CIVIC ENGAGEMENT - Texas A&M University · 2018-10-29 · Appointed State Demographer by the...
Transcript of CIVIC ENGAGEMENT - Texas A&M University · 2018-10-29 · Appointed State Demographer by the...
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
CIVIC ENGAGEMENT Through the Eyes of a Millennial
Sept. 12, 2018 2018 Environmental Conference
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Involving Millennials
Millennials’ communication habits
differ dramatically from their
predecessors.
– Online engagement can be an
innovative and effective
approach to the overall
public involvement strategy
in reaching this audience.
– Millennials lead the country
in the civic use of social media
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3D Virtual Tours for I-10 Connect in El Paso
Millennial Markers
In TxDOT’s culture of transparency, involving millennials in our transportation decisions
is imperative.
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Meet Our Panelists!
3
Millennial Markers
Communicating with millennials is a good strategy for improving and advancing
TxDOT projects, as this group has ideas worth exploring.
Demographic Trends
Appointed State
Demographer by the governor
in 2010
Professor in the Department
of Demography at University
of Texas at San Antonio
Director of Institute for
Demographic and
Socioeconomic Research
Transportation Planning
Transportation planner with
more than 25 years
experience in private and
public sectors
Program manager for North
Central Texas Region’s
Mobility Plan, automated
transportation system and
high-speed rail projects
Best Practices
District’s Advance Planning
Engineer with more than 23
years of experience in
planning, design and
construction
Oversees planning, design,
environmental, public
involvement, utilities,
surveying, landscape
architecture and contracts
Lloyd B. Potter, Ph.D.
Texas State Demographer
Kevin Feldt, North Central Texas
Council of Governments
Allison Kurwitz
TxDOT Bryan District
@TexasDemography
Civic Engagement through the Eyes of a Millennial:
Who are Texas Millennials?
TxDOT Environmental Conference
Dallas, Texas
September 12, 2018
Growing States, 2010-2017
2010 Census
Population 2017 Population
Numeric
Change
2010-2017
Percent
Change
2010-2017
United States 308,745,538 325,719,178 16,973,640 5.5%
Texas 25,145,561 28,304,596 3,159,035 12.6%
California 37,253,956 39,536,653 2,282,697 6.1%
Florida 18,801,310 20,984,400 2,183,090 11.6%
Georgia 9,687,653 10,429,379 741,726 7.7%
North Carolina 9,535,483 10,273,419 737,936 7.7%
Washington 6,724,540 7,405,743 681,203 10.1%
Arizona 6,392,017 7,016,270 624,253 9.8%
Colorado 5,029,196 5,607,154 577,958 11.5%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2017 Population Estimates.
Dallas
Howard
Foard
Floyd
Brewster
Franklin
Hunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
Freestone
Winkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
La Salle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
Upton
Hamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
Hemphill
Hartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
MadisonMcCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
Jim Wells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
Bastrop
Austin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort
Bend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
Live
Oak
Motley
Sherman Ochiltree
Comal
Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2017
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
POPESTIMATE2017
134 - 10,000
10,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 500,000
500,001 - 2,000,000
2,000,001 - 4,652,980
87%
Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2017
7 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
Dallas
Howard
Foard
Floyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
Freestone
Winkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
Van
Zandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
La Salle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
Upton
Hamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Limestone
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
Hemphill
Hartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
Jim Wells
Delta
Stonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
BastropAustin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
FortBend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
Jim
Hogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
ShermanOchiltree
Comal
Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
popch1017Base
-2,218 - 0
1 - 5,000
5,001 - 25,000
25,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 545,553Dallas
Howard
Foard
Floyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
Freestone
Winkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
Van
Zandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
La Salle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
Upton
Hamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Limestone
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
Hemphill
Hartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
Jim Wells
Delta
Stonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
BastropAustin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
FortBend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
Jim
Hogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
ShermanOchiltree
Comal
Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
popch1017Base
-2,218 - 0
1 - 5,000
5,001 - 25,000
25,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 545,553
Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2017
8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
DomMig1017
-43,103 - 0
1 - 1,000
1,001 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 108,013
Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
DomMig1017
-43,103 - 0
1 - 1,000
1,001 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 108,013Dallas
Howard
Foard
Floyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
Freestone
Winkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
Van
Zandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
La Salle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
Upton
Hamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Limestone
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
Hemphill
Hartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
Jim Wells
Delta
Stonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
BastropAustin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
FortBend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
Jim
Hogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
ShermanOchiltree
Comal
Estimated Numeric Change from Domestic Migration by County, Texas, 2010 to 2017
9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
Dallas
Howard
Foard
Floyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
Freestone
Winkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
Van
Zandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
La Salle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
Upton
Hamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Limestone
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
Hemphill
Hartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
Jim Wells
Delta
Stonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
BastropAustin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
FortBend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
Jim
Hogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
ShermanOchiltree
Comal
Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
DomMig1017
-43,103 - 0
1 - 1,000
1,001 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 108,013
Estimated population aged 20-35 years,
Texas counties, 2017
Dallas
Howard
FoardFloyd
Brewster
Franklin
Hunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
Tom
Green
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
Palo
Pinto
Glasscock
Shelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
Freestone
Winkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
Van
Zandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
La Salle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
Upton
Hamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Limestone
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
San
Patricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
Jim Wells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
Bastrop
Austin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort
Bend
Bosque
Hockley
San
Saba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
Jim
Hogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
Live
Oak
Motley
Sherman Ochiltree
Comal
10
Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
Millenials
30 - 2,499
2,500 - 9,999
10,000 - 99,999
100,000 - 499,999
500,000 - 1,065,573
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
Percent of the population aged 20-35 years, Texas counties, 2017
Dallas
Howard
FoardFloyd
Brewster
Franklin
Hunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
Tom
Green
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
Palo
Pinto
Glasscock
Shelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
FreestoneWinkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
Van
Zandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
La Salle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
Upton
Hamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Limestone
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
San
Patricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
Hemphill
Hartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
Jim Wells
Delta
Stonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
Bastrop
Austin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort
Bend
Bosque
Hockley
San
Saba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
Jim
Hogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
Live
Oak
Motley
ShermanOchiltree
Comal
11
Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
PercentMill
11.7% - 15%
15.1% - 20%
20.1% - 25%
25.1% - 30%
30.1% - 35.9%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
County
U.S. Rank
Population
Change
Population
Change
Percent of
Change from
Natural
Increase
Percent Change
from Domestic
Migration
Percent Change
from
International
Migration
Harris* 4 35,939 128.8% -126.0% 97.2%
Tarrant 5 32,729 47.9% 29.0% 23.1%
Bexar 7 30,831 47.8% 33.4% 18.8%
Dallas 8 30,686 78.0% -25.5% 47.6%
Denton 9 27,911 23.3% 67.0% 9.7%
Collin 10 27,150 24.4% 56.5% 19.0%
Fort Bend 14 22,870 29.4% 48.1% 22.6%
Travis 15 22,116 47.9% 22.1% 30.0%
Williamson 19 19,776 20.1% 73.5% 6.3%
Montgomery 28 16,412 22.7% 68.5% 8.8%
Hidalgo* 49 10,474 105.9% -34.5% 28.5%
* Hidalgo and Harris Counties had negative net migration (Harris -10,322 and Hidalgo -621). Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
Top Counties for Numeric
Growth in Texas, 2016-2017
Top Counties for Percent
Growth* in Texas, 2016-2017
County
U.S.
Rank
2015-2016
Percent
Population
Change
Percent
Change from
Domestic
Migration
Percent Change
from
International
Migration
Comal 2 5.1% 90.7% 1.9% Hays 4 5.0% 81.6% 2.8% Kendall 5 4.9% 96.3% 3.3% Kaufman 11 4.1% 83.0% 2.2% Rains 13 4.0% 103.1% 2.9% Williamson 16 3.7% 73.5% 6.3% Rockwall 22 3.6% 81.8% 2.4% Parker 26 3.6% 89.7% 1.3% Denton 32 3.5% 67.0% 9.7% Guadalupe 36 3.3% 81.4% 2.7% Ellis 44 3.1% 78.2% 3.0% Llano 45 3.1% 119.8% 0.5% Fort Bend 48 3.1% 48.1% 22.6%
*Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2017
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
Rank City State Numeric increase 2017 total population
1 San Antonio Texas 24,208 1,511,946
2 Phoenix Arizona 24,036 1,626,078
3 Dallas Texas 18,935 1,341,075
4 Fort Worth Texas 18,664 874,168
5 Los Angeles California 18,643 3,999,759
6 Seattle Washington 17,490 724,745
7 Charlotte North Carolina 15,551 859,035
8 Columbus Ohio 15,429 879,170
9 Frisco Texas 13,470 177,286
10 Atlanta Georgia 13,323 486,290
11 San Diego California 12,834 1,419,516
12 Austin Texas 12,515 950,715
13 Jacksonville Florida 11,169 892,062
14 Irvine California 11,068 277,453
15 Henderson Nevada 10,534 302,539
The 15 Cities With the Largest Numeric Increase Between July 1, 2016, and July 1, 2017 (Populations of 50,000 or more in 2016)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
The 15 Most Populous Cities as of July 1, 2017
Rank City State 2017 total population
1 New York New York 8,622,698
2 Los Angeles California 3,999,759
3 Chicago Illinois 2,716,450
4 Houston Texas 2,312,717
5 Phoenix Arizona 1,626,078
6 Philadelphia Pennsylvania 1,580,863
7 San Antonio Texas 1,511,946
8 San Diego California 1,419,516
9 Dallas Texas 1,341,075
10 San Jose California 1,035,317
11 Austin Texas 950,715
12 Jacksonville Florida 892,062
13 San Francisco California 884,363
14 Columbus Ohio 879,170
15 Fort Worth Texas 874,168 15
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
The 15 Fastest-Growing Large Cities and Towns Between July 1, 2016, and July 1, 2017 (Populations of 50,000 or more in 2016)
Rank City State Percent increase
2017 total population
1 Frisco Texas 8.2 177,286
2 New Braunfels Texas 8.0 79,152
3 Pflugerville Texas 6.5 63,359
4 Ankeny Iowa 6.4 62,416
5 Buckeye Arizona 5.9 68,453
6 Georgetown Texas 5.4 70,685
7 Castle Rock town Colorado 5.1 62,276
8 Franklin Tennessee 4.9 78,321
9 McKinney Texas 4.8 181,330
10 Meridian Idaho 4.7 99,926
11 Flower Mound town Texas 4.3 76,681
12 Bend Oregon 4.3 94,520
13 Cedar Park Texas 4.2 75,704
14 Doral Florida 4.2 61,130
15 Fort Myers Florida 4.2 79,94
16 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
1500000 1000000 500000 0 500000 1000000 1500000
Under 5 years
5 to 9 years
10 to 14 years
15 to 19 years
20 to 24 years
25 to 29 years
30 to 34 years
35 to 39 years
40 to 44 years
45 to 49 years
50 to 54 years
55 to 59 years
60 to 64 years
65 to 69 years
70 to 74 years
75 to 79 years
80 to 84 years
85 years and over
NH White Male NH Black Male NH Asian Male NH Other Male Hispanic Male
NH White Female NH Black Female NH Asian Female NH Other Female Hispanic Female
17
Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2017
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
Estimated race/ethnic percent of the Texas population by age group, 2012-2016
33.4 39.3
43.6
60.5
44.4
11.8
12.3 12.2
10.3
11.6
48.5 42.2
37.8
24.7
38.3
3.5 4.6 5.1 3.4 4.1
2.7 1.7 1.3 1.0 1.7
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
LT 20 20-34 35-49 50 plus Total
NH Other
NH Asian
Hispanic
NH Black
NH White
18
Estimated percent race/ethnic composition of millennial age groups, Texas, 2017
33.3% 34.9% 37.7%
48.2% 45.6% 41.8%
12.4% 13.2% 13.5%
4.0% 4.5% 5.5%
2.1% 1.8% 1.5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
20 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 30 to 34 years
NH Other
NH Asian
NH Black
Hispanic
NH White
19 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
Estimates of the race/ethnic composition of millennial age groups, Texas, 2017
692,862 794,596 796,468
904,280 882,236 834,269
262,898 284,315
257,475
88,665 115,258
124,147
35,789 32,513
27,212
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
20 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 30 to 34 years
NH Other
NH Asian
NH Black
Hispanic
NH White
20 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
Percent Native Born by Age Group, Texas, 2012-2016
94.9
79.3
72.5
82.7
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
LT 20 20-34 35-49 50 plus
21 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 year sample, 2012-1016
Percent of Geographic Mobility Type by Age Group, Texas, 2012-2016
82.0
70.6
85.0 91.8
82.9
0.7
1.3
0.7
0.4
0.7
17.3
28.1
14.3 7.8
16.4
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
LT 20 20-34 35-49 50 plus Total
Different house in US
Outside US
Same house (nonmovers)
22 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 year sample, 2012-1016
1,500 1,000 500 0 500 1,000 1,500
Under 5
5 to 9 years
10 to 14 years
15 to 19 years
20 to 24 years
25 to 29 years
30 to 34 years
35 to 39 years
40 to 44 years
45 to 49 years
50 to 65 years
55 to 59 years
60 to 65 years
65 to 69 years
70 to 74 years
75 to 79 years
80 to 84 years
85 years and older
Thousands
2010 Male 2030 Male 2010 Female 2030 Female
Texas Population Change by Age Group, 2010-2030
Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections
Contact
State Demographer
Office: (210) 458-6530
Email: [email protected]
Internet: demographics.texas.gov
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
@TexasDemography
24
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
DEVELOPING THE MOBILITY 2045 PLAN IN THE FACE OF CHANGE
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference
Kevin Feldt, AICP
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
2045 County Population Forecast
26
County 2005 2040 2045 2040-2045
Change 2040-2045
% Change
Rockwall 59,578 166,357 181,561 15,204 9.1%
Denton 541,622 1,241,681 1,346,314 104,633 8.4%
Collin 647,831 1,560,421 1,689,170 128,749 8.3%
Kaufman 86,119 210,097 224,205 14,108 6.7%
Ellis 128,123 283,898 300,955 17,057 6.0%
Parker 98,950 195,286 206,811 11,525 5.9%
Tarrant 1,587,173 3,094,649 3,263,616 168,967 5.5%
Hood 45,934 81,578 85,739 4,161 5.1%
Johnson 138,231 252,521 262,868 10,347 4.1%
Wise 54,568 101,865 105,796 3,931 3.9%
Dallas 2,224,183 3,357,469 3,445,189 87,720 2.6%
Hunt 80,978 131,022 134,291 3,269 2.5%
Total 5,695,295 10,676,844 11,246,516 569,672 5.3%
Po
pu
lati
on
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
2045 County Employment Forecast
27
County 2005 2040 2045 2040-2045
Change
2040-2045
% Change
Rockwall 24,025 53,372 58,611 5,239 9.8%
Collin 359,914 762,920 835,342 72,422 9.5%
Wise 23,710 47,224 51,510 4,286 9.1%
Parker 44,544 80,404 86,883 6,479 8.1%
Denton 205,991 445,070 479,620 34,550 7.8%
Hood 15,011 29,448 31,727 2,279 7.7%
Kaufman 35,352 64,040 68,290 4,250 6.6%
Ellis 53,591 96,872 102,696 5,824 6.0%
Johnson 59,327 105,198 111,281 6,083 5.8%
Tarrant 947,961 1,739,327 1,827,385 88,058 5.1%
Hunt 39,064 70,099 72,659 2,560 3.7%
Dallas 1,809,315 3,197,475 3,298,213 100,738 3.2%
MPA 3,617,805 6,691,449 7,024,214 332,765 5.0%
Em
plo
yme
nt
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Travel Demand
28
VMT
–212 million miles in 2018
–331 million miles in 2045
Vehicle Hours of Delay
–1.7 million hours in 2018
–3.8 million hours in 2045
Cost of Congestion
–$12 billion in 2018
–$27 billion in 2045
Existing Funding Sources Unable to Keep Pace
Tra
vel D
em
an
d
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Mobility Plan Development
29
Growth, Development, and Land Use Strategies More Efficient Land Use & Transportation Balance
Management, Operations and Technology Improve Efficiency & Remove Trips from System Traffic Signals and Bicycle & Pedestrian Improvements
Infrastructure Maintenance Maintain & Operate Existing Facilities Bridge Replacements
Max
imiz
e
Exis
tin
g Sy
ste
m
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Mobility Plan Development
30
Freeways/Tollways and Arterials Additional Roadway Capacity
HOV/Managed Lanes Increase Auto Occupancy
Rail and Bus Induce Switch to Transit
Growth, Development, and Land Use Strategies More Efficient Land Use & Transportation Balance
Management, Operations and Technology Improve Efficiency & Remove Trips from System Traffic Signals and Bicycle & Pedestrian Improvements
Infrastructure Maintenance Maintain & Operate Existing Facilities Bridge Replacements
Max
imiz
e
Exis
tin
g Sy
ste
m
Stra
tegi
c In
fras
tru
ctu
re
Inve
stm
en
t
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Mobility 2045 Expenditures
31
Freeways/Tollways and Arterials Additional Roadway Capacity
HOV/Managed Lanes Increase Auto Occupancy
Rail and Bus Induce Switch to Transit
Growth, Development, and Land Use Strategies More Efficient Land Use & Transportation Balance
Management, Operations and Technology Improve Efficiency & Remove Trips from System Traffic Signals and Bicycle & Pedestrian Improvements
Infrastructure Maintenance Maintain & Operate Existing Facilities Bridge Replacements
Total Expenditures1
$ 37.5
$ 9.5
$ 3.2
$ 33.3
$ 52.0
Max
imiz
e
Exis
tin
g Sy
ste
m
Stra
tegi
c In
fras
tru
ctu
re
Inve
stm
en
t
$135.42
Notes: 1 Actual dollars, in billions. Values may not sum due to independent rounding. 2 Balances to reasonably expected revenue, demonstrating financial constraint.
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Major Roadway Recommendations
Roadway
Expenditures
$ 52 B Regional
Roadway Needs
$ 389 B
Shortfall
$ 327 B
Regional Roadway Funding Conditions
18
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Suburban and CBD Buffer Areas
21
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Suburban/Urban Population
34
Data Source Year CBD Suburban Total Decennial Census 1990 43,388 1,134,423 4,013,418
Decennial Census 2000 48,627 1,560,474 5,197,317
Decennial Census 2010 61,382 2,461,163 6,417,724
Demographic Forecast 2020 64,859 3,154,883 7,680,766
Demographic Forecast 2028 88,243 3,964,735 8,722,529
Demographic Forecast 2037 120,075 4,822,961 10,188,220
Demographic Forecast 2045 145,769 5,411,552 11,246,516
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
Near CBDs Near Suburban Fringe Region Total
Annualized Population Growth Rates Near
CBDs
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Suburban/Urban Employment
35
Data Source Year CBD Suburban Total
Demographic Forecast 2018 531,827 994,136 4,793,363
Demographic Forecast 2020 531,595 1,050,838 5,103,584
Demographic Forecast 2028 539,280 1,282,697 5,455,956
Demographic Forecast 2037 613,691 1,578,255 6,382,301
Demographic Forecast 2045 670,580 1,811,726 7,024,214
Annualized Employment Growth Rates
-0.50%
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
Near CBDs Near Suburban Fringe Region Total
Near
CBDs
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Major Transit Corridor Recommendations
25
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Major Roadway Recommendations
28
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Technology Initiatives
Technology Chapter
New Policies
–Encourage Data Sharing
–Encourage Automated Vehicles
–Support Infrastructure Maintenance
–Encourage Ridesharing
–Increase Average Vehicle Occupancy
–Reliable and Robust Wireless
Communications
38
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Unknown Impacts
Ride-Hailing and Car Sharing Services
–Car ownership rates
–Transit Use
–Vehicle Miles of Travel
Future Technologies
–Uber Elevate
–Hyperloop
–Automated Vehicles
39
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Unknown Impacts
Goods and Services Distribution
–Online shopping
Technology Absorption Rate
–Older populations may be low
Mobile Devices
–Waze
–Uber/Lyft Applications
–Google Maps
40
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Mobility Plan Strategy
Maximize Existing System
–Maintain Existing Infrastructure
–Increase Investments
–Manage Congestion
• Transit, Bike/Ped, Technology
–Increase Emphasis on Land Use
• Transportation Connections
• Sustainable Development Policies and Programs
–Focus on System Reliability
41
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Mobility Plan Strategy
Strategic Investment in Capacity Projects
–Rail and Bus
–Roadway
Coordinate with Partners
–Local
–State
–Federal
42
Source: North Tarrant Express
Source: Trinity Metro
Source: DART
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Contact Information
43
Kevin Feldt, AICP
Program Manager
(817) 704-2529
Dan Lamers, P.E.
Senior Program Manager
(817) 695-9263
www.nctcog.org/mobility2045
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Best Practices
Allison Kurwitz
Transportation Engineering Supervisor
Advance Planning Office
TxDOT Bryan District
44
BEST PRACTICES IN ENGAGING
THE MILLENNIALS
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Best Practices – Key Learnings
45
Where it all starts:
Understanding your key
stakeholders:
• Understand your community
demographics and what they
expect
• Develop an outreach and
engagement plan early
• Communicate to the
“scanners,” be quick, be
brief, be visual
• Commit to using multiple
outreach methods
Median Age:
College Station: 22.5 years
Texas: 34.5 years
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
FM 2818 Online Engagement Survey
46
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Best Practices – FM 2818 Feedback and Key Findings
47
• Nearly 500 participants
completed the online survey
• A little more than 50% of the
survey audience fell into
Millennial age range
• Public input nearly tripled in
participation compared to
public meeting attendance
(167 attendees)
• Nearly 800 comments
received
• Nearly 80% participated
online vs. mobile platform
1,348 map markers placed with
502 comments
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Best Practices – FM 2818 Outreach Methods
48
Social Media – Viral Effect
TxDOT
Branded
Blasts
TxDOT
Website
Interactive
Project
Pages
Media Outreach
Open House Display
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
2018 Active Transportation Event: Creative Meeting Format
49
• Public hearing featured a “station
format” open house
• Informational tables featured
representatives from TxDOT, City of
Bryan, City of College Station,
Brazos Valley Council on
Independent Living and the
Bryan/College Station Metropolitan
Planning Organization
• Online “Engage Station” provided
• More than 100 participants
completed the online survey
• Nearly 50% of the survey audience
fell into Millennial age range
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Bryan District Key Takeaways
50
• Consider the millennials as you develop strategies
for outreach
• Get help – reach out to the experts to assist with
outreach and communications
• Start early, be consistent
• Be brief and keep your “scanners” in mind
• Be willing to try new techniques – be creative!
• Look ahead to Generation Z preferences
Most importantly:
Consider millennial feedback as part of your
transportation decision making.
2018 TxDOT Environmental Conference Sept. 12, 2018
Messaging Millennials
51
Government Transparency & Accountability
Climate Change and the Destruction of Natural Resources
Lack of Economic Opportunity and Employment
Poverty
Basic Welfare and Health Care
Core Values Include: Civic Duty, Diversity, Extremely Techno Savvy,
Realism, Achievement, and Avid Consumers
1
2
3
4
5
Top 5 Issues