Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison...

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Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement

Transcript of Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison...

Page 1: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement

Page 2: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

1. Why we need ratios?

• Specialized information• Comparison Issue• Predicting future performance

1) 5 types of financial ratios (handout)Liquidity ratiosAsset management ratiosDebt management ratiosProfitability ratiosMarket value ratios

Page 3: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

Goals

• To calculate financial ratios

• To understand how to use them

Page 4: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

I. Ratio analysis [1] Liquidity ratios:

Liquidity: 1) Convertibility into cash on short notice with minimum possible loss. 2) Ability to meet all required obligations.

(1) Current ratio =Current assests

Current liabilities

(2) Quick ratio (Acid test) =Current assests - Inventory

Current liabilities

Page 5: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

[2] Asset management ratios: measure how effectively a firm is managing its assets. Right amount of assets vs. sales?

(1) Inventory turnover ratio =Sales

(Average) Inventory [Note: Cost of goods sold is better than Sales.]

The number of times per year that the firm fills up and then completely empties its warehouse or store inventory.

(2) Days sales outstanding (DSO) =Accounts receivable

Annual sales

365

Average collection period (ACP)

The average number of days the firm must wait after making a sale before receiving cash.

(3) Fixed assets turnover ratio =Sales

Net fixed assets

(4) Total assets turnover ratio =Sales

Total assets

Page 6: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

[3] Debt management ratio• Debt ratio =

total liabilities/total assets• Debt to equity ratio = Total liabilities/(Total asset – total

liabilities). But it ignore the market value.

• Market debt ratio = Total liabilities / (Total liabilities + market value of equity).

• Time-interest-earned (TIE) =

Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)/Interest charges. But it ignores lease payment related to bankruptcy. Lease payment was deducted when EBIT is calculated.

Page 7: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

• EBITDA coverage ratio = (EBITDA+ Lease payment) / (Interest + Principal payments + Lease payment). It is useful for short term lenders to evaluate financial status of firms with large amount of depreciation and amortization.

• Equity Multiplier=Total asset/ common equity

Page 8: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

4) Profitability ratios

• Net profit margin = Net income / Sales

• Operating margin = Operating Income (EBIT)/Sales

• Gross profit margin

• = (Sale – COGS)/Sales

• Return on Total Assets (ROA) = Net income / Total assets

Page 9: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

• Basic Earning power (BEP) ratio = EBIT/ Total assets

• Return on common equity = ROE

• =Net income /common equity

• Return on total assets = ROA

• =Net income /total assets

Page 10: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

5) Market value ratio

• Price/ Earnings ratio = price / earnings per share.

• Price / Cash flow ratio = price / cash flow per share.

• Book value per share = common equity / shares outstanding.

• Market / book ratio = market price per share / book value per share.

Page 11: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

• PEG ratio = PE ratio/Earnigs growth rate (%)

• - The lower PEG, the more undervalued

• Tobin’s Q ratio= Market value of assets/replacement cost of assets

• - similar to Market to Book ratio• - higher Tobin’s Q, the higher growth opportunities.

• Enterprise value –EBITDA ratio = Enterprise value / EBITDA

Page 12: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

• 2. Trend analysis:

• An analysis of a firm’s financial ratios over time – plotting ratios over time periods

• It is used to estimate the likelihood of improvement or deterioration in its financial condition

• 3. Du Pont Analysis:

• Decomposing the ROA and ROE

Page 13: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

• ROA

• = Net income / Total assets

• = Net Income/Sales * Sales/Total assets

• = Profit margin * Total asset turnover

• If a company has only equity without any liability, ROA =ROE

Page 14: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

ROE = Net Income /Common Equity= Net Income/Total Assets*Total

asset/Common Equity= Net Income/Sales * Sales/Total Assets *

Total assets/Common equity=Profit margin * Total asset turnover*Equity

multiplierHere Equity multiplier will increase with

debts

Page 15: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

• 4. Benchmarking:

• The process of comparing a particular company with a group of benchmark companies

• The bench mark companies can be leading companies, peer groups or competitors in the industry

• Comparative ratios are available from a number of sources, including value lines

Page 16: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

5. Limits of ratio analysis• Ratio analysis is more useful for small,

narrowly focused firms than for large, multidivisional ones

• For high level performance, it is better to focus on the industry leaders’ ratios

• Seasonal factors: impacts on the inventory turnover ratio. Using monthly averages for inventory can minimize this problem

• Window dressing: making financial statements look better than they really are

Page 17: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

• Different accounting practices: FIFO &LIFO or Depreciation methods

• It is difficult to generalize whether a particular ratio is good or bad.

6. Problems with ROE

• Some problems raises if ROE is used as only sole measure of performance

Page 18: Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement. 1. Why we need ratios? Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1)5 types of financial.

• (1) ROE doesn’t consider risks

• (2) ROE doesn’t consider amounts of invested capital