Cautious martingale

7/27/2019 Cautious martingale

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Cautious Martingale

We all know by now that Martingale is a risky method, that you invest a

rge amount in order to gain only 1 unit profit, as you keep doubling your

et if you haven't hit. However, if we use Martingale cautiously and if wenow that our even money area will hit within 3 or 4 spins, we could use a 4

r 5 step Martingale to achieve our goal. Most people bet on only one area

f their preference, say on either Red or Black. By using Martingale, they

ope to hit a Red or a Black within 5-6 spins. Or some individuals wait for

streak of Red or Black before they apply Martingale on the opposite

olour, assuming that it is "due". We should all know by now, that this the

ambler's fallacy and in Roulette nothing is due. The result of the next

pin does not depend on the previous one. I have seen many times, 9-10 Reds

r Blacks lining up in a row with no guarantee that the next spin will be

he opposite colour. That's where Martingale fails the most. As you keep

etting by doubling up your betting amount, you either exceed the table's

mit or you run out of money before you get your unit profit.

f we observe patterns of Blacks and Reds on the scoreboard, we will see

hat they either show up in a choppy way, that is they alternate frequently,ther like a zig zag or every other spin, or they show up in a streaky

manner, that is with long sequences of Reds or Blacks. Observing those

esults a bit further, we can also see, that a table switches from being

hoppy to streaky and vice versa every now and then. Taking all that into

ccount, I came to the conclusion that it may be worth using a 5 step

Martingale not on a specific colour but on a specific pattern of behaviour.

nd this pattern happens to be a repeating colour. In other words, you woulde betting on the colour that just came up.

ow, what are the advantages of following a specific colour? Well, first of

l, if the table behaves with a streaky fashion, you win every single bet,

egardless of if the streak is on Black or Red, since you are betting on the

ame colour that just came up. So a sequence of 10 successive Blacks or Reds

le:///D|/Systems/Izak's%20Cautious%20Martingale.htm (1 of 4) [7/21/2002 11:54:41 AM]


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Cautious Martingale

ill result in 9 wins. If the table is slightly choppy, that is not exactly

zig zag, then you will win either every other spin, or once every third

pin, or once every fourth spin. This way a 5 step Martingale of a sequence

2, 4, 8, 16 will yield excellent results.

was using a $50 unit value. Therefore my 5 step Martigale became: $50,

100, $200, $400, $800. This required a bankroll of $1550. Every win

esulted in a $50 profit. To play it safe, I observed scoreboards of the

bles where Red and Black were coming up in a choppy manner, with an exac

g zag, that is one Red, one Black, one Red, and one Black. Once either Red

r Black repeated, that was the mark of the end of the choppiness and I

tacked with my repeat colour strategy. You could win 10 to 20 sessions

ntil Red and Black starts zig zagging again. Once you have won your say 10

essions, you don't wait until the table becomes choppy again. You look for

new opportunity at a different table. It's good to sit at a place where

ou can view multiple scoreboards and go for the one that just has ended the

ed and Black zig zag.

We will count the number of non-repeating colours. When the colour finally

epeats and if this number is less or equal than 5 then we win the sessionnd we profit $50:

4 B

3 R (bet on Black, we lose, count 1)

R (bet on Red, we win, count = 2, we cash $50)

3 B (bet on Black, we lose, count = 1)

5 B (bet on Black, we win, count = 2, we cash another $50)G (bet on Black, we lose, count = 1)

3 B (bet on Black ,we win, count = 2, we cash another $50)

2 R loss count 1

9 B loss count 2

3 B win count 3 (cash $50)

4 R loss count 1



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Cautious Martingale

B loss count 2

3 B win count 3 (cash $50) (not bad, $250 in 12 spins.)

5 B win again $50

0 R lose count 1

1 B lose count 2

R lose count 33 R win count 4 (cash $50, count is still less than 5)

1 B lose count 1

1 R lose count 2

2 R win count 3 (cash $50, so far profit $350)

2 R win again count 1 cash $50

B

9 B cash $50

6 R

8 R cash $50

2 R cash $50

R cash $50

R cash $50

o home, enough cashing for today, have a dinner on me.

o to the web site and see for yourselves. At one stage, there are 8

epeating Reds, you make a profit of $350 right there.

t another stage, there is a zig zag of 6 spins, where you lose your 5 step

Martingale session. This will reduce your profits by $1550. But this happens

nly when we get too greedy and we don't stop after cashing 10 times the $50

nit profit and we don't wait for this zig zag to occur without getting

aught. I think catching a streak of 10 units at $50 profiting $500 is quiteufficient for 1 hour's play. I caught 4 opportunities today in Casino de

Montreal, cashed $2000 and left happily. If I would catch a 6 spin zig zag

n my way, I would still be ahead by $450, where I would have also left

appily. As long as you quit when you are ahead, that's what counts.



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Cautious Martingale

ow, this stategy works pretty well, but it is not fail proof. If Dale's

fth step of Martingale $800 bet was a loss, then he would have been down

y $1,550. And this is bound to happen sooner or later, if you play this

rategy on the long run, unless you are there for a hit and run, bet 5

mes, cash $250 and go home happily.


Cautious martingale

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