CairnsWatch · HTW Cairns does … Tax Depreciation Schedules Do you have an up-to-date tax...

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February 2013 CairnsWatch HERRON TODD WHITE CAIRNS P: 07 4057 0200 F: 07 4051 3946 E: [email protected]

Transcript of CairnsWatch · HTW Cairns does … Tax Depreciation Schedules Do you have an up-to-date tax...

Page 1: CairnsWatch · HTW Cairns does … Tax Depreciation Schedules Do you have an up-to-date tax depreciation schedule? You could be missing out on thousands of dollars each year in allowable

February 2013 CairnsWatch

HERRON TODD WHITE CAIRNS P: 07 4057 0200 F: 07 4051 3946 E: [email protected]

Page 2: CairnsWatch · HTW Cairns does … Tax Depreciation Schedules Do you have an up-to-date tax depreciation schedule? You could be missing out on thousands of dollars each year in allowable

| HERRON TODD WHITE Research CONTACT US P 07 4057 0200 | F 07 4051 3946 | E [email protected] CAIRNSWATCH February 2013

Overview February 2013 Cairns is continuing on a recovery track as business and economic activity continue to build. All is not yet rosy in the economy, but the progress to date has been significant. If you have received this bulletin from someone else and want to be on our CairnsWatch mailing list please sign up here – it’s free!

At A Glance Trend Employment: ▲ 7.4% (Jan 2012 to Jan 2013) Airport Passenger Trend: ▲ 6.9% (Jan 2012 to Jan 2013) Building Approvals Trend: ▲ 21% (Dec 2011 to Dec 2012) Trend Unemployment: ▼ to 8.1% (January 2013)

Rick Carr Research Director Herron Todd White Cairns Phone: 07 4057 0200 Fax: 07 4051 3946 Email: [email protected]

The Fine Print: Information in this publication is based on an analysis of data from a number of sources, subjected to technical procedures of seasonal adjustment and trend analysis. Seasonal adjustment is a means of removing the effects of normal seasonal variation from the data, so that comparisons can be made of data against their established seasonal patterns. Trend analysis smooths the seasonally adjusted estimates to provide a clearer picture of the underlying behaviour of the series over time. The trend estimates are derived by applying a 13-term Henderson-weighted moving average to the seasonally adjusted data. It applies the same procedures used by the Australian Bureau of Statistics in producing trends for national aggregates. No responsibility is accepted to any third party that may use or rely on the whole or any part of the content of this publication. Neither the whole nor any part of this publication or any reference thereto may be included in any published or photocopied documents, circular or statement, nor transmitted or published in part or full in any way, including electronically, without written approval of the form and context in which it may appear. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation. The scheme does not apply within Tasmania © HTW Copyright 2013

Page 3: CairnsWatch · HTW Cairns does … Tax Depreciation Schedules Do you have an up-to-date tax depreciation schedule? You could be missing out on thousands of dollars each year in allowable

| HERRON TODD WHITE Research CONTACT US P 07 4057 0200 | F 07 4051 3946 | E [email protected] CAIRNSWATCH February 2013

Employment People Employed in FNQ

The published employment figure for the Far North (Cardwell to the Torres Strait) reduced to 137,600 persons employed as at January 2013. However this appears to be a statistical wobble and not the start of a new trend. The trend employment total for the Far North still stood at record high of 142,700 in January 2013, a 7.4% rise since January 2012.

FNQ Unemployment Trends

Despite the published figures showing a loss in employment, the region’s published unemployment rate also reduced in January 2013, to 7.2%, as some people withdrew from seeking work. The region’s unemployment trend is now firmly in decline, and has reduced to 8.1%, its lowest rate since December 2008. N.B. To be counted as ‘unemployed’ in the ABS Labour Force survey you need to not have a job and be actively seeking work. People who do not have a job and are not actively seeking work are not counted as unemployed, they are regarded as ‘not in the labour force’.

Source: Derived from ABS Labour Force Survey data

Jan-03Jul-03

Jan-04Jul-04

Jan-05Jul-05

Jan-06Jul-06

Jan-07Jul-07

Jan-08Jul-08

Jan-09Jul-09

Jan-10Jul-10

Jan-11Jul-11

Jan-12Jul-12

Jan-13100,000

110,000

120,000

130,000

140,000

150,000

Number of Persons Employed

Published Trend

Source: Derived from ABS Labour Force Survey data

Jan-03Jul-03

Jan-04Jul-04

Jan-05Jul-05

Jan-06Jul-06

Jan-07Jul-07

Jan-08Jul-08

Jan-09Jul-09

Jan-10Jul-10

Jan-11Jul-11

Jan-12Jul-12

Jan-132%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

Unemployment Rate (Actual and Trend Basis)

Far NorthQueensland

All Queensland

Page 4: CairnsWatch · HTW Cairns does … Tax Depreciation Schedules Do you have an up-to-date tax depreciation schedule? You could be missing out on thousands of dollars each year in allowable

| HERRON TODD WHITE Research CONTACT US P 07 4057 0200 | F 07 4051 3946 | E [email protected] CAIRNSWATCH February 2013

Employment Special Topic Comparative Unemployment Rates

Unemployment has reduced over the last twelve months in the three key tourism regions of the Far North and the Gold and Sunshine Coasts, has increased in Brisbane, Wide Bay and the coal/gas regions of Central Queensland and the Darling Downs, and reduced in the mineral oriented North Queensland region. Nothing could be more demonstrative of Queensland’s presently multi-speed economy.

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HTW Cairns does… Property Valuations Herron Todd White Cairns has a wealth of experience in providing valuation services across the tourism, commercial, industrial, rural and residential property sectors. From residential units and townhouses to specialist valuations, acquisitions and resumption, Herron Todd White Cairns’ team of specialist staff provides valuations across all property types.

Source: Derived from ABS Labour Force Survey data

BrisbaneGold Coast

Sunshine CoastWide Bay

Darling DownsCentral Qld

North QldFar North Qld

All QldNthn Territory

4.8%

6.1%

6.9%6.6%

4.4% 4.4%

6.0%

8.5%

5.5%

4.1%

5.6% 5.6% 5.6%

9.7%

5.3%5.0%

4.1%

8.1%

5.8%

3.8%

Unemployment Rate (Trend Basis)

Jan 2012 Jan 2013

Page 5: CairnsWatch · HTW Cairns does … Tax Depreciation Schedules Do you have an up-to-date tax depreciation schedule? You could be missing out on thousands of dollars each year in allowable

| HERRON TODD WHITE Research CONTACT US P 07 4057 0200 | F 07 4051 3946 | E [email protected] CAIRNSWATCH February 2013

Employment Job Ads in The Cairns Post

The number of jobs being advertised in The Cairns Post continues to lose ground, having reduced in trend terms by 38% between January 2012 and January 2013.

Source: HTW Analysis of the Cairns Post

Jan-03Jul-03

Jan-04Jul-04

Jan-05Jul-05

Jan-06Jul-06

Jan-07Jul-07

Jan-08Jul-08

Jan-09Jul-09

Jan-10Jul-10

Jan-11Jul-11

Jan-12Jul-12

Jan-13

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Number (Average per Week)

Actual Trend

HTW Cairns does… Tax Depreciation Schedules Do you have an up-to-date tax depreciation schedule? You could be missing out on thousands of dollars each year in allowable depreciation for your investment property. Depreciation is an important part of maximizing your investment returns from an income generating property. Contact us on 4057 0200 for an obligation-free quote.

Page 6: CairnsWatch · HTW Cairns does … Tax Depreciation Schedules Do you have an up-to-date tax depreciation schedule? You could be missing out on thousands of dollars each year in allowable

| HERRON TODD WHITE Research CONTACT US P 07 4057 0200 | F 07 4051 3946 | E [email protected] CAIRNSWATCH February 2013

Tourism Airport Passenger Numbers

The passenger volume trend at the domestic terminal continues to achieve record highs, and has shown growth of 7.9% between January 2012 and January 2013. Passenger trends at the international terminal are also slowly rising, with a 1.6% increase evident from January 2012 to January 2013. Passenger numbers overall have increased by 6.9% in trend terms between January 2012 and January 2013.

Source: Derived from Cairns Airport data

Jan-03Jul-03

Jan-04Jul-04

Jan-05Jul-05

Jan-06Jul-06

Jan-07Jul-07

Jan-08Jul-08

Jan-09Jul-09

Jan-10Jul-10

Jan-11Jul-11

Jan-12Jul-12

Jan-1330,000

50,000

85,000

140,000

225,000

350,000

Monthly Passenger Arrivals + Departures (excl Transits)

Domestic Terminal

International TerminalHTW does… Townsville Market Information Herron Todd White produces a quarterly publication of Townsville Market Information entitled Townsville in Focus. Like CairnsWatch, it is free of charge. For further enquiries or to subscribe, contact [email protected] or call (07) 4724 2000.

Page 7: CairnsWatch · HTW Cairns does … Tax Depreciation Schedules Do you have an up-to-date tax depreciation schedule? You could be missing out on thousands of dollars each year in allowable

| HERRON TODD WHITE Research CONTACT US P 07 4057 0200 | F 07 4051 3946 | E [email protected] CAIRNSWATCH February 2013

Property Median Property Prices

Property sale volumes have been tending to increase over the last two years but the price trends are varied. The December 2012 Cairns median house price trend came in at $354,000, which represents a mild increase of 1.7% since December 2011. However the median established unit price trend reduced to $170,000 in December 2012, which is 6.7% lower than it was in December 2011. N.B. The median property price is the actual sale price of the middle-priced property from the list of properties sold each month. Movements in median prices do not necessarily equate to movements in individual property values.

* All sales are classified to date of contract (not date of settlement)** Recent months are provisional and subject to revisionSource: HTW Analysis of RPData

Dec-02Jun-03

Dec-03Jun-04

Dec-04Jun-05

Dec-05Jun-06

Dec-06Jun-07

Dec-07Jun-08

Dec-08Jun-09

Dec-09Jun-10

Dec-10Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-12

Dec-12$50,000

$70,000

$100,000

$140,000

$200,000

$300,000

$450,000

Median Sale Price (Log Scale)

Houses

Vacant Land

New Units

EstablishedUnits

HTW Cairns does… Tax Depreciation Schedules Do you have an up-to-date tax depreciation schedule? You could be missing out on thousands of dollars each year in allowable depreciation for your investment property. Depreciation is an important part of maximizing your investment returns from an income generating property. Contact us on 4057 0200 for an obligation-free quote.

Page 8: CairnsWatch · HTW Cairns does … Tax Depreciation Schedules Do you have an up-to-date tax depreciation schedule? You could be missing out on thousands of dollars each year in allowable

| HERRON TODD WHITE Research CONTACT US P 07 4057 0200 | F 07 4051 3946 | E [email protected] CAIRNSWATCH February 2013

Property Rental Vacancy Rates

Rental housing is maintaining critically tight supply as a result of on-going demand and the absence of new supply. The trend vacancy rate for houses stood at 1.5% during January 2013, while units displayed a trend vacancy rate of 1.9%. The overall market vacancy rate stood at 1.7%.

Building Approvals

Building approval numbers have rebounded significantly over the last six months, with the December 2012 trend up 21% compared to December 2011, and the number of houses approved during 2012 as a whole up 36% compared to 2011. Though the overall trend in approvals is recovering, unit construction approvals remain dead-in-the-water.

'Balanced Market' Range

Source: HTW Rentroll Survey

Jan-03Jul-03

Jan-04Jul-04

Jan-05Jul-05

Jan-06Jul-06

Jan-07Jul-07

Jan-08Jul-08

Jan-09Jul-09

Jan-10Jul-10

Jan-11Jul-11

Jan-12Jul-12

Jan-130%

2%

4%

6%

8%

Houses Units Total

Source: Derived from ABS data

Dec-08Mar-09

Jun-09Sep-09

Dec-09Mar-10

Jun-10Sep-10

Dec-10Mar-11

Jun-11Sep-11

Dec-11Mar-12

Jun-12Sep-12

Dec-12

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Number of New Dwellings Approved in Cairns Urban Area

Houses Units Total (Trend)

Page 9: CairnsWatch · HTW Cairns does … Tax Depreciation Schedules Do you have an up-to-date tax depreciation schedule? You could be missing out on thousands of dollars each year in allowable

| HERRON TODD WHITE Research CONTACT US P 07 4057 0200 | F 07 4051 3946 | E [email protected] CAIRNSWATCH February 2013

The National Property Clock January 2013

Herron Todd White’s National Property Clock is prepared each month based on the local market perceptions of its Australia-wide network of offices. Even though property sales activity is increasing in Cairns it remains an overall buyers market and its position is yet to change from the bottom of the cycle.

Residential Property Ratings Compiled by Herron Todd White, January 2013

Alice Springs BrisbaneBundaberg GriffithLatrobe Valley Mackay Melbourne Newcastle Rockhampton

Bathurst DarwinEchuca DubboMudgee PerthWhitsunday

Adelaide Adelaide Hills Albury Barossa ValleyBurnie-Devonport Cairns Coffs Harbour Gippsland Hervey Bay Hobart Ipswich Launceston Mildura Mount Gambier NSW Central Coast SA Iron Triangle SA Riverland South West WA Sunshine Coast Sydney Toowoomba Townsville Tweed Coast Wodonga

Ballarat BendigoCanberra EmeraldGladstone Gold CoastShepparton Wagga Wagga

Orange Tamworth

Starting to Decline

Declining Market

Approaching Bottom of

Market

Approaching Peak of Market

RisingMarket

Starting to Rise

Peak of Market

Bottom ofMarket

Entries coloured blue indicate changes in position from last month

Wollongong

HTW Cairns does… Rural Valuations Selling the farm? HTW has valuers specialising in agribusiness – from cane farms to cattle properties and banana plantations.