Chevron Credit Suisse 2008 Offshore Technology Conference
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Transcript of Chevron Credit Suisse 2008 Offshore Technology Conference
© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Pursuing Offshore Pursuing Offshore OpportunitiesOpportunities
Paul SiegelePaul SiegeleVice President Vice President -- Strategic PlanningStrategic PlanningChevron CorporationChevron Corporation
May 6, 2008May 6, 2008Credit Suisse 2008 Offshore Technology ConferenceCredit Suisse 2008 Offshore Technology Conference
2© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Cautionary Statement
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS RELEVANT TO FORWARDCAUTIONARY STATEMENTS RELEVANT TO FORWARD--LOOKING INFORMATION FOR THE PURPOSE OF LOOKING INFORMATION FOR THE PURPOSE OF
““SAFE HARBORSAFE HARBOR”” PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995995
This presentation of Chevron Corporation contains forwardThis presentation of Chevron Corporation contains forward--looking statements relating to Chevronlooking statements relating to Chevron’’s operations that are based on managements operations that are based on management’’s s current expectations, estimates and projections about the petrolcurrent expectations, estimates and projections about the petroleum, chemicals and other energyeum, chemicals and other energy--related industries. Words such as related industries. Words such as ““anticipates,anticipates,””““expects,expects,”” ““intends,intends,”” ““plans,plans,”” ““targets,targets,”” ““projects,projects,”” ““believes,believes,”” ““seeks,seeks,”” ““schedules,schedules,”” ““estimates,estimates,”” ““budgetsbudgets”” and similar expressions are intended to and similar expressions are intended to identify such forwardidentify such forward--looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of futurlooking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties e performance and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and other factors, some of which are beyond our control and are and other factors, some of which are beyond our control and are difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results maydifficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially differ materially from what is expressed or forecasted in such forwardfrom what is expressed or forecasted in such forward--looking statements. The reader should not place undue reliance olooking statements. The reader should not place undue reliance on these forwardn these forward--looking looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentationstatements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. Unless legally required, Chevron undertakes no obligation to u. Unless legally required, Chevron undertakes no obligation to update publicly any pdate publicly any forwardforward--looking statements, whether as a result of new information, futulooking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. re events or otherwise.
Among the important factors that could cause actual results to dAmong the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forwardiffer materially from those in the forward--looking statements are crude oil and looking statements are crude oil and natural gas prices; refining margins and marketing margins; chemnatural gas prices; refining margins and marketing margins; chemicals margins; actions of competitors; timing of exploration expicals margins; actions of competitors; timing of exploration expenses; the enses; the competitiveness of alternate energy sources or product substitutcompetitiveness of alternate energy sources or product substitutes; technological developments; the results of operations and fies; technological developments; the results of operations and financial condition of nancial condition of equity affiliates; the inability or failure of the companyequity affiliates; the inability or failure of the company’’s joints joint--venture partners to fund their share of operations and developmeventure partners to fund their share of operations and development activities; the nt activities; the potential failure to achieve expected net production from existipotential failure to achieve expected net production from existing and future crude oil and natural gas development projects; pong and future crude oil and natural gas development projects; potential delays in the tential delays in the development, construction or startdevelopment, construction or start--up of planned projects; the potential disruption or interruptionup of planned projects; the potential disruption or interruption of the companyof the company’’s net production or s net production or manufacturing facilities or delivery/transportation networks duemanufacturing facilities or delivery/transportation networks due to war, accidents, political events, civil unrest, severe weathto war, accidents, political events, civil unrest, severe weather or crudeer or crude--oil oil production quotas that might be imposed by OPEC (Organization ofproduction quotas that might be imposed by OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries); the potential liability for remPetroleum Exporting Countries); the potential liability for remedial actions or edial actions or assessments under existing or future environmental regulations aassessments under existing or future environmental regulations and litigation; significant investment or product changes under end litigation; significant investment or product changes under existing or future xisting or future environmental statutes, regulations and litigation; the potentiaenvironmental statutes, regulations and litigation; the potential liability resulting from pending or future litigation; the coml liability resulting from pending or future litigation; the companypany’’s acquisition or s acquisition or disposition of assets; gains and losses from asset dispositions disposition of assets; gains and losses from asset dispositions or impairments; governmentor impairments; government--mandated sales, divestitures, recapitalizations, mandated sales, divestitures, recapitalizations, industryindustry--specific taxes, changes in fiscal terms or restrictions on scopespecific taxes, changes in fiscal terms or restrictions on scope of company operations; foreign currency movements compared withof company operations; foreign currency movements compared with the the U.S. dollar; the effects of changed accounting rules under generU.S. dollar; the effects of changed accounting rules under generally accepted accounting principles promulgated by ruleally accepted accounting principles promulgated by rule--setting bodies; and the setting bodies; and the factors set forth under the heading factors set forth under the heading ““Risk FactorsRisk Factors”” on pages 32 and 33 of the companyon pages 32 and 33 of the company’’s 2007 Annual Report on Form 10s 2007 Annual Report on Form 10--K/A. In addition, such K/A. In addition, such statements could be affected by general domestic and internationstatements could be affected by general domestic and international economic and political conditions. Unpredictable or unknown al economic and political conditions. Unpredictable or unknown factors not factors not discussed in this presentation could also have material adverse discussed in this presentation could also have material adverse effects on forwardeffects on forward--looking statements.looking statements.
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rules permit oil aU.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rules permit oil and gas companies to disclose only proved reserves in their filinnd gas companies to disclose only proved reserves in their filings with the SEC. gs with the SEC. Certain terms, such as Certain terms, such as ““resources,resources,”” ““undeveloped gas resources,undeveloped gas resources,”” ““oil in place,oil in place,”” ““recoverable reserves,recoverable reserves,”” and and ““recoverable resources,recoverable resources,”” among others, among others, may be used in this presentation to describe certain oil and gasmay be used in this presentation to describe certain oil and gas properties that are not permitted to be used in filings with thproperties that are not permitted to be used in filings with the SEC. In addition, e SEC. In addition, SEC regulations define oilSEC regulations define oil--sands reserves as miningsands reserves as mining--related and not a part of conventional oil and gas reserves.related and not a part of conventional oil and gas reserves.
3© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Today’s Operating Environment
A NewA NewEnergy Energy
EquationEquation
Constrained Constrained SupplySupply
Growth in Growth in Energy DemandEnergy Demand
ChallengedChallengedNew ResourcesNew Resources
Geopolitical Geopolitical DynamicsDynamics
4© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Conventional Energy is Critical to Meeting Future Demand
Global demand will rise Global demand will rise roughly 50% through 2030roughly 50% through 2030
Quadrillion BTUQuadrillion BTU
0
730
2004 2020 2030
Global Energy DemandGlobal Energy Demand
Crude Oil Crude Oil
Natural GasNatural Gas
CoalCoal
NuclearNuclearOtherOther
Source: EIASource: EIA
5© 2008 Chevron Corporation
The Era of Easy Oil is Over
Limited AccessLimited Access
Remote Locations Remote Locations
Technical ChallengesTechnical Challenges
Escalating Costs Escalating Costs
6© 2008 Chevron Corporation
World’s Deepwater Basins Provide Attractive Opportunities
Potential Deepwater Reserves Potential Deepwater Reserves –– Top Ten CountriesTop Ten Countries
Source: Wood Mackenzie
(Billion BOE)(Billion BOE)
11
22
33
44
55
U.S. U.S. (GOM)(GOM)
MexicoMexico BrazilBrazil NigeriaNigeria AngolaAngola EgyptEgypt AustraliaAustralia NorwayNorway IndonesiaIndonesia CongoCongo
Yet to Find ReservesYet to Find Reserves
Remaining ReservesRemaining Reserves
7© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Focused Offshore Exploration Program in 2008
AustraliaAustralia
DeepwaterDeepwaterGulf of MexicoGulf of Mexico
NigeriaNigeria
AngolaAngola
ThailandThailand
BrazilBrazil
VenezuelaVenezuela CongoCongo
Deepwater ExplorationDeepwater Exploration
Other Offshore ExplorationOther Offshore Exploration
Exploring the top Exploring the top deepwater areas deepwater areas
8© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Leader in Exploration Results
Reserve* Replacement Through Exploration 2002-2006
2020
4040
6060
8080
100100
120120
*Wood Mackenzie reserve replacement metric does not reflect the Company’s reported proved reserves.
BP TOTRDS
XOMCOP
Percent
Average Exploration success rate for 2002Average Exploration success rate for 2002––2007 is 2007 is 45%45%
Billions of Barrels of Oil EquivalentBillions of Barrels of Oil Equivalent
Cumulative Resources Added Cumulative Resources Added From ExplorationFrom Exploration
2
4
6
8
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
9© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Moving Resources to Reserves -A Leading Portfolio of Oil & Gas Projects
AzerbaijanAzerbaijan
Kazakhstan (3)Kazakhstan (3)Canada Tar Sands (2)Canada Tar Sands (2)
Angola (3)Angola (3)
U.S. RockiesU.S. Rockies
Australia (3)Australia (3)
Atlantic CanadaAtlantic Canada
Venezuela (2)Venezuela (2) VietnamVietnam
ChinaChina
Deepwater Gulf Deepwater Gulf of Mexico (7)of Mexico (7)
Nigeria (7)Nigeria (7)
Arctic CanadaArctic Canada
Indonesia (2)Indonesia (2)
United KingdomUnited Kingdom
Deepwater Deepwater Brazil (2)Brazil (2)
40 Projects Costing More than $1 Billion Each (CVX share)40 Projects Costing More than $1 Billion Each (CVX share)
ThailandThailandCongoCongo
Includes OffshoreIncludes Offshore
10© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Sea LevelSea Level
40,00040,000’’
8,0008,000’’
16,00016,000’’
24,00024,000’’
32,00032,000’’
Salt CanopySalt Canopy
SedimentSediment
SedimentSediment
Gulf of MexicoGulf of MexicoEmpire State BldgEmpire State Bldg
Target ZoneTarget Zone
Extensive salt canopyExtensive salt canopy
Structural complexityStructural complexity
Strong currentsStrong currents
Pressure differentialsPressure differentials
High temperaturesHigh temperatures
Unpredictable conditions Unpredictable conditions
Deepwater Projects are Among the World’s Most Challenging
Deepwater Gulf of MexicoDeepwater Gulf of Mexico
11© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Applying Best-In-Class Seismic Technologies to “See” Under Salt
SALTSALT
Chevron Pre-Stack Depth Migration
SALTSALT
SALTSALT
An industry leader in using An industry leader in using subsub--salt technologysalt technology
BestBest--inin--class subclass sub--salt presalt pre--stack depth migration stack depth migration imaging toolimaging tool
Enhanced subEnhanced sub--salt discovery salt discovery success ratesuccess rateSUB-SALT DISCOVERY
TAHITI FIELD
12© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Leveraging Latest Generation Deepwater Drillship Technology
Dynamically positioned
Double hulled
Two drilling systems in a single derrick
Single trip multiple zone completions
Maximum drill depth of 40,000 feet
Maximum water depth of 12,000 feet Transocean’s Discoverer Clear Leader
13© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Using Innovative Solutions to Resolve Deepwater Downhole Issues
SingleSingle DualDual
Dual Gradient
Same Bottom Hole Pressure
Conventional
MudMud WaterWater
Mud Mud LiftLift
9 casing strings
5 casing strings
Differential pressures in deepwater wells raise blowout riskDifferential pressures in deepwater wells raise blowout risk
Dual gradient system reduces risk without excessive casing strinDual gradient system reduces risk without excessive casing strings gs
Enables higher production flow ratesEnables higher production flow rates
Lowers project costs and minimizes nonLowers project costs and minimizes non--productive downtimeproductive downtime
Conventional Dual Gradient
14© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Commercializing Deepwater Resources Through Adaptive Technologies
Subsea IssuesSubsea Issues
ReliabilityReliability
Flow AssuranceFlow Assurance
Long Distance Long Distance TiebacksTiebacks
SeparationSeparation
BoostingBoosting
Intervention Intervention VesselsVessels
15© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Mitigating Rising Costs To Find and Produce Oil & Gas
Industry Exploration & Production Industry Exploration & Production Capital Cost IndexCapital Cost Index
100100
140140
180180
220220
20002000 20022002 20042004 20062006 20082008Source: CERASource: CERA
Standardized equipment and designsStandardized equipment and designs
ModularizationModularization
Technology advancesTechnology advances
Effective contractingEffective contracting
16© 2008 Chevron Corporation
100
200
300
400
500
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008Forecast
Market Average RateMarket Average Rate
Chevron Avg. Contract RateChevron Avg. Contract Rate
Mitigating Rising Deepwater Rig Rates
Drilling units rated for >7,500 ft water depthMarket data sources for similar type of rig: GDC, Fearnley Offshore, Rig Logix
Worldwide Deepwater Rig Rates Worldwide Deepwater Rig Rates $Thousands/Day$Thousands/Day
18© 2008 Chevron Corporation
AppraisalAppraisal
Moving Exploratory Efforts Forward
Miocene TrendMiocene Trend
Blind FaithBlind FaithTubular BellsTubular Bells
PerdidoPerdido
St. MaloSt. Malo
TahitiTahiti
JackJack
Knotty HeadKnotty Head
Big FootBig FootPumaPuma
TongaTonga
ExplorationExploration
Wilcox TrendWilcox Trend
Major Capital ProjectMajor Capital Project
Top leaseholder in Gulf of Mexico Top leaseholder in Gulf of Mexico
Jack/St. Jack/St. MaloMalo appraisals continue in 2008appraisals continue in 2008
19© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Miocene Trend Development
Blind Faith (75.0%WI)Blind Faith (75.0%WI)
Deep draft semiDeep draft semi--submersiblesubmersible
Mooring operations underwayMooring operations underway
Startup in 2008Startup in 2008
Peak production of 70 MBOEDPeak production of 70 MBOED
Tahiti (58.0%WI)Tahiti (58.0%WI)
TrussTruss--spar floating productionspar floating production
Spar hull and topsides towedSpar hull and topsides towed
Awaiting new shackles to install Awaiting new shackles to install
Startup in 2009Startup in 2009
Peak production of 135 MBOEDPeak production of 135 MBOED
20© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Wilcox Trend Development - Perdido
PerdidoPerdido Regional Development Regional Development --(37.5% WI in host)(37.5% WI in host)
Operated by ShellOperated by Shell
WorldWorld’’s deepest spar facilitys deepest spar facility
Startup in 2010Startup in 2010
Peak production of 130 MBOEDPeak production of 130 MBOED
Courtesy of Shell Courtesy of Shell
PerdidoPerdido Subsea DevelopmentSubsea Development
21© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Jack # 2Jack # 2
Jack Field Perimeter
Houston, Texas from 29,000 feet
Jack # 1Jack # 1
1 Mile
Jack Jack -- 11stst appraisal wellappraisal well6 MBD test flowrate (40% of net pay)Record depths, pressures, duration
Jack Jack -- 22ndnd appraisal wellappraisal wellCompletion expected mid-2008
Jack Jack -- 33rdrd appraisal wellappraisal wellPlanned to begin drilling in 2008 Planned to begin drilling in 2008
Wilcox Trend Evaluation - Jack
23© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Nigeria Deepwater Development
AgbamiAgbami (68.2%WI)(68.2%WI)
One of largest FPSO in the worldOne of largest FPSO in the world
Drilling & completion operations underwayDrilling & completion operations underway
Startup in 2008Startup in 2008
Peak production of 250 MBD in 2009Peak production of 250 MBD in 2009
24© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Angola & Congo Deepwater Development
MohoMoho BilondoBilondo –– Congo (31.5%WI)Congo (31.5%WI)
Floating production unitFloating production unit
Achieved first oil April 2008
Peak production of 90 MBD in 2010Peak production of 90 MBD in 2010
TombuaTombua LandanaLandana –– Angola (31.0%WI)Angola (31.0%WI)
Compliant piled tower platform hubCompliant piled tower platform hub
Tower & subsea fabrication underwayTower & subsea fabrication underway
Startup in 2009Startup in 2009
Peak production of 100 MBD in 2011Peak production of 100 MBD in 2011
25© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Campos Basin Development
FradeFrade (51.7%WI)(51.7%WI)
FPSO under construction
Subsea installation in progress
Startup in 2009
Peak production of 90 MBOED in 2011
26© 2008 Chevron Corporation
Strong Offshore Project Portfolio Will Improve Returns and Reserves
20082008
20082008
20082008
20082008
20082008
20082008
20092009
20092009
20092009
20102010
AgbamiAgbami StartupStartup
Blind Faith StartupBlind Faith Startup
NWS Train 5 StartupNWS Train 5 Startup
ACG III StartupACG III Startup
Jack Appraisal Well 2Jack Appraisal Well 2
MohoMoho--BilondoBilondo StartupStartup
Tahiti StartupTahiti Startup
FradeFrade StartupStartup
TombuaTombua--LandanaLandana StartupStartup
PerdidoPerdido StartupStartup