CBRE VIETNAM, HCMC MARKET OVERVIEW Q1/2014...20 DESIGN TRENDS Building Criteria for Corporates 1....
Transcript of CBRE VIETNAM, HCMC MARKET OVERVIEW Q1/2014...20 DESIGN TRENDS Building Criteria for Corporates 1....
CBRE VIETNAM, HCMC MARKET OVERVIEW Q1/2014
PRESENTED BY:
NIGEL SMITH, MANAGING DIRECTOR, LANDLORD AGENCY ASIA
MARCH 11TH
2014
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MARKET OVERVIEW - HCMC
RISING NEW SUPPLY AND DECREASING OCCUPANCY RATES
ASKING RENT
Average asking rent across Grade A and B increased at end Q4 2013. The asking rent in the Grade A
and Grade B segment has improved by 3.0% q-o-q and 1.7% q-o-q respectively.
2013 was a stable year for office market given improvement for both asking rent and vacancy rate on
y-o-y basis.
VACANCY
Limited supply compounded with continuous demand in the market helped to improve and lower the
vacancy rates. During 2013, Grade A performed better then Grade B in term of vacancy rate.
Compared to the end of 2012, Grade A vacancy rate decreased by 4.2 pps whilst Grade B vacancy
rate went down by 1.1%.
Office Asking Rents Office Vacancy
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2010 2011 2012 2013
Grade A Grade B
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2010 2011 2012 2013
Grade A Grade B
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MARKET OVERVIEW - HANOI
RISING NEW SUPPLY AND DECREASING OCCUPANCY RATES
ASKING RENT : DOWN IN BOTH GRADES, WITH GRADE A PERFORMING BETTER
THAN GRADE B
Q-o-q Grade A: -0.2%, grade B: -4.34%
Y-o-y Grade A: -1.1%, grade B: -15.16%
Market-wide, asking rents continue to face downward pressure as more supply comes online
VACANCY
Grade A vacancy rate continued to decrease 2.77 pp q-o-q to 25.54%
Grade B vacancy also decreased 2.67 pp q-o-q to 34.32% due to positive net absorption rate and no new
Grade B office space entering the market in Q4 2013
On y-o-y basis, Grade A vacancy increased 2.45 pp while Grade B increased sharply 12.58 pp
Office Asking Rents Office Vacancy
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Grade A Grade B
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Grade A Grade B
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Asia Pacific, Office rental cycle, Grade A&B, Q4 2013
Shanghai New Delhi Adelaide
Guangzhou
Hanoi
Shenzhen
Tokyo
Melbourne
Singapore
Manila
Taipei
Auckland
Kuala Lumpur
Brisbane
Beijing
Seoul
Ho Chi Minh City
Jakarta
Hong Kong
Bangkok
Canberra
Perth Sydney
Wellington
Bangalore A
K
M S
H
S G
C
W
A T
M
T
J
B B
S
N
P S
H S
B
H
M
B
Mumbai
HCMC
Landlords TENANTs
Grade A and B vacancy rate: y-o-y
Grade A and B asking rent: slightly –
but watch for Grade B supply
HANOI
TENANTs
Landlords
Grade A vacancy rate:
Grade B vacancy rate:
Grade A and B asking rent: y-o-y
OFFICE MARKET ANALYSIS
THE RENTAL CYCLE
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APAC STILL KEY DRIVER OF GLOBAL GROWTH
Asia still leads Global GDP
United States European Union
Asia Pacific
Latin America
0.9%
4.2% 3.0%
2.9%
GLOBAL GDP TO GROW AT
2.9% in 2014
Source: Oxford Economics (As of Feb 2014)
Note: Size of bubbles represent % of Global GDP
COMPANIES CONTINUE TO EXPAND IN APAC
Expectations improved; more business investment needed
Source: Economist Corporate Network (Asia Business Outlook Survey 2014, January 2014)
Expected Revenue Contribution from APAC
OFFICE NET ABSORPTION IS SET TO RECOVER
Asia office net absorption vs real GDP growth
Source: CBRE Research, Oxford Economics (February 2014)
VACANCY AND DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE, % OF STOCK
Particularly in some emerging markets
Source: CBRE Research (As of Feb 2014)
High Risk of Oversupply Moderate Risk of Oversupply Low Risk of Oversupply S
he
nzh
en
New
De
lhi
Mu
mb
ai
Ba
nga
lore
Sh
an
gh
ai
Gu
an
gzh
ou
VACANCY RATE AT HISTORIC LOW IN SOME MARKETS
Particularly in some emerging markets
Historic low Historic peak
Current level Long term average
Source: CBRE Research (As of Feb 2014)
Markets above 10-year average Markets below 10-year average
Low risk of oversupply High risk of oversupply
KEY FINDINGS
Demand Recovery Insurance, TMT and energy sectors continue
to be generally active
Banking and legal sectors contracting in
mature markets but seeking opportunities in
emerging locations
Oversupply Risk in Emerging
Markets
Negotiation of better leasing packages
Slippage in development pipeline to better
time the market
Occupiers to Drive Value
from Real Estate
A need to balance cost, growth, and
efficiency
Improvement in space utilization of workplace
Implementation of multi-location strategies
Source: CBRE Research (As of Feb 2014)
OCCUPIER TRENDS
Work styles have changed
Technology rapidly changing
our world
Shift work – life balance
From individual to team focus
Changing generations
any time
any place
any device
More complex work
Need for communication
Source: CBRE EMEA Occupier Survey 2013
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OCCUPIER TRENDS
Optimal work/life balance drivers
EFFECTIVITY
EMOTION
EFFICIENCY
1. Enjoyment at work
2. Flexible workspace
3. Mobile connectivity
Source: CBRE EMEA Occupier Survey 2013
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OCCUPIER TRENDS
New ways of working
1. Corporate branding
2. Sense of belonging
3. Stylish and colourful
Source: CBRE EMEA Occupier Survey 2013
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OCCUPIER TRENDS
New ways of working
20 Fenchurch Street , London
Three floor “sky garden”
Lower / upper floor sizes are counter-intuitive and this
has been successful
1:8m occupational density which allows future
expansion and increases the opportunity to achieve
top rents
Architect Rafael Vinoly
BREEAM Excellent
CBRE Appointed Marketing and Leasing Agent
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DESIGN TRENDS
Building Criteria for Corporates
1. Location - district, accessibility, transport, address, access to clients
2. Pricing - rent per sq ft, incentive packages
4. Building profile - architecture, street presence, identity
5. Design – floor plate, layout, efficiency
6. Specification - design criteria, quality of finishes, technical resilience
7. Arrival experience - size, finishes, level of service, security
8. Building management - efficiently run, service charges, security protocol
9. Landlord - reputation, "customer“ focused or shareholder focused?
3. Lease Flexibility - lease term, expansion / contraction options
10. Sustainability - BREEAM / LEED rating, green credentials
Source: CBRE EMEA Occupier Survey 2013
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BUILDING TRENDS
Building profile
1. Architecture
2. Visibility
3. Lighting
4. Art
ICC, Hong Kong
CBRE Appointed Marketing and Leasing Agent
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BUILDING TRENDS
Design
1. Main lobby
2. Lift experience
3. Natural light
4. Health, safety and security
CBRE Appointed
Marketing and Leasing
Agent
Cannon Place, London
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BUILDING TRENDS
Arrival experience
1. Multiple cafes, restaurants and bars
2. Soft seating areas
3. Trendy and expressive lobbies
4. The ‘shopping center experience’
CBRE Appointed
Marketing and Leasing
Agent
TAIPEI 101, Taiwan
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DESIGN TRENDS
Environment
Hudson Yards, NYC
Over 12 million sq ft of mixed use development
14 acres of open space including areas to hold exhibitions
and events
Hotel, health club, spa, retail destination, restaurants,
school and 5,000 homes, cinema and entertainment
spaces that can be used/rented by tenants
Subway extension links Hudson Yards to every subway line
in NYC ($2.1bn of public investment)
CBRE Appointed Marketing and Leasing Agent
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SUCCESSFUL LEASING STRATEGIES
Research
1. Design
2. Specifications
3. Facilities
4. Management
5. Environment
6. Accessibility
7. Ownership
• Introduced the “Village Concept”
• Business support services
• Community focused
• Building strategic partnerships
“Our goal is to foster a relationship between
the tenant and landlord based on trust. At
the very least, it’s about giving the tenant
peace of mind, but more than that, we
want tenants to feel valued and have a
genuine sense of belonging”.
CBRE Appointed as Marketing and Leasing Agent
Heron Tower, London
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SUCCESSFUL LEASING STRATEGIES
Differentiate yourself from the competition
C18 Zone at Two IFC, Hong Kong
CBRE Appointed as Marketing and Leasing Agent
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SUCCESSFUL LEASING STRATEGIES
Tailor to the local market
TAIPEI 101, Taiwan
CBRE Appointed as Marketing and Leasing Agent
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SUCCESSFUL LEASING STRATEGIES
Create a theme and be more visible
China World Tower, Beijing
CBRE Appointed as Marketing Consultant
Global Destination Inspiring Business
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SUCCESSFUL LEASING STRATEGIES
Increase you marketing budget
1. Traditional:
• Show suite
• Banners
• Events
2. New :
• Digital
• Social media
• Advertising
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SUCCESSFUL LEASING STRATEGIES
The results speak for them selves
Floor Plan
Key Differentiators
• Iconic Tower
• 118 stories
• Part of a 10,000,000 sf
mixed use complex
• Quality management and
security
• Designed and specified
for banks
Premium Value Drivers
• 3 minutes from Central
CBD
• Design & Specifications –
10 sm pp
• Facilitates – 1 million sf
mall, 2 hotels, serviced
apartments, residential,
car parks
• Environment – stunning
water front views
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SUCCESSFUL LEASING STRATEGIES
ICC – “I can see”
Floor Plan
Key Achievements
• Morgan Stanley - 580,000 sf
• Deutche Bank - 450,000 sf
• Credit Suisse - 420,000 sf
• Rents increased 300%
Marketing Strategy
• Branding: Completed before
marketing collateral
• Mediums: Traditional +
Advertising
• Budget: Estimated at
USD4,500,000
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SUMMARY
The key to your success
Economic
Social Environment
EFFECTIVITY
EMOTION
EFFICIENCY
2010 2011
2014
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