Cima stratford 20 october
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Transcript of Cima stratford 20 october
10/04/2023 Copyright CashPerform Ltd John Mardle 1
CIMA Stratford
18th October 2014
John MardleCIMA Mastercourse presenter on Working Capital
10/04/2023 Copyright CashPerform Ltd John Mardle 2
Event Objectives
Knowing the current market for commercial finance, who and what are in the market, and how to get what is available are essential in securing finance.
This event will look at these points and the ways which will give the best opportunity to be successful in raising funds.
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Warning - Think differently!• What is an asset?
– Stock, WIP, Debtors, Plant, Machinery?– Orders/Sales …..think Demand chain
• What is a liability?– Creditor/Supplier– Procurement/Payables…..think Supply Chain
What is an Invoice?“Quality paper not toilet paper”
The Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC)TCP4 SID T C PDescription Account Timing Communication Process Description Cash Method
Term Days via Balance Sheet Acronym
S Supply Chain DPO 0 Trade Creditors P2P Purchase to Payment Supplier Finance
I Inventory Chain DIO 0 Stock/Work in Progress I2C Inventory to Cash- Nil? JIT/ Supplier/Customer
D Demand Chain DSO 0 Trade Debtors O2C Order to Cash Factoring/Securitisation
R Reverse Supply Chain Nil Net Zero Net by offsetting Dr/Cr R2C Reverse to Cash-Nil? Supplier/Customer
Cash Conversion Cycle 0 Positive WC cashflow CCC Healthy Cash Chain? Cost or Investment?
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Envisaged CCCContractual Statutory Reality DifferenceBoard Terms Dif Accounts Dif Board vs Reality
Purchase/Creditor DAYS 60 28 28 32-30 10
Sales/Debtor Days 30 38 61 31
Stock and Work in Progress 10 ? 14 4
Cash Conversion Cycle -20 10 47 67
Positive Cash Conversion Cycle indicates cash OUTflow is greater than cash InflowNB: INTERDEPENDENCY is CRITICAL
NB: Statutory accounts per DPO/DSO/DIO traditional calculation
Copyright John Mardle CashPerform Ltd October 2013
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Background
• 2008 and all that…..– Basel III– B of E PRA/ FSA
• Accounting Reporting CA 2006, IR,FRS100/1/2– Micros directive
• Credit Agencies in disarray– DSO/DPO/DIO/WC definitions re S &P/Fitch/Moody– Corporates go their own way- awash with cash>26%– SME’s lose out re SCF – Start ups / Entrepreneurs – new breed- no bank debt
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What is Commercial Finance- traditionally?
• Banking - Asset backed Lending• Receivables Invoices
– Factoring– Securitisation– Letters of credit (LOC)– Forfaiting
– Business assets, stock, work in progress- Tangible– Personal mortgage, credit card, overdraft
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What is Commercial Finance- New World?
• Tangibles– Pension led release of pension funds– Director led –mortgage via ‘others’, credit card,
personal account- FSB March 2014• Intangibles
– IP copyright, trademarks – ‘knowledge’ via software licences/franchises
• Big data re volumes• Efficiency of Process
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Who and what is in the market?• Who?
– Thousands of ‘providers’• Trading platforms for invoices – Tradeshift, Taulia, Nipendo• Start up – crowdfunding- bizcrowd• Tesco/JLP incubators• Wealth Management teams• Angels• Auction sites- Platform Black• Challenger Banks – Aldermore, Handelsbanken, Shawbrook• Church of England – Wonga £6billion in PE/VC
– Thousands of Government Grants/Funds/Schemes• FLS• Community ‘Third sector’ - Commissioning type – beware PE/ VC• Regional • Infrastructure re broadband
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Ways to give the best opportunity?
• So where are you as an organisation?– Sector B2B, B2C, B2Public- all three?– Market- Telecoms, FM, Industrial, Pharma– Type of company- private, family, Ltd, LLP, CIC’s – Funding type – appetite for ‘risk’- debt – Size of company current/ future- sales trend– Geographic location current/future– Trading abroad
Business Strategy is paramount
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Ways to give best opportunity?
• Now an OPERATIONAL plan is required– What does your cash conversion cycle looking like?
• Direct Debit- monthly, quarterly, annual- Insurance/Phones/Broadband/Utilities
• Fixed/standing versus/plus variable charges• Receivables Invoicing- goods services as and when• Payables Invoicing- good and services as and when• Contract Revenue Generation – Milestone driven?• Service Contract - monthly or annual or/and as and
when
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Cash flows or does it?
• 18 Month dynamic chart– Seasonal- Christmas/ Summer/Holidays– Time driven – legislation- SEPA– Supply Chain needs – Mobile phones/Turkeys– Currency– Political intervention– Supply Chain Disruption
Identify liquidity gap(s) or funding chasms Headroom?
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18 Month Types of Cash Forecast Types of Cash Forecast
40 45 4050 55
45 40 45 50 50 45 40 35 3555
35 40 45
4555 60
5555
60 6570 65 60
6060
55 50
60
5050
55
20
3020
1010
100
20 20
60
1010
2050
100
2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb MarMonths
£M
Operational Cash required within 3 months Core Cash Required within 3 to 12 months Strategic cash required After 12 months
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Risk Mitigation processThis determines type of finance needed:Short term finance -Why?
overtrading, efficiency in CCC – hiccups in invoicingMedium term finance -Why?
operational plan issue stock, assets, customers not paying
Long term finance -Why? Is strategy ‘wrong’? ‘’right’?
With a bank lending rate at 0.5% for the past 5 years‘forward guidance’ has become ‘fuzzy guidance’ from B of E so factor in risk of increase plus ‘new’ charges.
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Cash Flow Narrative solutions
• Short term 1 to 3 months– Invoicing is the normally the largest challenge– Terms and Conditions of sale/purchase– Supply chain finance (SCF) – reverse factoring
• Medium Term 3 to 9 months– Dynamic discounting for suppliers– Factoring of Trade Receivables
• Long Term 6 to 18 months– New strategy
But TIMING is everything re Year end, Audit- VAT, HMRC , Covenants/ loans renewal
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Explain types of requirements
• Opex– Organic – Process issues
• Capex- potential growth– Machinery to help suppliers be more efficient– Own plant and equipment, buildings
• M & A/Divestment - diversification
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If Speed (1 to 3 months)is needed then is SCF right for you?
• Can your suppliers Invoices be ‘trusted’? – Is it Timely– Is it Accurate– Is it Legitimate– Is it Compliant
If they pass the ‘TALC’ test then supply chain finance or Asset backed lending could be useful?
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If Medium Term (3-9 months)
• Banks?– Re traditional ABL funding
• Factoring• Securitisation etc.
– Challenger Banks- less baggage• Government schemes
– Councils lending to SME’s
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If longer term 6-18 months
• Are you prepared to give away equity?– Crowd-funding– Angels– PE– VC– Wealth Management– AIM– Peer to Peer (P2P lending) of certain types
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Alternative Finance –Decision tree
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Where is your credit management?
• Who checks what and when?– Customers, suppliers, peers, directors– Your narrative versus the credit agency reports– Your Terms and Conditions– Your customers, suppliers, peers T’s and C’s
• Is it part of your strategy/risk mitigation process?
• Is credit management a board item not a bored question?
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Positioning for FSC next steps
Working Capital Optimisation Trade Receivables less Trade Payables Credit Rating Performance Measurement
Cash Conversion Cycle
Value Based Process Mapping
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Recent Quotes
From highly respected CEOs of FTSE 500 Companies have included:
“Cash flow is like the blood flow in our bodies. Interruption or restriction will cause a perfectly healthy body to rapidly deteriorate.”
“Cash is King.”
In both cases these CEOs were speaking after spending millions in correcting working capital issues and having to spend almost two years ‘communicating’ how they were retrieving their cash flow situation as investors and stakeholders had lost so much confidence in the management team.
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Thank you for Listening
Any Questions…..please?
18th March 2014John Mardle
www.cashperform.com0795 756 7053