Climate and Global Change Notes 28-1 Climate & Global Change Ice and Sea-Level Rise Changes Melting...
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Transcript of Climate and Global Change Notes 28-1 Climate & Global Change Ice and Sea-Level Rise Changes Melting...
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-1
Climate & Global Change
Ice and Sea-Level Rise
ChangesMeltingExpansion
Science Concepts
The Earth System (Kump, Kastin & Crane)
• Chap. 15 (pp. 313-315)• Chap. 16 (pp. 329-332)
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-2
Sea-Level Rise
Causes of Sea-Level Change
• Thermal expansion
• Addition of water, i.e., from melting glaciers
• Changes in salinity; fresh water is less dense than salt water and thus takes up slightly more space than an equal mass of salt water
• Graph of data from satellites and floats (mechanical devices drifting in the ocean), show
that sea level rose, on average, 3 mm (0.1 inches) per year between 1993 and
2005
• Researchers attributed about half of this increase to melting ice and half to
thermal expansion
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=17300
Change in mean sea level (mm)
Trend
60-Day Average
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-3
Sea-Level Rise
Causes of Sea-Level Change
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2001; Synthesis Report, p. 67
Terrestrial water storage,extraction of groundwater,building of reservoirs,changes in runoff andseepage into aquifers
Subsidence in river delta region,
land movements andtechtonic movements
Surface and deep ocean circulation changes and
storm surges
Expansion of water caused by warming
Exchange of the water stored on land by
glaciers and ice sheets with ocean water
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-4
Explanation
• Sea-level could rise 1-4 ft during the next 100 y due to global warming
The mechanism underlying is simple;- As ocean waters
heat, they expand
- Water locked up in small landed glaciersmelt
The Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets each contain enough water
to raise sea level about 22 ft, while East Antarctica has enough ice to
raise sea level over 190 ft.
Sea-Level Rise
http://www.cresis.ku.edu/research/data/sea_level_rise/h_southeast-usa.html
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-5
Changes in Glacial and Sea Ice
Glaciers
• IKONOS satellite image Bear Glacier along the Gulf of Alaska on 8/8/05- IKONOS comes from the Greek
word for "image"- IKONOS is a commercial
multispectral Earth observation satellite that collects imagery at 1- and 4-m resolution
• Note- Small icebergs floating in lake- Crevasse region- Dark gray “racing stripes” are dirt
and debris from rocks glacier passes - Bright blue-green color of small lake
result of “glacial flour” - highly reflective fine sediment ground off rocks by the ice and carried down slope
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=17453
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-6
Changes in Glacial and Sea Ice
Glaciers Around the World - Montana & Washington
• “More than 110 glaciers have disappeared from Montana’s Glacier National Park over the past 150 years, and researchers estimate that the park’s remaining 37 glaciers may be gone in another 25 years.”- Example to right: Sperry Glacier retreated 15-22
m/y from 1913-1945; then retreated at 11 m/y to about 5 m /y from 1950-1979; from 1979-1993 retreated from 3-5 m/y
• South Cascade Glacier in the Washington Cascade Mountains (below) retreat from 1928, 1979, and 2000
http://www.nrmsc.usgs.gov/research/glacier_retreat.htm
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/
Study/GLIMS/
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-7
Glaciers Around the World - Africa
• “Half a world away on the African equator, Hemingway’s snows of Kilimanjaro are steadily melting and could completely disappear in the next 20 years.”
Observation -
Ice on Africa's highest mountain
shrank by 80% in the past century. The snow cap formed some 11,000
years ago.
Landsat captured these images of Kilimanjaro
2/17/93 (top) and 2/21/00 (bottom).
Changes in Glacial and Sea Ice
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http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/news/20031222/
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Study/GLIMS/
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-8
Changes in Glacial and Sea Ice
Glaciers Around the World - Alps
• “And in the Alps, glaciers are retreating and disappearing every year … .”
• Composite ASTER image of Gangotri Glacier
(Himalayas) terminus - Contour lines are
approximate
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Study/GLIMS/Image by Jesse Allen, Earth Observatory; Based on data from the ASTER Science Team; Glacier retreat boundaries from the Land Processes Distributed Active Archive Center
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Observation -
Retreating glaciers may cause some earthquakes. Study of glaciers in several parts of the world suggests that the number of earthquakes have increased as large glaciers have melted.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2004, p.1645
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-9
Changes in Glacial and Sea Ice
Glaciers Around the World - South American Glaciers• South America’s Patagonian ice
fields and glaciers located in the far
southern Andes mountains in Argentina
• Upsala Glacier
- Third largest glacier of the
Southern Patagonian Ice Field
- Estimated area of over 800
square kilometershttp://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=16441
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Yellow lineJan 2001
Yellow lineJan 2001
Jan 2004
Jan 2001
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-10Changes in Glacial and Sea
IceGlaciers Around the World - South American Glaciers (Con’t)• Upsala Glacier (Con’t)
- Glacial frontal margins
> R indicates a bare-rock
ridge [extent shown by
dark grey]
> ch indicates a water channel
> i indicates an island
[shown by light grey]
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19681981
1986
1990
1993
1995
1994
http://pubs.usgs.gov/prof/p1386i/chile-arg/wet/historic.html
4 km
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-11
Glaciers Around the World - Greenland Ice Sheet
• Airborne laser used to survey the altitude of the ice sheet's surface
• 1993 and 1994
• 1998 and 1999
• Produced difference map
• Ice sheet lost at least 51 cubic kilometers of volume during that five year period
Changes in Glacial and Sea Ice
http://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/imagewall/greenland.html
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-12Changes in Glacial and Sea
IceGlaciers Around the World - Jakobshavn Isbrae Glacier in Greenland
• Fastest moving glacier in the world
• In recent years, it has gotten even faster
• Starting in late 2000, following a period of slowing down in the mid 1990s, the glacier accelerated and its speed nearly doubled
• Each year glacier’s front edge retreated farther inland, and the colored lines on the image above mark the location of the terminus from 2001 through 2004 http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/
NewImages/images.php3?img_id=16760
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-13Changes in Glacial and Sea
IceSea Ice Around the World - Antarctic Temperature Trend 1982-2004
• Strongest cooling at the South Pole, strongest warming along the Antarctic Peninsula
• Bright red spots or streaks along edge of continent show where icebergs calved or ice shelves disintegrated, meaning satellite began seeing warmer ocean water
• One possible cause involves ozone in the stratosphere that absorbs UV radiation, absorbing this energy warms the stratosphere. Loss of UV-absorbing
ozone may have cooled the stratosphere and strengthened the polar vortex
around the South Pole
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http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/
Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=17257
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-14Changes in Glacial and Sea
IceSea Ice Around the World - Antarctica
• Image from SyntheticAperture Radar (SAR) on the Canadian RADARSAT satellite.SAR has 100 m resolution thatcan sense Earth's surface indarkness or through clouds
• 10/13/98 ice more than 90 mileslong and almost 30 miles widebroke away or “calved” fromRonne Ice Shelf in Antarctica
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2000/ast27dec_1.htm
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-15Changes in Glacial and Sea
IceSea Ice Around the World - Antarctica (Con’t)
• Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on the NASA Earth Observing System (EOS) Terra satellite
• Larsen B ice shelf inAntarctica disintegratedin 35-day period
Shattered ice formed a"plume" of thousands oficebergs now adrift inthe Weddell Sea
http://www.nsidc.org/iceshelves/larsenb2002/index.html
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-16Changes in Glacial and Sea
Ice
Sea Ice Around the World - Antarctica (Con’t)
• Retreat of the ice shelves on theAntarctic Peninsula
1986 1997Antarctica
Larsen Ice Shelf area (km2)
0
5000
10000
15000
1986 1990 1994 1998
RADARSAT
100 km 100 km
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-17Changes in Glacial and Sea
IceSea Ice Around the World - Arctic
• Changes between 1958-1976 average and 1993-1997 average
http://www.grida.no/climate/vital/30.htm
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-18
Ocean Currents
Sea Ice Around th e World - Arctic (Con’t)
• 2007 sets record Arctic sea ice melt
• Sept. 16, 2007, sea ice extent was 4.13 million km2 (1.59 million miles2)
• 38% below average and 24% below 2005 record
• 2007 brought an ice-free opening though Northwest Passage for several weeks
Alaska Canada
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=17782
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-19
Ocean Currents
Sea Ice Around the World - Arctic (Con’t)
• Graph of sea ice melt shows the 5-day mean sea ice extent for June through Sept.
• Sea ice acts as the Earth’s built-in air conditioner - its light color reflects most sunlight
• In contrast, dark ocean water absorbs most of sunlight
• As sea ice continues melting, increased exposure of ocean water changes
Earth’s; thus, contributing to further warming thereby leading to continued
sea ice melt and reinforcing the melting cycle
• As summer melt continues to increase, wintertime recovery becomes more
difficult to achieve
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=17782
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-20
Ocean Currents
Sea Ice Around the World - Arctic (Con’t)
• July Arctic perennial sea ice has been decreasing at a rate of 6% per decade since 1979
• Images show the minimum sea ice concentration in 1979 and 2003
- Data were collected by the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSMI). Credit: NASA
http://www.gsfc.nasa.gov/topstory/2003/1023esuice.html
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1979
2003http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Study/ArcticReflector/arctic_reflector2.html
Climate and Global Change Notes
28-21
Facts
• Sea ice also thinned by about 40% in recent decades, from an average of
10 ft in the period 1958-1976 to about 6 ft in the period 1993-1997. On
average, current thinning is estimated at about 4 in / yr.
• Since 1993, the Greenland Ice Sheet - the Arctic’s largest - has thinned by
more than a yard a year on its southern and eastern edges.
• Alaskan permafrost is thawing across the state. Near Barrow, permafrost
was 8 to 10 in thinner in 1997-1998 than it was between 1964 and
1968.
Woodard, C., 2000: The great melt: Is it normal, or the result of global warming. The Chronicle of Higher Education, July 14, XLVI, No. 45, A20-A21.
Changes in Glacial and Sea Ice