Chapter 6 Introduction to Macroeconomics McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill...
Transcript of Chapter 6 Introduction to Macroeconomics McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill...
Chapter 6
Introduction to Macroeconomics
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Chapter Objectives
• Long-run economic growth and short-run fluctuations
• GDP, inflation, and unemployment
• Sustained increase in living standards
• Savings and investment• Shocks and sticky prices
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Performance and Policy
• Real GDP–Corrects for price changes
• Nominal GDP–Uses current prices
• Unemployment
• Inflation –Increase in overall level of prices
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Performance and Policy
• Can governments:–Promote economic growth?
–Reduce severity of recession?
• Is monetary or fiscal policy more effective at mitigating recession?
• Is there a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment?
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Economic Performance
• Output growth–3.1% per year 1995-2005
• Unemployment rate–4.6% in 2007
• Inflation rate–2.7% in 2007
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Economic Growth
• Standard of living measured by output per person
• No growth in living standards prior to Industrial Revolution
• Modern economic growth–Output per person rises
–Not experienced by all countries
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GDP Per Person 2007
Zimbabwe $188
United States $45,845Canada $38,345
Japan $33,576United Kingdom $35,134
South Korea $24,782France $33,187
Russia $14,692Saudi Arabia $23,243
Burundi $371Tanzania $1,256North Korea $1,900India $2,659China $5,292Mexico $12,774
U.S. dollars based on purchasing power parity
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Savings and Investment
• Saving–Tradeoff current for future
consumption
• Investment–Financial investment
–Economic investment
• Banks and financial institutions6-8
Expectations
• The future is uncertain
• Expectations affect investment
• Shocks –What happens is not what you
expected
• Demand shocks
• Supply shocks6-9
Shocks
• Demand shocks and flexible prices–Price falls if demand low
–Sales unchanged
• Demand shocks and sticky prices–Maintain inventory
–Sales change
–Business cycles6-10
Demand Shocks
Cars per week
Pri
ce
DMDL
DH
900
$40,000
$37,000
$35,000
Flexible Prices
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Demand Shocks
Cars per week
DMDL
DH
700 900 1150
$37,000
Fixed Prices
Pri
ce
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Sticky Prices
• Explain fluctuations is GDP• Average months between price changes
Coin-operated Beer 4.3
Laundry Machine 46.4 Microwave Ovens 3.0
Newspaper 29.9 Milk 2.4
Haircut 25.5 Electricity 1.8
Taxi fare 19.7 Airline ticket 1.0
Veterinary service 14.9 Gasoline 0.6
Magazine 11.2 Computer software 5.5
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Sticky Prices
• Many prices sticky in short run–Consumers prefer stable prices
–Firms want to avoid price wars
• All prices flexible in long run–Firms adjust to unexpected, but
permanent changes in demand
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Inventory Management
• Computerized inventory tracking
• Unexpected changes in demand easier to observe
• Firms make better output and employment decisions
• Less severe business cycles
• Only two mild recessions since adoption – Possible explanation 6-15
Key Terms
• business cycle• recession• real GDP• nominal GDP• unemployment• inflation• modern economic
growth• savings • investment
• financial investment• economic investment• expectations• shocks• demand shocks• supply shocks• inventory• inflexible prices (“sticky prices”)• flexible prices
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Next Chapter Preview…
Measuring Domestic Output and National Income
6-17