chk~} }fkthl
}|op| |k o`o|d' \fd jbhhbkg*lkhhop qtd}|bkg b} ~fdpd( ~fdg( ogl |k ~fo| dv|dg|
~bhh |fb} gd~ jbgl}d| occdm| bg|dpd}|*}dg}b|bsd bgsd}|jdg|};
Ntr Hd@o}( Eoggdr Jkg|nkjdpr ]mk||5 ^d d}|bjo|d |fo| ckp domf
}t}|obgdl ,4 bgmpdo}d bg kbh ypbmd}( NLY npk~|f ldmhbgd} o`kt| 9'0$'
Lpd~ Jo|t}( T@] Bgsd}|jdg| Pd}dopmf5 ^d lk gk| `dhbdsd |fd CKJM ~bhh
tgldp|oad ctp|fdp _D o`}dg| o }bngbcbmog| ld|dpbkpo|bkg bg |fd dmkgkjbm
kt|hkka' Bc ctp|fdp _D ~dpd |k `dmkjd gdmd}}opr( kydpo|bkgoh hbjb|o|bkg}
~kthl ld|dpjbgd |fd }|ptm|tpd'
Pk` Jkpnog( Cthmptj ]dmtpb|bd}5 B.j }fkmadl |fo| }kjd jopad| ~o|mfdp}
opd }|bhh |ohabgn o`kt| ogk|fdp pktgl kc qtog|b|o|bsd do}bgn' \fpdd jkg|f} kc
ek` npk~|f ksdp 099a ek`} bglbmo|d} |k jd |fo| |fd `bn pb}a ckp |fd Cdl b}
8/2/2019 CNBC Fed Survey Results: March 16, 2012
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MG@M Cdl ]tpsdr ” Jopmf ?3( 09?0Yond 04 kc 03
CDL ]TPSDRJopmf ?3( 09?0
cohhbgn `dfbgl |fd bgcho|bkg mtpsd' \fdpd b} gk ~or |fd Cdl ~bhh cthcbhh b|} yhdlnd
kc addybgn po|d} o| ypd}dg| hdsdh} tg|bh 09?<'
Mfol Jkpnoghogldp( ]|bcdh Gbmkhot} &^o}fbgn|kg Mpk}}bgn Olsb}kp}"5
\fd T']' dmkgkjr b} jksbgn bg |fd pbnf| lbpdm|bkg' O} ypbso|d `kppk~bgn
|pdgl} bjypksd( o }t}|obgo`hd dmkgkjbm pdmksdpr ~bhh |oad pkk|' ]|kma jopad|
sohto|bkg} oyydop o||pom|bsd' O| |fb} ykbg| bg |bjd( bgsd}|kp} }fkthl mkg|bgtd |k
yk}b|bkg ykp|ckhbk} |k~opl pb}a o}}d|}'
Ekdh Gopkcc( Gopkcc Dmkgkjbm Olsb}kp}5 \fd Cdl b} `dbgn mot|bkt} nbsdg ohh
|fd pb}a} kt| |fdpd( `t| kgmd Dtpkydog ldcoth| b}}td} ogl no}khbgd ypbmd fbad
mkgmdpg} opd jkldpo|dl( |fd Cdl ~bhh fosd |k mkg}bldp hbnf|dgbgn ty |fdbp
yd}}bjb}|bm sbd~'
Yfbh Kphoglk( Cdldpo|dl Bgsd}|kp}5 \fd ypd}bldg|boh dhdm|bkg bg Gksdj`dp
~bhh `d mpb|bmohhr bjykp|og|( |k dhdm| }|o|d}jdg ~fk ~bhh lk |fd pbnf| |fbgn ~b|f
pdnopl |k pdckpjbgn dg|b|hdjdg|} ogl |ov ykhbmr'
Hrgg Pdo}dp( Ykbg| Hkjo Gouopdgd Tgbsdp}b|r5 \fd dmkgkjr( }|kma}(
ogl jkgd|opr ykhbmr opd o| o mpb|bmoh etgm|tpd' \fd gdv| |~k |k |fpdd jkg|f}
~bhh }fk~ fk~ jtmf kbh ypbmd} ~bhh occdm| mkg}tjdp }ydglbgn( fk~ jtmf
~opjdp*|fog*t}toh ~do|fdp fo} bgcho|dl dmkgkjbm om|bsb|r( ogl ~fd|fdp pdoh
NLY npk~|f ~bhh }yddl ty |k mo|mf ty ~b|f ek` nobg} kp bc djyhkrjdg| npk~|f
~bhh }hk~ bg |ogldj ~b|f pdoh NLY'
Losbl Pd}hdp( Gkjtpo5 Pdmdg| lo|o opd ldmbldlhr mkg}|ptm|bsd( ogl |fdpd b}
gk~ o gkg*|pbsboh mfogmd |fo| |fd pdmksdpr bg djyhkrjdg| ~bhh `dmkjd o
|pog}ckpjo|bsd dsdg|( hdolbgn |k o }dhc*ydpyd|to|bgn pdmksdpr'
Ekfg Pk`dp|}( Fbhhbopl Hrkg}5 ^d mkg|bgtd |k ~kppr |fo| pb}bgn kbh ypbmd}(
fbnfdp bg|dpd}| po|d}( b}}td} bg Dtpkyd ogl ykhb|bmoh pfd|kpbm ~bhh `dnbg |k lpon
|fd jopad|} lk~g bg |fd gdop ct|tpd' \fd dv|pdjdhr fdosr bg}bldp }dhhbgn b}
oh}k ogk|fdp |pkt`hbgn lo|o ykbg|' O} }tmf( ~d og|bmbyo|d o ythh`oma bg |fd
jopad|} bg |fd gdop ct|tpd |fo| mkg|bgtd} |fpktnf |fd dhdm|bkg ckhhk~bgn |fd
pdmdg| |~k qtop|dp} &bgmhtlbgn |fd mtppdg| kgd kc lkt`hd*lbnb| jopad|
bgmpdo}d}'
Ekfg ]bhsbo( ^dhh} Copnk5 Dmkgkjbm pdmksdpr b} }t}|obgdl'
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CDL ]TPSDRJopmf ?3( 09?0
Foga ]jb|f( Fosdpckpl Bgsd}|jdg|}5 \fd Cdl gddl} o ̀ d||dp jbv kc cb}moh
ykhbmr * npk~|f kpbdg|dl |ov pdckpj ogl hd}} pdntho|bkg * bg kpldp |k `dnbg
}fbc|bgn |k~opl o jkpd gdt|poh ykhbmr' \fb}( bg o ~or( foyydgdl bg |fd dophr?269} ~fdg Pdonog.} npk~|f cb}moh ykhbmr ohhk~dl Skhmadp |k |bnf|dg |k abhh
bgcho|bkgopr dvydm|o|bkg}'
Pkl ]jr|f( Pbsdpcpkg| Bgsd}|jdg| Npkty5 ^d opd hbsbgn |fpktnf Ykhbmr
Ytpno|kpr ( kp og dgsbpkgjdg| ~fdg( k|fdp |fog mdg|poh `oga}( cb}moh
ykhbmrjoadp}( d}ydmbohhr bg |fd T']'( opd |k|ohhr lbsbldl o} |k fk~ |k |omahd |fd
`bnnd}| dmkgkjbm b}}td combgn |fd ~kphl dmkgkjr5 tg}t}|obgo`hd ld`|' \fb}
fo} pd}th|dl bg mfdoy sohto|bkg} ckp pb}a o}}d|} }tmf o} }|kma} ogl hkt}r
ypk}ydm|bsd pd|tpg} cpkj }ocd o}}d|} hbad mo}f ogl `kgl}'
Lbogd ]~kga( Jd}bpk~ Cbgogmboh5 \fd adr mkgmdpg b} |fd fkt}bgn jopad|1
}|ptm|tpoh ypk`hdj} bg hdglbgn ogl |fd J@] jopad|( bg yop|bmthop( mkthl fbgldp
pdmksdpr( ogl mkg|bgtd |k jt|d |fd dccdm| jkgd|opr ykhbmr fo} kg dmkgkjbm
npk~|f'
Yd|dp \ogkt}( Hrgv Bgsd}|jdg| Olsb}kpr5 Npddmd ~bhh ldcbgb|dhr hdosd |fd
dtpk' \fdpd b} gk yk}}b`bhb|r kc pdmksdpr tgldp |fd ot}|dpb|r bjyk}dl kg
|fdj' \fd dtpk ~bhh pb}d ~fdg Npddmd hdosd}'
Jopa Sb|gdp( ^dhh} Copnk5 \fd `ktgmd `oma bg rbdhl} }ddj} |k fosd nk||dg
og dv|po yt}f cpkj |fd ho|d}| `oga }|pd}} |d}|' \fdpd b} hd}} ~kppr o`kt|
ogk|fdp gdop*|dpj mpdlb| dsdg| &db|fdp bg Dtpkyd kp |fd T]' Po|d} jor gk~
`dnbg |k pdchdm| dmkgkjbm ctglojdg|oh}' Bc }k( |fdr opd }|bhh ~or |kk hk~'
]mk|| ^pdg( ^dhh} Copnk Olsb}kp}5 \fpdd |fbgn} mkg|bgtd |k addy jd ty
o| gbnf|5 fkt}bgn( djyhkrjdg|( ogl |fd dtpk ukgd ld`| mpb}b}' Gkgd kc |fd}d
ypk`hdj} opd nkbgn o~or ogr|bjd }kkg' Ktp bjypksdl tgdjyhkrjdg| po|d
jo}a} tgldphrbgn }|ptm|tpoh ypk`hdj}' Fkjd ypbmd} opd fb||bgn gd~ yk}|*
`t``hd hk~} ogl |fd H\PK ogl Npdda pd}|ptm|tpbgn opd et}| `ogl*oblbgn |fdypk`hdj} ckp gk~'
Mhopd Udjydh( Udjydh ]|po|dnbm5 \fd jopad| jkgd|opb}|}. sbd~} &]mk||
]tjgdp( d| oh opd |fd jk}| pdhdsog| ckp ykhbmrjoadp} ogl bgsd}|kp}'