Climate Outlook National Weather Service

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Climate Outlook National Weather Service 2013 Missouri River Basin Forecaster’s Meeting Kansas City, Missouri February 20-21, 2013 John Eise [email protected] (816) 268-3144 1

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Climate Outlook National Weather Service. 2013 Missouri River Basin Forecaster’s Meeting Kansas City, Missouri February 20-21, 2013. National Weather Service. Quick Look at this Winter. Average Temperatures Water Year – Last and Current. Accumulated Snow Water Year – Last and Current. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Climate Outlook National Weather Service

Page 1: Climate  Outlook National Weather Service

Climate OutlookNational Weather Service

2013 Missouri River Basin Forecaster’s Meeting

Kansas City, MissouriFebruary 20-21, 2013

John [email protected]

(816) 268-3144

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National Weather Service

Quick Look at this Winter

John [email protected]

(816) 268-3144

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Average TemperaturesWater Year – Last and Current

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Accumulated SnowWater Year – Last and Current

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Rain and Snow WaterWater Year – Last and Current

Contact: John Eise, [email protected] (816) 268-3144 5

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Snow WaterThis Year

Contact: John Eise, [email protected] (816) 268-3144 6

Source: NWS NOHRSChttp://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/

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Snow WaterLast Year

Contact: John Eise, [email protected] (816) 268-3144 7

Source: NWS NOHRSChttp://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/

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Contact: John Eise, [email protected] (816) 268-3144

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SnowfallLast 24 Hours

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Contact: John Eise, [email protected] (816) 268-3144

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PrecipitationNext 7 Days

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Contact: John Eise, [email protected] (816) 268-3144

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March thru May OutlookTemperature

Source: NWS Climate Prediction Centerhttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

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Contact: John Eise, [email protected] (816) 268-3144

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March thru May OutlookPrecipitation

Source: NWS Climate Prediction Centerhttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

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Questions?

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Contact

John EiseClimate Services Program Manager

National Weather Service

[email protected]

(816) 268-3144

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Additional Slides

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Mountain Snowpack Water

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Mountain Snowpack Water% Median/Average Water Year

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Soil Moisture – Total ColumnPer Cent of Normal

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Contact: John Eise, [email protected] (816) 268-3144

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Topsoil Moisture

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Stream Flow Conditions

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Below Normal Groundwater Conditions

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Historical Slides

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2011 Missouri River Flood

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2010-11 Avg Temp and PrecipitationDeparture from Mean

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2011 Snow Water and SnowfallDeparture from Mean

Contact: John Eise, [email protected] (816) 268-3144 30

Source: NWS NOHRSChttp://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/Midwestern Regional Climate Centerhttp://mrcc.isws.illinois.edu/

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Comparisons of Weather Patterns for Winters of 2011-12 and 2012-2013

December 1 – February 1John Eise

National Weather Service(816) 268-3144

Graphics Courtesy of Midwestern Regional Climate Center at http://mrcc.isws.illinois.edu /

and

NOAA ESRL at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/composites/day /

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Jet Stream (mean)

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Jet Stream Anomalies

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Sea Level Pressure (mean)

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Sea Level Pressure Anomalies

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1981-2010 Climo Charts

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Sea Level Pressure Anomaly2011-2012

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Sea Level Pressure Anomaly2012-13

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Jet StreamWinter 2012-13

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Jet StreamWinter 2011-12