Cloudsim distributed web systems performance forecasting using turning bands method

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DISTRIBUTED WEB SYSTEMS PERFORMANCE FORECASTING USING

TURNING BANDS METHOD

ABSTRACT:

Development of distributed computer systems (DCSs) in networked industrial and manufacturing

applications on the World Wide Web (WWW) platform, including service-oriented architecture

and Web of Things QoS-aware systems, it has become important to predict theWeb performance.

In this paper, we presentWeb performance prediction in time and in space by making a forecast

of a Web resource downloading using the Turning Bands (TB) geostatistical simulation method.

Real-life data for the research were obtained in an active experiment conducted by our multi-

agent measurement system MWING performing monitoring of a group of Web servers

worldwide from agents localized in different geographical localizations in Poland.

The results show good quality of Web performance prediction made by means of the TB method,

especially in the case when European Web servers were monitored by an MWING agent

localized in Gliwice, Poland.

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