Chap 4 -- ME

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    Managerial

    Economics

    Chapter 4: Costs of Production

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    Private & Social Cost

    Private cos tsfor a producer of a good, service, or activityinclude the costs the firm pays to purchase capital

    equipment, hire labor, and buy materials or other inputs.

    While this is straightforward from the business side, it also is

    important to look at this issue from the consumers'perspective. Field, in his 1997 text, Environmental

    Economics provides an example of the private costs a

    consumer faces when driving a car:1

    The private costs of this (driving a car) include the fuel andoil, maintenance, depreciation, and even the drive time

    experienced by the operator of the car.

    Private costs are paid by the firm or consumer and must be

    included in production and consumption decisions. In a

    competitive market, considering only the private costs will

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    External costs, on the other hand, are not

    reflected on firms' income statements or in

    consumers' decisions. However, external costs

    remain costs to society, regardless of who pays for

    them.

    Consider a firm that attempts to save money by not

    installing water pollution control equipment.Because of the firm's actions, cities located down

    river will have to pay to clean the water before it is

    fit for drinking, the public may find that recreational

    use of the river is restricted, and the fishing industrymay be harmed.

    When external costs like these exist, they must be

    added to private costs to determine social costs

    and to ensure that a socially efficient rate of output

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    Social co stsinclude both the private costs and any

    other external costs to society arising from the

    production or consumption of a good or service. Social costs will differ from private costs, for

    example, if a producer can avoid the cost of air

    pollution control equipment allowing the firm's

    production to imposes costs (health orenvironmental degradation) on other parties that are

    adversely affected by the air pollution.

    Remember too, it is not just producers that may

    impose external costs on society. Let's also view

    how consumers' actions also may have external

    costs using Field's previous example on driving:2

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    The social costs include all these private costs (fuel,

    oil, maintenance, insurance, depreciation, and

    operator's driving time) and also the cost

    experienced by people other than the operator who

    are exposed to the congestion and air pollution

    resulting from the use of the car.

    The key point is that even if a firm or individualavoids paying for the external costs arising from

    their actions, the costs to society as a whole

    (congestion, pollution, environmental clean up,

    visual degradation, wildlife impacts, etc.) remain.Those external costs must be included in the social

    costs to ensure that society operates at a socially

    efficient rate of output.

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    Accounting and Economic Costs

    Accounting cost: take care of all the payments andcharges made by the entrepreneur to the suppliers ofvarious productive factorsknown as Explicit Cost E.g. Wages, Raw materials, fuel & power used, rent,

    interest. Economic Cost: if the money invested in the business

    invested else where, would fetch interest & dividends.Entrepreneurs time and effort would bring him salary.

    EC includes (a) normal return on money capital invested bythe entrepreneur himself in his own business (b) thewages or salary not paid to the entrepreneur but couldhave been earned if the services had been soldsomewhere else.

    EC includes Both Accounting & Implicit Cost

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    Cost Estimation & Cost

    Forecasting

    In a long run, a firm has to aim at optimum profits if ithas to survive in the market.

    In a competitive world, profit is an index of efficiency.

    Profit is governed by two variables TC & TR. Hence behavior of costs along with changes in output

    occupy an important position.

    Present costs are known but this is not enough

    Future behavior of costs also needs to be taken intoaccount since every firm plans for the future.

    The broad head is forecasting under which one can

    include demand, cost, sales forecasting, etc.

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    Methods of CE & CF 1. Engineering method

    Least cost combination of factor of production can be

    technically provided y the engineers & hence the

    name

    Any given product uses certain inputs.Wherever these inputs can be substituted, they

    provide opportunities of finding out the least cost

    combination.

    Given the prices of inputs and the quantities of each

    used in the least cost combination, one can find out

    the costs for estimated levels of output.

    Cost forecasts therefore will have to be worked out on

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    For example; IC-1, IC-2, IC-3 are Iso-costs.

    Any point on each Iso-cost shows various

    combinations of capital & labor within thesame cost.

    If we suppose that IC-1=Rs. 10,000 then,

    several combination of K(capital) + L (labor)given by all the points on IC-1 would together

    cost Rs. 10,000/-

    IQ-1, IQ-2,etc., are Iso-Quant meaning equalproduct curves.

    Every point on the same curve would

    represent the same quantity of output.

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    If we suppose IQ-1 for 100 units, then, all

    the points on IQ-1will show 100 units.

    Points t-1 then shows the least costcombination of capital and labor since

    only at this point, 100 units can be

    produced at a cost of Rs. 10,000/-. In this way if we draw an Iso-Quant map

    with Iso-costs, we get the path of

    expansion as shown by the dotted line

    OP.

    Depending upon how much the firm

    expects to produce, the cost as well as

    the least cost factor combinations can be

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    Limitation

    This method takes into account current

    factor prices(e.g. current wage rates,

    interest rates).

    If they change over time (as they always

    do), the projection may go wrong. It

    becomes necessary to estimate possible

    changes also.

    Another limitation is that this method isbased on the current state of technology.

    If the technology changes in future, the

    forecasts will go wrong and will have, to be

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    Survivorship methodAdvocated by Prof. Stigler

    for using this technique, all the firms in an industry are

    divided into various groups and then, over a period of

    time, the growth of each group is examined.

    For E.g. in the Table:Group Share in Industry Output (%)

    Base Year Current Year

    Small 10 11

    Medium 35 54

    Large 53 35

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    In this table a base year is taken to compare with the currentyear.

    Let us say base year is 2001 and current year is 2010.

    Then we find that over a period of 10 years, the share ofsmall firms in the total output of the industry has marginallyincreased from 10% to 11%.

    The share of the large firms has considerably decreasedfrom 55% to 35%.

    However, the share of the medium-sized firms has improvedfrom 35% to 54%.

    It thus becomes obvious that the large-sized firms are themost inefficient because they find it difficult to survive.

    While medium-sized firms are the most efficient as they

    appear to grow in importance. Because survival is taken to indicate the cost-effectiveness

    and efficiency, this method is known as Survivorship method.

    The lowest average cost of the medium-sized firm is thentaken as a norm.

    If a firm expects to survive (& flourish), it has to aim at theo timum size and corres ondin lowest cost.

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    Limitation

    This method is useful only where a very highdegree of competition exists.

    There too, it only gives approximations of

    size and costs It gives a broad range of output but does not

    spell out the detailed cost-output relationship

    in the form of a cost function

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    Statistical method

    A variety of statistical techniques can be used forforecasting costs.

    What is required is the data regarding historical costs

    and cost determinants.

    For this purpose data of one firm can be used, or that of

    all firms in an industry can be used.

    All determinants of costs need to be carefully identified.

    Effects of inflation should be properly handled. Once the function is formulated and data are ready, one

    can use regression analysis for cost forecasting.

    Similarly, simple moving averages can also be used.

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    Limitation

    Past or historical costs are the basis of theseforecasts.

    They remain relevant so long as the cost function

    remains the same. E.g. Change in rate of RM &

    labor will necessitate to refine forecasts

    Changes in technology are the most remarkable

    feature of modern industrial economics. These

    changes makes forecasts difficult

    In case of new products, for want of historical

    data, forecasts become difficult to arrive at.