Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge...

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Page 1: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

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Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling*

*With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000)

Conservation BiologyOct 22, 2004

Page 2: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Our plan for today:

• Conservation and the ocean.• Why? Global carbon budget.• How? Carbon sequestration: injection• How? Carbon sequestration:

“biological pump”

Page 3: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Our plan for today:

• Conservation and the ocean.• Kyoto• Carbon credits.

Page 4: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

How the oceans influence climate

• Oceans and atmosphere are tightly linked.• Oceans are critical for storing heat (and

carbon)• Powerful currents are moving waters -

transporting heat• Deep-water currents influence extremes in

climate• Minor changes in ocean current mean

major (large scale) climate variations

Page 5: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,
Page 6: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Global Carbon Cycle

Page 7: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

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Roger Revelle

“the grandfather of the greenhouse effect...”

40% of the atmospheric carbon remains in the atmosphere.2/3 from fossil fuel; 1/3 from clear of forests.

Sent warning of sea level changes due to greenhouse effect...

CARBON CYCLE ISSUES

310

360

CO

2 (p

pm)

Page 9: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

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DEEP WATERS are Undersaturated with CO2

Page 10: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,
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Absorption of CO2 in the Ocean: “new” and “void”

CO2 (aq)

CO2 + Ca+2

CaCO3 (ppt)(reactive, catalytic)

pCO2 -22 +39 -20 +10

Page 12: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

CARBON SEQUESTERING - a PANACEA?

100

1000

Depth

Organic carbon

PSN

P

Inorganic CO2

Case 2Case 1

Page 13: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

100

1000

Depth

P

Inorganic CO2

Option 1 Option 1 Carbon Carbon Sequestering: Sequestering: injectioninjection

Page 14: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Option 1 Carbon Sequestering: injection

• Peter Brewer (MBARI)

• Collection of CO2 gases from industry

• Pump to below 1000 m.

• CO2 gases will be denser than seawater and will remain as a liquid or as ice.

• Movement depends on mid- or deep-water circulation.

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Plume formation and watercirculation

Page 15: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

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• Movement• Uncertain effects on benthic communities• Transportation and processing costs

Page 16: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Option 2 Option 2 Carbon Sequestering: Carbon Sequestering:

Biological pumpBiological pump100

1000

Depth

Organic carbon

PSN

Page 17: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

IRON LIMITATION IN MARINE SYSTEMSIRON LIMITATION IN MARINE SYSTEMS

Page 18: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

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John Martin

“Johnny Ironseed”

Looked at the oceans with an analytical eye.... Developed an analytical approach that opened up a

field of ocean chemistry “Give me half a tanker, and I’ll create the next ice age.”

Linked PHYTOPLANKTON PRODUCTIVITYWith the CARBON CYCLE

Page 19: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

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Phosphate Silicate

Nitrate

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Cell Biomass + growth = ∑ needs (C, N, P, ?)

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Nitrate

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Cell Biomass + growth = ∑ needs (C, N, P, Fe)

Redfield ratio: 106:16:1: 0.008 C:N:P:Fe (cellular)

So … for every gram of iron added, draw down 2.9 tonnes of carbon.

Page 21: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

So what is limiting the growth of the phytoplankton?

Residence Time in Upper Waters (years)

Con

cent

rati

on m

ol L

-1

FeSO4

Fe+2 + SO4-2

Fe+3

Fe(OH)x (ppt)

Page 22: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,
Page 23: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2001/ast17may_1.htm

How does iron get to the Pacific?

April 2001

Page 24: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

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QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressorare needed to see this picture.“CLEAN” sampling and handling techniques

Martin’s Small Bottle-experiments(small scale)

Page 25: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Meso-scale studies to “test” the iron hypothesis:Does adding iron stimulate the growth of phytoplankton?

IronExII

SOFeX

Page 26: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

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QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressorare needed to see this picture.SOFeX - 64 km2 with 1 nM FeSO4

... So, some ecosystems have major Nutrients ($$$) but limiting levels of Iron (cheap!)

Page 27: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Quantifiable reduction in atmospheric COQuantifiable reduction in atmospheric CO22 in "patches" of iron in "patches" of iron

fertilization. SOFEX. fertilization. SOFEX.

Watson, A.J., and others. 2000. Effect of iron supply on Southern Ocean CO2 uptake and implications for glacial atmospheric CO2. Nature 407: 730 - 733.

Page 28: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,
Page 29: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

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Started with a mixed flagellate and diatom community

Page 30: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Ended with a DIATOM-only community.

Page 31: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

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IronExII

SINK! Biological Pump!

Remove CO2 via Productivity

Page 32: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Meso-scale studies to “test” the iron hypothesis:Does adding iron stimulate the growth of phytoplankton?

IronExII

SOFeX

Page 33: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

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To get the Biological Pump ... Pumping, need to grow diatoms and other heavy cells. Does the addition of iron always result in these heavy cells?

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Good (sp. density 1.1)...

Better (sp. density 1.5)...

Terrible! (sp. density 1.1)

Page 34: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

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SERIES: fertilization of Ocean Station PAPA (2002)Funded through SOLAS (NSERC, CCAF etc.)

Iron fertilization to measure:Growth, gas production, sinking

64 sq. kmFeSO4 addition~ 1-2 nM Fe in the surface water

Page 35: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

SERIES: fertilization of Ocean Station PAPA (2002)Funded through SOLAS (NSERC, CCAF etc.)

Page 36: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

SERIES: fertilization of Ocean Station PAPA (2002)Funded through SOLAS (NSERC, CCAF etc.)

Page 37: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

FeSO4 and SF6 (gas)

Page 38: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

SERIES: fertilization of Ocean Station PAPA (2002)

Page 39: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

In warm waters ...

FeSO4

SO4-2 + Fe+2

Fe+3

Fe(OH)x (ppt)

Page 40: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,
Page 41: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

010203040

02468101214DayNutrient (µM), Chl a (µg/L)SilicateNitrateChl aIn warm waters ... But the cold waters of

the North may be a different story

Page 42: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Different story

FeSO4

SO4-2 + Fe+2

Fe+3

Fe(OH)x (ppt)

CO2 CO2 CH4 DMS N2O

Page 43: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Consequences of fertilizing OS PAPA ...

• Few Diatoms, lots of flagellates.• Flagellates were stimulated to grow

Respire at > 90% of carbon Produce GHG that are more destructive

than CO2

• The resulting phytoplankton are a bit suspect ....

Page 44: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

.... HARMFUL ALGAL BLOOMS

The definition of a HAB is not clear-cut, since it is a societal term, not a scientific term, that describes a diverse array of blooms (both macroscopic and macroscopic) that can cause detrimental effects to national economies.

Page 45: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Responsible for Paralytic Shellfish

Poisoning(PSP)

One flagellate that dominated is ....

Page 46: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Chaetoceros sp. (a non-specific fish kill species)

One of the diatoms that dominated was ...

Page 47: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Another was Pseudo-nitzschia …

a toxigenic diatom which produces domoic acid - responsible for Amnesiac Shellfish poisoning (ASP) in local waters

Page 48: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

There’s no great degree of success.•chemistry of iron limits use at different zones

The measurement of success is uncertain.

The consequences of fertilization may be detrimental at the regional scale

•HABs•toxins

May show no net benefit to GHG emissions.•CO2 respired quickly•O2 stress in surface waters•CH4, DMS and N2O produced.

Conclusions … so far.

Page 49: Climate, Oceans and Phytoplankton: That Sinking Feeling* *With apologies to Bill Forsyth and Jorge Sarmiento (Nature 2000) Conservation Biology Oct 22,

Public ponderings…on scientific responsibility.

“There are many of us who consider the oceans to be sacred…. We’ve let the cat out of the bag. We have to keep looking at it now whether we like it or not.”

- Ken Coale

“The biggest danger, in my view, is that large-scale iron fertilization will occur without the necessary understanding of just what will happen on scales ranging from single cells to ecosystems.”

- John Martin