Chapter 2 Discrete Distributions - Youngstown State...

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Normal Distributions 1 1 The Normal Distribution 2 Normal Probability Density Function - < x < Notation: N (, 2 ) A normal distribution with mean and standard deviation 2 2 1 2 1 ) ( - - x e x f The continuous random variable X has a normal distribution if its p.d.f. is 3 Normal Distribution The mean, variance, and m.g.f. of a continuous random variable X that has a normal distribution are: 2 ] [ ] [ X Var X E 4 Normal Distribution 1. “Bell-Shaped” & Symmetrical X f(X) Mean Median Mode 2. Mean, Median, Mode Are Equal 3. Random Variable Has Infinite Range - < x < 5 Example N (72, 5) A normal distribution with mean 72 and variance 5. Possible situations: Test scores, pulse rates, … 6 Effect of Varying Parameters ( & ) x f(x) A C B

Transcript of Chapter 2 Discrete Distributions - Youngstown State...

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Normal Distributions

1

1

The Normal Distribution

2

Normal Probability

Density Function

- < x <

Notation: N (, 2) A normal distribution with

mean and standard deviation

2

2

1

2

1)(

-

-

x

exf

The continuous random variable

X has a normal distribution if

its p.d.f. is

3

Normal Distribution

The mean, variance, and m.g.f. of a

continuous random variable X that has a

normal distribution are:

2][

][

XVar

XE

4

Normal Distribution

1. “Bell-Shaped” &

Symmetrical

X

f(X)

Mean

Median

Mode

2. Mean, Median,

Mode Are Equal

3. Random Variable

Has Infinite Range

- < x <

5

Example

N (72, 5) A normal distribution with mean 72

and variance 5.

Possible situations: Test scores, pulse rates, …

6

Effect of Varying Parameters ( & )

x

f(x)

A C

B

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Normal Distributions

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Normal Distribution

Probability

dxxfdxcPd

c )()(

c dx

f(x)

Probability is

area under

curve!

8

X

f(X)

Infinite Number

of Tables

Normal distributions differ by

mean & standard deviation.

Each distribution would

require its own table.

That’s an infinite number!

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Standard Normal Distribution

Standard Normal Distribution:

A normal distribution with

mean = 0 and standard deviation = 1.

Notation:

Z ~ N ( = 0, 2 = 1)

0 Z

= 1

Cap letter Z 10

Area under Standard Normal Curve

How to find the proportion of the are under the standard normal curve below z or say P ( Z < z ) = ?

Use Standard Normal Table!!!

0 z

Z

11 12

Standard Normal Distribution

P(Z < 0.32) = F(0.32) Area below .32 = ?

0 .32

0.6255

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Standard Normal Distribution

P(Z > 0.32) = Area above .32

0 .32

Areas in the upper tail of the standard normal distribution

= 1 - .6255 = .3745

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Standard Normal Distribution

P(0 < Z < 0.32) = Area between 0 and .32 = ?

0 .32

= 0.6255 – 0.5 = 0.1255

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-1.00 0 1.00

P ( -1.00 < Z < 1.00 ) = __?___

.3413 .3413

.6826

0.8413 - 0.5 16

-2.00 0 2.00

P ( -2.00 < Z < 2.00 ) = _____

.4772 .4772

.9544 = .4772 + .4772

.9544

17

-3.00 0 3.00

P ( -3.00 < Z < 3.00 ) = _____

… .4987 .4987

.9974

18

- 1.40 0 2.33

P ( -1.40 < Z < 2.33 ) = ____

.4901 .4192

.9093

.0099 .0808

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Normal Distributions

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Normal Distribution

= 0

= 1

= 50

= 3

= 70

= 9

Standard Normal

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Standardize the

Normal Distribution

X

Normal

Distribution

ZX

-

One table!

= 0

= 1

Z

Standardized

Normal Distribution

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Theorem

If X is N(, 2), then Z = is N(0,1). (X – )

-F-

-F

-

-

ab

bZ

aPbXaP )(

22

N ( 0 , 1)

0

-

-

bZ

aPbXaP )(

Standardize the

Normal Distribution

a b

N ( , )

Normal

Distribution

X

Standard

Normal

Distribution

Z

-a

-b

23

Example 1

Normal

Distribution

For a normal distribution that has

a mean = 5 and s.d. = 10, what

percentage of the distribution is

between 5 and 6.2?

X = 5

= 10

6.2 24

Example 1

X= 5

= 10

6.2

Normal

Distribution

12.10

52.6

-

-

XZ

Z= 0

= 1

.12

Standardized

Normal Distribution P(5 X 6.2)

P(0 Z .12)

010

55

-

-

XZ

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Normal Distributions

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Z= 0

= 1

.12

Example 1

Standardized Normal

Distribution Table

Area = .5478 - .5 = .0478 26

Example 1

X= 5

= 10

6.2

Normal

Distribution

12.10

52.6

-

-

XZ

Z= 0

= 1

.12

Standardized

Normal Distribution P(5 X 6.2)

P(0 Z .12)

0.0478 4.78%

010

55

-

-

XZ

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Example

P(3.8 X 5)

X = 5

= 10

3.8

Normal

Distribution

12.10

58.3-

-

-

XZ

Z = 0

= 1

-.12

Standardized

Normal Distribution

.0478

Area = .0478

P(3.8 X 5) =P(-.12 Z 0)

.0478

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Example

P(2.9 X 7.1)

5

= 10

2.9 7.1 X

Normal

Distribution

0

= 1

-.21 Z.21

Standardized

Normal Distribution

.1664

Area = .0832 + .0832 = .1664

P(2.9 X 7.1) =P(-.21 Z .21)

.1664

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Example

P(X > 8)

X = 5

= 10

8

Normal

Distribution

Standardized

Normal Distribution

30.10

58

-

-

XZ

Z = 0

= 1

.30

.3821

Area = .3821

P(X > 8) =P(Z > .30)

=.3821

30

X = 5

= 10

8

Normal

Distribution

62% 38%

Value 8 is the 62nd percentile

Example

P(X > 8)

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Normal Distributions

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More on Normal Distribution

The work hours per week for residents in Ohio has a

normal distribution with = 42 hours & = 9 hours.

Find the percentage of Ohio residents whose work hours

are

A. between 42 & 60 hours.

P(42 X 60) =?

B. less than 20 hours.

P(X 20) = ?

32

P(42 X 60) = ?

Normal

Distribution

Standardized

Normal Distribution

X

= 200

2400 Z 0

= 1

2.0

9

42 60 2

P(42 Z 60)

P(0 Z 2)

.4772(47.72%) .4772

33

P(X 20) = ?

Normal

Distribution

Standardized

Normal Distribution

X

= 200

2400 Z 0

= 1

2.0

9

20 42 -2.44

P(X 20) = P(Z -2.44)

= 0.0073 = 0.73%

0.0073

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Finding Z Values

for Known Probabilities

Standardized Normal

Distribution Table

What is z given

P(Z < z) = .80 ?

0

.80 .20

z = .84

z.20 = .84

Def. za : P(Z ≥ za) = a ; P(Z < za) = 1 – a

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Finding X Values

for Known Probabilities

Example: The weight of new born

infants is normally distributed with a

mean 7 lb and standard deviation of

1.2 lb. Find the 80th percentile.

Area to the left of 80th percentile is 0.800.

In the table, there is a area value 0.7995

(close to 0.800) corresponding to a z-score

of .84.

80th percentile = 7 + .84 x 1.2 = 8.008 lb 36

Finding X Values

for Known Probabilities

Normal Distribution Standardized Normal Distribution

.80 .80

0 7

( )( ) 008.82.184.7 ZX

X = 8.008 z = .84

80th percentile

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Normal Distributions

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Stanine Score

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

-1.75 -1.25 -.75 -.25 0 .25 .75 1.25 1.75

4% 4% ? %

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More Examples

• The pulse rates for a certain population follow a

normal distribution with a mean of 70 per minute

and s.d. 5. What percent of this distribution that is

in between 60 to 80 per minute?

• The weights of a population follow a normal

distribution with a mean 130 and s.d. 10. What

percent of this population that is in between 110

and 150 lbs?

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The Normal Distribution

Approximation for Discrete Distributions

(Normal approximation to Binomial)

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Normal Approximation for

Binomial Probability

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

= np = 3.5

2= np(1-p) = 1.75

?)3( bXP

41

)5.2()3( > Nb XPXP

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

= np = 3.5

2 = np(1-p) = 1.75

7764.

)76.(

)75.1

5.35.2(

->

->

ZP

ZP

Binomial Table:

P(Xb ≥ 3) = .7734

Normal Approximation for

Binomial Probability