Citi 2014 Global Energy and Utilities Conference - Cabot Presentation
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Transcript of Citi 2014 Global Energy and Utilities Conference - Cabot Presentation
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Citi 2014 Global Energy and Utilities Conference May 12 - 13, 2014
KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
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Extensive Inventory of Low-Risk, High-Return Drilling Opportunities
Industry-Leading Production and Reserve Growth
Low Cost Structure
Strong Financial Position and Financial
Flexibility
– Over 3,000 locations in the sweet spot of the Marcellus Shale, implying 25+ years of inventory at current drilling levels
– Peer-leading rates of return and EUR per lateral foot in the Marcellus Shale
– Oil-focused initiative in the Eagle Ford Shale
– 2014 production growth guidance of 28% - 41%
– Initial 2015 production growth guidance of 20% - 30%
– 2013 proved reserve growth of 42% resulting in a three-year reserve CAGR of 26%
– 2013 total company all-sources finding costs of $0.55 per Mcfe
– 2013 Marcellus-only all-sources finding costs of $0.40 per Mcf
– 2014 total company per unit cash cost1 guidance of ~$1.25 per Mcfe
– 2014 Marcellus-only per unit cash cost1 guidance of ~$0.75 per Mcf
– Net debt to adjusted capitalization ratio of 34.5% as of 3/31/2014
– Over $900 million of liquidity as of 3/31/2014
1Excludes DD&A, exploration expense, stock-based compensation and pension termination expenses
ASSET OVERVIEW
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Marcellus Shale ~200,000 net acres Current Rig Count: 6 2014E Drilling Activity: ~110 net wells
Eagle Ford Shale ~66,000 net acres Current Rig Count: 2 (increasing to 3 beginning in Q3 2014) 2014E Drilling Activity: 40 - 50 net wells
2013 Year-End Proved Reserves: 5.5 Tcfe 2013 Production: 413.6 Bcfe 2014E Production: 530 – 585 Bcfe 2014E Drilling Activity: 150 – 170 net wells
PROVEN TRACK RECORD OF PRODUCTION GROWTH…
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130.6
187.5
267.7
413.6
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E
Bcfe
LiquidsGas
43.5%
42.8%
54.5%
2014 Guidance: 28% - 41%
2015 Guidance: 20% - 30%
…AND RESERVE GROWTH
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2.7 3.0
3.8
5.5
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E
Tcfe
LiquidsGas
12.3%
26.7%
41.9%
INDUSTRY-LEADING CASH COST STRUCTURE
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$2.12
$1.76 $1.67
$1.28 Guidance Midpoint:
$1.25
~$0.75
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2014E Marcellus Only
$ / M
cfe
Operating Transportation¹ Taxes O/T Income G&A² Financing
1 Includes all demand charges and gathering fees 2 Excludes stock-based compensation and pension termination expenses
CAPITAL EFFICIENT ASSETS CONTINUE TO RESULT IN SUPERIOR FINDING COSTS
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$1.05
$1.21
$0.87
$0.55 $0.63 $0.65
$0.49
$0.40
$0.00
$0.25
$0.50
$0.75
$1.00
$1.25
2010 2011 2012 2013
$ / M
cfe
Total Company All-Sources F&D Marcellus-Only All-Sources F&D
2014E Capital Program: $1.375 - $1.475 billion
2014 CAPITAL PROGRAM
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Eagle Ford 30%
Marcellus 68%
Other 2% Land
6%
Drilling 84%
Production Equipment
/ Other 8%
Exploration 2%
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Marcellus
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
Cum
ulat
ive P
rodu
ctio
n Fr
om Ju
ly to
De
cem
ber 2
013 (
Bcfe
)
Top 20 Pennsylvania Marcellus Wells (July to December 2013)
COG HAD THE TOP 13 WELLS AND 17 OF THE TOP 20 WELLS IN PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE SECOND HALF OF 2013
10 Source: PA DEP Oil & Gas Reporting Website Note: Peers include EQT Corporation and Southwestern Energy
17 of the top 20 (July to December 2013) 15 of the top 20 (January to June 2013) 10 of the top 20 (July to December 2012) 14 of the top 20 (January to June 2012) 15 of the top 20 (July to December 2011)
CABOT’S EUR PER FOOT IN THE MARCELLUS REMAINS BEST-IN-CLASS
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1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
Source: Company presentations; peers include Antero Resources, EQT Corporation, Noble Energy, Range Resources and Rice Energy
EUR
/ 1,00
0’ of
Lat
eral
(Bcf
e)
CABOT’S MARCELLUS ECONOMICS
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Typical Marcellus Well Parameters (Based on 2013 Program)
EUR: 16.9 Bcf
Well Cost: $7.0 million
Lateral Length: 4,666’
Number of Stages Per Well: 23
Average Working Interest: 100%
Average Revenue Interest: 85%
102%
150%
206%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
$3.00 $3.50 $4.00
BTA
X %
IRR
COG’s expected 2014 Marcellus realized natural gas price
Typical Marcellus Well IRR Sensitivity
Cabot plans to drill longer laterals in 2014 relative to the 2013 program
ILLUSTRATIVE Q2 – Q4 2014 TOTAL COMPANY NATURAL GAS PRICE REALIZATIONS (INCLUDING THE IMPACT OF HEDGES)
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$3.65 $3.55
$3.40 $3.30
$3.20 $3.10
$3.75 $3.65
$3.55 $3.45
$3.35 $3.25
$3.85 $3.75
$3.60 $3.50
$3.40 $3.30
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
($1.00) ($1.25) ($1.50) ($1.75) ($2.00) ($2.25)
Q2 –
Q4 20
14 C
OG To
tal C
ompa
ny N
atur
al Ga
s Rea
lizat
ions
($
/Mcf
)
Basis Differential Sensitivities for TGP Zone 4 – 300 and Leidy Line Prices
$4.25 Strip $4.50 Strip $4.75 Strip
Note: Assumes the following regional basis based on futures curves and indicative quotes: TCO – ($0.16); DTI – ($0.78); MPL – ($1.00); TETCO M3 – ($0.41)
Q2 – Q4 2014 TOTAL COMPANY NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION EXPOSURE BY INDEX
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26%
23% 20%
13%
9%
4% 4% 1%
NYMEX
Leidy Line
Tennessee Zone 4 - 300 Leg
Millennium
Dominion
Columbia
TETCO M3
Houston Ship Channel
Average discount of $0.10 to NYMEX
ROAD MAP TO 2014 / 2015 PRODUCTION GROWTH
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0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Mmbt
u/d
Current Gross Marcellus Production Additional Firm Capacity on MillenniumNew Capacity on LDC System Q4 2015 Firm Capacity / Firm Sales Additions
Note: Assumes Constitution Pipeline in-service date of December 2015 (subject to change)
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Eagle Ford
EAGLE FORD SHALE SUMMARY
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La Salle Frio Atascosa
McMullen
~20 miles
Pad B • 6-well pad • Average IP rate of
1,045 Boe/d per well (89% oil)
• Average 25-day rate of 946 Boe/d per well
~66,000 net acres (recently added ~4,000 net acres)
Current operated rig count: 2 (increasing to 3 beginning in Q3 2014)
~60% HBP
~50% of the 2014 program is expected to be on pads with four wells or greater
Cabot's first six-well pad realized cost savings of ~$600,000 per well
Currently drilling a five-well pad with a planned average lateral length over 8,500’
Pad A • 4-well pad • Average IP rate of 885
Boe/d per well (90% oil)
• Average 30-day rate of 582 Boe/d per well
Pad C • Single well pad • Peak 24-hour rate of
1,344 Boe/d (92% oil)
• Average 30-day rate of 966 Boe/d
EAGLE FORD DRILLING AND COMPLETION EFFICIENCIES
18 2011 2012 2013 Q1 2014
Drilling Days Per 1,000’ of Lateral
2011 2012 2013 Q1 2014
Average Lateral Length
2011 2012 2013 Q1 2014
Proppant Per Stage
2011 2012 2013 Q1 2014
Stage Spacing
48%
66%
86%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
$80.00 $90.00 $100.00
BTA
X %
IRR
WTI Oil Price ($/Bbl)
CABOT’S EAGLE FORD ECONOMICS
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Typical Eagle Ford Well Parameters
EUR: 500 MBoe
Well Cost: $7.0 million
Lateral Length: 7,000’
Number of Stages Per Well: 26
Average Working Interest: 100%
Average Revenue Interest: 75%
Typical Eagle Ford Well IRR Sensitivity
Note: Economics include facilities costs. Assumes Henry Hub price of $4.00 and NGL price of 40% of WTI.
Thank you
The statements regarding future financial performance and results and the other statements which are not historical facts contained in this presentation are forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, market factors, the market price of natural gas and oil, results of future drilling and marketing activity, future production and costs, and other factors detailed in the Company’s Securities and Exchange Commission filings.
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