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Carlsberg Group - finansanalytiker.dk · The Carlsberg Group has undergone big changes in recent...
Transcript of Carlsberg Group - finansanalytiker.dk · The Carlsberg Group has undergone big changes in recent...
Carlsberg Group Capital Structure & Financial Policy
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts
8th April 2014
Lars Cordi, VP & Group Treasurer
1. Group development 2. Ambition 3. Ownership structure 4. Financial policy 5. Importance of investment grade 6. Cash is king
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This is Carlsberg Group today
No. 1 in Northern & Eastern Europe and fourth largest brewer in the world
500 different beer brands
40,000 employees on three continents
36,000,000,000 bottles of beer sold in 2013
150 Markets around the world
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014
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The Carlsberg Group has undergone big changes in recent years
1990
OPERATIONS IN
Denmark, UK and Malawi. Minority ownerships in Finland, Italy and Malaysia
Carlsberg is an international beer brand but mainly through export and licensed brewing
MALAWI
+ 50% ownership
0-50% ownership
Joint ventures
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014
MALAWI
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The journey to becoming an international company begins – few leading positions globally
ACQUISITIONS
Sweden, Finland, Italy, Portugal, Lithuania, Poland, Croatia, Turkey, Nepal, Sri Lanka and Vietnam
1999
+ 50% ownership
0-50% ownership
Joint ventures
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014
MALAWI
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Merger with Orkla (Norway) and joint venture in BBH
ACQUISITIONS
Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, Poland, Turkey
JOINT VENTURES
BBH (Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and Baltic countries) is a joint venture between Carlsberg Breweries (owned by Carlsberg and Orkla) and UK brewer Scottish & Newcastle
2001
+ 50% ownership
0-50% ownership
Joint ventures
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014
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Further acquisitions in Europe and Asia and increased shareholdings in BBH through buy-out of Orkla’s shares
ACQUISITIONS
Norway, Germany, Serbia, Croatia, Bulgaria, Nepal, Western China, Laos, South Korea, Malawi JOINT VENTURES
BBH (Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Baltic countries) is now a joint venture between Carlsberg Breweries and UK brewer Scottish & Newcastle
2004
MALAWI
+ 50% ownership
0-50% ownership
Joint ventures
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014
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Acquisition of Scottish & Newcastle gives majority ownership of BBH, France, Greece and more
ACQUISITIONS
BBH (Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Baltic countries), France, Greece, India, Western China
DIVESTMENTS
Turkey, South Korea
The biggest acquisition by a Scandinavian company
2008
MALAWI
+ 50% ownership
0-50% ownership
Joint ventures
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014
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Carlsberg Group today – the world’s fourth largest international brewer
ACQUISITIONS
Increased shareholding in Chongqing Brewery Company in China to 60%
2013
MALAWI
+ 50% ownership
0-50% ownership
Joint ventures
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014
Our three regions at a glance
Western Europe
% of total beer volume
% of EBIT
Eastern Europe Asia
2013
2013
Group
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014 10
41 35 24
47 36 17
(2009: 43%) (2009: 44%) (2009: 13%)
(2009: 41%) (2009: 52%) (2009: 7%)
1. Group development 2. Ambition 3. Ownership structure 4. Financial policy 5. Importance of investment grade 6. Cash is king
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We want to be a significant player in the markets where we choose to compete
• We want to balance our presence in both mature and growth markets
• Most of the western world is fully consolidated and major local player are owned by the big four international brewers
World’s top-4 brewers
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014
1. Group development 2. Ambition 3. Ownership structure 4. Financial policy 5. Importance of investment grade 6. Cash is king
Group ownership structure
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Carlsberg Foundation
Free float
Carlsberg A/S Listed on Nasdaq OMX
Copenhagen
Carlsberg Breweries A/S
Operating companies
30% of capital 75% of votes
70% of capital 25% of votes
100%
20%
34% 20%
26% Denmark
USA
UK
Other
Note: Excluding The Carlsberg Foundation
Geographical break-down of shareholders
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014
Carlsberg Foundation Charter
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+ New dividend policy Min. 25% of retained earnings to be phased in over two years
1970
2007 51% of capital
2013 51% of votes 25% of capital
51% of votes No condition on capital
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014
1. Group development 2. Ambition 3. Ownership structure 4. Financial policy 5. Importance of investment grade 6. Cash is king
Financial policy
• Centralized funding and risk management at the level of Carlsberg Breweries A/S
• Diversified sources of funding and smooth maturity profile
• Risk perception is to actively manage exposures
• Ample capital resources available at all times
• Committed to retaining investment grade credit rating
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Funding structure
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Carlsberg A/S Listed on Nasdaq OMX
Copenhagen
Carlsberg Breweries A/S
Operating companies
72%
18%
4% 5% 1%
Bonds
Non-current bank borrowing
Mortgages
Current bank borrowings
Other, current and non-current
Funding sources Conservative funding policy
• Main funding sources are bonds and long-term bank facilities
• A new EUR 2,510m multi-currency facility due February 2019 with options to extend additional 2 years was signed December 2013
• 5 bonds issued under €5bn
EMTN program
Centralized funding at the level of Carlsberg Breweries A/S
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014
Commitment to Investment Grade
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• Rated by Fitch and Moody’s since January 2006
• Long Term Issuer Rating: BBB
• Outlook: Stable
• Date: 21-02-2011 (upgrade from
BBB-, stable outlook)
“Carlsberg Breweries A/S' (CB) ratings reflect
its leading positions in core markets, moderate
geographical diversification and increasing
focus on emerging countries. The ratings are
supported by the resilience of CB’s operating
profit and cash flow generation to a sequence
of challenges encountered in its core Russian
and western European markets.”
• Rating: Baa2
• Outlook: Stable
• Date: 23-02-2011 (upgrade from Baa3,
stable outlook)
“Carlsberg Breweries' Baa2 long-term issuer
rating is underpinned by the group's (1) scale as
one of the world's largest brewers, with leading
positions in some of its key European markets,
including Russia; (2) a degree of geographic
diversification ; and (3) solid cash flow
generation supporting net debt reduction, albeit
at a slower pace given ongoing challenging
trading conditions in the European beer sector.”
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014
1. Group development 2. Ambition 3. Ownership structure 4. Financial policy 5. Importance of investment grade 6. Cash is king
Investment grade issuers have priority access to financial markets during volatile times
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The Collapse of Lehman
Brother
The Sovereign Debt Crisis in Europe
Peripheral European
Debt Concerns
Source: Dealogic, Bloomberg, BNP Paribas
• Over all supply decreases as investors becomes more picky in volatile times
• The IG market is by far more resilient, is open longer and never totally shuts down even when volatility strike whereas the red Sub-IG (includes Non-rated) areas vanishes or significantly decrease during the same periods
• IG corporates will have greater access to bigger pools of liquidity at all times, but more specifically (and perhaps importantly) when liquidity freeze up
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q12008
Q22008
Q32008
Q42008
Q12009
Q22009
Q32009
Q42009
Q12010
Q22010
Q32010
Q42010
Q12011
Q22011
Q32011
Q42011
Q12012
Q22012
Q32012
Q42012
Q12013
Q22013
Q32013
Q42013
Q12014
Sub-IG Corporate EUR IG Corporate EUR
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60
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90VIX Index (RHS)
Quarterly Issuance Volumes in Relation to the VIX Volatility Index since 2008
Presentation for The Danish Society of Financial Analysts - 8th April 2014
Investment grade issuers benefit from more stable funding costs during volatile times
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Enron Default , Dotcom Bubble and 9/11 attack
Lehman Brother collapse and debt crisis
Peripheral European Debt Concerns ∆21%
Source: Merrill Lynch Index, BNP Parisbas
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1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
European BBB index European HY BB index
The costs differential between European BBB and BB High Yield Corporates since 1999
• The historical cost of funding between BBB and BB rated issuers shows that the BBB cost is much less volatile compared to BB
• Even though the funding cost rise for BBB corporates at distressed times, it remains low compared to the significant spikes BB corporates experience
• On a note separate to cost, there is of course other benefits of staying IG such as less covenants, longer maturities available etc.
1. Group development 2. Ambition 3. Ownership structure 4. Financial policy 5. Importance of investment grade 6. Cash is king
Strong focus on working capital management to improve financial flexibility
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
ATWC/net revenue
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• Group wide initiative to reduce average trade working capital
• Dedicated work streams and initiatives for inventories, accounts payable and accounts receivables