China 7 930 9 647 Chile 10 549 18...
16
DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 25.07.2018 Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA. Last update: Period: 2017 2018 % Chg EU-28 648 781 713 408 + 10.0 % Ghana 58 945 69 805 + 18.4 % Ukraine 54 523 68 377 + 25.4 % Philippines 34 251 66 965 + 95.5 % Hong Kong 64 039 56 153 - 12.3 % Saudi Arabia 45 057 45 500 + 1.0 % Benin 48 088 38 058 - 20.9 % Vietnam 23 272 34 709 + 49.1 % Other 320 606 333 842 + 4.1 % POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-May Prices World Quotations Production Trade EU-28 EXPORTS ( Top Destinations in 2018/17 ) World Trade - 0.3% Overall Poultry Meat Placings Broiler - 1.2% + 1.6% Period: 2017 2018 % Chg EU-28 352 797 321 611 - 8.8% Thailand 109 408 123 894 + 13.2 % Brazil 190 697 110 763 - 41.9 % Ukraine 26 306 50 138 + 90.6 % Chile 10 549 18 811 + 78.3 % China 7 930 9 647 + 21.7 % Argentina 2 875 3 960 + 37.7 % Turkey 1 1 481 +++ Other 5 031 2 918 - 42.0 % POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-May EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2018/17 ) 11 385 11 670 12 145 12 381 12 716 12 805 13 263 13 787 14 495 14 617 14 787 11 360 11 602 11 791 11 922 12 233 12 285 12 723 13 272 13 891 13 883 14 055 100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125% 0 4 000 8 000 12 000 16 000 20 000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018f 1000 Tonnes EU Poultry meat production ( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations ) EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %) EU W E E K P R I C E S 29 last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR BROILER €/100 kg carcase weight Broiler 81% Turkey 14% Duck 3% Others 2% Production of poultry meat 186.69 170 175 180 185 190 195 € / 100 kg BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION Avg. 2013-17 2017 2018 186.69 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 € / 100 kg E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S EU US BR 205.33 93.11 186.69 E V O L U T I O N S I N C E PL 2343.55 23% UK 1834.49 18% FR 1650 16% ES 1542.2 15% DE 1514 15% IT 1327.12 13% EU Main Producers ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2017 Total EU = 14 464 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 1% over 2016) 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Placings of broiler chicks ( 1 000 pieces ) 2016 2017 2018 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 800000 900000 1000000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Production forecast of broiler ( Tonnes ) 2016 2017 2018 846 875 902 807 353 322 0 200 400 600 800 1000 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-May 17 Jan-May 18 EU Imports evolution ( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight) Source: Eurostat 1 504 1 490 1 617 1 663 649 713 0 250 500 750 1 000 1 250 1 500 1 750 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-May 17 Jan-May 18 EU Exports evolution ( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight) Source: Eurostat 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul 2016 2017 2018 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul 2016 2017 2018 EUR / USD EUR / BRL Brazil Brazil United States United States EU EU China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Thailand Thailand Turkey Turkey Ukraine (up to Apr) Ukraine (up to Apr) 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 2017 (up to May) 2018 (up to May) Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to May) Source : GTA Excl. Live animals China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Japan Japan EU EU Mexico (up to Apr) Mexico (up to Apr) South Africa South Africa Ghana Ghana Taiwan (up to Apr) Taiwan (up to Apr) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2017 (up to May) 2018 (up to May) Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to May) Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
Transcript of China 7 930 9 647 Chile 10 549 18...
DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 25.07.2018
Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA.
Last update:
Period:2017 2018 % Chg
EU-28 648 781 713 408 + 10.0 %Ghana 58 945 69 805 + 18.4 %
Ukraine 54 523 68 377 + 25.4 %
Philippines 34 251 66 965 + 95.5 %
Hong Kong 64 039 56 153 - 12.3 %
Saudi Arabia 45 057 45 500 + 1.0 %
Benin 48 088 38 058 - 20.9 %
Vietnam 23 272 34 709 + 49.1 %
Other 320 606 333 842 + 4.1 %
POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-May
Pri
ces
Wo
rld
Qu
ota
tio
ns
Pro
du
ctio
nTr
ade
EU-28 EXPORTS( Top Destinations in 2018/17 )
Wo
rld
Tra
de
- 0.3%
Ove
rall
Po
ult
ry M
eat
Pla
cin
gs B
roile
r
- 1.2% + 1.6%
Period: 2017 2018 % Chg
EU-28 352 797 321 611 - 8.8%
Thailand 109 408 123 894 + 13.2 %
Brazil 190 697 110 763 - 41.9 %
Ukraine 26 306 50 138 + 90.6 %
Chile 10 549 18 811 + 78.3 %
China 7 930 9 647 + 21.7 %
Argentina 2 875 3 960 + 37.7 %
Turkey 1 1 481 +++
Other 5 031 2 918 - 42.0 %
POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-May
EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2018/17 )
11
38
5
11
67
0
12
14
5
12
38
1
12
71
6
12
80
5
13
26
3
13
78
7
14
49
5
14
61
7
14
78
7
11
36
0
11
60
2
11
79
1
11
92
2
12
23
3
12
28
5
12
72
3
13
27
2
13
89
1
13
88
3
14
05
5
100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018f
10
00
To
nn
es
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)
EUW E E K P R I C E S 29
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
Broiler81%
Turkey14%
Duck3%
Others2%
Production of poultry meat
186.69
170
175
180
185
190
195
€/ 100 k
g
BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg. 2013-17 2017 2018
186.69
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
€/
10
0 k
g
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
205.33
93.11
186.69
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
PL2343.55
23% UK1834.49
18%
FR165016%
ES1542.2
15%
DE151415%
IT1327.12
13%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)
Year 2017Total EU = 14 464
6 MSs =
71% of total EU production (+ 1% over 2016)
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2016 2017 2018
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
900000
1000000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )
2016 2017 2018
84
6
87
5
90
2
80
7
35
3
32
2
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-May 17 Jan-May 18
EU Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1 5
04
1 4
90
1 6
17
1 6
63
64
9
71
3
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-May 17 Jan-May 18
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
2016 2017 2018
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
2016 2017 2018
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
Bra
zil
Bra
zil
Un
ited
Sta
tes
Un
ited
Sta
tes
EU
EU
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Tha
ila
nd
Tha
ila
nd
Turk
ey
Turk
ey
Ukr
ain
e (u
p t
o A
pr)
Ukr
ain
e (u
p t
o A
pr)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2017 (up to May) 2018 (up to May)
Qty
in
10
00
To
nn
es
Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to May)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Jap
an Ja
pa
n
EU
EU
Mex
ico
(u
p t
o A
pr)
Mex
ico
(u
p t
o A
pr)
Sou
th A
fric
a
Sou
th A
fric
a
Gh
an
a Gh
an
a
Taiw
an
(up
to
Ap
r)
Taiw
an
(up
to
Ap
r)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2017 (up to May) 2018 (up to May)
Qty
in
10
00
To
nn
es
Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to May)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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Pric
es
- 0.3% - 1.2% + 1.6%
EUW E E K P R I C E S 29
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
186.69
€/ 1
00 kg
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
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Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
170
175
180
185
190
195
€/ 100 k
gBROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg. 2013-17 2017 2018
186.69
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Broiler81%
Turkey14%
Duck3%
Others2%
Production of poultry meat
Source: MSs notifications – Expert group
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Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A ,Chicago BR = average of prices in main producing states (Aveworld.com.br)
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
€/
100
kg
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
205.33
93.11
186.69
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Source: ECB (European Central Bank)
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
2016 2017 2018
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
2016 2017 2018
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Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2016 2017 2018
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Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
900000
1000000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )
2016 2017 2018
PL2343.55
23% UK1834.49
18%
FR165016%
ES1542.2
15%
DE151415%
IT1327.12
13%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)
Year 2017Total EU = 14 46471% of total EU
production (+ 1% over 2016)
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Source: Eurostat
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11 3
85
11 6
70
12 1
45
12 3
81
12 7
16
12 8
05
13 2
63
13 7
87
14 4
95
14 6
17
14 7
87
11 3
60
11 6
02
11 7
91
11 9
22
12 2
33
12 2
85
12 7
23
13 2
72
13 8
91
13 8
83
14 0
55
100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018f
1000
Ton
nes
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)Source: DG AGRI Short-term outlook report
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Braz
il
Braz
il
Unite
d St
ates
Unite
d St
ates
EU
EU
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Thai
land
Thai
land
Turk
ey
Turk
ey
Ukra
ine (
up to
Apr
)
Ukra
ine (
up to
Apr
)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2017 (up to May) 2018 (up to May)
Qty
in 1
000
Tonn
es
Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to May)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Japa
n Japa
n
EU
EU
Mex
ico
(up
to A
pr)
Mex
ico
(up
to A
pr)
Sout
h Af
rica
Sout
h Af
rica
Ghan
a Ghan
a
Taiw
an (u
p to
Apr
)
Taiw
an (u
p to
Apr
)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2017 (up to May) 2018 (up to May)
Qty
in 1
000
Tonn
es
Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to May)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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1 5
04
1 4
90
1 6
17
1 66
3
64
9
71
3
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-May 17 Jan-May 18
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
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Source: Eurostat
EU-28 EXPORTS ( Top Destinations in 2018 /17 )
Period:2017 2018 % Chg
EU-28 648 781 713 408 + 10.0 %Ghana 58 945 69 805 + 18.4 %
Ukraine 54 523 68 377 + 25.4 %
Philippines 34 251 66 965 + 95.5 %
Hong Kong 64 039 56 153 - 12.3 %
Saudi Arabia 45 057 45 500 + 1.0 %
Benin 48 088 38 058 - 20.9 %
Vietnam 23 272 34 709 + 49.1 %
Other 320 606 333 842 + 4.1 %
EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2018/17)POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-May
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846 87
5
902
807
353
322
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-May 17 Jan-May 18
EU Imports evolution
(In 1000 tonnes CW)
Source: Eurostat
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Source: Eurostat
EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2016 /17 )
Period: 2017 2018 % Chg
EU-28 352 797 321 611 - 8.8%
Thailand 109 408 123 894 + 13.2 %
Brazil 190 697 110 763 - 41.9 %
Ukraine 26 306 50 138 + 90.6 %
Chile 10 549 18 811 + 78.3 %
China 7 930 9 647 + 21.7 %
Argentina 2 875 3 960 + 37.7 %
Turkey 1 1 481 +++
Other 5 031 2 918 - 42.0 %
EU-28 Imports (Main partners in 2018/17)POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-May
