Chapter 15 Sampling and Sample Size Winston Jackson and Norine Verberg Methods: Doing Social...
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Transcript of Chapter 15 Sampling and Sample Size Winston Jackson and Norine Verberg Methods: Doing Social...
Chapter 15Sampling and Sample Size
Winston Jackson and Norine Verberg
Methods: Doing Social Research, 4e
15-2 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
The Rationale of Sampling
Sampling a segment of a population can save time and money, yet provide an accurate description of a population Key issue: sample must be representative Poorly selected samples misrepresent the
population Literary Digest poll failed to predict outcome
of 1936 American election: Landon versus Roosevelt Used large sample – polled subscribers Subscribers not representative of population
15-3 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Key Distinctions
Population (also called universe): the entire group one wishes to describe E.g., American electors, students living in residence
Sampling frame: the list from which a sample is selected Ideally, sampling frame is same as population, but
seldom possible; creates challenges Sample: units (e.g., individuals) selected for a study
Variation in sampling techniques Response rate: the percentage of delivered
questionnaires completed and returned
15-4 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Probability Sampling Techniques
Techniques for selecting sampling units so that each unit has a known chance of being included Also called random sample because sampling
units are selected “at random” Tests of significance only valid for probability
samples
15-5 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Probability Sampling Techniques
Four types: Simple random sample Systematic sample Stratified sample Multi-stage area sample
15-6 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Simple Random Sample
Each unit in the population has an equal chance of being selected from a list
Requires having a list of potential participants List of eligible voters, companies, students, libraries
Process: Number the units on the list Use table of random numbers or computer to make
selection
15-7 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Systematic Sample
Each sampling unit has an equal chance of being selected, by choosing the nth case, starting randomly E.g., units listed in phone book, directories, street map
Process Secure list: map, diagram, list Divide sample required into number on the list to
determine the skip interval Choose a random number used to begin randomly
then every nth number selected
15-8 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Stratified Sample
Sampling within subgroups to ensure an adequate representation of each subgroup Important when subgroup is small in number Employs a random selection method
Example: Tracey Adams’ study of gender and dentistry The sample was stratified by gender to ensure
that enough female dentists and dental specialist were included in the study for comparison with males
15-9 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Stratified Sampling (cont’d)
Process: Determine sample size needed for subgroups Obtain list for each subgroup Use either simple random or systematic
sampling select respondents Within SPSS it is possible to weight cases to
return the sample so it can represent the larger population
15-10 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Multi-Stage Area Sample
This method is used when study involves a large population such as provinces or a whole country for which no list exists Identify primary sampling units: select
sample (country, provinces, counties) Identify sub-units within selected units (city
blocks, square kilometers etc.): select sample Identify households within sub-units: select
sample Within household select respondents Selection is always done randomly
15-11 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Non-Probability SamplingNon-Probability Sampling
Non-probability samples do not provide an equal or a known chance of being selected Hence, no assurance that the sample will be
representative of the study population Four types:
Quota sample Convenience sample Snowball sample
15-12 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Quota Sample
Respondents are selected on the basis of meeting certain criteria
No list of potential respondents is required: usually done on a first-come, first-included basis until quota is filled Sampling stops when enough are included in
each category Cannot claim that the sample represents the
population
15-13 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Convenience Sampling
Sample selection motivated by convenience to the researcher E.g., using all those in attendance at a
meeting or a class; interviewing people in a mall
Strong potential for recruiting a non-representative sample
15-14 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Snowball Sampling
Sample selection depends upon current participants recruiting other potential participants into the study Also known as “referral sampling”
Used when participants with specific characteristics are difficult to locate, such as people involved in deviant groups (motorcycle gang) or activities (bank robbery) or people with certain life experience (bride-to-be, homeless) or occupation (First Nations fisher)
15-15 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Sample Size Determination
Sample size determination involves a series of tradeoffs between precision, cost, and the numbers necessary to do appropriate analyses
Textbook provides steps in determining sample size for a ratio variable or for a nominal variable Each procedure involves deciding on the
confidence level to be used (95% precision is established norm)
Estimating sample size is simple to do
15-16 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Sample Size and Accuracy
Statistical procedures are sensitive to sample size In effect, sample size influences the precision
of estimations (the confidence intervals used in statistical procedures)
This applies only to probability samples General rule of thumb: to double accuracy,
you quadruple sample size
15-17 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
The Impact of Refusals
Tests of significance assume:1. A probability sampling technique was used to
collect the data and
2. There is no systematic bias in the sample (i.e., measurement error is random, not systematic)
Although non-response is common, it is not clear how it affects the precision of the results Every effort should be made to have a good
response rate
15-18 © 2007 Pearson Education Canada
Confirming Representativeness
Steps can be taken to confirm the sample represents the population
One can compare the age, gender, and marital status distributions of one’s sample to known distributions for the population If the sample is not wholly representative,
there are techniques for weighting the results Or, one can note that the results may not
reflect the group that was underrepresented (e.g., results may not represent views of X)