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Transcript of Chapter 4
CHAPTER IV - DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION
PROPERTY #1
Name : Altamont Avenue
Type : Retail
Net Rentable Area : 60,802 SF
Value : $ 10,197,191
1
Table 5.2 Terminal Value Calculation
Terminal Value Calculation
Valuation Term 10 Years
Year 11 NOI $1,248,948 Terminal Cap Rate 8.00%
Gross Sale Proceeds $15,611,850 Net Sale Proceeds $15,611,850
Table 5.3 Present Value Summary
Present Value Summary
Total PSF % $6,019,044 $98.99 59.0%
4,178,147 68.72 41.0%
Total Present Value $10,197,000 $167.71 100.0%
PV of Residual @ 10.0%
PV of Cash Flow @ 10.0%
Interpretation:
Here we have assumed a 10 year holding period irrespective of the useful life of the asset. At the end of the 10th year, the
property is assumed to be sold. So, the 11th year NOI is capitalized to get the Net Sale Proceeds. The capitalized value is
then discounted to get the present value. This value is added to the present value of the 10 year cash flows to get the
value of the property.
3
Table 5.4 NPV Sensitivity Table
9.50% 9.75% 10.00% 10.25% 10.50%7.50% $11,009 $10,801 $10,598 $10,400 $10,206
(181.06) (177.65) (174.31) (171.05) (167.86)
7.75% $10,792 $10,590 $10,391 $10,198 $10,009
(177.50) (174.16) (170.90) (167.72) (164.61)
8.00% $10,589 $10,391 $10,197 $10,008 $9,823 (174.16) (170.90) (167.71) (164.60) (161.56)
8.25% $10,398 $10,204 $10,015 $9,830 $9,649
(171.02) (167.83) (164.71) (161.67) (158.69)
8.50% $10,219 $10,029 $9,843 $9,662 $9,485
(168.06) (164.94) (161.89) (158.91) (155.99)
Discount Rate
Te
rmin
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Ca
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ate
Interpretation:
The above table shows the resulting Net Present Value of the property in response to the fluctuations in Cap rate and
Discount rate due to changes in market conditions.
Table 5.5 Sensitivity Of DSCR And LTV To Changes In Interest Rates And Cap Rates
Debt Service Coverage Matrix Loan To Value MatrixInterest Rate Debt Service DSCR Direct Cap. Rate Value LTV
5.75% $566,196 1.20 7.00% $9,746,000 82.1%6.25% $593,702 1.15 7.50% $9,096,000 88.0%6.75% $621,820 1.10 8.00% $8,528,000 93.8%7.25% $650,526 1.05 8.50% $8,026,000 99.7%7.75% $679,796 1.00 9.00% $7,580,000 105.5%
The above tables show the corresponding changes in Debt Service Coverage Ratio to the changing Interest rates and the
changes in the Loan To Value corresponding changes in Cap Rates. Clients generally require this table for their decision
making.
4
Table 5.6 Lease Expiration
TENANT SUITE
MADISON LINEN 401 480
HEBRON YESHIVA 406 536
MERCHANT RENAISSANCE 503 712
BUREKHOVICH TRAVEL 504 1,575
INNO FUND CORP. 505 1,100
SALOMON ENGINEERING 803 1,125
GLAMOUR (USA), INC. 407 776
SAMUEL SANG HYON 502 2,081
SENECA TRADING, INC. 610 752
PRIMARY RESOURCE 901 2,000
KAM CONSULTING SERVICE 410 650
WELLINK PRODUCTS 603 1,210
BEST STYLES, INC. 0604A 2,145
URBAN OUTDOOR 701 400
MARKETING GRAPHICS, INC 707 636
C & M INTERNATIONAL 708 600
J & J CORP. 201 1,215
BEST SILVER, INC. 0205A 4,130
TIME CENTER, INC. STOR3 315
J & J CORP. STOR5 682
KI KI JEWELRY CORP 605 1,000
WENCY LLC 408 1,460
HERITAGE, INC. 810 1,275
HOWARD NOWES 405 640
K. YOUNG ASSESSARIES 508 1,800
AFRICAN ANGELS STOR4 445
STATE TO STATE RISK 802 553
CIRCLEX CORPORATION 601 1,782
BEST STYLES, INC. 0610A 460
EMPORIO PLUS, INC. 0703A 365
SECURE TRADING EST. 801 410
VERMANI PERFUMES STOR7
BEST STYLES INC. 400 1,800
AA & TC, INC. 706 1,400
HIND FASHION, INC. 800 1,037
EARTH MECHANICAL CORP 806 1,044
UNICOM CRAFTS, INC. 809 1,063
GENESIS INTERNATIONAL STOR2 689
LUCKY SILVER INC. 404 1,000
LUCKY GEM, INC. 300 630
LUCKY GEM, INC. 301 1,295
ABLE JEWELRY CREATION 305 530
LUCKY GEM, INC. 308 5,107
TOP SALE TRADE USA 807 1,700
HAN SOL USA GROUP, INC. 704 600
BARATO TRADING STOR6 1,000
SILVER GALORE, INC. STOR8 881
GURU IMPORTS, INC. 202 625
DECENT TRADING, INC. STOR1 2,000
TOTAL 30,337 23,842 4,506 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% of Total SF Expiring 49.89% 39.21% 7.41% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Culmulative Expiration 49.89% 89.1% 96.5% 96.5% 96.5% 96.5% 96.5% 96.5% 96.5% 96.5%
Jun-2013 Jun-2014Jun-2015Jun-2009Jun-2010Jun-2011 Jun-2012For the Years Ending Jun-2006 Jun-2007Jun-2008
5
Fig 5.1 Lease Expiration Chart
Year % of NRA Expiring Annually% of NRA Expiring CumulativeJun-2006 2006 2006 49.9% 49.9%Jun-2007 2007 2007 39.2% 89.1%Jun-2008 2008 2008 7.4% 96.5%Jun-2009 2009 2009 0.0% 96.5%Jun-2010 2010 2010 0.0% 96.5%Jun-2011 2011 2011 0.0% 96.5%Jun-2012 2012 2012 0.0% 96.5%Jun-2013 2013 2013 0.0% 96.5%Jun-2014 2014 2014 0.0% 96.5%Jun-2015 2015 2015 0.0% 96.5%
Interpretation
The above chart depicts the percentage of Net Rentable Area completing the first lease
rollover. Table 6 shows the total square foot of first rollover of each tenant.
The information was obtained from the lease agreements. Whenever there is a lease
rollover, there is a probability of either the tenant renewing the lease or vacating. This risk is
shown above. Here 96.5 % gets rolled over within 3 years, hence the risk is high.
6
Table 5.7 Rent Roll
Tenant Suite No. SF % of Total Rent/SF Annual % of AnnualSF Income Income
Credit Tenants
J & J CORP. STOR5 682 1.1% $138.56 $94,501 4.5%J & J CORP. 0201 1,215 2.0% $13.00 $15,790 0.7%
Credit Tenants Total/Average 1,897 3.1% $58.14 $110,291 5.2%
Non-Credit Tenants
DECENT TRADING, INC. STOR1 1,487 2.4% $196.98 $292,903 13.9%
GENESIS INTERNATIONAL STOR2 1,000 1.6% 156.60 156,600 7.4%
TIME CENTER, INC. STOR3 315 0.5% 197.78 62,300 2.9%
AFRICAN ANGELS STOR4 445 0.7% 321.35 143,002 6.8%
BARATO TRADING STOR6 881 1.4% 194.10 170,998 8.1%
VERMANI PERFUMES STOR7 1,800 3.0% 53.17 95,706 4.5%
SILVER GALORE, INC. STOR8 625 1.0% 115.20 72,000 3.4%
GURU IMPORTS, INC. 0202 2,000 3.3% 24.90 49,800 2.4%
BEST SILVER, INC. 0205A 4,130 6.8% 11.14 45,998 2.2%
LUCKY GEM, INC. 0300 1,295 2.1% 24.68 31,961 1.5%
LUCKY GEM, INC. 0301 530 0.9% 24.68 13,080 0.6%
ABLE JEWELRY CREATION 0305 5,107 8.4% 24.08 122,977 5.8%
LUCKY GEM, INC. 0308 1,700 2.8% 24.68 41,956 2.0%
BEST STYLES INC. 0400 1,400 2.3% 24.86 34,804 1.6%
MADISON LINEN 0401 480 0.8% 12.71 6,100 0.3%
GLAMOUR LINE INC. 0402 500 0.8% 25.20 12,600 0.6%
DYNAMIC AIRCONDITIONING 0403 400 0.7% 29.63 11,850 0.6%
LUCKY SILVER INC. 0404 630 1.0% 28.57 17,999 0.9%HOWARD NOWES 0405 640 1.1% 23.46 15,013 0.7%
HEBRON YESHIVA 0406 536 0.9% 11.63 6,231 0.3%
GLAMOUR (USA), INC. 0407 776 1.3% 12.23 9,490 0.4%
WENCY LLC 0408 1,460 2.4% 18.08 26,397 1.2%
KAM CONSULTING SERVICE 0410 650 1.1% 11.51 7,479 0.4%
SAMUEL SANG HYON 0502 2,081 3.4% 12.58 26,186 1.2%
MERCHANT RENAISSANCE 0503 712 1.2% 12.80 9,114 0.4%
BUREKHOVICH TRAVEL 0504 1,575 2.6% 12.42 19,555 0.9%
INNO FUND CORP. 0505 1,100 1.8% 13.02 14,317 0.7%
K. YOUNG ASSESSARIES 0508 1,800 3.0% 19.86 35,756 1.7%
CIRCLEX CORPORATION 0601 1,782 2.9% 25.59 45,595 2.2%
WELLINK PRODUCTS 0603 1,210 2.0% 14.91 18,045 0.9%
BEST STYLES, INC. 0604A 2,145 3.5% 11.67 25,032 1.2%
KI KI JEWELRY CORP 0605 1,000 1.6% 13.65 13,650 0.6%
SENECA TRADING, INC. 0610 752 1.2% 12.65 9,510 0.5%
BEST STYLES, INC. 0610A 460 0.8% 27.18 12,502 0.6%
7
P.O.M. PLANNING SERVICE 0700 1,042 1.7% 19.58 20,402 1.0%
URBAN OUTDOOR 0701 400 0.7% 13.08 5,233 0.2%
METRO OFFICE FURNITURE 0702 630 1.0% 20.95 13,199 0.6%
EMPORIO PLUS, INC. 0703A 365 0.6% 29.59 10,800 0.5%
HAN SOL USA GROUP, INC. 0704 1,000 1.6% 28.60 28,600 1.4%
AA & TC, INC. 0706 1,037 1.7% 26.04 27,003 1.3%
MARKETING GRAPHICS, INC 0707 636 1.0% 12.92 8,215 0.4%
C & M INTERNATIONAL 0708 600 1.0% 12.92 7,750 0.4%
HIND FASHION, INC. 0800 1,044 1.7% 23.18 24,202 1.1%
SECURE TRADING EST. 0801 410 0.7% 26.95 11,049 0.5%
1220 BROADWAY BUSINESS 0801A 1,032 1.7% 27.91 28,803 1.4%
STATE TO STATE RISK 0802 553 0.9% 25.50 14,102 0.7%
SALOMON ENGINEERING 0803 1,125 1.9% 13.01 14,637 0.7%
EARTH MECHANICAL CORP 0806 1,063 1.7% 29.54 31,399 1.5%
TOP SALE TRADE USA 0807 600 1.0% 23.00 13,800 0.7%
UNICOM CRAFTS, INC. 0809 689 1.1% 26.27 18,098 0.9%
HERITAGE, INC. 0810 1,275 2.1% 22.74 28,996 1.4%
PRIMARY RESOURCE 0901 2,000 3.3% 9.93 19,867 0.9%
Non-Credit Total/Average 58,905 96.9% $34.00 $2,002,661 94.8%
Total/Average 60,802 100.0% $34.75 $2,112,952 100.0%
Interpretation:
The above table shows whether the tenants are credit tenants or not. This information was
searched from websites such as Standard & Poors, Moodys and Fitch to find out the credit
rating of each tenant. Then they are rated as credit and non-credit based on the credit rating
table. A credit tenant generally is an anchor tenant who attracts customers to the property.
His lease lasts long and he is a credit worthy tenant. The area occupied by the tenant and
the income generated by them is also shown in the table.
8
Table 5.9 Present Value Summary
Present Value SummaryTotal PSF %
$5,071,620 $128.35 49.7%5,123,826 129.67 50.3%
Total Present Value $10,195,000 $258.01 100.0%
PV of Residual @ 10.0% PV of Cash Flow @ 10.0%
Table 5.10 Terminal Value Calculation
Terminal Value Calculation
Valuation Term 10 Years Year 11 NOI $1,052,358 Terminal Cap Rate 8.00% Gross Sale Proceeds $13,154,475 Net Sale Proceeds $13,154,475
11
Table 5.11 NPV Sensitivity Table
Present Value Analysis - Total/(PSF) (in '000s)
9.50% 9.75% 10.00% 10.25% 10.50%7.50% $10,902 $10,716 $10,534 $10,356 $10,181
(275.90) (271.20) (266.59) (262.08) (257.66)
7.75% $10,719 $10,537 $10,359 $10,185 $10,015
(271.27) (266.66) (262.16) (257.76) (253.45)
8.00% $10,548 $10,370 $10,195 $10,025 $9,858 (266.94) (262.44) (258.02) (253.71) (249.48)
8.25% $10,387 $10,213 $10,042 $9,875 $9,711
(262.87) (258.47) (254.14) (249.91) (245.76)
8.50% $10,236 $10,065 $9,897 $9,733 $9,573
(259.05) (254.72) (250.47) (246.32) (242.27)
Discount RateT
erm
inal
Cap
Rat
e
Table 5.12 Sensitivity Of DSCR And LTV To Changes In Interest Rates And Cap Rate
Debt Service Coverage Matrix Loan To Value MatrixInterest Rate Debt Service DSCR Direct Cap. Rate Value LTV
5.75% $566,196 1.36 7.00% $10,998,000 63.6%6.25% $593,702 1.30 7.50% $10,265,000 68.2%6.75% $621,820 1.24 8.00% $9,624,000 72.7%7.25% $650,526 1.18 8.50% $9,057,000 77.3%7.75% $679,796 1.13 9.00% $8,554,000 81.8%
Interpretation:
The Debt Service Coverage Ratios of this property are acceptable and the Loan To Value Values are in good range. The
risk is low in this property for the lender.
12
Table 5.13 Lease Expiration
TENANT
Procare 1,854
OBGYN Associates 3,640
Dr. Messo 3,524
C & L Bagels L.L.C. 1,525
Little Expressions 1,494
Gingers Salon 3,150
J & K Interiors 3,150
Estate Jewelry 605
Xact Solutions 2,965
American Realty 1,390
Hip Yoga, L.L.C. 1,575
Monmouth Health 2,418
Art & San L.L.C.
TOTAL 1,854 0 7,164 9,319 4,960 1,575 0 0 0 2,418
% of Total SF Expiring 4.69% 0.0% 18.1% 23.6% 12.6% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.1%
Culmulative Expiration 4.69% 4.7% 22.8% 46.4% 59.0% 62.9% 62.9% 62.9% 62.9% 69.1%Speculative leases are not included in the Lease Expiration Schedule.
For the Years Ending Jun-2006 Jun-2007 Jun-2008 Jun-2009 Jun-2010 Jun-2011 Jun-2012 Jun-2013 Jun-2014 Jun-2015
13
Fig 5.2 Lease Expiration Chart
Lease Expiration Analysis
23.6%
12.6%
4.0%0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
6.1%4.7%0.0%
18.1%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
% of NRA Expiring Annually % of NRA Expiring Cumulative
Year % of NRA Expiring Annually% of NRA Expiring CumulativeJun-2006 2006 2006 4.7% 4.7%Jun-2007 2007 2007 0.0% 4.7%Jun-2008 2008 2008 18.1% 22.8%Jun-2009 2009 2009 23.6% 46.4%Jun-2010 2010 2010 12.6% 59.0%Jun-2011 2011 2011 4.0% 62.9%Jun-2012 2012 2012 0.0% 62.9%Jun-2013 2013 2013 0.0% 62.9%Jun-2014 2014 2014 0.0% 62.9%Jun-2015 2015 2015 6.1% 69.1%Apr-2016 42461 2016 0.0% 69.1%
Interpretation
The chart shows that 69.1 % of the net rentable area is at risk of vacation loss after the first
lease is completed for all the tenants.
14
Table 5.14 Rent Roll
For the Years Ending Suite No. SF % of Total Rent/SF Annual % of AnnualSF Income Income
Tenants
C & L Bagels L.L.C. A 1,525 3.9% $22.23 $33,897 4.5%
Art & San L.L.C. B,C,D 4,725 12.0% 23.67 111,857 15.0%
Little Expressions E 1,494 3.8% 22.16 33,100 4.4%
Orchards Cleaners F 1,557 3.9% 20.89 32,518 4.3%
Gingers Salon G, H 3,150 8.0% 22.24 70,046 9.4%
Perkins J, K 3,404 8.6% 17.74 60,401 8.1%
R.G. Holding L 1,288 3.3% 3.75 4,830 0.6%
Blooming Things M 1,250 3.2% 21.65 27,067 3.6%
Estate Jewelry M (Fro 605 1.5% 21.44 12,972 1.7%
J & K Interiors N, P 3,150 8.0% 21.51 67,757 9.1%
Xact Solutions Q, R 2,965 7.5% 20.19 59,849 8.0%
Hip Yoga, L.L.C. S 1,575 4.0% 21.01 33,091 4.4%
American Realty T 1,390 3.5% 20.96 29,130 3.9%
Monmouth Health A & D 2,418 6.1% 16.00 38,688 5.2%
Dr. Messo B/C1 3,524 8.9% 14.19 50,017 6.7%
Procare C2 1,854 4.7% 15.14 28,068 3.8%
OBGYN Associates C3 3,640 9.2% 14.97 54,479 7.3%
Total/Average 39,514 100.0% $319.73 $747,767 100.0%
Interpretation:
This property does not have any credit tenants. So the property does not have any major
anchor tenant who can drive in customers. This is a disadvantage for the property.
15
Table 5.16 Present Value Summary
Present Value SummaryTotal PSF %
$3,566,834 $79.05 48.3%3,819,100 84.64 51.7%
Total Present Value $7,386,000 $163.69 100.0%
PV of Residual @ 10.0% PV of Cash Flow @ 10.0%
Table 5.17 Terminal Value Calculation
Terminal Value Calculation
Valuation Term 10 Years Year 11 NOI $740,119 Terminal Cap Rate 8.00% Gross Sale Proceeds $9,251,488 Net Sale Proceeds $9,251,488
18
Table 5.18 NPV Sensitivity Table
Present Value Analysis - Total/(PSF) (in '000s)
9.50% 9.75% 10.00% 10.25% 10.50%6.50% $7,981 $7,846 $7,714 $7,586 $7,460
(176.88) (173.88) (170.96) (168.12) (165.33)
6.75% $7,852 $7,720 $7,592 $7,466 $7,343
(174.02) (171.09) (168.25) (165.46) (162.74)
7.00% $7,732 $7,603 $7,370 $7,353 $7,233 (171.36) (168.50) (163.33) (162.96) (160.30)
7.25% $7,619 $7,492 $7,369 $7,248 $7,129
(168.85) (166.04) (163.31) (160.63) (157.99)
7.50% $7,512 $7,388 $7,267 $7,148 $7,032
(166.48) (163.73) (161.05) (158.41) (155.84)
Discount Rate
Te
rmin
al
Ca
p R
ate
Table 5.19 Sensitivity Of DSCR And LTV To Changes In Interest Rates And Cap Rates
Debt Service Coverage Matrix Loan To Value MatrixInterest Rate Debt Service DSCR Direct Cap. Rate Value LTV
5.75% $566,196 1.03 7.00% $8,338,000 89.9%6.25% $593,702 0.98 7.50% $7,782,000 96.4%6.75% $621,820 0.94 8.00% $7,296,000 102.8%7.25% $650,526 0.90 8.50% $6,867,000 109.2%7.75% $679,796 0.86 9.00% $6,485,000 115.7%
Interpretation:
The Debt Service Coverage Ratio is lower than 1, which means that the income of the borrower may not be sufficient
enough to service his debt. The Loan To Value is also on the higher side. Typically LTVs greater than 100% call for huge
risks.
19
Table 5.20 Lease Expiration
TENANT SUITE
New Paradigm Investment 210 1,263
Dr. Lang, MD 230 1,105
Mercy Healthcare 300 7,921
Dr. John Von Brecht 260 1,331
Dr. Gloria S. Simard 220 1,058
Dr. Lang, MD 230 1,105
Sierra Foothills Thorac 250 2,311
CHW Medical 100 17,030
Mercy Blood Draw Lab 270 460
Dr. Shaari, DDS 290 2,129
Dr. Daisuke Bannai 240 1,350
Dr. Carol F. Milazzo 280 1,504
Sierra Counseling 310B 7,200
TOTAL 2,368 9,252 4,474 17,030 2,589 10,054 0 0 0 0
% of Total SF Expiring 5.25% 20.50% 9.92% 37.74% 5.74% 22.28% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Culmulative Expiration 5.25% 25.8% 35.7% 73.4% 79.1% 101.4% 101.4% 101.4% 101.4% 101.4%
For the Years Ending Jun-2006 Jun-2007 Jun-2008 Jun-2009 Jun-2010 Jun-2011 Jun-2012 Jun-2013 Jun-2014 Jun-2015
20
Fig.53 Lease Expiration Chart
Lease Expiration Analysis
37.7%
5.7%
22.3%
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
9.9%20.5%
5.2%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
% of NRA Expiring Annually % of NRA Expiring Cumulative
Year % of NRA Expiring Annually% of NRA Expiring CumulativeJun-2006 2006 2006 5.2% 5.2%Jun-2007 2007 2007 20.5% 25.8%Jun-2008 2008 2008 9.9% 35.7%Jun-2009 2009 2009 37.7% 73.4%Jun-2010 2010 2010 5.7% 79.1%Jun-2011 2011 2011 22.3% 101.4%Jun-2012 2012 2012 0.0% 101.4%Jun-2013 2013 2013 0.0% 101.4%Jun-2014 2014 2014 0.0% 101.4%Jun-2015 2015 2015 0.0% 101.4%
Interpretation:
The probability of the property becoming 100% vacant arises in the 6th year itself. The
rollover risk is high.
21
Table 5.21 Rent Roll
Tenant Suite No. SF % of Total Rent/SF Annual % of AnnualSF Income Income
Non-Credit Tenants
CHW Medical 0100 17,030 37.7% $11.09 $188,873 27.6%
New Paradigm Investment 0210 1,263 2.8% 15.57 19,665 2.9%
Dr. Gloria S. Simard 0220 1,058 2.3% 22.25 23,540 3.4%
Dr. Lang, MD 0230 1,105 2.4% 21.00 23,205 3.4%
Dr. Daisuke Bannai 0240 1,350 3.0% 18.80 25,380 3.7%
Sierra Foothills Thorac 0250 2,311 5.1% 21.00 48,528 7.1%
Dr. John Von Brecht 0260 1,331 2.9% 19.93 26,526 3.9%
Mercy Blood Draw Lab 0270 460 1.0% 23.88 10,987 1.6%
Dr. Shaari, DDS 0290 2,129 4.7% 23.99 51,065 7.5%
Mercy Healthcare 0300 7,921 17.6% 11.43 90,525 13.3%
Nextel Communications 0350 460 1.0% 37.80 17,389 2.5%
Dr.Carol F. Milazza 0280 1,504 3.3% 18.50 27,824 4.1%Sierra Counselling 310 B 7,200 16.0% 18.00 129,600 19.0%
Non-Credit Total/Average 45,122 100.0% $245.24 $683,107 100.0%
Total/Average 45,122 100.0% $15.14 $683,107 100.0%
Interpretation:
This property does not have any credit tenants. So the property does not have any major
anchor tenant who can drive in customers. This is a disadvantage for the property.
22
PROPERTY #4
Name : Georges Avenue
Type : Retail
Net Rentable Area : 44,271 SF
Value : $ 9,788,461
23
Present Value SummaryTotal PSF %
$5,052,453 $114.13 51.6%4,736,008 106.98 48.4%
Total Present Value $9,788,000 $221.09 100.0%
PV of Residual @ 10.0% PV of Cash Flow @ 10.0%
Table 5.24 Terminal Value Calculation
Terminal Value Calculation Valuation Term 10 Years Year 11 NOI $1,048,381 Terminal Cap Rate 8.00% Gross Sale Proceeds $13,104,763 Net Sale Proceeds $13,104,763
25
Table 5.25 NPV Sensitivity Table
Present Value Analysis - Total/(PSF) (in '000s)
9.50% 9.75% 10.00% 10.25% 10.50%7.50% $11,354 $11,152 $10,954 $10,761 $10,572
(256.47) (251.90) (247.43) (243.07) (238.80)
7.75% $11,113 $10,916 $10,724 $10,536 $10,352
(251.02) (246.57) (242.24) (237.99) (233.83)
8.00% $10,889 $10,698 $9,788 $10,327 $10,148 (245.96) (241.65) (221.10) (233.27) (229.22)
8.25% $10,681 $10,494 $10,311 $10,132 $9,958
(241.26) (237.04) (232.91) (228.86) (224.93)
8.50% $10,486 $10,304 $10,125 $9,951 $9,780
(236.86) (232.75) (228.71) (224.77) (220.91)
Discount Rate
Te
rmin
al
Ca
p R
ate
Table 5.26 Sensitivity Of DSCR And LTV To Changes In Interest Rates And Cap Rates
Debt Service Coverage Matrix Loan To Value MatrixInterest Rate Debt Service DSCR Direct Cap. Rate Value LTV
5.75% $566,196 1.23 7.00% $9,942,000 80.5%6.25% $593,702 1.17 7.50% $9,280,000 86.2%6.75% $621,820 1.12 8.00% $8,700,000 92.0%7.25% $650,526 1.07 8.50% $8,188,000 97.7%7.75% $679,796 1.02 9.00% $7,733,000 103.5%
Interpretation:
The Debt Service Coverage Ratios of the property are closer to the ideal value. The Loan To Value is slightly higher. This
would have been acceptable if there were credit tenants in the property, which would have reduced the risk of getting
back the loan payments.
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Table 5.27 Lease Expiration
TENANT SUITE
Dr. Mark Zeintek 1082 1,800
Classic Comics 1006 1,200
Two Girls Inc. 1000 1,200
Yuno Corp. 1090 1,200
Raymond & Susan 1050 5,000
JJ Pizza 1008 1,200
UPS Store (Jin Kim) 1092 1,200
Dr. Eugene & Tendler 1086 1,800
Saibaba Cellular 1002 1,100
Ming Feng 998 1,095
Beneficial Finance 1004 1,325
Sip & Dip 1096 1,200
Community Distribution 1064 13,900
Bank of America 1034 5,651
Krauzer's Food Store 1100 2,400
TOTAL 1,800 9,800 4,100 2,420 15,100 5,651 0 2,400 0 0
% of Total SF Expiring 4.07% 22.14% 9.26% 5.47% 34.11% 12.76% 0.00% 5.42% 0.00% 0.00%Culmulative Expiration 4.07% 26.2% 35.5% 40.9% 75.0% 87.8% 87.8% 93.2% 93.2% 93.2%
Jun-2013 Jun-2014 Jun-2015Jun-2009 Jun-2010 Jun-2011 Jun-2012For the Years Ending Jun-2006 Jun-2007 Jun-2008
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Fig.5.4 Lease Expiration Chart
Lease Expiration Analysis
0.0%5.4%
0.0% 0.0%
12.8%
34.1%
5.5%
9.3%22.1%
4.1%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
% of NRA Expiring Annually % of NRA Expiring Cumulative
Year % of NRA Expiring Annually% of NRA Expiring CumulativeJun-2006 2005 2005 4.1% 4.1%Jun-2007 2006 2006 22.1% 26.2%Jun-2008 2007 2007 9.3% 35.5%Jun-2009 2008 2008 5.5% 40.9%Jun-2010 2009 2009 34.1% 75.0%Jun-2011 2010 2010 12.8% 87.8%Jun-2012 2011 2011 0.0% 87.8%Jun-2013 2012 2012 5.4% 93.2%Jun-2014 2013 2013 0.0% 93.2%Jun-2015 2014 2014 0.0% 93.2%
Interpretation
The Rollover risk is medium. Considering the first rollover term, the probability of
building becoming vacant is 75 % in 5 years and 93 % in 10 years.
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Table 5.28 Rent Roll
For the Years Ending Suite No. SF % of Total Rent/SF Annual % of AnnualSF Income Income
Credit TenantsBank of America 1034 5,651 12.8% $27.72 $156,672 20.5%
Credit Tenants Total/Average 5,651 12.8% $27.72 $156,672 20.5%
Non-Credit Tenants
Two Girls Inc. 1000 1,200 2.7% $14.00 $16,800 2.2%
Saibaba Cellular 1002 1,100 2.5% 13.96 15,352 2.0%
Beneficial Finance 1004 1,325 3.0% 19.34 25,625 3.3%
Classic Comics 1006 1,200 2.7% 14.82 17,788 2.3%
JJ Pizza 1008 1,200 2.7% 26.00 31,200 4.1%
Community Distribution 1064 13,900 31.4% 11.20 155,680 20.3%
Raymond & Susan 1050 5,000 11.3% 12.48 62,417 8.2%
Dr. Mark Zeintek 1082 1,800 4.1% 27.35 49,233 6.4%
Dr. Eugene & Tendler 1086 1,800 4.1% 15.00 27,000 3.5%
Yuno Corp. 1090 1,200 2.7% 22.10 26,520 3.5%
UPS Store (Jin Kim) 1092 1,200 2.7% 19.77 23,724 3.1%
Sip & Dip 1096 1,200 2.7% 23.05 27,662 3.6%
Krauzer's Food Store 1100 2,400 5.4% 21.63 51,911 6.8%
Ming Feng 0998 1,095 2.5% 19.73 21,604 2.8%
Non-Credit Total/Average 35,620 80.5% $15.51 $552,516 72.2%
Speculative lease 1110 3,000 6.8% 18.75 56,250 7.3%
Total/Average 44,271 100.0% $17.29 $765,438 100.0%
Interpretation:
The above table shows the list of credit and non credit tenants. The credit tenant
Bank Of America occupies 12.8 % of the total square foot and generates the
maximum Income, 20.5% of Total Annual Income.
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