CASE: Going Local - Applying and developing sub-national analysis
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Transcript of CASE: Going Local - Applying and developing sub-national analysis
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8/8/2019 CASE: Going Local - Applying and developing sub-national analysis
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CASE: Going localApplying & developing sub-national analysis
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Issue
Increasing localism
More power at a local and sub-local level
Reducing role of central government:
Not imposing from above
BUT...
Limited resources locally to exploit social science
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Local needs
Data: Base-lining, benchmarking, transparency,
accountability
Analysis: Business cases, policy options
Evidence: relevance, effectiveness and
persuasiveness (partnerships)
Others?
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What CASE has - Data
Baselining, benchmarking, accountability
Regional Insights Investment, tourism, education, place-shaping, communities and well-being and engagement
Toolkit for asset mapping
Data (for making evidence)Understanding Society (longitudinal data)
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What CASE has - Analysis
Drivers, Impact and Value project
Understanding local population (Drivers)
Policy simulation tool (Drivers)
Valuing policy impacts (Value)
Issues:
Drivers work based on Taking Part
Local conditions not fully accounted for
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2. Statistical analysis
of participation Results for Heritage
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The effects of ethnicity and media use on
participation
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Drivers of engagement: simulation
1,254 models: 38 activities, 33 cohorts
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Drivers of engagement: simulation
30% increase in theatre attendance in young males of lowincome
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SWB Gains: actualand predicted
engagement
SWBC
han
ge
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Illustration of income compensation
E.g. engagement: SWB from 2 to 4
Equivalent:
c20k pa
in income
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Value of engagement: well-being
Weekly Once a year
Sport 11 -
Concert 9 5
Cinema 9 4
New innovative method, with methodological challenges
Equivalent annual income increase required to get SWBincrease (K)
Internal consistency: increased frequency = greater SWB
Actual engagement
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What CASE has - Evidence
Drivers, Impact and Value project
Sound evidence for learning effects in young
people
Research database: practical benefit
Issue
Not geographic specific
Need to make the generalisation leap
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Where next?
No guarantee of a future for CASE
BUT...
Could focus on a number of areas:
More data at local level
More analysis at local level
Better access to data for local areas
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Marshal more data...
CIPFA data
Audience data
Wider economic and social data
Drawing together local datasets on assets etc
What else?
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More analysis at a local level...
Eg. GIS analysis
Nearest neighbour etc
BUT...
Danger of top-down analysis
Resource-heavy for centre
Needs demand from local areas to justify
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Density of all arts, museums, libraries and sports and heritage assets
per head of population as at 2008/9
This map shows the steep differences
in both privately- and publicly-funded
culture and sport opportunities by local
authority.
Fewer than 8% of authorities have over
25% of the assets
1-3 assets per 1000
3-4 assets per 1000
4-7 assets per 1000
7-34 assets per 1000
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Count of all arts, museums, libraries and sports and heritage assets
per local authority as at 2008/9
9-250 assets
251-385 assets
386-558 assets
559-4056 assets
Removing the population figures from
the analysis has little effect overall, with
rural areas remaining higher up the
scale. However, small town type areas
now tend the lower part of the scale
Fewer than 8% of authorities have over
25% of the assets
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Density of arts, museums, galleries,
libraries, sport and heritage
assets per hectare per 10,000 people
for each local authority
Highest accessibility is in London and
areas of the south coast. Larger, rural
counties have much lower
accessibility. Key metropolitan areas
such as Leeds and Birmingham are317th & 303rd out of 324.
Accessibility is very unevenly
distributed. A rural-urban divide exists,
but is not consistent.
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Better access to data...
Already got Taking Part Netquest
Could go further with regional insights data?
E.g. Dynamic website, bespoke analysis
BUT...
Skills available locally?
Demand for this?
Requires resources to develop...
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Your views
We are exploring different channels
QUESTION IS...
How do you think CASE can be more relevant for
local areas?