CHAPTER 09 (Part B) - WordPress.com · CHAPTER 09 (Part B) Banking and Bank Management. Learning...
Transcript of CHAPTER 09 (Part B) - WordPress.com · CHAPTER 09 (Part B) Banking and Bank Management. Learning...
Financial Environment: A Policy Perspective
© S.C. Savvides
CHAPTER 09 (Part B)Banking and Bank
Management
Learning Outcomes
Upon completion of this chapter, you will be able to:
Discuss the developments in the modern banking system.
Distinguish between the various financial intermediaries.
Understand why financial intermediaries (such as banks) exist and what are their roles and functions
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Changes in Financial/Banking Markets
Business Change Drivers
deregulation, globalization and ICT revolution
Traditional industry boundaries are increasingly getting blurry
No significant distinctions between banking, insurance, investments, brokerage, etc.
Development of financial supermarkets
Offer full spectrum of activities (retail, wholesale and investment banking, insurance, brokerage, fund/asset management, etc.).
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Computerised trading systems
Direct trading across the globe 24 hours a day
Financial engineering
new, sophisticated products and new markets developed (derivative products)
• Collateralised debt obligations (CDOs) and asset backed securities (ABS)
• Credit default swaps(CDS)
The financial crisis of 2007-2009
Uncovered weaknesses / gaps in bank supervision and risk management practices of banks
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Changes in Financial/Banking Markets
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Banks (or Deposit Money Banks or Depository Institutions)
banks, co-ops, savings & loan associations, credit unions.
Banks operate in two broad areas:
Accept deposits
• Demand deposits: liquid form of money to make payments. Serve the medium of exchange function of money
• Time deposits: serve to accumulate wealth.
Make loans
• Banks provide financing loans to businesses and households
• They charge a higher interest on loans than what they give on deposits (the interest rate spread)
Financial Institutions
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Insurance companies.
Pension funds
Securities firms (provide access to financial markets):
Investment Banks: sell new securities for companies. Brokers: buy/sell old securities.
Mutual Fund Companies: pool the money of individuals and invest in stocks, bonds, and/or other assets.
Finance companies.
Other Financial Institutions
Functions of Modern Banking
Increase of efficiency (reduction of costs)
Banks solve the problem of “double coincidence of wants” of barter
� by capitalizing on their expertise and by achieving
economies of scale, they lower costs overall.
Maturity transformationBank liabilities: mostly short term
Bank loans: mostly long term
� banks create liquidity
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Functions of Modern Banking
Risk transformation (or risk pooling)Banks know from experience that a % of loans will end as non-performing (not be repaid)
Risk is spread to the thousand (or millions) of individuals and businesses
Of course, riskier loans carry a higher interest
Facilitating the payments mechanismThe check-clearing system
The electronic payment system
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Assets and Liabilities of Banks
Fundamental accounting identityAssets = Liabilities + Equity (or net worth)
assets must equal liabilities (the debts of the firm) plus the equity (i.e., the owner's interest).
Balance SheetThe balance sheet presents the above relationship
Basic form: a T-account (2 columns)
Usually, assets are on the left, and liabilities on the right
They sum up to the same amount
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Indicative Bank Balance Sheet
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Liabilities (Sources of Funds)
Deposits
Demand deposits
Savings accounts
Time deposits
Short-term financing
Borrowing from other banks
Borrowing from central bank
Capital (long term financing)
Share capital
Loan capital (bonds, debentures)
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Liabilities of Banks
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Reserve requirements are the money that a bank has to maintain (at all times!) in liquid form to meet liquidity needs of its customers.
They are made up of cash in the vault plus deposits with the Central Bank.
The reserve ratio is the minimum level of reserves that a bank has to maintain (decided by the Central Bank).
This is the ratio of reserves to deposits (or the percentage of deposits that have to be kept as reserves).
E.g., if the reserve ratio is set at 10%, then a bank has to keep €10 in required reserves for every €100 in new deposits.
Excess reserves are the reserves that exceed the required reserves.
Reserves
Assets (Uses of Funds)
Reserves
Cash in vault
Deposits with central bank
Short-term lending to other banks
Lending to customers
To individuals
To businesses
Investments
Government bonds
Property investments© S.C. Savvides 13ECO355-Money & Banking
Assets of Banks
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Principles of Bank Management
Liquidity Management
Asset Management
Managing Credit Risk
Managing Interest-rate Risk
Liability Management
Capital Adequacy Management
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Initial Bank Balance Sheet
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Assume a bank loses 10 bil. euros from time deposits:
How can it manage its liquidity?
If it has excess reserves (ER), it may do nothing
If ER are zero or insufficient to cover deposit outflow:
• It can borrow in the interbank
• It can borrow from the central bank (discount window)
• It can sell some of its holdings in government securities
• It can call in loans
Conclusion:
Excess reserves are an insurance against deposits outflows.
Liquidity Management
Balance Sheet (after dep. outflow)
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Reserves cannot be zero, so now the bank has to replenish the reserves by liquidating other asset classes:
e.g. sell investments or loan portfolios or borrow from CB
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Asset Management
Find borrowing customers willing to pay higher interest rates, but who have low default risk
Buy securities with high return and low risk
Diversify the bank’s assets to minimize risk:
• holding many types of securities and
• making many types of loans
Manage liquidity
• Hold some excess reserves to protect against deposit outflows, even though the interest rate on these assets may be zero or very low.
Asset and Liability Management
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Liability Management
Current a/cs are low-cost, but they constitute a small portion of deposit base
If there are good loan opportunities, banks can raise liquidity by issuing CDs or debentures to acquire funds (though at higher cost)
By borrowing from other banks (interbank funds)
By borrowing from non-bank institutions (repurchase agreements, REPOs).
Asset and Liability Management
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Recall the accounting identity
Assets = Liabilities + Capital (equity or net worth)
Capital = Assets – Liabilities
Example
High-capital bank (H-bank)
• Assets (€1000): reserves=€100, loans=€900
• Liabilities (€1000): deposits=€900; capital=€100
Low-capital bank (L-bank)
• Assets (€1000): reserves=€100, loans=€900
• Liabilities (€1000): deposits=€950; capital=€50
Capital Adequacy Management
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Assume that both banks write off €60 in bad loans (loans to companies that go bankrupt)
The value of loans at both banks falls by €60
Also, the capital base of both banks is reduced by €60.
High-capital bank (H-bank)Assets (€940): Reserves=€100, loans=€840
Liabilities (€940): Deposits=€900; capital=€40
Low-capital bank (L-bank)Assets (€940): Reserves=€100, loans=€840
Liabilities (€940): Deposits=€950; capital=-€10
Conclusion: capital is a cushion against loan losses!
Capital Adequacy Management
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Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR)
Example of Calculating Risk-weighted Assets
Value of assets (€bil.) Risk factor Risk-weighted assets (€bil.)
Cash 20 0% 0
Gov’t bonds 5 0% 0
Housing loans 30 50% 15
Other loans 40 100% 40
Other assets 5 100% 5
Total assets 100 60
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Adverse selection: behaviour before the transaction
Problems with pricing a good induces low quality of sellers in the market, where asymmetric information prevents buyers from distinguishing quality.
Example: high-risk customers dominate the market
Moral hazard: behaviour after transactionIn banking, the incentive of a borrower to change his/her behaviour after the contract has been signed, at the expense of the bank.
Example: using the loan for a different reason than
specified in the contract
Asymmetric Information
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Banks have to find ways to solve the problems of Asymmetric Information (adverse selection and moral hazard)
Screening and monitoring
Credit ratings
Include restrictive covenants in loan agreements
Specialize in lending in certain sectors: know the market
Know-your-customer: Establish long-term customer relationships
Credit Risk Management
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Credit analysis assesses the ability and willingness of borrowers to repay the loan
Screening: analysis before the lending
Monitoring: periodic analysis during the life of the loan
Factors in Credit AnalysisCapacity for the borrower to obtain the loan
Character (borrowers’ reputation / credit history)
Own contribution or Capital (e.g. down payment on a house)—signifies commitment of borrower
Collateral (reduces risk of repayment of loan)
Economic/market conditions (e.g., changes in interest rates may affect the individuals’ ability to repay the loan)
Credit Analysis
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Risk
the chance that the actual outcome of a decision (e.g., repayment of a loan or the return of an investment) is different from the expected.
Types of risks
Non-financial: not directly related to assets or liabilities (e.g., business & strategy risks)
Financial: they are a direct influence on the loss of value of monetary assets and liabilities (e.g., market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk and operational and legal risks).
Types of Risks
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Market risk
“the risk that the fair value or future cash flows of a financial instrument will fluctuate because of changes in market prices”
It comprises the following:
Exchange risk: resulting from variations in exchange rates
Interest risk: resulting from variations in the interest rates
Risk of price variations in financial assets other than fixed income assets
• Price variations is the largest category of market risk
Financial Risks
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Credit risk
the possibility that over time a decrease in the real value of a bank’s client portfolio may occur as a result of credit quality deterioration suffered by those making up the loan portfolio
Liquidity risk
the possibility for potential losses due to a lack of sufficient reserves to meet assumed short-term liabilities (deposit withdrawals)
Operational and Legal risks
those deriving from say errors or failings in established procedures
Financial Risks
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Risk management
actively managing all uncertainty and taking cost-effective action to increase the likelihood of better results and decrease the likelihood of worse results.
Risk management is concerned with the:
identification and assessment of key risks, and
design and implementation of processes intended to manage these risks and maintain them at acceptable levels.
Risk Management by Banks
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Rating Banks by Risk Category
CAMEL(S): system of rating banks by risk categoryC: Capital Adequacy
A: Asset Quality - How "overdue" must a loan be to be removed from the balance sheet?
open ended loans: 180 days past due
closed-ended loans: 120 days past due
M: Management (including board of directors)
E: Earnings: Profitability of the bank, taking risk into account
L: Liquidity
S: Sensitivity to market risk.
Deposit Insurance Scheme
Since 2000, a deposit insurance scheme operates in Cyprus
It is managed by the Central Bank of Cyprus
Purpose: the protection of depositors in the case of inability of a member bank to repay the depositors.
It removes the chance of a “run on banks”
Main provisions of the scheme are:
Insures deposits up to 100,000 Euros per customer per bank
deposits in all currencies are covered
the payout is 100 percent of the guaranteed deposits
the payout time is lower than three months
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Pros and Cons of DIS
Benefits of DIS’s:
Deposit insurance schemes (DIS) contribute to the orderly functioning of banking system.
DIS’s protect small depositors, and
smaller banks compete with larger ones for deposits.
although some bank failures are good for market discipline, systemic failures may fuel banking crises.
It removes the chance of a “run on banks”
Criticisms of DIS’s:DIS’s introduce a costly side effect – moral hazard.
• Bankers take on increased risks, thus leading to failures as a result of riskier banking practices.
Not all deposits are covered.
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