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Chapter-5
LOANS PORTFOLIO
Lending is the most important activity in banking to ensure proper utilization
of resources. Availability of adequate loan (credit) facilities is utmost important in the
production function of agriculture, industry, commerce and allied productive activities
and thus, for the socio-economic development of the country. Channelization of bank
credit in proper direction is equally important, otherwise, it may be counter productive
(Pandey, 1968). Apart from the quantum, the bank credits, its development,
composition and direction are equally important in realizing the country’s various
macro-economic goals (Paul & Ahmed, 2005). Pamala and Negi (1997) suggested
proper end use of loans to entrepreneurs, which could ensure economic development.
On the other hand, judicious and profitable utilisation of the resources
mobilised in the form of Share Capital, Reserves, Deposits, and Borrowings is most
important aspect of resources management in banking institutions (Bharti, 1987).
Liquidity, safety and profitability are main concerns for a banker while deciding the
deployment of sources. But in the case of co-operatives banks, they have to make a
balance between their social obligations and business compulsions. In these
organizations, instead of profit maximization, it is maximization of members
satisfaction which is considered to be of primary importance. (Bharali, 1987).
Loans and advances by a bank may be grouped into the following three
categories:
(i) Industrial/Project loans
(ii) Retail/Consumption loans
(iii) Agricultural loans.
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Agricultural loans were major financial activity of the co-operative banks and
they were not allowed to make advances in commercial loans. With the introduction
of financial reforms these banks have also been allowed to diversify their loan
portfolios. Once allowed to travel in forbidden waters they have created a niche for
themselves (Singh, 2005). Co-operative banks are there with a new range of loan
products suitable to the needs of their customers, especially poor ones.
Hence, an effort has been made to study the trends in and proportionate share
of various kinds of loans in selected DCCBs in Punjab and Haryana over a period of
time. For the purpose of this study, total loan has been grouped into three categories,
i.e., agriculture, non-agriculture and others. Agricultural and non-agricultural loans
have further been sub-divided into short- term and medium- term loans. Therefore,
following groups of loans have been studied:
(i) Short- term Agricultural Loans: Provided to farmers for a period of 6-12
months (one crop circle) to meet the expenses of crop production.
(ii) Short- term Non- agricultural Loans: Provided to the customers for a period of
6-12 months to meet their consumption needs.
(iii) Medium- term Agriculture Loans: Provided for a period of 3-5 years for the
purchase of agriculture implements or to start agricultural allied activities.
(iv) Medium-term Non-agricultural Loans: Provided for a period of 3-5 years for
the purchase of household durables or to start non-farm projects.
(v) Others: Provided to other co-operative organisations for commercial purposes,
such as cash credit facility to primary societies for the purchase of fertilizers
or co-operative mills against stock pledge.
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‘Loans advanced’ and ‘Loan outstanding’ are two terms used for analysis of
loans portfolios in banks. Loan advances refer to loan advanced during a particular
period or under a particular loan product up to a certain date. Loan outstandings are
the quantum of loan recoverable from customers on a particular date. Analysis of both is
important but the profitability of a bank is directly affected (positively as well as
negatively) by loan outstanding. If amount of loan outstanding increases due to poor
recovery, it is dangerous for the organisation and is a sign of ineffective management.
On the other hand, if recovery is good and loan outstanding increases due to fresh
advances, it shows efficiency of the management and indicates that good banking
practices have been adopted by the authorities of the banks. Therefore, an effort has
been made here to study loan outstandings.
PUNJAB DCCBs
HIGH PROFITABILITY DCCBs IN PUNJAB
Trend Analysis
Table 5.1 demonstrates that total loan outstandings increased significantly
from `16361 lakh in 1999-00 to `43632 lakh in 2007-08 at a CGR of 9.44 per cent
per annum. The outstandings against short-term agricultural loans also showed a
significant increasing trend from `9414 lakh to `35605 lakh at the rate of 14.21 per
cent compounded annually during the same period. However, the outstandings against
all other types of loans depicted no definite trend due to ups and down throughout the
period of study as indicated by the non-significant t-values. Short-term non-
agriculture loans increased from `5488 lakh in 1999-00 to ` 11689 lakh in 2001-02,
decreased to `3913 lakh in 2004-05 and again increased to `6625 lakh in next year.
However, in the last year of study it again decreased to ` 2571 lakh. A similar trend
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was witnessed in medium- term agriculture and non-agriculture loans. Medium- term
non-agriculture loans recorded the highest Compound Growth Rate of 25.32 per cent
but it was due to very low volume (only `231 lakh) in 1999-00.
Table 5.1 : Trends in Loans Outstandings in High Profitability DCCBs inPunjab: 1999-00 to 2007-08 (` in lakh)
YearShort -term Medium-term Other
LoansTotal Loans
Agrl. Non-Agrl. Agrl. Non-Agrl.
1999-00 9414 5488 614 231 614 16361
2000-01 10113 7532 733 2232 3719 24329
2001-02 11004 11689 999 1925 4396 30013
2002-03 14810 9758 1331 3793 4753 34445
2003-04 15481 3951 1531 4688 8964 34615
2004-05 18756 3913 2220 5644 4753 35286
2005-06 19028 6625 2297 6802 4812 39564
2006-07 15698 6383 2011 3967 4927 32986
2007-08 35605 2571 176 2134 3146 43632
Average 16656.56 6434.44 1323.56 3490.67 4453.78 32359.00
C.V. 47.56 45.39 56.93 58.93 48.85 24.99
C.G.R. 14.21 -8.88 0.34 25.32 13.43 9.44
t-value 4.99*** 1.75 0.03 1.82 1.30 3.93***
Trend Equation
Constant 4863.81 9025.11 859.64 1455.50 3265.89 19469.95
beta 2358.55 -518.33 92.78 407.03 232.40 2572.43
t-value 3.73*** 1.47 0.95 1.71 0.81 4.71***
Projections
2014-15 42600.61 731.83 2344.12 7967.98 6984.29 60628.83
2019-20 54393.36 -1859.82 2808.02 10003.13 8146.29 73490.98
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 19.65 -71.54 1231.89 273.38 122.01 38.95
2019-20 52.77 -172.34 1495.47 368.75 158.94 68.43
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : *** Significant at 1% level
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The trend equation showed that total loan outstandings would increase by
38.95 per cent in 2014-15 and further to 68.43 per cent in 2019-20 over those in 2007-
08. Similarly, the outstandings against short- term agricultural loans would increase
by 19.65 and 52.77 per cent in 2014-15 and 2019-20 respectively as compared to
2007-08. The fluctuations in outstandings against other types of loans would be there
in future also.
Trends in Proportionate Share of Loan Outstandings
Table 5.2 reveals that on average short- term agriculture loans alone account
for 50.44 per cent share in total loan outstandings, followed by short-term non-
agriculture by 21.81 per cent, and other loans 13.46 per cent. The table further
provides that the proportionate share of outstanding against short- term non-
agricultural loans declined significantly from 33.54 per cent in 1999-00 to 5.89 per
cent in 2007-08 at the rate of -16.72 per cent per annum. The share of all other types
of loans outstanding could not depict any definite trend. It met with heavy
fluctuations. The non- significant t-values also conveyed the same. The share of
outstanding against short- term agricultural loans ranged between 36.66 per cent in
2001-02 and 81.60 per cent in 2007-08, while it fluctuated between 6.29 per cent in
2004-05 and 0.40 per cent in 2007-08 in the case of medium-term agricultural loans.
The share of outstanding against medium- term non-agricultural loans increased from
1.41 per cent in 1999-00 to 17.19 per cent in 2005-06 which declined to 4.89 per cent
in 2007-08. Similarly, the share of outstanding against other loans increased from
3.75 per cent in 1999-00 to 25.90 per cent in 2003-04 which declined to 7.21 per cent
in 2007-08.
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Table 5.2 : Trends in Proportionate Share of Loans Outstandings in HighProfitability DCCBs in Punjab: 1999-00 to 2007-08 (Percentage)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agrl. Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 57.54 33.54 3.75 1.41 3.75 100.00
2000-01 41.57 30.96 3.01 9.17 15.29 100.00
2001-02 36.66 38.95 3.33 6.41 14.65 100.00
2002-03 43.00 28.33 3.86 11.01 13.80 100.00
2003-04 44.72 11.41 4.42 13.54 25.90 100.00
2004-05 53.15 11.09 6.29 16.00 13.47 100.00
2005-06 48.09 16.75 5.81 17.19 12.16 100.00
2006-07 47.59 19.35 6.10 12.03 14.94 100.00
2007-08 81.60 5.89 0.40 4.89 7.21 100.00
Average 50.44 21.81 4.11 10.18 13.46
C.V. 26.22 52.92 45.06 51.31 45.23
C.G.R. 4.39 -16.72 -8.33 14.56 3.45
t-value 1.53 3.81*** 0.81 1.33 0.45
Trend Equation
Constant 38.12 39.05 3.83 6.09 12.91
Beta 2.47 -3.45 0.06 0.82 0.10
t-value 1.58 3.76*** 0.22 1.26 0.12
Projections
2014-15 77.64 -16.15 4.79 19.21 14.51
2019-20 89.99 -33.40 5.09 23.31 15.01
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 -4.86 -374.08 1087.48 292.77 101.24
2019-20 10.28 -666.83 1161.86 376.60 108.17
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : *** Significant at 1% level
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AVERAGE PROFITABILITY DCCBs IN PUNJAB
Table 5.3 : Trends in Loans Outstanding in Average Profitability DCCBs inPunjab: 1999-00 to 2007-08 (` in lakh)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agrl. Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 10117 8076 1583 2722 2722 25220
2000-01 10550 11290 14 3037 8113 33004
2001-02 10213 13028 2307 4475 13487 43510
2002-03 13046 12236 1818 8289 22612 58001
2003-04 13500 14413 1527 11883 14618 55941
2004-05 14085 11823 1532 12939 9818 50197
2005-06 17799 11255 942 11874 5090 46960
2006-07 20323 11901 911 13214 6310 52659
2007-08 48838 3897 111 5820 5731 64397
Average 17607.89 10879.89 1193.89 8250.33 9833.44 47765.44
C.V. 69.37 28.66 64.29 52.63 62.77 25.89
C.G.R. 17.06 -5.01 -0.11 17.84 -0.93 8.98
t-value 4.30*** 1.03 0.01 2.47** 0.11 3.30**
Trend Equation
Constant 906.72 12450.30 1711.64 3052.75 11744.66 29870.55
beta 3340.23 -314.03 -103.55 1039.52 -382.68 3579.48
t-value 2.99** 0.76 1.05 2.30* 0.46 3.44**
Projections
2014-15 54350.40 7425.82 54.84 19685.07 5621.78 87142.23
2019-20 71051.55 5855.67 -462.91 24882.67 3708.38 105039.63
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 11.29 90.55 -50.59 238.23 -1.91 35.32
2019-20 45.48 50.26 -517.04 327.54 -35.29 63.11
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note: *** Significant at 1% level** Significant at 5 % level*Significant at 10 % level
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Trend Analysis
It is clear from Table 5.3 that total outstanding loans increased significantly
from ` 25220 lakh in 1999-00 to `64397 lakh in 2007-08 at the CGR of 8.98 per
cent per annum in average profitability DCCBs in Punjab. Similarly, the outstanding
against short- term agricultural loans and medium- term non-agricultural loans also
showed a significant increase at the compound growth rate of 17.06 and 17.84 per
cent respectively. Short- term agriculture loans increased from `10117 in 1999-00 to
`48838 in 2007-08 and medium- term non- agriculture loans increased from ` 2722
lakh in 1999-00 to `13214 in 2006-07 but decreased to ` 5820 lakh in the last year of
study. There was an insignificant decline in the outstanding against short- term non-
agricultural loans, medium- term agricultural loans and other loans, as indicated by
the non- significant t-values. The short- term agricultural loans outstanding would
increase by 11.29 per cent in 2014-15 and further by 45.48 per cent in 2019-20 as
compared to 2007-08. The overall outstanding against loans would increase by 35.32
and 63.11 per cent till 2014-15 and 2019-20 respectively over 2007-08 in average
profitability DCCBs in Punjab.
Proportionate Share of Different Loans Outstanding
Table 5.4 reveals that average proportionate share of short- term agriculture
loans is the highest, i.e., 35.84 per cent followed by short- term non-agriculture loans
with 24.36 per cent. Lowest average proportionate share, i.e., 2.72 is of medium-term
agriculture loans. The table further explains that there was a significant decline at the
rate of -12.84 per cent from 32.02 per cent to 6.05 per cent during 1999-00 to 2007-08
in the share of outstanding against short- term non-agricultural loans. However, the
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share of all other types of loans experienced heavy fluctuations during the same
period.
Table 5.4 : Trends in Proportionate Share of Loans Outstanding in AverageProfitability DCCBs in Punjab: 1999-00 to 2007-08 (Percentage)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agrl. Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 40.11 32.02 6.28 10.79 10.79 100.00
2000-01 31.97 34.21 0.04 9.20 24.58 100.00
2001-02 23.47 29.94 5.30 10.28 31.00 100.00
2002-03 22.49 21.10 3.13 14.29 38.99 100.00
2003-04 24.13 25.76 2.73 21.24 26.13 100.00
2004-05 28.06 23.55 3.05 25.78 19.56 100.00
2005-06 37.90 23.97 2.01 25.29 10.84 100.00
2006-07 38.59 22.60 1.73 25.09 11.98 100.00
2007-08 75.84 6.05 0.17 9.04 8.90 100.00
Average 35.84 24.36 2.72 16.78 20.31 100.00
C.V. 45.99 33.69 76.73 44.40 52.10 0.00
C.G.R. 7.42 -12.84 -8.16 8.13 -9.09
t-value 1.53 3.02** 0.38 1.34 1.54
Trend Equation
Constant 19.41 36.71 4.88 9.93 29.07
beta 3.29 -2.47 -0.43 1.37 -1.75
t-value 1.73 3.85*** 1.84 1.54 1.35
Projections
2014-15 72.05 -2.81 -2.00 31.85 1.07
2019-20 88.50 -15.16 -4.15 38.70 -7.68
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 -5.00 -146.43 -1260.31 252.41 -87.98
2019-20 16.69 -350.52 -2507.64 328.21 -186.30
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : *** Significant at 1% level** Significant at 5 % level
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That is why the t-values were non-significant. The trend equation indicated
that there would be no outstanding against short- term non-agricultural loans in future.
Total outstandings against loans may also be said to decline in future in average
profitability banks in Punjab.
LOW PROFITABILITY DCCBs IN PUNJAB
Trend Analysis
The analysis given in Table 5.5 provides that total outstanding against loans
increased significantly at the CGR of 11.63 per cent per annum from `23495 lakh in
1999-00 to `57911 lakh in 2007-08 in low profitability DCCBs in Punjab. Similarly,
the increase in outstanding against short- term agricultural loans from `14070 lakh in
1999-00 to ` 33153 lakh in 2007-08 was found to be significant at a CGR of 12.32 per
cent per annum. A significant increase in outstanding against short- term non-
agricultural loan, medium- term agricultural loan and medium-term non-agricultural
loan could also be seen. The rate of compounded growth came to be 8.21, 61.04 and
18.22 per cent respectively. There was a non-significant decline in outstanding against
other loans. Anyhow, it emerged as a common feature that outstanding against all
types of loans, except other loans, increased significantly throughout the period of
study.
Keeping in view the existing trend, the outstanding against loans would
increase by 47.01 per cent in 2014-15 and 83.07 per cent in 2019-20 over 2007-08.
Similarly, the outstanding against short- term agricultural loans would increase by
44.71 and 82.05 per cent in 2014-15 and 2019-20 respectively as compared to that in
2007-08. The outstanding against short-term non-agricultural, medium- term
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agricultural and medium-term non-agricultural loan would also meet with a
significant increase in future.
Table 5.5 : Trends in Loans Outstandings in Low Profitability DCCBs inPunjab: 1999-00 to 2007-08 (` in lakh)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agrl. Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 14070 4736 62 2897 1730 23495
2000-01 13757 7091 48 3193 1989 26078
2001-02 14762 8135 95 4334 3517 30843
2002-03 17291 9069 246 5169 4118 35893
2003-04 18608 8485 642 7446 4530 39711
2004-05 20117 7498 709 7892 4842 41058
2005-06 24641 9640 1302 7975 1762 45320
2006-07 30297 9411 1365 9955 1333 52361
2007-08 33153 12046 1326 10079 1307 57911
Average 20744.00 8456.78 643.89 6548.89 2792.00 39185.56
C.V. 34.36 23.76 88.13 41.86 51.71 29.43
C.G.R. 12.32 8.21 61.04 18.22 -5.73 11.63
t-value 10.97*** 3.87** 6.65*** 9.81*** 0.87 20.05***
Trend Equation
Constant 8366.00 5320.19 -346.44 1630.64 3329.17 18299.19
Beta 2475.60 627.32 198.07 983.65 -107.43 4177.20
t-value 8.15*** 4.36** 8.61 14.05*** 0.55 20.67***
Projections
2014-15 47975.60 15357.31 2822.68 17369.04 1610.29 85134.39
2019-20 60353.60 18493.91 3813.03 22287.29 1073.14 106020.39
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 44.71 27.49 112.87 72.33 23.21 47.01
2019-20 82.05 53.53 187.56 121.13 -17.89 83.07
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note: *** Significant at 1% level** Significant at 5 % level
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Proportionate Share of Different Loan Outstandings
Table 5.6 : Trends in Proportionate Share of Loans Outstanding in LowProfitability DCCBs in Punjab: 1999-00 to 2007-08 (Percentage)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agrl. Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 59.89 20.16 0.26 12.33 7.36 100
2000-01 52.75 27.19 0.18 12.24 7.63 100
2001-02 47.86 26.38 0.31 14.05 11.40 100
2002-03 48.17 25.27 0.69 14.40 11.47 100
2003-04 46.86 21.37 1.62 18.75 11.41 100
2004-05 49.00 18.26 1.73 19.22 11.79 100
2005-06 54.37 21.27 2.87 17.60 3.89 100
2006-07 57.86 17.97 2.61 19.01 2.55 100
2007-08 57.25 20.80 2.29 17.40 2.26 100
Average 52.67 22.07 1.39 16.11 7.75 100.00
C.V. 9.34 15.42 76.22 17.74 51.86
C.G.R. 0.62 -3.07 44.25 5.90 -15.56
t-value 0.49 1.83 5.51*** 4.18** 2.74**
Trend Equation
Constant 51.12 25.60 -0.40 11.74 11.95
Beta 0.31 -0.70 0.36 0.88 -0.84
t-value 0.46 1.82 6.43*** 4.07** 1.85
Projections
2014-15 56.08 14.40 5.36 25.82 -1.49
2019-20 57.63 10.90 7.16 30.22 -5.69
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 -2.04 -30.77 134.09 48.35 -166.02
2019-20 0.67 -47.60 212.70 73.64 -352.11
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : *** Significant at 1% level** Significant at 5 % level
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Analysis of Table 5.6 provides that on the average, short- term agriculture
loans accounted for 52.67 per cent in average proportionate share in total loan
outstandings in low profitability DCCBs in Punjab. Average proportionate share of
short- term non-agriculture loans was 22.07, followed by medium- term non-
agriculture loans with 16.11 per cent.
The table further brings out that share of outstandings against other loans
declined significantly at the rate of -15.56 per cent. The share of outstandings against
medium- term agricultural as well as non-agricultural loans increased significantly at
the rate of 44.25 and 5.90 per cent respectively. It may be said that the share of
outstandings against other loans would disappear in future, while there may be some
increase in the share of outstandings against medium-term agricultural and non-
agricultural loans in low profitability DCCBs in Punjab.
ALL SELECTED DCCBs IN PUNJAB
Trend Analysis
Table 5.7 presents that total outstandings against loans increased significantly
at the rate of 9.98 per cent compounded annually from `65076 lakh in 1999-00 to
`165940 lakh in 2007-08 in all the selected DCCBs in Punjab. Outstandings against
short- term agricultural and medium- term non-agricultural loans increased
significantly. The rate of increase was found to be 14.66 per cent in the case of
outstandings against short- term agricultural loans and 18.62 per cent in medium-
term non-agricultural loans.
The total outstanding loans as well as the outstandings against all types of
loans would increase in future also. The highest future increase would be seen in
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outstandings against medium- term agricultural loans, followed by medium- term
non-agricultural loans.
Table 5.7 : Trends in Loans Outstanding in the Selected DCCBs in Punjab:1999-00 to 2007-08 (` in lakh)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agrl Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 33601 18300 2259 5850 5066 65076
2000-01 34420 25913 795 8462 13821 83411
2001-02 35979 32852 3401 10734 21400 104366
2002-03 45147 31063 3395 17251 31483 128339
2003-04 47589 26849 3700 24017 28112 130267
2004-05 52958 23234 4461 26475 19413 126541
2005-06 61468 27520 4541 26651 11664 131844
2006-07 66318 27695 4287 27136 12570 138006
2007-08 117596 18514 1613 18033 10184 165940
Average 55008.44 25771.11 3161.33 18289.89 17079.22 119310.00
C.V. 47.61 19.45 41.95 45.64 50.94 25.47
C.G.R. 14.66 -0.66 7.89 18.62 1.36 9.98
t-value 6.77*** 0.24 0.97 3.59*** 0.17 5.44***
Trend Equation
Constant 11169.81 26797.10 2224.83 6138.89 18314.91 67607.53
Beta 8174.38 -204.85 187.30 2430.20 -247.05 10339.60
t-value 4.36*** 0.30 1.11 3.49*** 0.21 6.79***
Projections
2014-15 141959.89 23519.50 5221.63 45022.09 14362.11 233041.09
2019-20 182831.79 22495.25 6158.13 57173.09 13126.86 284739.07
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 20.72 27.04 223.72 149.67 41.03 40.44
2019-20 55.47 21.50 281.78 217.05 28.90 71.59
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : *** Significant at 1% level
116
Proportionate Share
Table 5.8 : Trends in Proportionate Share of Loans Outstanding in theSelected DCCBs in Punjab: 1999-00 to 2007-08 (Percentage)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agrl Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 51.63 28.12 3.47 8.99 7.78 100
2000-01 41.27 31.07 0.95 10.14 16.57 100
2001-02 34.47 31.48 3.26 10.28 20.50 100
2002-03 35.18 24.20 2.65 13.44 24.53 100
2003-04 36.53 20.61 2.84 18.44 21.58 100
2004-05 41.85 18.36 3.53 20.92 15.34 100
2005-06 46.62 20.87 3.44 20.21 8.85 100
2006-07 48.05 20.07 3.11 19.66 9.11 100
2007-08 70.87 11.16 0.97 10.87 6.14 100
Average 45.16 22.88 2.69 14.77 14.49 100.00
C.V. 25.09 28.70 38.01 33.57 46.80
C.G.R. 4.26 -9.68 -1.90 7.86 -7.84
t-value 1.50 4.86*** 0.26 1.92* 1.36
Trend Equation
Constant 34.48 33.54 2.88 9.49 19.61
Beta 2.14 -2.13 -0.04 1.06 -1.02
t-value 1.60 5.13*** 0.27 1.90* 1.20
Projections
2014-15 68.72 -0.54 2.24 26.45 3.29
2019-20 79.42 -11.19 2.04 31.75 -1.81
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 -3.03 -104.84 130.44 143.39 -46.39
2019-20 12.07 -200.30 109.87 192.16 -129.49
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : *** Significant at 1% level*Significant at 10 % level
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Table 5.8 reveals that the share of outstandings in short- term non-agricultural
loans declined significantly from 28.12 per cent in 1999-00 to 11.16 per cent in 2007-
08 at the CGR of -9.68 per cent. However, the share of outstandings against medium-
term non-agricultural loans registered a significant increase at the compound rate of
7.86 per cent per annum. The trends were uncertain in the case of share of
outstandings against short- term agricultural, medium-term agricultural and other
loans. The t-values for these loans were non- significant. In future, the shift from
outstandings against short- term non-agricultural loans to medium- term agricultural
and non-agricultural loans would prevail in all the selected DCCBs in Punjab.
The overall analysis provides that total loan outstandings had increased
significantly in all the categories of selected DCCBs in Punjab during the period
of study. Short- term agricultural loans, the core area of their operations, had
also shown a similar trend. An in-depth study of Table 5.2, 5.4 and 5.6 shows that
average proportionate share of agriculture loan outstandings (both short- term
& medium- term) were 54.55 per cent, 38.56 per cent and 59.54 per cent
respectively in high, medium and low profit DCCBs in Punjab. It shows that
profitability in these banks of Punjab had no relationship with their loan mix.
HARYANA DCCBs
HIGH PROFITABILITY DCCBs IN HARYANA
Trend Analysis
Table 5.9 indicates that total outstanding loans increased significantly from
`23622 lakh in 1999-00 to `46401 lakh in 2007-08 at a compound growth rate of
9.41 per cent per annum. A similar pattern could be seen in outstandings against
118
short-term agriculture loans and medium-term agricultural as well as non-agricultural
loans in high profitability DCCBs in Haryana.
Table 5.9 : Trends in Loans Outstanding in High Profitability DCCBs inHaryana: 1999-00 to 2007-08 (` in lakh)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agrl Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 18810 1585 109 544 2574 23622
2000-01 15886 2007 139 1613 2996 22641
2001-02 22644 1827 196 1186 4341 30194
2002-03 24961 2025 143 1392 4599 33120
2003-04 25643 3456 1130 1148 5833 37210
2004-05 25871 2499 5074 1302 3403 38149
2005-06 29240 2390 4917 1529 2190 40266
2006-07 31757 1950 4459 1875 3772 43813
2007-08 30583 1931 5103 2117 6667 46401
Average 25043.89 2185.56 2363.33 1411.78 4041.67 35046.22
C.V. 21.08 25.17 102.50 32.19 36.76 23.85
C.G.R. 7.91 2.45 81.62 11.12 4.83 9.41
t-value 5.72*** 0.80 4.74*** 2.74** 0.97 9.05***
Trend Equation
Constant 15976.65 1951.14 -1579.09 772.28 2941.50 20062.12
Beta 1813.45 46.48 788.48 127.90 220.03 2996.75
t-value 4.16*** 0.64 5.20*** 3.20** 1.17 13.68***
Projections
2014-15 44991.85 2694.82 11036.59 2818.68 6461.98 68010.12
2019-20 54059.10 2927.22 14978.99 3458.18 7562.13 82993.87
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 47.11 39.56 116.28 33.15 -3.08 46.57
2019-20 76.76 51.59 193.53 63.35 13.43 78.86
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : *** Significant at 1% level** Significant at 5 % level
119
The outstandings against short-term agricultural loans increased significantly
from `18810 lakh to `30583 lakh during 1999-00 to 2007-08 at the rate of 7.91 per
cent, while the outstanding against medium-term agricultural loans increased
significantly from `109 lakh to `5103 lakh at a very high rate of 81.62 per cent during
the same period. The outstandings against medium-term non-agricultural loans
witnessed an increase from `544 lakh in 1999-00 to `2117 lakh in 2007-08 at a CGR
of 11.12 per cent.
On the basis of trend equations, total outstandings would increase by 46.57 per
cent in 2014-15 and further by 78.86 per cent in 2019-20 over 2007-08. Similarly, the
outstandings against short-term agricultural loans would also increase by 47.11 and
76.76 per cent in the respective years. A significant future increase in outstandings
against medium-term agricultural as well as non-agricultural loans are expected.
Proportionate Share
Table 5.10 shows that as usual in co-operative banks, in high profitability
DCCBs of Haryana also, short-term agricultural loans had the highest average
proportionate share, i.e., 71.99 per cent, followed by other loans with 11.71 per cent.
Short-term non agricultural, medium term agricultural and medium-term non-
agricultural loans had 6.46, 5.76 and 4.08 per cent average proportionate share
respectively.
A perusal of the table further reveals that the share of outstandings against
medium-term agricultural loans increased significantly from 0.46 per cent in 1999-00
to 11.00 per cent in 2007-08 at the growth rate of 66.08 per cent. On the other hand,
the share of short-term non-agricultural loan outstandings declined significantly at a
CGR of -6.36 per cent per annum.
120
Table 5.10 : Trends in Proportionate Share of Loans Outstanding in HighProfitability DCCBs in Haryana 1999-00 to 2007-08 (Percentage)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agrl Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 79.63 6.71 0.46 2.30 10.90 100
2000-01 70.16 8.86 0.61 7.12 13.23 100
2001-02 75.00 6.05 0.65 3.93 14.38 100
2002-03 75.37 6.11 0.43 4.20 13.89 100
2003-04 68.91 9.29 3.04 3.09 15.68 100
2004-05 67.82 6.55 13.30 3.41 8.92 100
2005-06 72.62 5.94 12.21 3.80 5.44 100
2006-07 72.48 4.45 10.18 4.28 8.61 100
2007-08 65.91 4.16 11.00 4.56 14.37 100
Average 71.99 6.46 5.76 4.08 11.71 100.00
C.V. 5.95 26.67 99.26 32.73 29.32
C.G.R. -1.40 -6.36 66.08 1.57 -4.19
t-value 1.41 2.49** 4.16*** 0.37 0.98
Trend Equation
Constant 81.20 8.39 -3.14 4.12 13.62
Beta -1.04 -0.39 1.78 -0.01 -0.38
t-value 1.38 2.06* 4.31*** 0.05 0.42
Projections
2014-15 64.56 2.15 25.34 3.96 7.54
2019-20 59.36 0.20 34.24 3.91 5.64
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 -2.05 -48.34 130.41 -13.20 -47.52
2019-20 -9.94 -95.19 211.34 -14.30 -60.75
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : *** Significant at 1% level** Significant at 5 % level
121
AVERAGE PROFITABILITY DCCBs IN HARYANA
Trend Analysis
Table 5.11 : Trends in Loans Outstanding in Average Profitability DCCBs inHaryana: 1999-00 to 2007-08 (` in lakh)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agrl Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 13584 1820 227 1347 187 17165
2000-01 22649 6525 740 905 226 31045
2001-02 18540 3578 368 853 397 23736
2002-03 19293 3817 1698 831 397 26036
2003-04 19523 5126 2843 1045 530 29067
2004-05 23386 3068 3524 1442 547 31967
2005-06 26493 2340 2899 1432 1764 34928
2006-07 29574 10592 3408 1327 2547 47448
2007-08 32193 2568 2137 1539 3536 41973
Average 22803.89 4381.56 1982.67 1191.22 1125.67 31485.00
C.V. 25.68 62.72 65.10 23.59 107.34 29.23
C.G.R. 8.97 2.98 35.91 5.60 45.08 10.20
t-value 4.86*** 0.39 3.27*** 1.94 8.02*** 4.57***
Trend Equation
Constant 13203.60 3384.22 105.00 874.31 -811.25 16753.64
Beta 1920.17 199.47 375.53 63.38 387.38 2945.93
t-value 5.40*** 0.54 3.41*** 2.07* 4.86*** 4.82***
Projections
2014-15 43926.32 6575.74 6113.48 1888.39 5386.83 63888.52
2019-20 53527.17 7573.09 7991.13 2205.29 7323.73 78618.17
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 36.45 156.06 186.08 22.70 52.34 52.21
2019-20 66.27 194.90 273.94 43.29 107.12 87.31
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : *** Significant at 1% level*Significant at 10 % level
122
Table 5.11 describes that total outstanding loans increased significantly from
`17165 lakh in 1999-00 to `41973 lakh in 2007-08 at the growth rate of 10.20 per
cent compounded annually in average profitability DCCBs in Haryana. It emerged as a
common factor that outstandings against all types of loans, except short-term as well as
medium-term non-agricultural loans, increased significantly during the period
under study as indicated by the significant t-values. The outstandings against short-
term agricultural loans increased from ` 13584 lakh in 1999-00 to ` 22649 lakh in
2000-01 but decreased to `18540 lakh in 2001-02. It again increased to ` 23386 lakh
in 2004-05 and to `32193 lakh in the last year of study with an overall CGR of 8.97
per cent. Outstandings against medium-term agricultural loans showed an increase of
35.91 per cent per annum from `227 lakh to `2137 lakh during the same period. The
outstandings against short-term and medium-term non-agricultural loans could not
depict a significant trend, while outstandings against other loans registered an increase
from `187 lakh to ` 3536 lakh at the growth rate of 45.08 per cent during the same
period.
The existing trend conveys that there would be an increase of 52.21 per cent in
2014-15 and 87.31 per cent in 2019-20 in total outstanding loans over those in 2007-
08 in average profitability DCCBs in Haryana. Similarly, the outstandings against
short-term agricultural loans would be higher by 36.45 per cent in 2014-15 and by
66.27 per cent in 2019-20 as compared to those in 2007-08, while the respective
increase would be 186.08 per cent and 273.94 per cent in outstandings against
medium-term agricultural loans. The outstandings against other loans would also
increase by 52.34 and 107.12 per cent in 2014-15 and 2019-20 respectively over
123
2007-08. This revealed that outstandings are bound to increase in future also in
average profitability DCCBs in Haryana.
Proportionate Share of Different Loans
Table 5.12 : Trends in Proportionate Share of Loans Outstanding in AverageProfitability DCCBs in Haryana: 1999-00 to 2007-08 (Percentage)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agrl Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 79.14 10.60 1.32 7.85 1.09 100
2000-01 72.96 21.02 2.38 2.92 0.73 100
2001-02 78.11 15.07 1.55 3.59 1.67 100
2002-03 74.10 14.66 6.52 3.19 1.52 100
2003-04 67.17 17.64 9.78 3.60 1.82 100
2004-05 73.16 9.60 11.02 4.51 1.71 100
2005-06 75.85 6.70 8.30 4.10 5.05 100
2006-07 62.33 22.32 7.18 2.80 5.37 100
2007-08 76.70 6.12 5.09 3.67 8.42 100
Average 73.28 13.75 5.91 4.02 3.04 100.00
C.V. 7.38 42.96 60.46 38.08 86.16
C.G.R. -1.11 -6.17 23.35 -4.17 31.64
t-value 1.15 1.42 2.43** 1.10 5.61***
Trend Equation
Constant 77.21 16.73 1.95 5.25 -1.14
Beta -0.79 -0.60 0.79 -0.25 0.84
t-value 1.15 0.76 2.02* 1.29 4.76***
Projections
2014-15 64.57 7.13 14.59 1.25 12.30
2019-20 60.62 4.13 18.54 0.00 16.50
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 -15.81 16.54 186.56 -65.91 46.00
2019-20 -20.96 -32.50 264.15 -100.00 95.86
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note :*** Significant at 1% level*Significant at 10 % level
124
Table 5.12 depicts that in average profitability DCCBs in Haryana short-term
agriculture loan outstandings accounted for 73.28 per cent share on average, followed
by short-term non agriculture loans with 13.75 per cent share. The table further
explains that the proportionate share of outstandings against medium-term agricultural
loans increased significantly from 1.32 per cent in 1999-00 to 5.09 per cent in 2007-
08 at a CGR of 23.35 per cent. It is expected to increase up to 14.59 per cent in 2014-
15 and 18.54 per cent in 2019-20 in average profitability DCCBs in Haryana.
Similarly, the share of outstandings against other loans increased significantly from
1.09 per cent in 1999-00 to 8.42 per cent in 2007-08 at a growth rate of 31.64 per cent
per annum which would further increase to 12.30 per cent in 2014-15 and 16.50 per
cent in 2019-20. The share of outstandings against all other types of loans
demonstrated a non-significant tendency, due to stagnation or fluctuations.
LOW PROFITABILITY DCCBs IN HARYANA
Trend Analysis
Table 5.13 describes that total outstanding loans increased from ` 46839 lakh
in 1999-00 to `78940 lakh in 2007-08 at a significant growth rate of 7.13 per cent
compounded annually in low profitability DCCBs in Haryana. Similarly, outstandings
against short-term agricultural loans increased significantly from `31055 lakh to `
56772 lakh at the growth rate of 8.05 per cent during the period of study, while
outstandings against short-term non-agricultural loans could not depict a significant
increase as indicated by non-significant t-value. However, medium-term agricultural
as well as non-agricultural loans increased significantly at a growth rate of 41.26 and
10.19 per cent per annum respectively.
125
Table 5.13 : Trends in Loans Outstanding in Low Profitability DCCBs inHaryana: 1999-00 to 2007-08 (` in lakh)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agri Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 31055 7815 687 3098 4184 46839
2000-01 36768 7304 811 2566 5291 52740
2001-02 29373 8186 120 2522 0 40201
2002-03 34841 8574 1024 3010 0 47449
2003-04 35205 8713 3740 3244 0 50902
2004-05 38955 6895 6360 3888 0 56098
2005-06 47939 6778 5203 4448 0 64368
2006-07 53783 8844 4344 5046 0 72017
2007-08 56772 12957 3342 5646 223 78940
Average 40521.22 8451.78 2847.89 3718.67 1077.56 56617.11
C.V. 24.46 21.96 79.25 29.93 194.39 22.45
C.G.R. 8.05 3.39 41.26 10.19 7.13
t-value 5.25*** 1.39 2.36** 5.74*** 4.38***
Trend Equation
Constant 24259.58 6727.36 -212.19 1855.17 36346.42
Beta 3252.65 344.88 612.02 372.70 4053.63
t-value 5.42*** 1.56 2.93** 6.09*** 4053.63
Projections
2014-15 76301.98 12245.44 9580.13 7818.37 101204.50
2019-20 92565.23 13969.84 12640.23 9681.87 121472.65
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 34.40 -5.49 186.66 38.48 28.20
2019-20 63.05 7.82 278.22 71.48 53.88
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : *** Significant at 1% level** Significant at 5 % level
126
The total outstandings against loans would be higher by 28.20 per cent in
2014-15 and 53.88 per cent in 2019-20 over those in 2007-08 in low profitability
DCCBs in Haryana. The outstandings against short-term agriculture loans would also
increase by 34.40 and 63.05 per cent and medium-term non-agricultural loans by
38.48 and 71.48 per cent respectively. Medium-term agricultural loans would record
an increase of 186.66 and 278.22 per cent in the year 2014-15 and 2019-20
respectively over those in the year 2007-08. If the trend remains the same, the
outstandings against other loans would disappear in low profitability DCCBs in
Haryana.
Proportionate Share
A glance at Table 5.14 provides that on the average the proportionate share of
outstandings against short-term agricultural loans appeared as high as 71.35 per cent,
while it was as low as of 2.14 per cent in the case of share of outstandings against
other loans. Average proportionate share of outstandings against medium-term non-
agricultural loans was 6.50 per cent. However, the proportionate share of outstandings
against all other types of loans could not depict any definite trend. The share of
outstandings against short-term agricultural loans, short-term non-agricultural loans
and medium-term agricultural loans remained either constant or unstable with
wide fluctuations. The share of outstandings against medium-term non-agricultural
loans increased at a significant growth rate of 2.86 per cent, which would be
8.34 per cent in the year 2014-15 which would further go up to 9.19 per cent in the
year 2019-20.
127
Table 5.14 : Trends in Proportionate Share of Loans Outstanding in LowProfitability DCCBs in Haryana: 1999-00 to 2007-08 (Percentage)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agri Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 66.30 16.68 1.47 6.61 8.93 100
2000-01 69.72 13.85 1.54 4.87 10.03 100
2001-02 73.07 20.36 0.30 6.27 0.00 100
2002-03 73.43 18.07 2.16 6.34 0.00 100
2003-04 69.16 17.12 7.35 6.37 0.00 100
2004-05 69.44 12.29 11.34 6.93 0.00 100
2005-06 74.48 10.53 8.08 6.91 0.00 100
2006-07 74.68 12.28 6.03 7.01 0.00 100
2007-08 71.92 16.41 4.23 7.15 0.28 100
Average 71.35 15.29 4.72 6.50 2.14 100.00
C.V. 4.00 21.04 78.81 10.63 195.16
C.G.R. 0.86 -3.49 31.81 2.86
t-value 1.89 1.36 2.03 2.31**
Trend Equation
Constant 68.34 17.89 0.62 5.62
Beta 0.60 -0.53 0.82 0.17
t-value 1.88 1.31 2.01 2.53**
Projections
2014-15 77.94 9.41 13.74 8.34
2019-20 80.94 6.76 17.84 9.19
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 8.37 -42.67 224.55 16.61
2019-20 12.54 -58.81 321.39 28.49
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : ** Significant at 5 % level
128
ALL SELECTED DCCBs IN HARYANA
Trend Analysis
Table 5.15 : Trends in Loans Outstanding in the Selected DCCBs in Haryana1999-00 to 2007-08 (` in lakh)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agrl Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 63449 11220 1023 4989 6945 87626
2000-01 75303 15836 1690 5084 8513 106426
2001-02 70557 13591 684 4561 4738 94131
2002-03 79095 14416 2865 5233 4996 106605
2003-04 80371 17295 7713 5437 6363 117179
2004-05 88212 12462 14958 6632 3950 126214
2005-06 103672 11508 13019 7409 3954 139562
2006-07 115114 21386 12211 8248 6319 163278
2007-08 119548 17456 10582 9302 10426 167314
Average 88369.00 15018.89 7193.89 6321.67 6244.89 123148.33
C.V. 22.56 22.09 79.34 26.38 34.66 23.20
C.G.R. 8.12 3.72 46.29 8.96 0.22 8.38
t-value 9.99*** 1.37 3.87*** 6.56*** 0.05 9.31***
Trend Equation
Constant 53435.91 12062.93 -1686.39 3501.75 5850.89 73169.52
Beta 6986.27 591.23 1776.03 563.98 78.80 9996.32
t-value 9.02*** 1.48 3.04** 6.50*** 0.27 8.84***
Projections
2014-15 165216.23 21522.61 26730.09 12525.43 7111.69 233110.64
2019-20 200147.58 24478.76 35610.24 15345.33 7505.69 283092.24
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 38.20 23.30 152.60 34.65 -31.79 39.33
2019-20 67.42 40.23 236.52 64.97 -28.01 69.20
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note: *** Significant at 1% level** Significant at 5 % level
129
Table 5.15 demonstrates that the total outstanding loans increased from `
87626 lakh in 1999-00 to ` 167314 lakh in 2007-08, registering a significant growth
rate of 8.38 per cent compounded annually in all the selected DCCBs in Haryana. The
outstandings against short-term agricultural loans increased significantly from `63449
lakh in 1999-00 to ` 119548 lakh in 2007-08 with a compound growth rate of 8.12 per
cent, while outstandings against medium-term agricultural loans increased from
`1023 lakh to `10582 lakh during the same period registering a compound growth
rate of 46.29 per cent. There was, again, a significant increase from ` 4989 lakh in
1999-00 to ` 9302 lakh in 2007-08 in outstandings against medium-term non-
agricultural loans.
The total outstanding loans would increase by 39.33 per cent in 2014-15 and
further by 69.20 per cent in 2019-20 over 2007-08 in all the selected DCCBs in
Haryana. This increase would be 38.20 and 67.42 per cent in outstandings against
short-term agricultural loans, 152.60 and 236.52 per cent in outstandings against
medium-term agricultural loans, and 34.65 and 64.97 per cent in outstandings against
other loans. Thus, in future, it is expected that outstanding loans would increase in all
the selected DCCBs in Haryana.
Proportionate Share
Table 5.16 reveals that there was a significant increase from 1.17 per cent in
1999-00 to 6.32 per cent in 2007-08 in proportionate share of outstandings against
medium-term agricultural loans. The share of outstandings against all other types of
loans remained insignificant. This showed that outstanding loans would change in the
same proportion in future in all the selected DCCBs in Haryana.
130
Table 5.16 : Trends in Proportionate Share of Loans Outstanding in theSelected DCCBs in Haryana 1999-00 to 2007-08 (Percentage)
YearShort-term Medium-term Other
LoansTotalLoansAgrl. Non-Agrl Agrl. Non- Agrl.
1999-00 72.41 12.80 1.17 5.69 7.93 100
2000-01 70.76 14.88 1.59 4.78 8.00 100
2001-02 74.96 14.44 0.73 4.85 5.03 100
2002-03 74.19 13.52 2.69 4.91 4.69 100
2003-04 68.59 14.76 6.58 4.64 5.43 100
2004-05 69.89 9.87 11.85 5.25 3.13 100
2005-06 74.28 8.25 9.33 5.31 2.83 100
2006-07 70.50 13.10 7.48 5.05 3.87 100
2007-08 71.45 10.43 6.32 5.56 6.23 100
Average 71.89 12.45 5.30 5.12 5.24 100.00
C.V. 3.07 19.11 74.58 7.08 35.92
C.G.R. -0.24 -4.30 34.92 0.54 -7.53
t-value 0.57 1.93 3.22*** 0.57 1.96
Trend Equation
Constant 72.75 15.02 -0.08 4.99 7.33
Beta -0.17 0.51 1.08 0.03 -0.42
t-value 0.58 1.94 2.96** 0.53 2.04*
Projections
2014-15 70.03 23.18 17.20 5.47 0.61
2019-20 69.18 25.73 22.60 5.62 -1.49
% Change Over 2007-08
2014-15 -1.99 122.18 171.95 -1.61 -90.21
2019-20 -3.18 146.62 257.33 1.09 -123.91
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : *** Significant at 1% level** Significant at 5 % level
The analysis given above has established that as in Punjab DCCBs total
loan outstandings and short-term agriculture loan outstandings had shown a
131
significant growth during the period of study. A perusal of Table 5.10, 5.12 and
5.14 reveals that an average proportionate share of outstanding agricultural
loans (both short-term + medium-term) was 77.75, 81.79 and 76.07 respectively
in high, medium and low profitability DCCBs in Haryana. Therefore, no relation
of loan mix and profitability of DCCBs may be established in DCCBs of
Haryana. To draw meaningful inferences it needs to be studied in relation to
recovery of these banks.
Comparison of Outstanding Loans in Punjab and Haryana DCCBs
Table 5.17 : Comparison of Loans Outstanding in DCCBs in Punjab andHaryana during 1999-00 to 2007-08
Loan O/SPunjab Haryana
t-valueMean SD Mean SD
ST-Agrl. 55008.44 29929.82 88369.00 19936.05 2.78**
ST-Non Agrl. 25771.11 7856.46 15018.89 3317.67 3.78***
MT-Agrl. 3161.33 1410.62 7193.89 5707.63 2.05*
MT-Non Agrl. 18289.89 8146.38 6321.67 1667.66 4.32***
Others 17079.22 8733.15 6244.89 2164.48 3.61***
Total 119310.00 28369.14 123148.33 28570.41 0.29
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : *** Significant at 1% level** Significant at 5 % level
*Significant at 10 % level
A comparison of different types of outstanding loans as well as total
outstanding loans is shown in Table 5.17. On the average of period of 9 years under
study, total outstanding loans were `119310 lakh in Punjab and `123148.33 lakh in
Haryana which were statistically at par as the t-value came to be non- significant. The
132
outstandings against short-term agricultural loans came to be significantly higher in
DCCBs in Haryana, i.e., `88369 lakh against `55008 lakh in Punjab. On the other
hand, the outstandings against short-term non-agricultural loans were significantly
higher to the order of ` 25771.11 lakh in DCCBs in Punjab as compared to `15018.89
lakh in DCCBs in Haryana. Similarly, the outstandings against medium-term non-
agricultural loans and other loans came to be significant higher in DCCBs in Punjab
as compared to those in DCCBs in Haryana. New product lines in their loan portfolio
such as Recovery Cash Credit to farmers, overdraft facility to employees in Punjab
DCCBs are the main factors for this.
Table 5.18 : Comparison of Proportionate Share of Loans Outstanding inDCCBs in Punjab and Haryana during 1999-00 to 2007-08
Loan O/SPunjab Haryana
t-valueMean SD Mean SD
ST-Agrl. 45.16 14.79 71.89 2.21 5.36***
ST-Non Agrl. 22.88 8.31 12.45 2.38 3.62***
MT-Agrl. 2.69 1.13 5.30 3.95 1.91*
MT-Non Agrl. 14.77 5.36 5.12 0.36 5.39***
Others 14.49 6.60 5.24 1.88 4.04***
Total 100.00 100.00
Source : Basic Data on Performance of District Central Co-operative Banks,Published by NAFSCOB, Mumbai, 1999-00 to 2007-08
Note : *** Significant at 1% level*Significant at 10 % level
Table 5.18 highlights that the proportionate share of outstandings against
short-term agricultural loans was significantly higher in DCCBs in Haryana (71.89%)
as compared to that in DCCBs in Punjab (45.16%). On the other hand, the shares of
outstandings against short-term non-agricultural loans, medium-term non-agricultural
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loans and other loans were significantly higher in DCCBs in Punjab, i.e., 22.89, 14.77
and 14.49 per cent respectively as compared to the respective figures of 12.45, 5.12
and 5.24 per cent in DCCBs in Haryana.
The overall analysis provides that loan portfolio is well managed in
Punjab as compared to Haryana. Low proportionate share of outstandings
against short-term agricultural loans in DCCBs, Punjab (45.16 per cent) as
compared to DCCBs, Haryana (71.89 per cent) shows that
(a) DCCBs of Punjab had succeeded in diversifying their business in non-
farm/ commercial loans.
(b) They were more efficient in recovery management of short-term
agricultural loans.
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REFERENCES
Bharali, Devdas (1987), Co-operative Banking and Economic Development, Deep &
Deep Publications, New Delhi, p.117.
Pandey, K.L. (1968), Development of Banking in India since 1949, Calcutta Scientific
Book Agency, Calcutta, p.80.
Pamala, K.S.; and Negi, K.S. (1997), Sickness of Small Scale Industries: Problems &
Prospectus, New Trends in Indian Industries, Vol.2, Chugh Publication,
Allahabad.
Paul, R.K.; and Ahmed, J.U. (2005), Public Sector Banks in India: Impact of
Financial Sector Reforms. Kalpaz Publications, Delhi, p.97.
Singh, N. (2005), Changing Socio- economic Scenario and Co-operatives, Inter-
office Note, ACSTI, September, Jalandhar.
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