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Biomass Vision and Roadmap Update

Current status of process

1

bull The Vision for Bioenergy and Biobased Products in the United States was created in 2002

bull It established far-reaching goals to increase the role of biobased energy and products in our nationrsquos economy

bull It represented the collective vision of the Biomass Research and Development Technical Advisory Committee established by the Biomass RampD Act of 2000

2

1

What is the Vision Statement



Post Vision Workshop Agenda

bull Obtained Technical Advisory Committee input on Vision Executive Summary

bull Follow-up analysis and peer review carried out to ensure targets were valid in relation to available feedstocks conversion technologies etc

bull Developed draft Vision by December 31 2005

bull Final Vision will be issued shortly 3

Post Vision Workshop Agenda cont

bull The updated Vision does not change the original2010 goals but recognizes that in some casesthe US is not on track to meet them

bull The Vision makes minor changes to its 2020 and2030 goals and establishes 2015 goals whichdescribe the types of activities that must occur to reach that goal and move down the path to theaggressive targets for 2020 and 2030

bull Finally the updated Vision sets a long-term target for 2050 and the role that biomass canplay in energy and product markets at that time

4

2



Original Vision Goals - 2002

2001 2010 2020 2030 BioPower Biomass share of electricity amp heat demand in utilities and industry

BioFuels Biomass share of demand for transportation fuels

BioProducts Share of target chemicals that are biobased

3 (27 quads)

05 (015 quads)

5

4 (33 quads)

4 (13 quads)

12

5 (40 quads)

10 (40 quads)

18

5 (50 quads)

20 (95 quads)

25

5

Updated Vision Goals ndash 2005

Vision Goals Units 2000 2004 2010 2015 2020 2030

Biopower

Market share () 4 4 4 55 7 7 Consumption (Quadrillion Btu) 22 21 31 32 34 38

Biofuels

Market share () 07 12 4 6 10 20 Consumption (million gasoline-equivalent gallons) 1100 2100 8016 12852 22725 50994

Bioproducts Production (billion lbs) 124 176 237 264 356 553

6

3



What is the Roadmap

bull The Biomass RampD Act of 2000 called for the USDA and DOE to jointly carry out a biomass research and development initiative in the areas of biofuels and bioproducts

bull It also established the Biomass RampD Technical Advisory Committee to advise on the technical program

7

Roadmap Update Process

bull Roadmap Update Workshops will be planned by Regional Chairs with BCSDOE support

bull Roadmaps will incorporate regional experts pertaining to the Roadmapcategories Feedstocks Processing andConversion Product Uses and Distribution Public Policy

bull Workshops will be facilitated by BCS

8

4



Regional Roadmap Workshops

bull Update Roadmap language bull Incorporate New federalstate activities

ndash Renewable Fuels Standards bull Produce 71 million gallons of ethanol by 2012

ndash Biofuels Initiative bull Decrease cost to $104 per gallon of ethanol by 2010 bull Displace 40 million gasoline equivalent gallons by 2030

bull Revisit path towards achieving Vision Goals bull Invitation only with regional experts

9

Roadmap Timeline

bull Midwest Regional Roadmap ndash Chair Tom Binder ADM ndash Chicago IL April 11-12 2006

bull West Regional Roadmap ndash Ralph Cavalieri Washington State ndash Sacramento CA August 8-9 2006

bull East Regional Roadmap ndash Douglas Hawkins Rohm amp Haas ndash New York Fall 2006

10

5



Other Biomass Roadmap Related Activities

bull Oregon Forest Research Institute Biomass Report

bull Pulp amp Paper Industry Roadmap bull CEC Roadmap bull DOE Office of Science Roadmap bull Other state roadmaps

11

Why have a Roadmap

12

6



14

13

Light Sweet Crude Prices

7


15


16

8



17

18

9


19


20

10



What role can biomass play

21

22

Fuel Production Capacity Million Gallons per Year

2004 data

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Ethanol Biodiesel

Current Under Construction 0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Gasoline Ethanol Biodiesel 2030 Goal

11



24

US Corn Yield

23

US Agricultural Economy and Biomass

bull Ethanol and biodiesel industry creates domestic jobs

bull Ethanol industry has grown to 81 plants in 20 states which support 147000 jobs in the UnitedStates mostly in rural communities

bull On average a 40 million gallon per year ethanol plant supports 41 full-time jobs andnearly 700 jobs throughout the entire economy

bull Cuts the trade deficit by $341 billion through 2012

(Data 82005 From httpwwweereenergygovbiomasseconomic_growthhtmltrade and ldquoHomegrown for the Homeland - Ethanol Industry Outlook for 2005rdquo)

AS OF December 2005

In operation Under construction Proposed

12



25

Corn Production and Use 1999-2006

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

26

Corn Use ndash 1999-2015

500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015

Use Ethanol Exports Livestock Ethanol2

13



28

27According to the EIA

The AEO2006 reference case includes only those sections of EPACT2005 (the recent Energy Bill) that establish specific tax credits incentives or standardsmdashabout 30 of the roughly 500 sections in the legislation

7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

EIA 2006USCorn Ethanol Production

PRX Ethanol Production Forecast

Energy ActRFS

Energy Information Admnistration (EIA) US DOE Annual Energy Outlook (AEO)

2006 Outlook

EIA ethanol production outlook trailing presentand scheduled dry mill expansion rate In

2010 PRX forecast is higher by 1400 mil galor about 500 mil bu corn

US CORN ETHANOL PRODUCTION with PRX ESTIMATE Million gallons

PRX

RFS

PRX_EIAlongtermPRXrev 04-Jan-06

14


Ethanol Use RequirementsLaw enacted Legislative Proposals (05-06)

29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD

Comparative Results of Ethanol Energy Balance Studies 1995-2005

Shapouri et al

LorenzMorris Wang et al

Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Avg NEV minus Pimentel (3) Average NEV with Pimentel

24336 Btu (132 NEV ratio) 11739 Btu (115 NEV ratio)

Calculations assume low heat value energy content of ethanol is 76330 BTUgallon Sources Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (US Department of Energy) Dale Bruce Michigan State University presentation at World Congress on Industrial Biotechnology amp Bioprocessing Orlando Florida April 22 2005

For more information call the National Corn Growers Association at (636) 733-9004 or go to wwwncgacom

15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000

2005 100000000 Source CCC Data Estimate

31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33

Soy Oil Price History

Source httpwwwpalmoilcomindexphpq=D1VTW1NASgIEAhEbVg9RAAsI Data from Chicago Board of Trade

34

Palm Oil Prices

17



US Soy Oil Consumption

bull Crop Year 2004 Approx Production 187 B lbs

bull 75 billion pounds of biodiesel derived from soy oil would represent approximately 40 of current total soy oil demand This would be 1 billion gallons or 2 of diesel demand

35

Cellulosic Ethanol from Energy Crops

bull Dedicated perennial energy crop production potential

bull On Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) Acreage

bull Using switchgrass hybrid poplar willow etc

36

18


37


38

Switchgrass Production Areas with data available

Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

19



39Walsh M et al Environmental and Resource Economics 24 313ndash333 2003

Hybrid Poplar Production Areas with data available


Willow Production Areas with data available

20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

Million dry tons per year

Forest resources

Agricultural resources

Total resource potential

Annual biomass resource potential

Data from ldquoBiomass as Feedstock for a Bioenergy and Bioproducts Industry The Technical Feasibility of a Billion-Ton Annual Supplyrdquo DOE and USDA April 2005

368

998

1366

21



43

Agricultural Biomass for Energy

377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600


Grain-to-ethanol Process residues Crop residues Perennial crops


44

22



45

What conversion technologies are available

46

23



Biomass

Bio-Chemical Thermo-Chemical Platform Platform

Mixed Sugars Lignin amp Residues Conditioned Gas Oils Residues

Fuels Chemicals Materials Heat amp Power

ldquoThe Integrated Biorefineryrdquo Technology Validation and Systems

Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004 Integration

47

Cellulosic Biorefinery Vision

An integratedbiorefinery makesuse of ndash Thermochemical

conversion technology

ndash Biochemical Don Richardson Office of the Biomass Program September 29 2004 conversion

technology 48

ndash Existing technology

24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53

Roadmap to this Future

27



Post Vision Workshop Agenda

bull Obtained Technical Advisory Committee input on Vision Executive Summary

bull Follow-up analysis and peer review carried out to ensure targets were valid in relation to available feedstocks conversion technologies etc

bull Developed draft Vision by December 31 2005

bull Final Vision will be issued shortly 3

Post Vision Workshop Agenda cont

bull The updated Vision does not change the original2010 goals but recognizes that in some casesthe US is not on track to meet them

bull The Vision makes minor changes to its 2020 and2030 goals and establishes 2015 goals whichdescribe the types of activities that must occur to reach that goal and move down the path to theaggressive targets for 2020 and 2030

bull Finally the updated Vision sets a long-term target for 2050 and the role that biomass canplay in energy and product markets at that time

4

2







3 (27 quads)

05 (015 quads)

5

4 (33 quads)

4 (13 quads)

12

5 (40 quads)

10 (40 quads)

18

5 (50 quads)

20 (95 quads)

25

5



Biopower


Biofuels



6

3



What is the Roadmap



7





8

4








9

Roadmap Timeline




10

5






11

Why have a Roadmap

12

6



14

13


7


15


16

8



17

18

9


19


20

10




21

22


2004 data

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Ethanol Biodiesel


20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000


11



24

US Corn Yield

23







AS OF December 2005


12



25


0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

26


500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015


13



28



7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



Energy ActRFS


2006 Outlook




PRX

RFS


14



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27







3 (27 quads)

05 (015 quads)

5

4 (33 quads)

4 (13 quads)

12

5 (40 quads)

10 (40 quads)

18

5 (50 quads)

20 (95 quads)

25

5



Biopower


Biofuels



6

3



What is the Roadmap



7





8

4








9

Roadmap Timeline




10

5






11

Why have a Roadmap

12

6



14

13


7


15


16

8



17

18

9


19


20

10




21

22


2004 data

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Ethanol Biodiesel


20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000


11



24

US Corn Yield

23







AS OF December 2005


12



25


0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

26


500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015


13



28



7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



Energy ActRFS


2006 Outlook




PRX

RFS


14



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



What is the Roadmap



7





8

4








9

Roadmap Timeline




10

5






11

Why have a Roadmap

12

6



14

13


7


15


16

8



17

18

9


19


20

10




21

22


2004 data

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Ethanol Biodiesel


20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000


11



24

US Corn Yield

23







AS OF December 2005


12



25


0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

26


500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015


13



28



7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



Energy ActRFS


2006 Outlook




PRX

RFS


14



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27








9

Roadmap Timeline




10

5






11

Why have a Roadmap

12

6



14

13


7


15


16

8



17

18

9


19


20

10




21

22


2004 data

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Ethanol Biodiesel


20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000


11



24

US Corn Yield

23







AS OF December 2005


12



25


0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

26


500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015


13



28



7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



Energy ActRFS


2006 Outlook




PRX

RFS


14



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27






11

Why have a Roadmap

12

6



14

13


7


15


16

8



17

18

9


19


20

10




21

22


2004 data

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Ethanol Biodiesel


20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000


11



24

US Corn Yield

23







AS OF December 2005


12



25


0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

26


500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015


13



28



7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



Energy ActRFS


2006 Outlook




PRX

RFS


14



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



14

13


7


15


16

8



17

18

9


19


20

10




21

22


2004 data

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Ethanol Biodiesel


20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000


11



24

US Corn Yield

23







AS OF December 2005


12



25


0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

26


500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015


13



28



7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



Energy ActRFS


2006 Outlook




PRX

RFS


14



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27


15


16

8



17

18

9


19


20

10




21

22


2004 data

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Ethanol Biodiesel


20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000


11



24

US Corn Yield

23







AS OF December 2005


12



25


0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

26


500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015


13



28



7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



Energy ActRFS


2006 Outlook




PRX

RFS


14



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



17

18

9


19


20

10




21

22


2004 data

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Ethanol Biodiesel


20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000


11



24

US Corn Yield

23







AS OF December 2005


12



25


0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

26


500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015


13



28



7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



Energy ActRFS


2006 Outlook




PRX

RFS


14



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27


19


20

10




21

22


2004 data

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Ethanol Biodiesel


20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000


11



24

US Corn Yield

23







AS OF December 2005


12



25


0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

26


500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015


13



28



7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



Energy ActRFS


2006 Outlook




PRX

RFS


14



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27




21

22


2004 data

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Ethanol Biodiesel


20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000


11



24

US Corn Yield

23







AS OF December 2005


12



25


0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

26


500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015


13



28



7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



Energy ActRFS


2006 Outlook




PRX

RFS


14



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



24

US Corn Yield

23







AS OF December 2005


12



25


0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

26


500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015


13



28



7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



Energy ActRFS


2006 Outlook




PRX

RFS


14



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



25


0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

Production Use

26


500

2500

4500

6500

8500

10500

12500

14500

2000-2001

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2009-2010

2013-2014

2014-2015


13



28



7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



Energy ActRFS


2006 Outlook




PRX

RFS


14



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



28



7317

8713

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



Energy ActRFS


2006 Outlook




PRX

RFS


14



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



29

E-10

TBD E-10

20 2012

57

E-10

E-10

2006

10 200810

2007 10 2010

10 200810

2010 10 2007

10 2010

5 2006

10 TBD

25 RF 2015

10 TBD


Shapouri et al


Agri-Food Canada

Shapouri et al

KimDale

Graboski

Wang et al

Shapouri et al

Pimentel

PimentelPatzek

Pimentel

30000

20000

139

126

113

0

-113

-126Net E

nerg

y Valu

e (Bt

uga

llon)

Net E

nerg

y Valu

e Rat

io

10000

0

-10000

-20000

-139-30000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005





15



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



32

Biodiesel USA

Production

GalYear

2000 1989400

2001 6437200

2002 8814600

2003 18400000

2004 18900000


31

16

0

200

400

600

800

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MGYEAR

BBI International



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



33



34

Palm Oil Prices

17






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27






35





36

18


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27


37


38



19







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27







20



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



42

41

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400


Forest resources





368

998

1366

21



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



43


377

446

87

87

0 200 400 600




44

22



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



45


46

23



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



Biomass






47





technology 48


24



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27



49

50

25


51


52

26


53


27


51


52

26


53


27


53


27

Click to edit Master title style Biomass Vision and ... · Click to edit Master title style Biomass...

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