CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong,...

20
Mergers & Acquisitions | Debt & Equity Placements | Strategic Advisory Services Seattle CLE Materials May 2018

Transcript of CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong,...

Page 1: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

Mergers & Acquisitions | Debt & Equity Placements | Strategic Advisory Services

Seattle

CLE Materials

May 2018

Page 2: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

2

2018 Pacific Northwest Deals SpotlightPanel Discussion

Moderator:Walt Maas – Shareholder, Karr, Tuttle Campbell

Panelists:Charley Geiger – Principal, Blue Point Capital Partners

Nicholas E. Ferrer – Partner, Perkins Coie LLP Brian Murphy – President and Managing Director, Meridian Capital

Bradaigh Wagner – Managing Director, Endeavour Capital Mark D. Working – Co-Founder, Zachary Scott Investment Bankers

Page 3: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

3

National M&A Trends

Page 4: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

4

M&A Activity – North America

$1

,76

8.2

$1

,12

4.5

$7

30

.7

$1

,02

7.8

$1

,13

0.1

$1

,29

6.7

$1

,26

9.3

$1

,81

2.8

$2

,13

2.0

$2

,14

7.6

$1

,80

4.0

10,026

8,672

6,825

8,621

9,877

10,89010,450

13,06614,035

12,480

10,465

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*

Deal Flow ($B) Deal Count(#)*Estimated Projection

Source: Standard & Poor’s, Pitchbook

Record Deal Flow in 2015 and 2016 – slight decline in activity in 2017

Page 5: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

5

US Private Equity Deal Flow by Year

$2

89

$3

38

$3

66

$4

36

$5

13

$5

51

$5

99

$5

74

$8

9

1101

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018*Deal Value ($B) Estimated Deal Value ($B) # of Deals Closed # of Estimated Deals Closed

*Estimated ProjectionSource: Standard & Poor’s, Pitchbook

PE Activity Increasing, Playing Larger Role in the M&A Markets

Page 6: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

6

M&A Activity – Number of Deals by Deal Size

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*

Under $100M $100M-$250M $250M-$500M $500M-$1B $1B-$5B $5B+

*Estimated ProjectionSource: Standard & Poor’s, Pitchbook

Transactions under $100 Million consistently represent over 65% of all deals

Page 7: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

7

Median and Average Deal Size

$21 $24 $25 $25 $31 $30 $30 $40

$223 $216$241

$280

$308

$342

$413 $418

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

$450

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*

Median Average

*Estimated Projection

Source: Standard & Poor’s, Pitchbook

Median deal size has nearly doubled since 2010 to $40 million

Page 8: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

8

M&A Activity – Number of Deals by Sector

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*

B2B B2C Energy Financial Services Healthcare IT Materials & Resources

*Estimated ProjectionSource: Standard & Poor’s, Pitchbook

B2B, B2C and IT industries driving strong M&A activity

Page 9: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

9

Pacific Northwest Transaction Statistics – 2017 and 2018 YTD

Page 10: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

10

PNW Transaction Statistics – 2017 and 2018 YTD

2017 Deal Value

2018 YTD Deal Volume

2017 Deal Volume

2018 YTD Deal Value

Source: Pitchbook

Deal value represent data from 132 of 605

transactions

Page 11: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

1111

D e a l s b y I n d u s t r y

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

BusinessServices

Consumer Distribution FinancialServices

Healthcare Industrials Manufacturing Technology

Num

be

r o

f D

ea

ls

Deal Volume by Industry

2017 2018 YTD

$0.0

$2,000.0

$4,000.0

$6,000.0

$8,000.0

$10,000.0

$12,000.0

BusinessServices

Consumer Distribution FinancialServices

Healthcare Industrials Manufacturing Technology

To

tal V

Alu

e (

$M

)

Deal Value by Industry

2017 2018 YTD

Source: Pitchbook

Transaction value represents data from 132 of

605 transactions

PNW Transaction Activity by Industry – 2017 and 2018 YTD

Key Highlights

• Q1 2018 deal activity in region on

pace to match 2017 volume

• Technology and healthcare industries

continue to drive local deal activity

given significant level of local

entrepreneurial talent

• Industrial activity driven by

construction and building products

transactions as investors seeks

access to attractive PNW dynamics

Page 12: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

12

Factors Driving M&A Activity

Page 13: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

1313

Alignment of Macro Trends and Business Considerations

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019+

2018

Where are we in

market cycle?

Macro Valuation Trends

• Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples

• Significant debt and equity financing chasing limited transactions

• Likely a continued rising interest rate environment

• Strong macroeconomic performance

• Positive businesses owner sentiment

Business Considerations

• What are realistic growth assumptions?

• Impact on business valuation if multiples normalize?

• Investment needs in consolidating markets?

Page 14: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

14

Median US EV/EBITDA Multiples

5.0

x

4.9

x

3.6

x 4.6

x

5.0

x

4.2

x

5.1

x

5.4

x

5.7

x

5.2

x

5.7

x

3.9

x

3.4

x

3.8

x 3.5

x 4.1

x

4.1

x 3.4

x 4.2

x

4.3

x

5.2

x

4.8

x

8.9x

8.3x

7.4x

8.1x

9.1x

8.3x 8.4x

9.6x10.0x

10.5x 10.5x

0x

2x

4x

6x

8x

10x

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*

Debt/EBITDA Equity/EBITDA Valuation/EBITDA*Estimated ProjectionSource: Standard & Poor’s, Pitchbook

Historically high valuations and leverage for past 3 years

Page 15: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

15

Source: Standard & Poor’s, Pitchbook. Chart $ in billions.

Over $1 Trillion in Available Capital Driving Valuations

As of June 2017, $1.1 trillion in capital commitments were available for PE and VC firms to invest.

Private Equity, $961.5

Venture Capital, $145.4

Page 16: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

16

Timing and Valuation Considerations… When multiples are constant

Assumptions

Business Growth Rate 12%

Discount Rate - Time Value of Money 5%

Discount Rate - Execution Risk 0%

Beginning Multiple 10.0x

Multiple % Decline 0%

Year EBITDA MultipleEnterprise Value

(Future Dollars)

Enterprise Value

(Today's

Equivalent)

2017 10.00$ 10.0x $100.00 $100.00

2018 11.20$ 10.0x $112.00 $106.67

2019 12.54$ 10.0x $125.44 $113.78

2020 14.05$ 10.0x $140.49 $121.36

Page 17: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

17

Assumptions

Business Growth Rate 12%

Discount Rate - Time Value of Money 5%

Discount Rate - Execution Risk 0%

Beginning Multiple 10.0x

Multiple % Decline -20%

Year EBITDA MultipleEnterprise Value

(Future Dollars)

Enterprise Value

(Today's

Equivalent)

2017 10.00$ 10.0x $100.00 $100.00

2018 11.20$ 8.0x $89.60 $85.33

2019 12.54$ 8.0x $100.35 $91.02

2020 14.05$ 8.0x $112.39 $97.09

Timing and Valuation Considerations…When multiples normalize

Page 18: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

18

General Valuation Drivers

Page 19: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

19

Understanding Key Value Drivers in Your Industry…

Industry GeneralistNiche Market /

Industry FocusedFocus

Generic / Low

Barriers to EntryStrategic / Value-add

Product/

Services

RegionalNational Footprint /

ReputationReputation

Below Average

Margins

Operational Leverage

and High MarginsProfitability

Customer

Concentration

Diverse Customer

BaseCustomer Base

Early Stage Business

with Low Volume

Established Business

with Large ClienteleSize/Scale

One-time ProjectsContracted /

RecurringRevenue Profile

Increasing Multiple

Page 20: CLE Materials - Legal Executive Institute · Macro Valuation Trends •Valuations remain strong, but have experienced several years of above average multiples •Significant debt

20

Consistent, Strong

Performance

• Established Market

Position

• High Customer

Retention Driving

Recurring Revenue

• Differentiated Service

Offering

• Diverse End Market

Exposure

Consistency

Infrastructure

• Systems and

Processes in Place

• Reporting Capabilities

to Support Business

Decisions

• Management Team in

Place to Execute

Growth Plan

• Ability to Integrate Add-

on Acquisitions

Scalability

Near-term, Tangible

Growth Opportunities

• Industry is Poised for

Growth and

Consolidation

• Achievable Growth

Opportunities

• Exposure to Attractive

Regions

• Ability to Clearly

Articulate Growth

Initiatives

Visibility

What Drives the Multiple that Investors are Willing to Pay?

Minimize Perceived Risk

Maximize Perceived Reward