Cdi_oad Division Brf for g3g5 Aos

8/2/2019 Cdi_oad Division Brf for g3g5 Aos

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USMC Operations Analysis Division 1

OPERATIONS ANALYSIS DIVISIONColonel Joseph Smith

Director


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MISSION

1. Provides oversight for the Marine Corps on all matterspertaining to studies and operations analysis

2. Assists the Operational Marine Forces and other MarineCorps agencies with operations analysis support

3. Conducts a continuing program of studies and analysesto assist the Marine Corps in making combatdevelopment, programmatic (Joint, Naval, and MarineCorps), and warfighting decisions


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BGen MurrayCG, MCWL

VCNR/EA S&T

BGen SpieseCG Training and

Education Command

BGen MillerJoint and ExternalMatters, Pentagon

Col SmithOperations Analysis

Division

BGen ODonnellCapabilities

Development Directorate

LtCol RushCoS Matters

Dr. BaileyDeputy

Col ClubbChief of Staff

Mr. LasswellDir, S&T Plans

Maj TowleSupport Branch

Ms. LagerBusiness Center

Mr. DoetzerDirector

JROC/JCIDS

Col CraneIntelligence

Mr. StrockSeabasing

BGen GurganusMAGTFTC

BGen LasterMCRD, PI

Col BohnTechnology

Col NalepaOperations

Mr. GouldingExperimentation

Dr. LademanWargaming

Mr. McTagueJCDE Suffolk

Col DankoLogistics

Mr. BlasiolMAGTF Integration

External Billets

Col HarlanDir, Marine Operations

Peace Keeping and Stability Operations Institute (PKSOI)Carlisle Barracks

VacantMarine Representative

US Army/USMC Counter Insurgency Center (COIN)Ft. Leavenworth

MGen (Ret) GardnerED COM

BGen SalinasMCRD, SD

Mr. LoweCETO

Col YeagerCMD & CONT

Col AtkinsonDeputy Director

Col RegnerChief of Staff

Mr. Bearor (SES)Deputy Director

Mr. DallasCAOCL

Col MacmannisTRNGCMD

Col StarnesMSTP

Col DunardMCCLL

Col TriplettSecurity Cooperation

Education TrainingCenter

Mr. EvansAnalysis Branch

VACANTJoint & ExternalAnalysis Branch

CMC

Col NalepaOperations

Col MartynenkoForce Protection

Mr. HerrmannTotal Force Structure

Col Smith, E.Fires & Maneuver

SgtMaj FutrellSergeant Major

Dr. Akst (SES)Senior Analyst

Col PadillaChief of Staff

BGen HanifenDCG, MCCDC

Col Smith, P.G3/G5

CG, MCCDC - CG, MCINCRDC, CD&I

COMMARFORSTRATCE ADVOCATE

Col DallachieCO, MCB

Dep CG, MCINCR

Col JolleyCoSMARFORSTRAT

Omaha, NE

Col ZottiStrategic Vision Group

Mr. SawyersMission Area

Analysis Branch

Mr. HoffmanCurrent Ops

Support Branch

Col KellyCtr for Irregular Warfare


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OAD ORGANIZATION

Current Operations AnalysisSupport Branch

Mr. Doug Hoffman

Support BranchMr. Dave Shubatt

Joint and ExternalAnalysis Branch

Vacant

Mission AreaAnalysis BranchMr. Al Sawyers

Analysis BranchMr. James Evans

Business CenterMs. Carol Lager

Operation Analysis DivisionCol Joseph Smith

Deputy

Dr. Michael Bailey

14 Military Officers - 40 Civilians


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TaskingBreakdown

Marine Corps Studies System Quarterly call for studies Marine Corps wide Executed with in-house (civ and military) and contract

analysts MCCDC and HQMC Quick-turn

Communicated to us through CoS Anticipated requirements from CDD and others

Joint Driven by participation in OSD Analytic Agenda Often coordinated with MCCDC Senior Analyst


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Areas ofConstant Focus

1. Sea Basing, Amphibious Lift, High-speed Connectorsand Shipping, Strategic Mobility

2. USMC Role in Joint Theater-level Warfare3. Ground Mobility Capability Sets4. ISR Capability Analysis, especially UASs5. Fires Capability Analysis6. Air and Surface Assault Capability Analysis7. Infantry-centric Operations (equipment, C2, training,

MOUT, SASO, required special skills)8. USMCs Structure relative to its Commitments9. Enhanced Company Operations (new Concepts of

Ops)


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Marine Corps Irregular Warfare Study

What is a good methodology for analyzingMarine Corps irregular warfare problemsin-house? Caveat: Use a real worldscenario with real-world data.

Unclass Colombia scenario createdand data collectedarticle in upcomingPhalanx

Population Dynamics Model deliveredin Dec 2007.

Progress in instantiating Colombiascenario into Pythagoras (ABM).

Columbia effort closing in May 08.Follow-on effort supporting OSDs AfricaAnalytic Baseline

Background Question

Status

The Joint community has called for

analyses in irregular warfare but allcurrent analysis efforts are still in theirinfancy.

IW JOC definition is beginning to takehold throughout DoD

Sponsor is MCCDC Senior Analyst Lead Analyst: LT Robin Marling


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Live Tissue Training

Assess whether it would be more cost effectiveto create an organic Live Tissue TrainingCapability, a partial capability or to continuecontracting LTT.

Study Plan approved

Contract for additional Cost Analystsupport in progress

Site visits to Fort Bragg (BCT3course), Fort Sam Houston (TCMCcourse), Fort Bragg (Spec Ops 18Dcourse)

Interest and response from medicalcommunity is high

Completion anticipated JUL 08

Background Question(s)

Status

OEF has dramatically increased the

demand for Live Tissue Training for FMFcorpsmen.

Current training is contracted ($2400 perstudent) using GWOT funding.

Course believed to be essential toproperly train corpsmen for combatcasualty response.

Sponsor: TECOM Lead Analyst: LT Robin Marling


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MAGTF (MEF/USMC) Fires Study

Original sponsor was FMID for quickturn-around for adequacy ofMEF/USMC Fire Support.

34th CMC emphasized study andadded requirement of applicability tofull spectrum of conflict. Focus onorganic MEF with augmentation byNSFS.

Lead Analyst: Maj Chris Michel, USMC

MEF Major Combat Operations Scenario: Fire support gaps exist

In Adverse Weather especiallyagainst Mobile and Armor Targets

Against Targets in Restrictive Areas

Against Area Targets

Wtx and ROE gaps are morepronounced in 2014 than in 2024

Identified gaps can only be closedby augmentation outside the MEF

Review of data from OIF for Irregular Warfareapplicability [On-going]

Are current and programmed firesupport capabilities sufficient to meetUSMC operational requirements? i.e.are there any Joint warfighting gapsthat affect the USMC?

What assets/methods can fill identifiedgaps?

COMPLETE


Findings

Findings of MEF Phase of Fires study are in

agreement with Joint Fires ICD -- Gaps in: AdvWx/Mobile Tgts, Restr Terrain, Volume Fires

The Fires Triad

AIR

GROUND SEA


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er erSensor Suite Study

Background

MAGTF ISR Gap Analysis andOverarching UAS Study highlighted theneed to further analyze required UASpayload capabilities

The objective of the study is to assessfeasibility and projected capabilities ofdeveloping UAS payload technologies.

Study performer: CNA

OAD Study Lead: Max Hipsher

What are the trade space options for

payloads?

What are the sensor package requirements inMAGTF operations?

What are the MAGTFs SIGINT, ESM/EArequirements?

What future UAS sensor technologies exist to

support MAGTF operations?

Question(s)

Study started June 07

Data collection underway

Interim report delivered Sep 07

Additional data being collected

Completion May 08

Sponsors: Intel HQMC

DC, Aviation

DC, CD&I (FMID)

Status

FOLLOW-ONEFFORT


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JLTV Effect on STOM

Purpose: What is the impact of fielding theJoint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV) in placeof HMMWVs?

Examine effect of JLTV loads & weights

Explore impact of JLTV fielding onAviation POR

Sponsor: FMID, MCCDC

Status: Study Complete Take Aways:

Recommend lifting JLTV at ECCW

CH-53K can only lift one JLTV at GVW,which substantially increases time tocomplete the assault

Increasing quantity of CH-53Ks canoffset impact of conducting STOM withan armored force


Findings

JLTV is armored tactical vehicleintended to replace HMMWVs

Examined lifting at Gross VehicleWeight (GVW @ 18,000 lbs), EssentialCombat Capable Weight (ECCW @13,750 lbs), and Curb Weight (CW @12,500 lbs)

JLTV cannot be lifted by MV-22 even

at Curb Weight

6.7

11.4

6.8

9.2

4.8

9.2

5.0

8.9

4.3

7.4

5.0

6.8

0

1

2

3

45

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

No JLTV All GVW All ECCW Mix (34 ECCW, 55 GVW)

Hours 48/20

36/24

30/30

Mix

MV-22/CH-53K

(M1114 Armored

HMMWVs)

JLTV weight:

Increasing quantity of CH-53Ks

minimizes the impact of JLTV

More loads becoming liftable only

by CH-53K during the assault

Vertical Assault @ 110 NM

15 deg C, w/out DS CSS Co or LAAD

Completed


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Force Mobility Analysis Support Tool (FMAST)

OBJECTIVE

To create an analytical capability with which to generateand evaluate Marine Corps tactical wheeled vehiclestrategies and plans by creating a model that is:

Agile easily updated using dynamic (frequentlyupdated) data sources that are readily available(institutional databases) and accommodating largenumbers of mobility profilesAuthoritative based on a validated methodology and

authoritative data sourcesBroadly applicable Addressing perennial strategic

issues such as capability measures, force structure,equipment inventory, and cost.

SCOPE All the Marine Corps tactical wheeled vehicles, legacy and new.

The entire Marine Corps Tables of Organization (TOs).

Breadth:

Headquarters Marine Corps

Supporting Establishment

Operating forces

Reserves

Marine Prepositioning Force

Depth:

Company/UIC level

In the context of joint warfighting scenarios

MEF in Major Combat Operations (MCO)

MEF in Irregular Warfare (IW) - Stability Operations

MEB in Joint Forcible Entry Operations (JFEO)

STUDY QUESTIONS What capability does a given ground mobility strategy provide?

Tactical Mobility portion of infantry that: Ride organic (JLTV, HMMWV, ITV, MRAP, MTVR, other)

Ride general support (EFV, MPC, MTVR, other)

Fly by Helo

Walk/2nd wave

Strategic Mobility aggregate footprint (square, cube, weight)relative to available strategic lift

Force Protection Levels

Operational scenarios for MAGTFs force size, timeline, lift reqt

What is the impact on Acquisition strategy/Portfolio Management?

Time-phased AAOs Time-phased inventory profiles

Fleet age/readiness

Lifecycle Costs

NEW START


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USMC Operations Analysis Division

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