CLIMATE REVIEW AND OUTLOOKpubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/climps/climateforum/... · 4/22/2020 ·...

CLIMATE REVIEW AND OUTLOOK

APRIL – SEPTEMBER 2020

122nd CF

Prepared by:

PAGASA-DOST

Climatology & Agrometeorology Division

(CAD)

Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section

(CLIMPS)

25 March 2020

CLIMATE REVIEW and

ENSO STATUS (Feb-March 22,

2020)

Climate Outlook (April – September 2020)

Summary

http://seacm.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/analysis/sst/202

0/2Sea surface temperatures observed for the month were near average over most of the tropical Pacific Ocean, however, Niño 4 region showed a warmer SST (~1 to 1.5ºC SST anomaly). Likewise, SSTs near Malaysia, Singapore Brunei, and the Philippines were mostly near average.

February Normal SST (1981-2010)February 2020 Observed SST (deg C)

February 2020 SST Anomaly (deg C)

http://seacm.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/analysis/sst/2020/2

https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-iri_plume

https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-iri_plume

This plot shows some disagreements among the individual models, as well as the difference between the mean of the forecasts of dynamical versus statistical models.

https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-

nmme

https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-nmme

• ENSO-neutral condition continues to persist across

tropical Pacific Ocean;

• Majority of the climate models predict ENSO-

neutral condition will be likely until September

2020.

• ENSO Alert System Status: INACTIVE

CLIMATE REVIEW & ENSO STATUS CLIMATE OUTLOOK SUMMARY

APRIL 2020

SEPTEMBER 2020

APRIL 2020 SEP 2020

TAIL-END OF

COLD FRONTTHUNDERSTOR

MS

LOW PRESSURE

AREAS (LPAs)

INTER-

TROPICAL

CONVERGENC

E ZONE (ITCZ)

RIDGE OF

HIGH

PRESSURE

AREAS (HPAs)

TROPICAL

CYCLONES

EASTERLIES

WEATHER

SYSTEMS THAT

MAY AFFECT THE

COUNTRY

SOUTHWEST

MONSOONTransition to SW

(MAY-JUN)


PERCENTAGE

(%)

RAINFALL

CONDITION

Less than or = 40 way below normal

41 – 80 below normal

81 – 120 near normal

Greater than 120 above normal

about our

Rainfall

Maps..


APRIL 2020Forecast (mm) % NormalNormal (mm) (1981-2010)

MONTHLY RAINFALL

FORECAST

7 72 4 0

No. of provinces likely to

experience:

MAY 2020Forecast (mm) % NormalNormal (mm) (1981-2010)

MONTHLY RAINFALL

FORECAST

0 29 54 0


experience:

JUNE 2020Forecast (mm) % NormalNormal (mm) (1981-2010)

MONTHLY RAINFALL

FORECAST

0 3 80 0


experience:

JULY 2020Forecast (mm) % NormalNormal (mm) (1981-2010)

MONTHLY RAINFALL

FORECAST

0 1 82 0


experience:

AUGUST

2020Forecast (mm) % NormalNormal (mm) (1981-2010)

MONTHLY RAINFALL

FORECAST

0 6 71 6


experience:

SEPTEMBER 2020Forecast (mm) % NormalNormal (mm) (1981-2010)

MONTHLY RAINFALL

FORECAST

0 0 83 0


experience:

FORECAST RAINFALL in Percent of Normal (April - September 2020) as of March 25, 2020

PROVINCE APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP

ABRA 44.0 88.2 82.8 105.9 88.5 94.1

BENGUET 49.4 86.2 85.4 92.4 92.6 86.1

IFUGAO 51.1 91.1 93.6 105.1 89.2 96.0

KALINGA 45.1 90.2 85.3 111.0 84.2 94.4

APAYAO 42.3 88.6 72.1 95.2 90.2 94.5

MOUNTAIN PROVINCE 48.2 90.0 89.8 106.4 86.2 94.5

ILOCOS NORTE 20.0 86.7 76.8 89.7 95.3 92.5

ILOCOS SUR 43.6 86.4 85.6 101.1 88.2 91.8

LA UNION 51.3 83.7 82.7 85.4 90.9 84.5

PANGASINAN 55.2 80.3 81.8 93.0 86.5 92.0

REGION II

BATANES 71.0 83.1 90.4 97.7 120.5 96.8

CAGAYAN 44.5 89.7 74.8 102.1 88.1 95.9

ISABELA 53.5 93.3 99.4 106.8 86.2 102.2

NUEVA VIZCAYA 55.7 90.0 95.5 103.2 97.3 93.8

QUIRINO 68.1 92.6 105.6 101.3 102.6 100.4

BATAAN 34.6 72.5 87.9 80.7 79.0 104.0

BULACAN 53.5 87.7 99.0 85.0 87.7 104.0

NUEVA ECIJA 36.5 88.4 94.7 88.3 85.8 100.5

PAMPANGA 53.3 80.2 88.1 81.4 78.1 105.5

TARLAC 44.6 80.1 82.9 88.3 77.4 100.8

ZAMBALES 47.5 74.8 80.3 89.0 82.9 97.0

AURORA 72.2 91.6 107.6 87.2 107.2 99.5

METRO MANILA 62.7 76.1 100.8 92.0 85.8 100.8

BATANGAS 66.9 74.2 99.4 87.7 74.0 98.9

CAVITE 22.2 69.8 98.5 88.8 73.8 98.7

LAGUNA 44.8 78.5 105.5 89.7 85.4 95.3

RIZAL 62.2 83.3 105.5 91.0 92.6 98.1

QUEZON 52.6 76.8 108.4 87.7 93.8 103.0

REGION IV-A (CALABARZON)

NATIONAL CAPITAL REGION

REGION III (CENTRAL LUZON)

REGION I

CORDILLERA ADMINISTRATIVE REGION (CAR)

MARINDUQUE 52.5 72.2 102.5 90.1 87.5 107.4

OCCIDENTAL MINDORO 48.5 77.9 97.0 88.8 81.7 108.4

ORIENTAL MINDORO 49.6 77.5 97.2 86.3 83.9 107.3

ROMBLON 50.5 67.6 104.3 96.0 95.8 95.4

PALAWAN 46.2 82.1 99.9 92.5 83.9 105.3

ALBAY 60.4 71.6 106.3 84.3 94.9 97.4

CAMARINES NORTE 39.4 73.3 110.9 85.7 95.9 106.6

CAMARINES SUR 49.4 71.7 107.8 82.2 96.3 99.5

CATANDUANES 59.6 72.7 108.5 80.2 98.0 98.0

MASBATE 46.7 69.4 111.9 91.9 93.7 106.9

SORSOGON 56.5 72.6 109.5 86.3 96.3 100.3

REGION IV-B (MIMAROPA)

REGION V (BICOL)

AKLAN 41.0 73.4 102.8 97.1 102.4 95.1

ANTIQUE 42.2 80.2 105.7 91.9 89.2 98.2

CAPIZ 38.0 74.7 103.4 98.1 103.3 94.6

GUIMARAS 40.0 90.8 106.6 95.6 72.8 96.4

ILOILO 40.4 82.3 105.1 95.0 87.9 95.8

NEGROS OCCIDENTAL 53.0 82.4 105.2 96.6 87.6 97.6

NEGROS ORIENTAL 46.5 80.9 105.1 92.7 94.0 99.5

BOHOL 76.3 73.1 112.0 91.6 100.7 102.1

CEBU 57.2 69.6 106.1 86.9 97.7 97.9

SIQUIJOR 51.2 79.1 106.0 91.9 99.0 102.3

BILIRAN 59.4 68.5 103.6 78.2 86.0 107.3

EASTERN SAMAR 52.4 77.4 102.0 84.9 170.6 117.5

LEYTE 66.0 70.1 106.4 85.7 99.6 102.3

NORTHERN SAMAR 58.0 75.9 105.9 82.1 117.1 108.0

SAMAR (WESTERN SAMAR) 56.9 72.8 101.5 80.9 127.0 114.3

SOUTHERN LEYTE 63.7 74.2 114.8 92.8 94.7 105.1

ZAMBOANGA DEL NORTE 61.8 81.1 100.8 93.4 103.4 109.1

ZAMBOANGA DEL SUR 72.6 82.9 100.1 91.6 107.0 109.3

ZAMBOANGA SIBUGAY 65.9 83.9 100.8 91.6 107.0 108.3

REGION VII (CENTRAL VISAYAS)

REGION VI (WESTERN VISAYAS)

REGION IX (ZAMBOANGA PENINSULA)

REGION VIII (EASTERN VISAYAS)

BUKIDNON 63.0 92.3 95.6 92.8 117.1 105.6

CAMIGUIN 69.0 82.9 110.2 90.8 108.2 106.8

LANAO DEL NORTE 67.3 83.4 95.6 89.1 111.1 106.7

MISAMIS OCCIDENTAL 63.0 79.1 97.8 93.6 105.2 108.0

MISAMIS ORIENTAL 63.7 87.9 101.9 89.1 119.8 108.2

COMPOSTELA VALLEY 76.3 96.2 101.0 91.6 126.5 94.0

DAVAO CITY 76.8 94.6 94.3 94.9 119.4 97.8

DAVAO DEL NORTE 75.4 95.8 97.8 94.1 125.1 96.2

DAVAO DEL SUR 72.1 92.5 90.0 92.2 117.0 96.7

DAVAO OCCIDENTAL 68.4 91.7 89.9 89.6 119.1 94.5

DAVAO ORIENTAL 75.3 94.7 101.0 90.6 122.2 94.8

SOUTH COTABATO 66.9 89.9 89.3 87.6 116.6 94.3

COTABATO 73.9 89.7 92.5 89.7 108.1 101.2

SARANGANI 64.7 90.6 89.2 88.1 119.4 93.3

SULTAN KUDARAT 73.3 88.1 93.0 86.3 109.6 98.3

AGUSAN DEL NORTE 89.2 88.6 112.0 84.5 107.8 103.9

AGUSAN DEL SUR 81.2 94.3 105.7 88.5 114.6 102.5

DINAGAT ISLANDS 73.2 80.8 116.3 84.9 81.5 104.5

SURIGAO DEL NORTE 75.5 84.8 115.7 85.3 86.4 103.2

SURIGAO DEL SUR 85.1 92.5 110.7 85.3 103.8 102.8

BASILAN 81.4 90.6 104.5 90.4 113.1 116.3

MAGUINDANAO 76.5 86.0 94.2 84.4 103.1 100.5

LANAO DEL SUR 71.0 85.9 94.2 87.7 108.9 105.5

SULU 64.2 89.5 99.9 91.4 104.2 105.6

TAWI-TAWI 61.8 87.8 99.4 92.0 101.5 104.8

ARMM

REGION XIII- CARAGA

REGION XII (SOCCSKSARGEN)

REGION XI (DAVAO REGION)

REGION X (NORTHERN MINDANAO)

PROVINCE APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP PROVINCE APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP

PROVINCE

CORDILLERA ADMINISTRATIVE REGION MIN MAX MEAN MIN MAX MEAN MIN MAX MEAN MIN MAX MEAN MIN MAX MEAN MIN MAX MEAN

ABRA 8.2 47.1 32.7 154.9 188.3 170.1 181.5 285.6 236.9 110.3 186.1 131.3 98.3 207.8 133.7 142.5 213.8 162.9

BENGUET 44.8 54.8 52.5 202.2 242.8 224.7 285.3 329.2 308.2 180.9 196.4 190.0 162.9 171.6 166.9 246.4 266.6 257.6

IFUGAO 43.4 53.0 48.7 170.6 219.5 193.8 168.4 290.6 231.0 284.7 509.0 351.4 400.6 556.7 484.0 320.7 370.5 346.8

KALINGA 21.4 48.9 39.9 140.4 180.1 159.4 138.6 246.7 179.1 545.9 749.3 669.1 639.3 790.9 729.6 384.5 401.9 396.4

APAYAO 20.1 44.3 35.4 133.1 159.8 148.4 129.7 197.0 161.9 201.7 314.3 245.9 195.8 333.2 223.7 271.1 375.9 293.1

MOUNTAIN PROVINCE 36.7 51.7 47.4 158.8 206.4 181.9 155.8 294.3 226.0 214.8 424.0 352.1 198.8 291.4 247.4 224.6 332.4 292.0

REGION I

ILOCOS NORTE 1.1 31.1 13.4 157.3 174.8 166.9 184.2 256.8 215.1 449.4 749.7 650.0 508.2 754.1 603.0 353.6 401.9 380.7

ILOCOS SUR 5.8 54.0 33.0 170.6 222.5 189.0 246.3 326.4 292.5 247.6 356.1 291.1 206.5 283.7 264.5 220.0 301.9 264.2

LA UNION 45.8 54.4 51.6 203.4 228.8 216.3 312.4 334.6 328.0 245.1 398.0 307.1 165.6 361.1 229.0 237.6 351.9 289.0

PANGASINAN 11.8 46.6 37.4 174.3 221.6 189.4 254.5 333.8 304.8 124.1 349.8 234.0 125.5 342.4 179.7 196.8 377.6 291.5

REGION II

BATANES 34.7 45.8 38.6 184.7 192.8 189.2 219.9 222.6 221.3 209.9 316.8 255.1 146.6 343.3 196.2 231.7 336.2 254.1

CAGAYAN 17.1 54.5 31.7 125.7 179.3 139.4 121.5 217.1 138.5 191.0 218.4 200.5 130.0 176.6 152.6 265.2 286.9 278.0

ISABELA 20.6 104.6 52.6 139.5 210.1 173.5 135.1 221.2 174.0 228.2 522.6 327.3 213.5 504.9 334.4 227.9 340.4 275.0

NUEVA VIZCAYA 40.4 168.0 67.2 195.3 237.5 218.7 217.7 294.4 255.3 229.5 454.6 324.2 189.4 402.4 290.9 275.2 426.0 356.0

QUIRINO 48.0 168.1 99.2 195.3 237.9 217.2 204.0 248.1 229.1 304.9 410.6 369.5 228.3 424.2 340.4 288.1 393.4 357.0

REGION III

BATAAN 11.9 43.8 24.7 118.4 148.2 134.0 278.2 322.2 301.9 226.6 254.0 237.4 410.9 462.0 434.4 289.6 314.7 303.8

BULACAN 3.8 60.9 17.4 133.0 195.6 172.7 253.2 291.4 271.2 176.6 297.9 217.6 168.3 410.3 233.7 221.5 322.7 249.9

NUEVA ECIJA 5.6 124.1 37.1 166.2 223.0 195.1 237.1 276.0 247.9 285.0 667.6 485.0 245.2 656.5 433.5 282.2 382.4 333.9

PAMPANGA 5.5 42.2 26.6 137.2 175.1 157.7 259.9 314.7 287.2 404.7 585.2 489.3 393.7 676.2 546.6 340.4 420.4 382.9

TARLAC 9.8 40.3 29.9 161.0 189.8 171.6 254.4 329.9 287.5 228.9 270.3 232.1 224.3 246.4 226.0 233.0 272.5 236.1

ZAMBALES 16.5 45.8 28.6 141.8 177.1 165.4 309.2 354.0 332.3 146.0 243.8 213.9 156.7 233.2 205.3 176.5 244.8 219.4

AURORA 34.7 193.6 135.7 188.1 249.8 221.8 213.2 275.9 242.1 142.1 167.7 149.8 173.3 189.2 179.3 186.5 198.6 189.8


METRO MANILA 10.6 45.2 24.8 105.6 157.5 128.2 260.2 277.3 270.6 185.0 243.4 219.1 175.5 218.0 203.6 196.3 234.9 221.2

REGION IV-A

BATANGAS 16.6 61.7 41.4 97.7 133.6 113.6 227.2 264.8 241.9 577.2 745.0 677.4 612.7 848.3 718.1 369.8 401.4 390.5

CAVITE 5.3 33.8 18.5 99.1 113.4 104.8 248.1 269.2 258.1 123.8 272.8 200.0 117.0 214.0 165.6 151.7 243.7 204.8

LAGUNA 13.0 108.9 44.9 99.9 145.3 118.8 234.2 270.7 253.1 212.4 261.0 230.7 207.5 275.4 231.8 218.0 274.8 237.4

RIZAL 28.7 109.3 67.9 115.9 179.0 147.2 254.9 279.4 273.6 232.3 305.2 260.3 186.9 267.2 215.5 225.9 301.0 255.1

QUEZON 34.0 133.4 66.7 94.0 198.2 125.5 169.1 279.5 232.8 221.0 433.7 293.1 189.5 355.9 253.7 275.5 314.9 289.1

REGION IV-B

MARINDUQUE 47.8 54.6 49.7 106.1 116.8 110.9 215.5 243.8 227.1 197.6 250.0 215.6 160.2 212.1 175.9 215.5 265.7 241.8

OCCIDENTAL MINDORO 9.2 54.9 32.7 124.5 139.9 135.6 262.7 356.9 307.2 211.9 421.4 281.8 154.2 371.7 247.7 257.2 393.4 322.7

ORIENTAL MINDORO 13.1 64.2 41.8 124.2 143.0 133.9 253.8 338.7 287.6 142.5 470.9 258.5 136.3 383.9 229.3 202.8 470.6 281.1

ROMBLON 30.2 49.5 39.3 95.6 119.9 102.8 230.2 288.3 256.2 152.2 230.6 201.7 161.7 287.7 218.3 193.2 279.6 259.3

PALAWAN 6.0 37.4 29.8 110.8 134.1 118.1 179.4 380.1 251.7 370.4 621.0 491.6 366.0 589.4 490.8 406.8 471.3 446.7

REGION V

ALBAY 69.8 109.6 95.5 108.1 121.9 115.8 220.5 236.0 228.7 248.8 407.7 268.4 243.8 354.6 272.5 243.0 374.0 270.8

CAMARINES NORTE 40.5 68.5 46.4 102.8 127.3 107.4 205.0 218.1 209.4 191.6 225.7 208.8 147.6 199.8 182.8 244.9 282.0 264.5

CAMARINES SUR 45.0 91.4 63.0 102.7 115.7 108.8 204.2 240.9 224.5 136.8 150.5 141.9 150.9 165.7 158.2 180.9 188.9 183.3

CATANDUANES 69.3 95.3 84.7 111.1 114.4 112.3 237.6 241.8 239.8 288.0 388.6 331.0 215.8 364.0 292.1 270.5 358.5 311.5

MASBATE 22.7 63.1 39.8 92.7 105.3 97.4 196.0 239.5 204.5 365.4 429.9 405.8 301.1 442.6 395.4 319.7 407.4 371.8

SORSOGON 50.9 102.6 79.3 104.9 118.2 112.5 202.8 228.1 216.4 88.4 202.0 134.0 113.3 196.7 151.5 104.4 181.0 134.5

SEPTEMBERAPRIL MAY JUNE JULY AUGUST

PROVINCE

REGION VI MIN MAX MEAN MIN MAX MEAN MIN MAX MEAN MIN MAX MEAN MIN MAX MEAN MIN MAX MEAN

AKLAN 26.3 37.6 32.6 103.8 117.7 110.4 267.4 300.0 280.3 189.5 230.8 220.0 180.3 209.9 200.4 230.1 270.0 261.0

ANTIQUE 22.0 37.6 28.8 110.2 128.6 119.1 277.3 333.7 308.4 187.0 327.5 251.1 224.5 425.5 330.0 246.2 327.0 289.7

CAPIZ 22.6 36.9 27.9 99.5 116.4 107.7 255.6 303.7 283.5 189.7 200.8 194.9 155.4 171.7 162.3 227.0 243.4 234.4

GUIMARAS 26.5 41.1 31.3 125.4 138.9 130.9 334.9 342.2 339.8 244.4 671.2 437.2 236.9 630.2 429.7 262.8 381.8 323.6

ILOILO 22.5 51.9 29.1 98.7 126.1 116.4 231.8 338.4 311.4 203.4 364.4 234.4 174.7 362.0 213.3 223.3 311.0 264.0

NEGROS OCCIDENTAL 32.8 55.7 45.5 102.6 156.7 125.2 229.5 341.4 295.9 116.6 413.0 224.2 110.5 268.5 178.5 152.2 321.3 218.2

REGION VII

NEGROS ORIENTAL 17.8 56.2 38.2 81.4 140.1 105.7 173.4 317.2 225.4 213.7 319.8 282.3 214.0 317.6 272.7 182.5 290.3 246.7

BOHOL 32.2 68.7 57.1 67.1 80.2 73.5 144.2 174.9 152.3 206.9 324.3 288.0 228.7 344.9 305.3 229.8 304.1 283.2

CEBU 21.8 65.9 43.5 64.2 103.1 86.6 170.5 253.6 210.8 118.6 223.7 152.6 201.4 267.3 227.0 160.0 235.7 183.8

SIQUIJOR 26.3 49.7 39.2 83.5 88.8 86.1 156.5 168.8 163.1 183.2 226.0 200.4 172.6 204.5 189.3 229.3 262.0 242.7

REGION VIII

BILIRAN 59.2 72.0 66.5 99.5 104.2 102.5 198.8 203.6 201.6 110.1 155.3 132.3 111.7 166.4 136.8 136.0 205.9 167.6

EASTERN SAMAR 72.4 98.8 80.5 114.5 148.6 130.0 196.4 224.8 215.8 339.7 394.5 362.2 275.0 284.2 280.3 301.4 325.5 313.7

LEYTE 37.9 81.5 69.9 73.4 112.7 95.1 154.6 204.1 184.8 223.4 245.8 232.9 144.5 179.9 160.0 273.4 282.9 278.6

NORTHERN SAMAR 48.8 85.8 77.6 101.6 126.6 117.1 197.1 222.3 214.5 230.5 528.5 346.4 229.9 502.7 321.5 299.8 427.9 346.5

SAMAR (WESTERN SAMAR) 60.7 84.3 74.6 99.6 136.2 117.8 196.4 221.3 211.9 87.0 156.5 106.8 117.0 172.1 135.0 104.7 156.6 118.0

SOUTHERN LEYTE 37.8 135.6 61.5 72.9 102.1 87.3 154.1 177.2 163.8 145.0 244.1 190.3 158.6 224.8 186.7 149.2 214.9 181.2

REGION IX

ZAMBOANGA DEL NORTE 44.6 66.1 58.0 97.8 125.4 113.3 178.4 258.9 234.0 140.2 246.4 205.0 167.6 218.0 199.8 186.9 235.3 211.9

ZAMBOANGA DEL SUR 55.0 69.8 65.8 96.4 137.4 120.3 173.7 262.9 231.3 167.0 228.7 203.4 189.1 215.3 203.5 198.5 224.8 211.7

ZAMBOANGA SIBUGAY 59.5 69.8 63.0 108.2 126.0 117.7 193.8 250.1 225.6 188.1 292.8 246.7 262.9 315.1 296.1 190.0 268.3 223.8

REGION X

BUKIDNON 26.2 107.2 76.3 132.3 199.4 180.0 213.0 287.6 262.8 282.6 471.7 380.9 299.2 480.4 399.6 364.5 444.7 403.4

CAMIGUIN 85.5 92.0 89.7 98.5 107.7 103.0 157.6 166.1 162.0 247.8 297.5 262.6 228.6 263.7 247.5 214.2 251.3 230.2

LANAO DEL NORTE 39.3 98.8 70.9 132.5 158.4 143.1 229.6 268.9 251.7 230.6 320.0 268.5 215.7 308.3 260.9 226.9 294.2 262.9

MISAMIS OCCIDENTAL 54.9 73.1 63.5 106.1 134.0 121.5 214.1 260.9 240.9 125.2 251.3 190.1 140.2 269.3 217.4 164.3 269.8 223.4

MISAMIS ORIENTAL 26.3 101.7 64.8 112.2 152.0 130.4 172.4 243.3 206.4 250.5 652.9 449.8 252.1 625.7 444.1 247.4 378.7 318.0

REGION XI

COMPOSTELA VALLEY 90.2 175.3 103.8 177.1 201.2 187.4 196.5 257.3 224.3 155.0 296.4 215.5 238.0 317.9 275.0 173.3 274.9 221.2

DAVAO CITY 103.7 146.1 126.9 191.3 218.1 204.8 213.7 272.2 242.1 97.7 183.7 127.2 130.9 209.8 157.3 114.6 160.3 129.9

DAVAO DEL NORTE 91.4 135.2 102.9 182.6 205.3 194.2 194.6 274.4 244.4 148.4 244.3 201.0 165.8 282.1 223.2 135.2 206.0 172.7

DAVAO DEL SUR 66.3 145.6 110.9 139.6 208.9 173.9 156.3 225.0 192.7 118.6 172.0 136.9 184.7 226.3 200.2 159.7 198.2 168.9

DAVAO OCCIDENTAL 54.7 111.2 82.8 113.7 167.6 132.3 128.5 178.5 144.6 200.3 292.6 249.5 196.3 271.9 226.2 175.5 271.6 227.5

DAVAO ORIENTAL 95.1 192.0 108.5 148.9 202.4 178.4 174.0 246.4 202.0 150.8 163.3 161.0 108.4 162.1 136.0 181.9 200.9 196.1

REGION XII

SOUTH COTABATO 33.8 93.1 69.4 102.4 160.1 130.7 124.4 208.7 158.8 149.1 168.3 160.7 125.1 179.1 165.1 195.2 215.9 207.8

COTABATO 94.2 137.8 108.4 168.3 204.3 189.6 205.6 288.0 263.9 169.1 219.2 186.5 164.1 248.5 203.1 221.9 270.2 243.7

SARANGANI 35.0 92.3 64.5 106.3 144.0 118.4 122.6 177.5 136.1 104.4 117.0 109.9 114.1 127.0 120.2 137.5 149.7 143.8

SULTAN KUDARAT 80.2 107.9 93.6 133.4 174.5 153.5 172.2 243.5 207.3 170.5 225.1 206.7 187.1 223.5 209.1 194.8 231.3 217.8

REGION XIII

AGUSAN DEL NORTE 94.9 135.6 108.9 114.8 154.5 130.5 163.3 222.0 191.8 114.6 278.8 192.7 107.8 305.2 211.0 143.7 275.1 210.6

AGUSAN DEL SUR 83.4 306.4 137.2 132.3 216.4 179.6 185.4 267.7 241.7 247.5 312.1 260.9 229.3 281.5 244.7 214.9 294.7 240.9

DINAGAT ISLANDS 100.2 156.5 125.5 106.2 119.5 112.7 171.4 188.5 179.7 150.1 235.0 205.1 181.9 330.8 265.2 190.6 276.0 238.0

SURIGAO DEL NORTE 102.5 167.5 134.5 109.4 138.7 123.1 161.5 195.1 176.0 114.7 191.8 154.0 103.5 202.5 155.2 143.5 203.9 175.0

SURIGAO DEL SUR 104.1 311.1 167.4 129.5 221.0 172.1 179.4 254.5 224.5 385.0 687.3 510.1 379.8 681.8 517.6 370.2 466.8 418.1

ARMM

BASILAN 61.0 69.7 66.2 100.9 110.9 105.6 174.4 187.6 178.2 356.5 572.7 470.9 396.9 575.8 502.9 371.5 465.4 433.4

MAGUINDANAO 89.6 116.4 105.0 158.4 191.2 176.4 201.6 285.8 256.8 89.6 116.4 105.0 158.4 191.2 176.4 201.6 285.8 256.8

LANAO DEL SUR 61.0 111.7 94.1 143.1 190.1 166.2 242.5 287.6 270.9 139.1 192.8 154.9 157.7 202.2 171.8 188.1 252.0 206.0

SULU 48.1 69.8 59.3 111.5 123.3 118.7 191.2 230.8 213.8 116.6 166.9 141.7 96.7 141.7 110.1 144.7 195.9 168.7

TAWI-TAWI 40.3 58.3 57.0 120.8 132.1 129.6 233.2 265.5 235.7 513.8 781.5 661.3 555.7 773.5 647.0 406.2 486.4 459.7

SEPTEMBERJULY AUGUSTAPRIL MAY JUNE

FORECAST WATERSHED RAINFALL for selected Dams

and Lakesin (mm) and (%N) FOR APRIL - SEPTEMBER 2020

Angat WS Lake Buhi Lake Lanao Magat WS Malinao WS Pantabangan WS San Roque Cascade WS

MIN 8.4 57.7 26.2 41.8 52.0 44.0 41.6

MAX 63.3 107.2 105.4 73.7 64.8 132.8 54.7

MEAN 26.9 76.2 71.8 52.5 59.2 78.8 52.1

%NORMAL 41.4 54.2 63.2 51.5 71.4 53.5 49.5

MIN 174.0 105.4 127.6 180.8 70.3 209.3 215.6

MAX 195.3 119.4 181.0 225.8 76.5 227.7 242.1

MEAN 187.2 111.6 158.2 209.0 73.7 218.6 228.4

%NORMAL 92.6 71.3 87.4 90.1 72.8 89.7 86.6

MIN 260.5 216.2 218.4 199.4 145.4 237.4 290.0

MAX 279.0 234.2 284.4 292.4 152.5 258.9 319.3

MEAN 272.7 227.3 257.8 254.2 148.2 244.5 302.3

%NORMAL 103.1 106.5 94.4 93.4 112.9 96.7 86.2

MIN 284.8 203.8 211.3 302.8 127.2 290.0 563.6

MAX 380.2 229.2 310.0 683.8 139.6 502.4 712.5

MEAN 345.8 217.2 262.6 511.4 134.5 381.8 658.9

%NORMAL 84.9 83.1 89.6 103.6 92.8 98.8 94.9

MIN 301.3 176.5 233.7 298.8 133.7 262.0 599.8

MAX 413.0 207.6 315.9 638.5 146.3 447.1 838.2

MEAN 369.3 194.3 269.0 476.6 140.3 331.5 703.6

%NORMAL 94.2 95.6 114.4 93.2 101.5 97.9 93.5

MIN 365.7 260.2 240.1 292.5 164.6 294.0 370.2

MAX 398.4 270.1 300.5 384.2 181.2 336.0 397.5

MEAN 388.1 265.9 268.6 342.5 172.7 313.5 385.9

%NORMAL 101.7 97.8 107.4 93.7 103.2 95.8 86.6

FORECAST WATERSHED RAINFALL (APRIL- SEPTEMBER 2020 )

APRIL

MAY

SEPTEMBER

JULY

JUNE

AUGUST

NAME

FORECAST RAINFALL OF RAIN STATIONS OVER SELECTED DAM AREASin (mm) and (%N) FOR APR - SEP 2020

MM %NORMAL MM %NORMAL MM %NORMAL MM %NORMAL MM %NORMAL MM %NORMAL

AMBUKLAODAM 53.8 49.0 232.9 86.7 307.7 85.8 679.6 93.4 744.4 94.1 391.0 85.7

ANGATDAM 25.6 56.6 185.6 94.1 274.7 101.9 382.1 87.9 416.3 92.4 398.2 102.6

APUNAN 53.8 47.5 224.3 87.5 301.3 87.4 691.6 94.3 683.3 93.5 389.3 86.7

BADAYAN 52.4 47.5 213.3 87.8 295.4 87.4 698.6 94.8 647.7 91.6 387.4 87.8

BINGADAM 53.1 49.7 234.1 86.3 306.9 85.4 661.8 93.9 748.7 94.1 388.5 85.9

BOBOK 53.2 48.8 229.1 87.4 299.6 87.1 667.7 95.9 690.9 94.2 385.3 86.8

BUNGA 54.7 48.5 218.0 89.1 254.1 93.0 468.9 104.6 414.9 94.8 330.0 93.9

BUYOC 49.4 51.1 200.4 91.1 242.5 94.4 449.7 104.1 446.0 91.4 333.1 95.9

DANTOR 49.0 50.3 188.5 91.0 224.2 92.8 421.7 106.1 425.0 88.0 317.9 96.2

DUMAYUP 50.9 53.8 207.3 91.6 238.7 97.2 419.1 105.7 400.4 94.4 326.5 97.1

HALONG 50.5 48.9 198.5 89.9 256.7 90.8 522.6 101.4 515.6 89.9 347.8 93.1

IPODAM 18.3 69.9 171.2 88.6 272.4 99.7 404.9 88.5 433.5 88.7 407.3 104.2

MAGATDAM 45.6 56.7 186.0 93.4 196.7 98.8 297.0 109.3 293.7 88.1 289.9 101.5

MAPUTI 22.3 33.4 189.9 92.4 271.3 103.0 325.9 82.6 349.6 94.6 383.9 101.4

MARIKIT 118.3 63.7 222.7 90.0 244.3 100.0 312.1 91.6 276.7 102.8 303.7 96.6

MATULID 38.7 48.8 184.1 92.6 276.9 104.0 360.0 87.0 379.3 95.5 388.7 101.1

NORZAGARAY 13.7 64.5 174.1 89.2 271.5 99.2 401.1 87.4 430.2 87.9 409.8 104.6

PADALIS 88.2 56.7 220.5 90.0 240.2 98.0 363.2 99.0 308.2 99.5 305.5 96.0

PANTABANGAN DAM 56.6 43.5 209.8 89.8 240.3 96.1 347.7 95.1 305.5 93.6 316.5 97.7

SANROQUEDAM 41.7 52.0 215.6 84.7 292.0 84.7 563.6 98.2 602.4 90.2 371.7 89.3

STODOMINGO 52.0 51.4 217.5 90.1 261.0 94.3 547.6 103.9 480.1 96.1 348.7 92.8

TALAGUIO 11.5 38.2 187.9 92.5 265.9 101.5 347.9 84.3 375.8 90.7 393.3 103.5

UMIRAY 60.8 45.5 182.7 90.8 278.3 106.6 324.4 85.0 332.5 99.5 374.9 99.4

APRIL MAY JUNESITES

AUGUSTJULY SEPTEMBER

FORECAST RAINFALL OVER SELECTED RIVER BASINSin (mm) and (%N) FOR APR - JUN 2020

CATCHMENT MIN MAX MEAN %Normal MIN MAX MEAN %Normal MIN MAX MEAN %Normal

Abra RB 6.5 53.1 35.7 44.7 156.1 217.1 176.2 88.0 184.9 309.7 249.4 83.7

Abulug RB 18.9 43.3 33.1 41.8 130.9 159.1 146.7 88.6 127.9 193.4 158.9 70.7

Agno RB 13.6 54.7 37.4 49.9 160.1 242.8 193.1 82.2 254.6 327.0 294.3 83.5

Bicol RB 44.1 107.0 70.7 51.4 103.5 119.2 110.2 71.4 207.2 233.2 224.6 107.0

Bued RB 33.4 53.4 42.8 58.3 181.3 242.8 208.1 82.3 285.7 318.1 304.3 82.3

Cagayan RB 17.1 171.5 52.7 52.1 125.7 238.5 177.9 91.5 121.6 292.6 190.9 92.5

Laoag RB 1.1 33.6 16.8 24.3 155.1 174.8 165.6 87.7 178.6 242.8 212.0 76.7

Pampanga RB 3.8 144.1 32.6 42.4 137.2 227.7 181.9 86.1 237.1 320.0 263.1 93.3

Pasig-Laguna RB 9.7 107.6 37.8 55.2 99.3 178.3 129.3 79.4 236.3 284.1 262.9 103.0

Sinocalan RB 27.4 41.2 34.7 59.8 179.2 205.5 187.0 80.5 280.7 314.9 296.2 81.6


Agus RB 26.9 84.0 50.7 57.7 118.7 167.9 138.1 86.6 203.5 269.7 233.3 95.8

Agusan RB 81.6 270.2 123.4 80.7 122.1 207.5 176.1 94.1 181.2 267.7 235.9 105.2

Buayan-Malungon 33.8 98.1 62.4 63.5 102.4 157.9 132.0 91.7 128.4 169.9 147.3 88.2

Cagayan de Oro 26.2 78.5 51.9 56.3 129.4 184.9 160.7 89.9 217.3 275.8 253.5 94.5

Cotabato RB 53.5 133.5 96.2 71.5 118.6 204.9 177.5 89.9 138.9 288.0 248.2 93.1

Davao RB 95.1 140.3 113.8 74.9 196.1 210.8 201.6 94.7 214.5 274.6 256.6 95.0

Tagoloan River 35.6 76.6 56.8 57.0 133.1 187.9 162.9 92.0 214.8 266.2 238.8 98.0

Tagum-Libuganon 92.0 130.8 99.6 74.9 185.6 196.8 192.8 96.1 223.5 266.4 245.5 99.4

LUZON

MINDANAO

MAY 2020 JUNE 2020APRIL 2020

FORECAST RAINFALL OVER SELECTED RIVER BASINSin (mm) and (%N) FOR JUL - SEP 2020


Abra RB 313.4 738.9 513.7 104.3 367.1 685.0 512.0 88.5 299.2 395.8 351.8 93.2

Abulug RB 183.2 322.5 241.4 93.4 200.7 429.6 323.3 90.6 256.1 327.1 290.5 95.0

Agno RB 416.2 720.0 545.9 94.0 404.3 847.1 567.2 84.8 338.8 469.1 394.4 94.2

Bicol RB 200.1 227.3 214.8 83.1 161.8 207.3 190.0 95.7 260.5 275.9 267.0 98.9

Bued RB 487.5 658.2 549.2 93.9 497.6 845.8 614.6 88.5 367.8 393.8 380.3 88.6

Cagayan RB 176.6 683.8 308.0 106.2 168.3 645.5 292.0 89.5 221.5 384.2 280.0 97.7

Laoag RB 272.6 451.9 348.0 92.8 394.9 556.7 472.2 94.6 315.1 362.8 343.9 92.7

Pampanga RB 224.6 633.2 393.1 85.5 226.6 599.5 382.3 84.0 294.0 473.2 383.8 102.3

Pasig-Laguna RB 252.0 455.6 355.0 90.3 171.8 472.7 307.5 85.3 239.2 439.9 331.3 97.8

Sinocalan RB 463.7 520.5 483.8 95.4 491.2 537.3 507.7 84.0 365.5 386.4 378.8 92.8


Agus RB 185.9 285.1 227.7 90.3 217.4 287.0 248.6 119.0 222.3 283.8 251.1 109.0

Agusan RB 112.2 280.1 183.5 88.7 110.4 306.3 210.4 116.6 145.5 276.3 204.9 101.4

Buayan-Malungon 98.1 171.2 132.3 89.7 113.3 194.0 155.6 120.6 106.9 150.8 126.8 93.5

Cagayan de Oro 215.2 315.8 274.7 91.5 242.0 326.3 289.2 119.0 247.0 303.3 283.2 108.4

Cotabato RB 105.8 324.3 257.4 89.2 133.2 344.9 255.5 110.2 115.0 304.1 236.6 100.9

Davao RB 202.5 296.4 263.7 95.2 279.5 318.7 304.2 119.4 191.0 278.1 244.7 98.7

Tagoloan River 211.3 303.7 256.2 91.6 237.9 330.2 285.6 121.1 237.9 299.7 271.2 108.1

Tagum-Libuganon 149.2 268.6 201.0 93.3 226.7 302.4 263.3 124.7 183.6 267.5 216.9 95.8

SEPTEMBER 2020JULY 2020

LUZON

MINDANAO

AUGUST 2020

MONTHLY MEAN TEMPERATURE FORECAST

(APRIL- SEPTEMBER 2020)warmer

Near average

Slightly cooler

Slightly cooler

warmer

warmer

Slightly warmer

Near average

warmer

warmer

warmer

warmer

Near average

Near average

Near average

Slightly warmer

warmer

warmer

warmer

Slightly cooler

Slightly warmer

warmer

warmer

Slightly warmer

Slightly warmer

Slightly cooler

warmer

FORECAST RANGES OF TEMPERATURE (EXTREME)

Updated : 25 MArch 2020

Forecast Dry Day for April- September 2020

PROVINCE APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPCORDILLERA ADMINISTRATIVE REGION (CAR)

ABRA 27 20 16 14 14 16 28 21 17 15 16 15 1 1 1 1 2 -1

BENGUET 23 20 17 19 8 9 25 15 11 10 11 18 2 -5 -6 -9 3 9

IFUGAO 25 17 15 17 14 14 26 18 15 14 17 15 1 1 0 -3 3 1

KALINGA 27 23 16 16 16 17 28 21 18 17 18 15 1 -2 2 1 2 -2

APAYAO 28 19 16 15 18 18 28 23 21 20 20 13 0 4 5 5 2 -5

MOUNTAIN PROVINCE 26 23 15 15 14 15 27 19 16 14 16 13 1 -4 1 -1 2 -2

REGION I 0 0 0 0 0 0

ILOCOS NORTE 29 23 19 17 15 17 29 23 19 18 18 18 0 0 0 1 3 1

ILOCOS SUR 27 18 14 11 10 13 27 19 14 13 14 13 0 1 0 2 4 0

LA UNION 24 22 15 15 8 10 26 16 12 11 11 13 2 -6 -3 -4 3 3

PANGASINAN 26 20 20 19 10 13 27 20 15 14 14 16 1 0 -5 -5 4 3

REGION II

BATANES 25 22 19 18 15 15 26 21 20 19 16 14 1 -1 1 1 1 -1

CAGAYAN 26 23 21 21 20 19 27 23 22 22 21 18 1 0 1 1 1 -1

ISABELA 24 20 20 19 19 18 25 22 19 19 20 16 1 2 -1 0 1 -2

NUEVA VIZCAYA 23 17 15 13 13 12 24 17 14 13 16 12 1 0 -1 0 3 0

QUIRINO 21 18 17 16 17 15 22 19 17 16 19 14 1 1 0 0 2 -1

REGION III (CENTRAL LUZON)

BATAAN 28 21 16 12 11 12 29 21 17 13 12 12 1 0 1 1 1 0

BULACAN 24 18 14 10 11 10 26 20 15 11 11 11 2 2 1 1 0 1

NUEVA ECIJA 25 19 16 12 12 12 26 20 16 13 13 12 1 1 0 1 1 0

PAMPANGA 26 18 15 10 10 11 29 20 16 12 10 10 3 2 1 2 0 -1

TARLAC 26 20 16 12 10 13 29 21 16 13 12 11 3 1 0 1 2 -2

ZAMBALES 27 21 15 11 9 12 28 20 15 12 11 11 1 -1 0 1 2 -1

AURORA 20 17 17 16 17 15 20 18 17 16 17 14 0 1 0 0 0 -1


METRO MANILA 27 22 15 12 11 12 27 22 15 12 13 11 0 0 0 0 2 -1

REGION IV-A (CALABARZON)

BATANGAS 25 22 17 16 16 15 26 23 17 16 16 16 1 1 0 0 0 1

CAVITE 28 25 18 15 14 15 28 25 18 16 16 16 0 0 0 1 2 1

LAGUNA 25 21 16 14 14 14 26 21 16 14 15 14 1 0 0 0 1 0

RIZAL 24 19 14 11 11 11 25 20 14 11 14 12 1 1 0 0 3 1

QUEZON 23 21 17 16 18 15 24 21 17 16 17 15 1 0 0 0 -1 0

REGION IV-B (MIMAROPA)

MARINDUQUE 24 23 18 17 19 16 25 23 18 17 16 17 1 0 0 0 -3 1

OCCIDENTAL MINDORO 26 22 16 14 14 14 26 22 16 14 13 14 0 0 0 0 -1 0

ORIENTAL MINDORO 24 22 16 15 16 16 25 22 16 15 14 16 1 0 0 0 -2 0

ROMBLON 25 23 16 16 17 16 25 24 17 16 16 16 0 1 1 0 -1 0

PALAWAN 25 22 17 16 16 16 26 22 17 17 15 14 1 0 0 1 -1 -2

REGION V (BICOL)

ALBAY 19 19 16 15 16 14 19 20 16 15 16 13 0 1 0 0 0 -1

CAMARINES NORTE 23 22 18 18 20 16 25 22 18 18 19 15 2 0 0 0 -1 -1

CAMARINES SUR 21 21 17 16 18 15 22 21 17 16 17 14 1 0 0 0 -1 -1

CATANDUANES 18 19 16 17 20 16 19 19 16 17 18 14 1 0 0 0 -2 -2

MASBATE 25 24 19 17 18 16 27 24 18 17 16 16 2 0 -1 0 -2 0

SORSOGON 20 21 17 16 17 15 21 21 16 16 16 15 1 0 -1 0 -1 0

NORMAL (1981 - 2010) FORECAST ANOMALY

Forecast Dry Day for April – September 2020

PROVINCE APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPREGION VI (WESTERN VISAYAS)

AKLAN 26 23 16 16 16 16 26 24 17 16 14 15 0 1 1 0 -2 -1

ANTIQUE 26 23 15 15 14 15 27 24 16 15 13 13 1 1 1 0 -1 -2

CAPIZ 26 23 16 16 17 16 26 24 17 16 15 14 0 1 1 0 -2 -2

GUIMARAS 25 21 13 13 14 14 26 21 13 13 14 11 1 0 0 0 0 -3

ILOILO 25 22 15 15 15 15 26 23 15 15 14 13 1 1 0 0 -1 -2

NEGROS OCCIDENTAL 24 19 13 12 16 13 25 19 12 12 15 11 1 0 -1 0 -1 -2

REGION VII (CENTRAL VISAYAS)

NEGROS ORIENTAL 25 21 16 16 18 16 26 22 15 16 17 14 1 1 -1 0 -1 -2

BOHOL 26 26 20 18 20 18 27 26 20 18 18 18 1 0 0 0 -2 0

CEBU 25 23 17 17 19 16 26 24 17 16 17 16 1 1 0 -1 -2 0

SIQUIJOR 26 25 19 19 21 19 27 26 19 20 19 18 1 1 0 1 -2 -1

REGION VIII (EASTERN VISAYAS)

BILIRAN 24 23 17 18 19 16 24 23 16 18 15 16 0 0 -1 0 -4 0

EASTERN SAMAR 15 17 15 16 20 16 16 19 17 16 19 14 1 2 2 0 -1 -2

LEYTE 22 23 18 18 19 17 22 23 17 18 16 16 0 0 -1 0 -3 -1

NORTHERN SAMAR 18 19 17 17 20 17 18 20 19 17 20 15 0 1 2 0 0 -2

SAMAR (WESTERN SAMAR) 19 20 16 17 20 16 19 21 17 17 18 14 0 1 1 0 -2 -2

SOUTHERN LEYTE 21 24 20 18 19 17 21 24 19 18 18 16 0 0 -1 0 -1 -1

REGION IX (ZAMBOANGA PENINSULA)

ZAMBOANGA DEL NORTE 23 21 15 18 19 17 24 22 15 18 16 16 1 1 0 0 -3 -1

ZAMBOANGA DEL SUR 22 20 14 17 19 17 24 21 14 17 16 16 2 1 0 0 -3 -1

ZAMBOANGA SIBUGAY 22 21 15 18 19 17 24 21 15 17 16 16 2 0 0 -1 -3 -1

REGION X (NORTHERN MINDANAO)

BUKIDNON 21 16 12 12 14 12 22 16 11 11 12 11 1 0 -1 -1 -2 -1

CAMIGUIN 26 25 19 18 20 18 26 25 18 18 19 17 0 0 -1 0 -1 -1

LANAO DEL NORTE 24 20 14 15 18 16 25 20 14 15 16 15 1 0 0 0 -2 -1

MISAMIS OCCIDENTAL 24 21 15 17 19 16 25 22 15 17 17 15 1 1 0 0 -2 -1

MISAMIS ORIENTAL 25 21 16 16 19 16 25 22 15 15 17 15 0 1 -1 -1 -2 -1

REGION XI (DAVAO REGION)

COMPOSTELA VALLEY 20 18 17 19 20 18 20 18 17 18 18 17 0 0 0 -1 -2 -1

DAVAO CITY 19 15 14 16 16 15 20 15 14 16 14 15 1 0 0 0 -2 0

DAVAO DEL NORTE 20 16 14 16 17 15 21 16 14 15 15 14 1 0 0 -1 -2 -1

DAVAO DEL SUR 21 18 16 18 18 18 21 17 16 18 16 18 0 -1 0 0 -2 0

DAVAO OCCIDENTAL 24 23 20 22 21 22 25 23 20 22 20 21 1 0 0 0 -1 -1

DAVAO ORIENTAL 19 20 19 21 21 20 20 20 19 20 20 19 1 0 0 -1 -1 -1

REGION XII (SOCCSKSARGEN)

SOUTH COTABATO 23 21 17 19 20 19 24 21 17 18 17 19 1 0 0 -1 -3 0

COTABATO 20 15 12 13 15 14 21 15 12 13 13 14 1 0 0 0 -2 0

SARANGANI 25 23 20 21 21 22 25 23 19 21 19 21 0 0 -1 0 -2 -1

SULTAN KUDARAT 21 18 14 16 18 18 22 18 14 16 16 18 1 0 0 0 -2 0

REGION XIII- CARAGA

AGUSAN DEL NORTE 20 20 17 19 21 19 19 21 17 19 19 18 -1 1 0 0 -2 -1

AGUSAN DEL SUR 18 17 15 17 19 16 18 17 15 16 16 15 0 0 0 -1 -3 -1

DINAGAT ISLANDS 16 21 18 19 22 18 16 21 18 19 21 17 0 0 0 0 -1 -1

SURIGAO DEL NORTE 16 20 18 20 23 19 15 21 18 20 22 18 -1 1 0 0 -1 -1

SURIGAO DEL SUR 15 17 17 19 21 19 14 17 17 19 19 18 -1 0 0 0 -2 -1

ARMM

BASILAN 23 23 18 20 22 20 24 24 18 19 18 20 1 1 0 -1 -4 0

MAGUINDANAO 20 16 12 14 17 15 21 16 13 13 15 16 1 0 1 -1 -2 1

LANAO DEL SUR 23 18 13 13 17 14 23 18 13 13 15 14 0 0 0 0 -2 0

SULU 24 24 20 21 22 22 24 25 19 20 18 21 0 1 -1 -1 -4 -1

TAWI-TAWI 23 25 21 23 23 23 23 25 21 22 19 22 0 0 0 -1 -4 -1

NORMAL (1981 - 2010) FORECAST ANOMALY

Forecast Tropical Cyclone Frequency

Month Number of TC

APRIL 2020 0 OR 1

MAY 2020 1 OR 2

JUNE 2020 1 OR 2

JULY 2020 2 TO 4

AUGUST 2020 2 OR 3

SEPTEMBER 2020 2 OR 3

• ENSO-neutral conditions continue to persist across tropical PacificOcean and will likely to continue until September of 2020.

• ENSO Alert System Status: INACTIVE

• Rainfall forecast for the whole country:

• APRIL 2020: generally way below to below normal rainfall condition in most parts of the country except for most provinces in CARAGA including Basilan (ARMM) that might experience near normal rainfall condition;

• MAY 2020 : generally near normal rainfall conditions are expected over most parts of Luzon and Mindanao, while generally below normal rainfall condition is expected in the Visayas;

CLIMATE REVIEW & ENSO

STATUS

CLIMATE OUTLOOK SUMMARY

• Rainfall forecast for the whole country:

• JUNE 2020: generally near normal rainfall condition in most parts of the country except for provinces in Apayao, Ilocos Norte and Cagayan that might experience below normal rainfall condition;

• JULY 2020 : generally near normal rainfall condition for the whole country;

• AUGUST 2020: generally below to near normal rainfall condition in most parts of the country except for provinces of Batanes, Eastern and Western Samar, Compostela Valley, Davao Oriental and Davao de Norte, that might experience above normal rainfall conditions;

• SEPTEMBER 2020 : generally near normal rainfall condition for the whole country.


STATUS


• Temperature Forecast: Generally near to above average temperature is predicted in most areas of the country during the forecast period except for slightly below average temperatures in April and June in some areas of Luzon and the Visayas;

• Tropical Cyclone Forecast: 8 to 11 TCs may enter/develop inside the PAR during the forecast period.


STATUS


35

PAGASA will continue to closely monitor any significant phenomena and

updates/advisories shall be issued as appropriate.

Tentative schedule of

next CF:

22 April 2020

Despite the on-going ECQ and Bayanihan to heal as one act due to

Covid-19 …

Website:www.bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph

Facebook: www.facebook.com/pagasa.dost.gov.phTwitter: @dost_pagasa

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FloodLocal 808

IEC Local 102/103

ClimateLocal 905/906

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Trunkline: (02) 8284- 0800

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