China’s Transport Sector - Energy Information Administration · 2011-06-27 · China has the...
13
China’s Transport Sector David Sandalow EIA Annual Energy Conference April 27, 2011
Transcript of China’s Transport Sector - Energy Information Administration · 2011-06-27 · China has the...
China’s Transport Sector
David SandalowEIA Annual Energy Conference
April 27, 2011
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Tota
l mo
tor
veh
icle
pro
du
ctio
n (
mill
ion
s)Chinese auto production is skyrocketing
Source: Ward's Automotive, International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA), Chinese and Japanese Auto Manufacturers Associations
2
UnitedStates
China
Japan
Almost all Chinese production sold to rapidly growing domestic market
Millions passenger vehicles and trucks
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
China 75m
China became a net importer in 1990s; now imports ~50% of oil
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Mil
lio
n b
arre
ls p
er
day
ne
t imp
orts
Production
Consumption
Chinese oil demand growth (mainly for transport) leads world
Source: IEA
5
Change in primary oil demand 2007-2030
China has adopted increasingly stringent fuel economy standards
Source: iCET
6
Beijing
Shanghai
Dalian
Hangzhou
Wuhan
Chongqing
Jinan
Changchun
Shenzhen
Hefei
Changsha
Kunming
Nanchang
7
China has strong incentives for advanced vehicle deployment
>$3 billion for public and taxi fleets in 20 cities$9,000 consumer rebates
Traffic challenges
China has the world’s fastest and largest high-speed rail network
• Fastest speeds: Chinese trains now reach operating speeds of 220 mph, faster than their European and Japanese counterparts, and a Chinese train holds the world speed record of 260 mph
• Largest network: China’s 4,600 miles of HSR lines is the world’s largest, and by 2020 is expected to more than double to 9,700 miles (more than the rest of world combined)
• Technology dominance: in just six years (from 2004-2010) China went from HSR importer to exporter (to Turkey, Brazil, Venezuela and others)
Expected travel times between Chinese provincial capitals
The Beijing-Tianjin intercity railway
6
63.95
5.8
89
7.5
28.7
13.8
46
1,331
80
326.92
25
325
7.4
27.1
5.7
13
307
Vehicles per 100 people
Energy consumption per capita (million Btu)
GHG emissions per capita
Cumulative GHG emissions 1850-2004 (Gt CO2e)
Current GHG emissions (Gt CO2e)
High-tech exports (% manufactured exports)
Annual motor vehicle production (millions)
Coal consumption (% world)
Population (millions)
Compare and contrast...
S&T have long been a foundation of U.S.-China cooperation
Deng Xiaoping and Jimmy Carter sign the U.S.-China S&T Agreement – the first bilateral agreement after normalization of relations in 1979
Nov. 2009: President Obama and President Hu announce seven new joint U.S.-China clean energy initiatives
