Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®
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Transcript of Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®
Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®
Deliberative Polling ®
Deliberative Polling is:
• A scientific form of public consultation
• A way to listen to the voice of the people after they have thought about an issue
• A way to achieve democratic legitimacy for intelligent public policy decisions
Why should Deliberative Polling be used to consult the public on energy policy?
Because the intelligent public policy decisions
reached by Deliberative Polling will carry
legitimacy in the public eye just as they have
been seen to be legitimate in the past by governments, advocacy groups, citizens and the
media.
• Decisions are made by a scientifically
selected sample which is representative of
the entire society.
• Decisions are made based on balanced
briefings and question & answer sessions
with balanced panels of experts.
This is because of three things:
• Decisions are made after discussion with good information.
Knowledge Gains
Time 1 Time 2 Difference
(CPL) Which Fuel Releases Most Emissions?
0.60 0.73 0.13
(CPL) What Agency Regulates Electric Rates?
0.25 0.75 0.50
(TU) Which Fuel is Used by Most Plants
0.17 0.56 0.39
Selected Knowledge Gains: (CPL)= Central Power and Light in Corpus Christi
(TU)= Texas Utilities in Dallas
2003 “By the people” Online Deliberative Poll
Percent supporting requiring higher mileage from cars, even if it means less powerful cars
65%74%
Before After
Illustrative Preference Changes
Average of 8 Utility Deliberative Polls Time 1 Time 2
Percentage willing to pay extra for increased 52% 84%wind and solar power
52%
84%
Time 1 Time 2
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
RenewableResources
ReduceNeed
Fossil Fuel Buy andTransport
PRE Event Willingness to Pay for Resource Options(median response)
CPL
SWEPCO
WTU
EL PASO
HL&P
ENT
SPS
TU
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
RenewableResources
ReduceNeed
Fossil Fuel Buy andTransport
POST Event Willingness to Pay for Resource Options(median response)
CPL
SWEPCO
WTU
EL PASO
HL&P
ENT
SPS
TU
Utility Deliberative Poll
2003 “By the people” Online Deliberative Poll
Percent supporting requiring cleaner electricityproduction, even if it means higher rates
46%56%
Before After
2003 “By the people” Online Deliberative Poll
Percent saying that human activity is cause of global warming
63%72%
Before After
Illustrative Preference Changes
Average of 8 Utility Deliberative Polls Time 1 Time 2
Percentage willing to pay more to reduce the 43% 73%need for electricity (demand side management)
43%
73%
Time 1 Time 2
What has been the impact of these eight Deliberative Polls on
Energy Policy in Texas?
While Texas utilities were still regulated, Deliberative Polls prompted the construction of multiple wind farms including the second largest array of windmills in America.
As a direct consequence of these Deliberative Polls, when Texas utilities were deregulated in 1999, a Renewable Portfolio Standard was included in legislation restructuring utilities. “The state of Texas estimates that more megawatts of renewable energy came on-line as a result of the RPS program than has in the past 100 years. After the RPS was implemented, Texas wind corporations and utilities invested $1 billion in wind power, creating jobs, adding to the Texas Permanent School Fund and increasing the rural tax base. The RPS was so successful that its 10-year goal was met in just over six years. Wind power development has more than quadrupled since 1999”. Texas currently leads America in wind power production. http://www.seco.cpa.state.tx.us/
re_rps-portfolio.htm