Civil Beat Oct. 23

39

1st Congressional District Race Margin of Error for 620 = +/- 3.9%

Congress 1

Frequency Percent

Hanabusa 307 49.5

Djou 281 45.3

Undecided 27 4.4

Not voting/Other 5 .8

Total 620 100.0

“EXIT POLL”: Results of those respondents who say they have already voted are embargoed until 6:00 p.m. on Election Day.

Congress 1 * Voting Crosstabulation

% within Voting

Voting Already voted Definitely vote Probably vote Total

Hanabusa 48.3% 49.6% 66.7% 49.5%

Djou 48.7% 43.6% 33.3% 45.3%

Undecided 2.1% 6.0% 4.4%

Congress 1

Not voting/Other .8% .8% .8%

] 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

40

Congress 1 * Obama Crosstabulation

% within Obama

Obama Approve Disapprove Unsure Total

Hanabusa 73.1% 5.4% 46.4% 49.5%

Djou 21.4% 92.2% 32.1% 45.3%

Undecided 5.2% .5% 21.4% 4.4%

Congress 1

Not voting/Other .3% 2.0% .8%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Obama * Congress 1 Crosstabulation

% within Congress 1

Congress 1 Hanabusa Djou Undecided Not voting/Other Total

Approve 92.2% 29.5% 74.1% 20.0% 62.4%

Disapprove 3.6% 67.3% 3.7% 80.0% 33.1%

Obama

Unsure 4.2% 3.2% 22.2% 4.5%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

41

Congress 1 * CountryDirection Crosstabulation

% within CountryDirection

CountryDirection Positive Negative Not sure Total

Hanabusa 75.6% 10.5% 40.0% 49.6%

Djou 20.1% 86.4% 33.3% 45.5%

Undecided 4.2% .9% 26.7% 4.1%

Congress 1

Not voting/Other 2.2% .8%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

CountryDirection * Congress 1 Crosstabulation

% within Congress 1


Positive 88.1% 25.5% 60.0% 57.8%

Negative 7.9% 70.9% 8.0% 100.0% 37.3%

CountryDirection

Not sure 4.0% 3.6% 32.0% 4.9%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

42

Congress 1 * StateDirection Crosstabulation

% within StateDirection

StateDirection Positive Negative Not sure Total

Hanabusa 51.4% 46.1% 57.1% 49.6%

Djou 44.7% 49.8% 25.7% 45.6%

Undecided 3.3% 2.9% 17.1% 4.0%

Congress 1


Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

StateDirection * Congress 1 Crosstabulation

% within Congress 1


Positive 56.3% 53.3% 45.8% 40.0% 54.4%

Negative 37.0% 43.5% 29.2% 60.0% 39.8%

StateDirection

Not sure 6.7% 3.3% 25.0% 5.8%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

43

Congress 1 * Gender Crosstabulation

% within Gender

Gender Female Male Total

Hanabusa 49.0% 48.3% 48.6%

Djou 45.8% 47.8% 46.7%

Undecided 4.2% 3.0% 3.7%

Congress 1

Not voting/Other 1.0% .9% 1.0%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

44

Congress 1 * Race Crosstabulation

% within Race

Race Asian White Pacific Islander African American Hispanic Two or more Total

Hanabusa 56.8% 39.9% 63.2% 37.5% 60.0% 27.3% 48.7%

Djou 38.7% 57.2% 36.8% 25.0% 40.0% 61.4% 46.6%

Undecided 3.7% 1.7% 25.0% 11.4% 3.7%

Congress 1

Not voting/Other .8% 1.2% 12.5% 1.0%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Congress 1 * Asian Crosstabulation

% within Asian

Asian Chinese Japanese Filipino Korean Other Mixed Total

Hanabusa 35.4% 66.2% 45.5% 50.0% 66.7% 50.0% 56.7%

Djou 58.3% 31.0% 54.5% 50.0% 33.3% 21.4% 38.7%

Undecided 6.3% 2.1% 21.4% 3.8%

Congress 1


Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

45

Congress 1 * Religion Crosstabulation

% within Religion

Religion Catholic Mormon Evangelical Other Christian Jewish Buddhist Other None Total

Hanabusa 47.1% 50.0% 17.9% 50.0% 55.6% 69.5% 42.5% 59.8% 48.7%

Djou 45.9% 40.0% 80.6% 47.9% 33.3% 27.1% 47.5% 33.3% 46.5%

Undecided 5.9% 10.0% 1.5% 2.1% 3.4% 7.5% 4.6% 3.8%

Congress 1

Not voting/Other 1.2% 11.1% 2.5% 2.3% 1.0%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

46

Congress 1 * Party Crosstabulation

% within Party

Party Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Total

Hanabusa 79.1% 7.8% 36.6% 38.1% 48.8%

Djou 18.5% 89.3% 56.3% 47.6% 46.4%

Undecided 1.9% 1.0% 6.3% 11.9% 3.8%

Congress 1

Not voting/Other .5% 1.9% .7% 2.4% 1.0%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Congress 1 * TeaParty Crosstabulation

% within TeaParty

TeaParty Yes No Unsure Total

Hanabusa 13.3% 56.9% 20.0% 48.6%

Djou 83.3% 38.8% 70.0% 46.7%

Undecided 1.7% 4.1% 2.5% 3.7%

Congress 1

Not voting/Other 1.7% .3% 7.5% 1.0%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

47

Congress 1 * Politics Crosstabulation

% within Politics

Politics Liberal Moderate Conservative Unsure Total

Hanabusa 81.2% 57.8% 15.1% 41.7% 48.0%

Djou 15.4% 37.7% 82.9% 43.3% 47.2%

Undecided 3.4% 3.9% .7% 11.7% 3.7%

Congress 1

Not voting/Other .6% 1.3% 3.3% 1.0%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

48

Congress 1 * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education

Education

High School or

less Some College College Graduate Graduate Plus Post Grad Degree Total

Hanabusa 46.8% 37.0% 49.3% 48.1% 58.7% 48.6%

Djou 48.4% 58.0% 44.1% 48.1% 38.0% 46.5%

Undecided 3.2% 4.0% 4.4% 3.7% 3.3% 3.8%

Congress 1

Not voting/Other 1.6% 1.0% 2.2% 1.1%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

49

2nd Congressional District Race Margin of Error for 620 = +/- 4.1%

Congress 2

Frequency Percent

Hirono 329 58.6

Willoughby 197 35.1

Undecided 28 5.0

Not voting/Other 7 1.2

Valid

Total 561 100.0

“EXIT POLL”: Results of those respondents who say they have already voted are embargoed until 6:00 p.m. on Election Day. .

Congress 2 * Voting Crosstabulation

% within Voting

Voting Already voted Definitely vote Probably vote Total

Hirono 67.1% 55.1% 60.0% 58.6%

Willoughby 26.8% 38.5% 40.0% 35.1%

Undecided 4.3% 5.4% 5.0%

Congress 2

Not voting/Other 1.8% 1.0% 1.2%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

50

Congress 2 * Obama Crosstabulation

% within Obama

Obama Approve Disapprove Unsure Total

Hirono 84.1% 13.9% 50.0% 58.6%

Willoughby 11.0% 81.4% 5.0% 35.1%

Undecided 3.7% 3.6% 40.0% 5.0%

Congress 2

Not voting/Other 1.2% 1.0% 5.0% 1.2%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Obama * Congress 2 Crosstabulation

% within Congress 2

Congress 2 Hirono Willoughby Undecided Not voting/Other Total

Approve 88.8% 19.3% 46.4% 57.1% 61.9%

Disapprove 8.2% 80.2% 25.0% 28.6% 34.6%

Obama

Unsure 3.0% .5% 28.6% 14.3% 3.6%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

51

Congress 2 * CountryDirection Crosstabulation

% within CountryDirection

CountryDirection Positive Negative Not sure Total

Hirono 84.9% 19.5% 64.0% 58.7%

Willoughby 10.7% 74.0% 12.0% 35.2%

Undecided 3.8% 5.1% 16.0% 4.8%

Congress 2


Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

CountryDirection * Congress 2 Crosstabulation

% within Congress 2


Positive 82.3% 17.3% 44.4% 28.6% 56.9%

Negative 12.8% 81.1% 40.7% 42.9% 38.6%

CountryDirection

Not sure 4.9% 1.5% 14.8% 28.6% 4.5%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

52

StateDirection * Congress 2 Crosstabulation

% within Congress 2


Positive 59.8% 49.0% 44.4% 14.3% 54.7%

Negative 35.6% 47.9% 37.0% 71.4% 40.4%

StateDirection

Not sure 4.6% 3.1% 18.5% 14.3% 4.9%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Congress 2 * StateDirection Crosstabulation

% within StateDirection

StateDirection Positive Negative Not sure Total

Hirono 64.4% 51.8% 55.6% 58.8%

Willoughby 31.4% 41.5% 22.2% 35.0%

Undecided 4.0% 4.5% 18.5% 4.9%

Congress 2


Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

53

Congress 2 * Gender Crosstabulation

% within Gender

Gender Female Male Total

Hirono 60.5% 56.9% 59.1%

Willoughby 33.7% 37.6% 35.2%

Undecided 4.5% 4.1% 4.3%

Congress 2


Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

54

Congress 2 * Race Crosstabulation

% within Race

Race Asian White Pacific Islander African American Hispanic Two or more Total

Hirono 68.7% 53.3% 67.5% 75.0% 61.5% 55.6% 59.1%

Willoughby 24.4% 42.4% 27.5% 25.0% 38.5% 33.3% 35.3%

Undecided 3.8% 3.5% 5.0% 9.3% 4.2%

Congress 2

Not voting/Other 3.1% .8% 1.9% 1.4%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Congress 2 * Asian Crosstabulation

% within Asian

Asian Chinese Japanese Filipino Korean Other Mixed Not sure Total

Hirono 57.1% 76.1% 52.9% 75.0% 75.0% 61.5% 100.0% 68.7%

Willoughby 33.3% 22.5% 35.3% 25.0% 15.4% 24.4%

Undecided 11.8% 25.0% 15.4% 3.8%

Congress 2

Not voting/Other 9.5% 1.4% 7.7% 3.1%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

55

Congress 2 * Religion Crosstabulation

% within Religion

Religion Catholic Mormon Evangelical Other Christian Jewish Buddhist Other None Total

Hirono 60.9% 39.1% 46.3% 48.2% 68.8% 87.5% 57.1% 74.1% 59.0%

Willoughby 34.5% 43.5% 53.8% 43.6% 31.3% 12.5% 31.4% 18.5% 35.4%

Undecided 3.6% 13.0% 4.5% 11.4% 6.2% 4.2%

Congress 2

Not voting/Other .9% 4.3% 3.6% 1.2% 1.4%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

56

Congress 2 * Party Crosstabulation

% within Party

Party Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Total

Hirono 89.4% 19.0% 47.3% 50.0% 59.3%

Willoughby 6.5% 78.4% 45.0% 30.0% 35.0%

Undecided 3.2% 1.7% 4.7% 20.0% 4.3%

Congress 2

Not voting/Other .9% .9% 3.1% 1.4%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Congress 2 * TeaParty Crosstabulation

% within TeaParty

TeaParty Yes No Unsure Total

Hirono 17.6% 71.2% 46.7% 59.6%

Willoughby 82.4% 24.0% 31.1% 34.8%

Undecided 3.1% 20.0% 4.1%

Congress 2


Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

57

Congress 2 * Politics Crosstabulation

% within Politics

Politics Liberal Moderate Conservative Unsure Total

Hirono 93.1% 69.1% 21.3% 62.0% 59.9%

Willoughby 4.6% 25.5% 75.3% 20.0% 34.9%

Undecided 4.0% 2.7% 16.0% 3.8%

Congress 2

Not voting/Other 2.3% 1.3% .7% 2.0% 1.5%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

58

Congress 2 * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education

Education

High School or

less Some College College Graduate Graduate Plus Post Grad Degree Total

Hirono 70.3% 55.2% 55.4% 60.9% 66.3% 60.1%

Willoughby 21.9% 39.7% 39.6% 35.9% 30.2% 35.0%

Undecided 6.3% 5.2% 4.3% 3.4%

Congress 2

Not voting/Other 1.6% .7% 3.1% 3.5% 1.5%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Civil Beat Oct. 23

News & Politics

Transcript of Civil Beat Oct. 23