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    Climate Changeand Agriculture

    Alona T. Nieva

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    limate changeis a significant and lasting change in the statistical

    distribution of weatherpatterns over periods ranging from decades to

    millions of years.

    - wikipedia-

    Climate change is a long term alteration in global weather patterns,

    especially increases in temperature and storm activity.

    http://earthhour.org/page/about/what-climate-change

    Climate Change

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weatherhttp://earthhour.org/page/about/what-climate-changehttp://earthhour.org/page/about/what-climate-changehttp://earthhour.org/page/about/what-climate-changehttp://earthhour.org/page/about/what-climate-changehttp://earthhour.org/page/about/what-climate-changehttp://earthhour.org/page/about/what-climate-changehttp://earthhour.org/page/about/what-climate-changehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather
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    Climate change is brought about by the build-up of greenhouse gases in

    the atmosphere, which significantly changes the normal or expected

    weather patterns and conditions in a specific region of the Earth.

    http://www.onehotearth.com/what-is-climate-change.html

    http://www.onehotearth.com/what-is-climate-change.htmlhttp://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_8/The%20Greenhouse%20Effect%20-%20YouTube.wmvhttp://www.onehotearth.com/what-is-climate-change.htmlhttp://www.onehotearth.com/what-is-climate-change.htmlhttp://www.onehotearth.com/what-is-climate-change.htmlhttp://www.onehotearth.com/what-is-climate-change.htmlhttp://www.onehotearth.com/what-is-climate-change.htmlhttp://www.onehotearth.com/what-is-climate-change.htmlhttp://www.onehotearth.com/what-is-climate-change.htmlhttp://www.onehotearth.com/what-is-climate-change.html
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    The history of the scientific discovery of climate

    change began in the early 19th century when ice

    ages and other natural changes in paleoclimate were

    first suspected and the natural greenhouse effect first

    identified.

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    In the late 19th century, scientists first argued that

    human emissions of greenhouse gases could change the

    climate, but the calculations were disputed. Many

    other theories of climate change were advanced,

    involving forces from volcanism to solar variation.

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    In the 1960s, the warming effect of carbon dioxide

    gas became increasingly convincing, although some

    scientists also pointed out that human activities, in the

    form of atmospheric aerosols (e.g., pollution ), could

    have cooling effects as well.

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    During the 1970s, scientific opinion increasingly favored the

    warming viewpoint.

    By the 1990s, as a result of improving fidelity of computer models

    and observational work confirming the Milankovitch theory of the

    ice ages, a consensus position formed: greenhouse gases were deeply

    involved in most climate changes, and human emissions were

    bringing serious global warming.

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    Agriculture, also called farming or husbandry, is the cultivation of

    animals, plants, fungi, and other life forms for food, fiber, biofuel and

    other products used to sustain human life.

    Agriculture was the key development in the rise of sedentary human

    civilization, whereby farming of domesticated species created food

    surpluses that nurtured the development of civilization.

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    Climate Change and Agriculture

    Climate change and agriculture are interrelated processes, both of

    which take place on a global scale

    Global warming is projected to have significant impacts on

    conditions affecting agriculture, including temperature, carbon

    dioxide, glacial run-off, precipitation and the interaction of these

    elements

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    Climate Change and Agriculture

    These conditions determine the carrying capacity of the biosphere toproduce enough food for the human population and domesticated

    animals.

    Assessment of the effects of global climate changes on agriculture

    might help to properly anticipate and adapt farming to maximize

    agricultural production

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    General Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

    productivity, in terms of quantity and quality of crops

    agricultural practices, through changes of water use

    (irrigation) and agricultural inputs such as herbicides,

    insecticides and fertilizers

    environmental effects, in particular in relation of frequency and

    intensity of soil drainage (leading to nitrogen leaching), soil

    erosion, reduction of crop diversity

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    rural space, through the loss and gain of cultivatedlands, land speculation, land renunciation, and hydraulic

    amenities.

    adaptation, organisms may become more or less

    competitive, as well as humans may develop urgency to

    develop more competitive organisms, such as flood resistant

    or salt resistant varieties of rice.

    General Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

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    Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

    Effects on quantity and quality

    is essential to plant growth. Rising CO2

    concentration in the atmosphere can have both positive and negative

    consequences.

    quantity

    Carbon dioxide

    Increased CO2 is expected to have positive physiological effects by

    increasing the rate of photosynthesis

    The effects of an increase in carbon dioxide would be higher on C3 crops

    (such as wheat) than on C4 crops (such as maize), because the former is

    more susceptible to carbon dioxide shortage.

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    Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

    Effects on quantity and quality

    quantity

    Studies have shown that increased CO2 leads to fewer stomata developing

    on plants which leads to reduced water usage.

    Under optimum conditions of temperature and humidity, the yield

    increase could reach 36%, if the levels of carbon dioxide are doubled.

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    Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

    Effects on quantity and quality

    quality

    According to the IPCC's TAR, "The importance of climate change

    impacts on grain and forage quality emerges from new research. For rice,

    the amylose content of the grain

    a major determinant of cooking

    qualityis increased under elevated CO2" (Conroy et al., 1994).

    Cooked rice grain from plants grown in high-CO2 environments would

    be firmer than that from today's plants.

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    Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

    Effects on quantity and quality

    quality

    However, concentrations of iron and zinc, which are important for

    human nutrition, would be lower (Seneweera and Conroy, 1997).

    Moreover, the protein content of the grain

    decreases under combined increases of

    temperature and CO2(Ziska et al., 1997)

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    Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

    Effects on quantity and quality

    quality

    Studies have shown that higher CO2levels lead to reduced plant uptake

    of nitrogen (and a smaller number showing the same for trace elements

    such as zinc) resulting in

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    Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

    Effects on quantity and quality

    Reduced nitrogen content in

    grazing plants has also been

    shown to reduce animalproductivity in sheep, which

    depend on microbes in their gut

    to digest plants, which in turndepend on nitrogen intake.

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    Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

    Agricultural surfaces and climate changes

    Climate change may increase the amount of arable land

    in high-latitude region by reduction of the amount of

    frozen lands.

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    A 2005 study reports that temperature in Siberia has increased three degree

    Celsius in average since 1960 (much more than the rest of the world).

    Agricultural surfaces and climate changes

    However, reports about the impact of global warming on Russian agriculture

    indicate conflicting probable effects : while they expect a northward

    extension of farmable lands, they also warn of possible productivity losses

    and increased risk of drought.

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    Agricultural surfaces and climate changes

    salinity

    Sea levels are expected to get up

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    Agricultural surfaces and climate changes

    Low lying areas

    Bangladesh India

    Vietnam

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    Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

    warmer atmospheric

    temperature

    extreme rainfall events

    Hydraulic cycle

    Soil erosion

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    Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

    However, because the ratio of carbon to nitrogen is a constant, a doubling of

    carbon is likely to imply a higher storage of nitrogen in soils as nitrates, thus

    providing higher fertilizing elements for plants, providing better yields. The

    average needs for nitrogen could decrease, and give the opportunity of changing

    often costly fertilization strategies.

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    Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

    greater risks of erosion

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    Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

    weeds would undergo the same acceleration of cycle as cultivated

    crops

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    Effects of Climate Change in Agriculture

    Global warming would cause an increase in rainfall in some areas, which would

    lead to an increase of atmospheric humidity and the duration of the wet seasons.

    Combined with higher temperatures, these could favor the development of

    fungal diseases. Similarly, because of higher temperatures and humidity, there

    could be an increased pressure from insects and disease vectors.

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    Impact of Agriculture on Climate Change

    El Nio effects on agriculture

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    mpact of agriculture on climate change

    The agricultural sector is a driving force in the gas emissions and

    land use effects thought to cause climate change.

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    mpact of agriculture on climate change

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Greenhouse_Gas_by_Sector.png
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    mpact of agriculture on climate change

    Livestock and livestock-related activities such as deforestation and increasingly

    fuel-intensive farming practices are responsible for over 18% of human-madegreenhouse gas emissions

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