CFSA JMF - Cape Flora · Susara 61 543 115 930 116 484 138 530 123 648 165 027 26 497 19% Other...
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CFSA ® JMF Exports, Estimates 30 AUGUST 2018 Nina Viljoen
Transcript of CFSA JMF - Cape Flora · Susara 61 543 115 930 116 484 138 530 123 648 165 027 26 497 19% Other...
CFSA® JMFExports, Estimates
30 AUGUST 2018
Nina Viljoen
Fynbos Total Area Planted
Fynbos Age Distribution
HECTARESGroup 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2017 VS 2016
Protea 735 687 696 667 666 715 7%
Leucospermum 207 216 211 192 181 183 1%
Leucadendron 132 144 137 138 132 147 11%
Greens 54 59 67 73 62 69 11%
Total 1128 1106 1111 1070 1041 1114 7%
PROTEA 0-2 years 3-5 years 6-17 years 18-25 years 25+ years
HECTARES 115 144 374 57 24
DISTRIBUTION 16% 20% 52% 8% 3%
LEUCOSPERMUM Non-bearing 2-4 years 5-12 years 12+ years
HECTARES 11 50 111 12
DISTRIBUTION 6% 27% 61% 6%
LEUCADENDRON Non-bearing 2-4 years 5-12 years 12+ years
HECTARES 16 46 63 22
DISTRIBUTION 11% 31% 43% 15%
Estimate methodology
Export estimate (theoretical):
- number of hectares planted per
cultivar
- age distribution linked to production
curve
- previous season exports
- informed adjustments made
(producers, exporters, consultants)
Participating Exporters:The export volumes in this presentation are a summary of the export
volumes shared by these exporters.
• Afrex Trading
• Arnelia
• Bergflora
• Cape Mountain Flora
• de Mooij
• Fresh Cap Marketing
• Fynbloem/Bloemenkraal
• Intaba Flowers
• OZ Flora
• Proteus Logistics
• Snyman Flora
• The Flower Co
• ZuluFlora
Protea EstimateAll volumes are in stems
Variety2014/2015
Exports2015/2016
Exports2016/2017
Exports2017/2018
Export3 yr
Average2018/2019 Export Est
2018/2019 Estimate vs 2017/2018
Actuals
Blushing Bride 407 740 676 212 918 594 1 198 317 931 041 1 492 040 293 723 25%
Pink Ice 231 473 266 732 313 151 311 651 297 178 357 074 45 424 15%
Barbigera Magnifica 444 314 281 895 300 929 229 975 270 933 242 921 12 947 6%
Cynaroides 305 758 244 196 283 361 315 580 281 046 383 059 67 480 21%
Ivy 79 261 122 569 62 434 76 024 87 009 76 024 0 0%
Sylvia 242 425 219 312 223 115 362 412 268 280 382 115 19 703 5%
Banksia 174 466 129 413 202 771 271 705 201 296 271 705 0 0%
Carnival 102 307 215 044 165 056 195 790 191 963 240 226 44 436 23%
Venus 144 930 56 661 140 404 111 979 103 015 130 506 18 527 17%
Brenda 198 219 167 665 131 514 169 451 156 210 196 536 27 085 16%
Susara 61 543 115 930 116 484 138 530 123 648 165 027 26 497 19%
Other Protea 768 939 931 844 1 211 795 1 428 230 1 190 623 1 503 719 75 489 5%
Total Protea in loose stems 3 161 375 3 427 473 4 069 607 4 809 643 4 102 241 5 440 953 631 310 13%
Stems in Bouquets 2 872 320 2 181 234 2 272 659 2 372 099 2 275 331 2 275 331 -96 768 -4%
Total Protea 6 033 695 5 608 707 6 342 266 7 181 742 6 377 572 7 716 284 534 542 7%
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
June July August September October November December January February March April May
Nu
mb
er o
f St
ems
Blushing Bride Sylvia Cynaroides Pink Ice Banksia Barbigera Magnifica
Carnival Brenda Sharonet Susara Venus Madiba
Ivy Little Lady White Grandiceps Other Protea 2016/2017
Protea: 2017/2018 Exports
2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2017/2018 VS 2016/2017
3 161 375 3 427 473 4 072 632 4 809 643 18%
NUMBER OF STEMS EXPORTED
Protea Exports: 4 year comparison
0
75 000
150 000
225 000
300 000
375 000
450 000
525 000
600 000
675 000
750 000
825 000
900 000
975 000
1 050 000
1 125 000
1 200 000
1 275 000
BlushingBride
Private Sylvia Cynaroides Pink Ice Banksia BarbigeraMagnifica
Carnival Brenda Sharonet Susara Venus Madiba
Nu
mb
er o
f St
mes
2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018
Leucadendron EstimateAll volumes are in stems
Variety2014/2015
Exports2015/2016
Exports2016/2017
Exports2017/2018
Export3 yr
Average2018/2019 Export Est
2018/2019 Estimate vs 2017/2018 Actuals
Safari Sunset 1 032 096 1 096 035 913 421 633 815 881 090 939 195 305 380 48%
Ayoba ® Jade Pearl 297 601 725 985 741 202 734 933 734 040 734 933 0 0%
Rosette 734 223 570 051 699 728 590 362 620 047 598 401 8 039 1%
Plumosum Female 518 653 585 383 486 716 452 379 508 159 452 379 0 0%
Discolor 568 729 477 861 358 241 311 657 382 586 311 657 0 0%
Blush 349 511 368 750 318 394 248 777 311 974 275 138 26 361 11%
Platyspermum 77 934 114 396 268 212 192 347 191 652 249 032 56 685 29%
Jubilee Crown 206 875 217 557 230 393 212 312 220 087 250 973 38 662 18%
Goldstrike 334 820 320 254 205 342 253 076 259 557 254 111 1 034 0%
Galpinii 228 444 261 229 235 545 279 300 258 691 279 300 0 0%
Platy Star 115 037 136 493 135 528 115 075 129 032 115 075 0 0%
Pisa 183 630 205 520 180 323 154 055 179 966 170 144 16 089 10%
Other Leucadendron 1 934 654 2 348 060 2 225 790 3 102 113 2 558 654 3 048 558 -53 555 -2%
Total Leucadendron 6 582 207 7 427 572 6 998 834 7 280 201 7 235 536 7 678 896 398 695 5%
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
1 400 000
1 600 000
1 800 000
2 000 000
June July August September October November December January February March April May
Nu
mb
er o
f St
ems
Private Ayoba® Jade Pearl Safari Sunset Rosette Plumosum Female
Discolor Galpinii Goldstrike Blush Jubilee Crown
Safari Sunset Platyspermum Ayoba® Blushed Pearl Tortum Pisa
Sabulosum Other Leucadendron 2016/2017
Leucadendron: 2017/2018 Exports
2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2017/2018 VS 2016/2017
6 612 277 7 461 397 6 998 834 7 280 201 4%
NUMBER OF STEMS EXPORTED
Leucadendron Exports: 4 year
comparison
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
800 000
900 000
1 000 000
1 100 000
Private Ayoba® JadePearl
Safari Sunset Rosette PlumosumFemale
Discolor Galpinii Goldstrike Blush Jubilee Crown Safari Sunset Platyspermum
Nu
mb
er o
f St
ems
2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018
Leucospermum EstimateAll volumes are in stems
Variety2014/2015
Exports2015/2016
Exports2016/2017
Exports2017/2018
Export3 yr Average
2018/2019 Export Est
2018/2019 Estimate vs 2017/2018 Actuals
Succession 4 001 397 3 550 829 3 375 414 3 628 454 3 518 232 3 945 617 317 163 9%
Soleil 1 000 081 1 173 332 1 127 555 1 508 960 1 269 949 1 518 327 9 366 1%
Jelena 725 986 938 815 1 045 541 1 000 011 994 789 1 000 011 0 0%
Tango 973 367 1 043 434 955 360 1 228 742 1 075 846 1 447 273 218 530 18%
Gold Dust 473 421 597 987 559 267 554 375 570 543 598 996 44 620 8%
High Gold 464 888 518 124 316 499 339 496 391 373 425 084 85 587 25%
Veldfire 394 265 374 262 287 015 305 440 322 239 305 440 0 0%
Goldie 311 559 255 485 231 500 179 978 222 321 179 978 0 0%
Vlam 111 705 86 646 117 449 79 106 94 400 79 106 0 0%
Jyoti/Super Gold 87 510 182 874 120 564 124 934 142 791 124 934 0 0%
Queen Juliana 23 905 80 210 147 985 84 033 177 582 29 597 20%
Other Leucospermum 754 025 773 584 942 276 1 186 288 967 383 1 343 310 157 022 13%
Total Leucospermum in loose stems 9 298 204 9 519 277 9 158 651 10 283 769 9 653 899 11 145 656 861 886 8%
Stems in Bouquets 653 994 616 416 416 844 408 318 480 526 480 526 72 2028 18%
Total Leucospermum 9 952 198 10 135 693 9 575 495 10 692 087 10 134 425 11 626 182 934 094 9%
0
250 000
500 000
750 000
1 000 000
1 250 000
1 500 000
1 750 000
2 000 000
2 250 000
2 500 000
2 750 000
3 000 000
3 250 000
3 500 000
3 750 000
June July August September October November December January February
Nu
mb
er
of
Ste
ms
Succession Soleil Tango Jelena Gold Dust
High Gold Veldfire Ayoba® Ayoba® Sun Goldie
Queen Juliana Jyoti/Super Gold Vlam Cordifolium Emily Red
Other Leucospermum 2016/2017
Leucospermum: 2017/2018 Exports2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2017/2018 VS 2016/2017
9 298 204 9 519 277 9 158 651 10 283 769 12%
NUMBER OF STEMS EXPORTED
Leucospermum Exports: 4 year
comparison
0
300 000
600 000
900 000
1 200 000
1 500 000
1 800 000
2 100 000
2 400 000
2 700 000
3 000 000
3 300 000
3 600 000
3 900 000
4 200 000
Succession Soleil Tango Jelena Gold Dust High Gold Veldfire Ayoba® Sun Goldie QueenJuliana
Jyoti/SuperGold
Vlam
Nu
mb
er
of
Stem
s
2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018
0
500 000
1 000 000
1 500 000
2 000 000
2 500 000
3 000 000
3 500 000
4 000 000
4 500 000
5 000 000
5 500 000
6 000 000
6 500 000
Eucalyptus Geraldtonwax
Brunia Laevis BruniaAlbiflora
BerzeliaGalpinii
Erica Brunia Red BruniaNodiflora
BerzeliaLanuginosa
Private Palaecea BerzeliaAbrotanoides
Nu
mb
er o
f St
ems
2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018
Greens: 4 year comparison
2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2017/2018 VS 2016/2017
17 586 885 15 768 038 18 914 294 22 224 347 18%
NUMBER OF STEMS EXPORTED
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
800 000
900 000
1 000 000
1 100 000
1 200 000
1 300 000
Typha Restios FountainGrass
Bell Reed Rekoala Pokers BlackMountain
Grass
GreenSticks
MikadoTufts
Nu
mb
er o
f St
ems
2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018
Grasses: 4 year comparison
2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2017/2018 VS 2016/2017
2 048 503 1 530 572 1 725 181 1 827 065 6%
NUMBER OF STEMS EXPORTED
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
800 000
900 000
Protea Bouquets Mixed Greens Leucospermem Bouquets Mixed Bouquets
Nu
mb
er o
f B
ou
qu
ets
2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018
Bouquets: 4 year comparisonGroupname Size 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2017/2018 VS 2016/2017
Protea Bouquets 1-2 blooms 258 116 488 999 345 504 471 363 36%
3-5 blooms 589 022 300 809 396 543 357 343 -10%
Protea Bouquets Total 847 138 789 808 742 047 828 706 12%
Mixed Greens 3-5 blooms 190 325 316 277 490 040 433 811 -11%
Mixed Greens Total 190 325 316 277 490 040 433 811 -11%
Leucospermem Bouquets 1-2 blooms 107 863 121 519 18 265 62 884 244%
3-5 blooms 109 567 93 345 95 319 70 638 -26%
Leucospermem Bouquets Total 217 430 214 863 113 583 133 522 18%
Mixed Bouquets 1-2 blooms 7 044 69 720 81 877 35 524 -57%
3-5 blooms 58 369 83 347 107 567 89 633 -17%
Mixed Bouquets Total 65 413 153 067 189 444 125 157 -34%
Main South African Fynbos Export
Regions2016/2017 VS 2017/2018
USA
Canada
4% VS 4%UK
17% VS 12%
EU & Russia46% VS 47%
Africa
Middle East
<1% VS 1%
25%VS 28%
IOI<1% VS <1%
Far East7% VS9%
Source: PPECB
