C M Y K - The New York Times · The frantic final days before Mr. Trump s announcement demonstrate...
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VOL. CLXVII .... No. 57,961 © 2018 The New York Times Company SUNDAY, MAY 13, 2018 ARDMORE, Pa. — Just as the women’s marches and #MeToo helped define 2017, the surging numbers of female candidates have defined the midterm races now under- way. Yet for all that, the November elec- tions may not produce a similar surge in the number of women in Congress. More than half the female candidates for House and Senate seats are challenging in- cumbents, who historically almost always win; there were far more wide-open races in 1992’s so-called Year of the Woman, which doubled the number of women in Congress. A large percentage of the women now running for open seats are in districts that favor the other party. And many female candidates are clustered in the same dis- tricts, meaning many will be eliminated in this spring and summer’s primaries. Last Tuesday’s primary elections in Ohio, West Virginia, Indiana and North Car- The increase in the number of female candidates tilts largely toward Democrats — at the start of this year, the number of Democratic women seeking House seats was up 146 percent from the same point in 2016; among Republicans, it was up 35 per- cent. And many of the women have less ex- perience in government and politics than those who ran for Congress in the past. “While we are encouraged by the energy and the enthusiasm and the engagement of women, I think we also at the same time have to be cognizant of the fact that many of these women, even when they win their pri- mary, will be running very tough races in November,” said Debbie Walsh, the director of the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University. “We are not going to see, in one cycle, an end to the underrepresentation of women in American politics that we’ve seen for 250 years,” she said. “The concern is we need olina help illustrate the steep path. Two women ran for Senate, both were long shots, and both lost. In House races, 27 women won — more than half. But 16 will challenge incumbents in November, 15 of them in districts firmly favoring their oppo- nents. Tex. Alaska Hawaii Guam, American Samoa and the Virgin Islands Ga. Fla. La. Ala. N.Y. Vt. N.H. N.C. Calif. Ore. Idaho Wash. Utah Nev. Ariz. N.M. Mont. Wyo. Colo. Kan. Okla. Ark. Mo. Ill. Ind. Mich. Ohio Pa. Ky. Tenn. Iowa Minn. N.D. S.D. Neb. Wis. Miss. S.C. Maine W.Va. Mass. R.I. Conn. N.J. Md. Del. Va. THE NEW YORK TIMES Source: Data is from the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers, as of May 9, 2018, and only includes major party candidates. The 476 female candidates running for the House or seeking re-election 1 Democrat 1 Republican Women Run in Droves, but Path Narrows Incumbents and Crowded Primaries Blunt Hopes of Reshaping Congress Molly Sheehan is one of six women running in Pennsylvania’s Fifth District. MICHELLE GUSTAFSON FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES By KATE ZERNIKE and DENISE LU Continued on Page 24 CLINTON, N.Y. — In the days after her son Graham hanged himself in his dormitory room at Hamilton College, Gina Burton went about settling his affairs in a blur of efficiency, her grief tinged with a nagging sense that some- thing did not add up. She fielded requests and sym- pathy notes from the college, promising the dean of students a copy of his obituary “so you can see how special Hamilton was to him.” This was why his suicide “makes no sense,” she added in a puzzled aside. The next day, Ms. Burton accepted condolences from the college president, and as- sured him “how right a choice Hamilton was” for her son. But two weeks later, she read her son’s journal and everything changed. Mr. Burton, a sopho- more, wrote that he was flunking three of his four classes and called himself a “failure with no life prospects.” He had struggled to sleep, missed classes, turned in assignments late. The college had known of his difficulty, he wrote, but had been slow to offer help and understanding. “Would you care to shed some light on this?” Ms. Burton asked in an angry email sent at 2:53 a.m. to the academic dean, with copies to the president and the dean of students. “If this is what drove Graham, I don’t think I’ll be able to cope.” Every year, parents send their children to college, trusting that they will be well, or that word will come if they are not. Ms. Burton had lived every parent’s night- mare: a child flunking out, sinking into despair, his parents the last to know. Her discovery set off a wave of pain and soul-searching but also a campaign to strip away some of the veils of confidentiality that colleges say protect the pri- vacy and autonomy of students who are learning to be adults. Suicide is the second-leading cause of death, after accidents, for college-age adults in the United States. The number of college stu- dents seeking treatment for anxi- His College Saw Despair. His Parents Didn’t, Until It Was Too Late. By ANEMONA HARTOCOLLIS Continued on Page 20 ‘A lot of people feel, sure, tell my parents, I just don’t want to die.’ IAN LUNN, who is doing an independent study of suicide at Hamilton College, above, in upstate New York. HILARY SWIFT FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES LONDON — In the days to come, anyone wishing to criticize Meghan Markle, the American ac- tress set to marry into Britain’s royal family, will have to contend with Tshego Lengolo, an 11-year- old black girl and newly minted monarchist. Tshego is a child of southeast London. She has taught herself “road,” the slang emanating from the city’s grime music scene, but drops it the second she enters her apartment, a zone patrolled by her all-seeing South African mother. They squabble affection- ately, for approximately the thou- sandth time, over whether she can be called Tiffany. If Tshego (SEH-ho) is royal- crazy this summer, it is because Ms. Markle is biracial, the daugh- ter of an African-American wom- an and a white man. When she looks at Ms. Markle, Tshego sees a version of herself, new to England, trying to find a place among its ra- cial codes. The precedent set by the wed- ding of Ms. Markle and Prince Harry next Saturday is often played down. White royalists, in many cases, argue that racism is no longer a serious problem in British society. (“The queen cur- rently has an equerry,” or top aide, “who is black,” exclaimed the royal commentator Dickie Arbi- ter, by way of evidence.) Many blacks, for their part, say the royal wedding is a distraction from the rise of intolerance and anti-immi- grant nativism in Brexit-era Brit- ain. What the Royal Bride-to-Be Represents to Black Londoners By ELLEN BARRY Tshego Lengolo, 11, sees her- self in Meghan Markle. ANDREW TESTA FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES Continued on Page 10 The federal tax overhaul cut taxes for millions of American families and businesses. But the law also had an unintended effect: raising the state-tax bite in nearly every state that has an income tax. Now, governors and state legis- lators are contending with how to adjust their own tax codes to shield their residents from paying more or, in some cases, whether to apply any of the unexpected reve- nue windfall to other priorities in- stead. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which President Trump signed into law in December, did not di- rectly affect state budgets. It cut federal tax rates, while also changing or eliminating various exemptions and deductions that affect tax calculations. But be- cause most state income taxes are tightly bound to the federal tax code, the federal changes will have big consequences for both state budgets and taxpayers. “Residents of the majority of states would experience an unleg- islated tax increase,” said Jared Walczak, an analyst with the Tax Foundation, a conservative think tank. In Minnesota, the state esti- mates that residents could pay more than $400 million in addi- tional state taxes in the next fiscal year because of the new federal law. That has set off a fight over how to respond. The state’s Demo- cratic governor wants to give most of that money back to Min- nesotans through tax cuts aimed at low- and moderate-income fam- ilies; the Republican-controlled legislature wants broader-based tax cuts. Both sides say they must FEDERAL TAX CUTS GIVE MANY STATES A CASH WINDFALL DEBATE IN STATEHOUSES Considering Whether to Use Extra Money or Shield Residents By BEN CASSELMAN Continued on Page 17 NEWS ANALYSIS WASHINGTON — Five days before President Trump pulled out of what he called the “horri- ble” Iran nuclear deal, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo told diplo- mats from Britain, France and Germany that he believed the pact could still be saved. If Mr. Pompeo could win a few more days for negotiations, he told the Europeans in a confer- ence call on May 4, there was a chance — however small — that the two sides could bridge a gap over the agreement’s “sunset provisions,” under which restric- tions on Iran’s nuclear program expire in anywhere from seven to 13 years. By May 7, when Britain’s for- eign secretary, Boris Johnson, made the rounds in Washington, that hope had vanished. Mr. Pompeo told him that not only had Mr. Trump decided to pull out of the deal brokered by his predecessor, Barack Obama, but he was also going to reimpose the harshest set of sanctions on Iran that he could. The frantic final days before Mr. Trump’s announcement demonstrate that the Iran deal remained a complicated, divisive issue inside the White House, even after the president re- stocked his war cabinet with more hawkish figures like Mr. Pompeo and John R. Bolton, the new national security adviser. How that debate unfolded offers an insight into the shifting balance of power on Mr. Trump’s national security team in his second year in office. Mr. Bolton is emerging as an influential figure, with a clear channel to the president and an ability to control the voices he hears. Defense Secretary Jim Mattis, who opposed leaving the deal but did not push the case as vocally toward the end, appears Aides’ Divide On Iran Bares A Deeper Rift Trump Team at Odds Over ‘Rogue’ Nations By MARK LANDLER Continued on Page 9 Concern that drivers with dementia are causing accidents has prompted Japa- nese authorities to urge older people to surrender their licenses. PAGE 6 INTERNATIONAL 4-12 Japan’s Aging Drivers A growing nationwide movement to increase the turnout rate of former felons is being led by activists who have served time behind bars. PAGE 16 NATIONAL 16-24 Ex-Felons Get Out the Vote Tim Tebow, playing for a Mets affiliate, the Binghamton Rumble Ponies, has caused a boom in business. His perform- ance? That’s beside the point. PAGE 1 SPORTSSUNDAY The Most Famous Rumble Pony The nation’s housing policy for the poor can feel like a giant lottery. With not enough subsidized housing, San Fran- cisco actually held a lottery. PAGE 1 SUNDAY BUSINESS 95 Apartments. 6,580 Apply. U(DF47D3)W+#!}!/!#!{ Gerard Alexander PAGE 1 SUNDAY REVIEW Printed in Chicago $6.00 Mostly cloudy north. Showers or thunderstorms. Partly cloudy south. Highs in the 60s to lower 90s. Show- ers or thunderstorms tonight. De- tails are in SportsSunday on Page 8. National Edition
Transcript of C M Y K - The New York Times · The frantic final days before Mr. Trump s announcement demonstrate...
C M Y K Yxxx,2018-05-13,A,001,Bs-4C,E1
VOL. CLXVII . . . . No. 57,961 © 2018 The New York Times Company SUNDAY, MAY 13, 2018
ARDMORE, Pa. — Just as the women’smarches and #MeToo helped define 2017,the surging numbers of female candidateshave defined the midterm races now under-way. Yet for all that, the November elec-tions may not produce a similar surge in thenumber of women in Congress.
More than half the female candidates forHouse and Senate seats are challenging in-cumbents, who historically almost alwayswin; there were far more wide-open racesin 1992’s so-called Year of the Woman,which doubled the number of women inCongress. A large percentage of the womennow running for open seats are in districtsthat favor the other party. And many femalecandidates are clustered in the same dis-tricts, meaning many will be eliminated inthis spring and summer’s primaries.
Last Tuesday’s primary elections inOhio, West Virginia, Indiana and North Car-
The increase in the number of femalecandidates tilts largely toward Democrats— at the start of this year, the number ofDemocratic women seeking House seatswas up 146 percent from the same point in2016; among Republicans, it was up 35 per-cent. And many of the women have less ex-perience in government and politics thanthose who ran for Congress in the past.
“While we are encouraged by the energyand the enthusiasm and the engagement ofwomen, I think we also at the same timehave to be cognizant of the fact that many ofthese women, even when they win their pri-mary, will be running very tough races inNovember,” said Debbie Walsh, the directorof the Center for American Women andPolitics at Rutgers University.
“We are not going to see, in one cycle, anend to the underrepresentation of womenin American politics that we’ve seen for 250years,” she said. “The concern is we need
olina help illustrate the steep path. Twowomen ran for Senate, both were longshots, and both lost. In House races, 27women won — more than half. But 16 willchallenge incumbents in November, 15 ofthem in districts firmly favoring their oppo-nents.
Tex.
Alaska
Hawaii
Guam, American Samoa and the Virgin Islands
Ga.
Fla.
La.
Ala.
N.Y.
Vt.N.H.
N.C.
Calif.
Ore.
Idaho
Wash.
Utah
Nev.
Ariz. N.M.
Mont.
Wyo.
Colo.
Kan.
Okla. Ark.
Mo.Ill.
Ind.
Mich.
Ohio
Pa.
Ky.
Tenn.
Iowa
Minn.
N.D.
S.D.
Neb.
Wis.
Miss.
S.C.
Maine
W.Va.
Mass.
R.I.
Conn.
N.J.
Md.
Del.
Va.
THE NEW YORK TIMESSource: Data is from the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers, as of May 9, 2018, and only includes major party candidates.
The 476 female candidates running
for the House or seeking re-election
1 Democrat 1 Republican
Women Run in Droves, but Path NarrowsIncumbents and Crowded Primaries Blunt Hopes of Reshaping Congress
Molly Sheehan is one of six womenrunning in Pennsylvania’s Fifth District.
MICHELLE GUSTAFSON FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES
By KATE ZERNIKEand DENISE LU
Continued on Page 24
CLINTON, N.Y. — In the daysafter her son Graham hangedhimself in his dormitory room atHamilton College, Gina Burtonwent about settling his affairs in ablur of efficiency, her grief tingedwith a nagging sense that some-thing did not add up.
She fielded requests and sym-pathy notes from the college,promising the dean of students acopy of his obituary “so you cansee how special Hamilton was tohim.” This was why his suicide“makes no sense,” she added in apuzzled aside. The next day, Ms.Burton accepted condolencesfrom the college president, and as-sured him “how right a choiceHamilton was” for her son.
But two weeks later, she readher son’s journal and everythingchanged. Mr. Burton, a sopho-more, wrote that he was flunkingthree of his four classes and calledhimself a “failure with no lifeprospects.” He had struggled tosleep, missed classes, turned inassignments late. The college hadknown of his difficulty, he wrote,but had been slow to offer help andunderstanding.
“Would you care to shed somelight on this?” Ms. Burton askedin an angry email sent at 2:53 a.m.to the academic dean, with copies
to the president and the dean ofstudents. “If this is what droveGraham, I don’t think I’ll be able tocope.”
Every year, parents send theirchildren to college, trusting thatthey will be well, or that word willcome if they are not. Ms. Burton
had lived every parent’s night-mare: a child flunking out, sinkinginto despair, his parents the last toknow. Her discovery set off a waveof pain and soul-searching butalso a campaign to strip awaysome of the veils of confidentialitythat colleges say protect the pri-
vacy and autonomy of studentswho are learning to be adults.
Suicide is the second-leadingcause of death, after accidents, forcollege-age adults in the UnitedStates. The number of college stu-dents seeking treatment for anxi-
His College Saw Despair. His Parents Didn’t, Until It Was Too Late.By ANEMONA HARTOCOLLIS
Continued on Page 20
‘A lot of people feel, sure, tell my parents, I just don’t want to die.’ IAN LUNN, who is doing an independent study of suicide at Hamilton College, above, in upstate New York.
HILARY SWIFT FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES
LONDON — In the days tocome, anyone wishing to criticizeMeghan Markle, the American ac-tress set to marry into Britain’sroyal family, will have to contendwith Tshego Lengolo, an 11-year-old black girl and newly mintedmonarchist.
Tshego is a child of southeastLondon. She has taught herself“road,” the slang emanating fromthe city’s grime music scene, butdrops it the second she enters herapartment, a zone patrolled byher all-seeing South Africanmother. They squabble affection-ately, for approximately the thou-sandth time, over whether she canbe called Tiffany.
If Tshego (SEH-ho) is royal-crazy this summer, it is becauseMs. Markle is biracial, the daugh-ter of an African-American wom-an and a white man. When shelooks at Ms. Markle, Tshego sees aversion of herself, new to England,trying to find a place among its ra-cial codes.
The precedent set by the wed-ding of Ms. Markle and PrinceHarry next Saturday is oftenplayed down. White royalists, inmany cases, argue that racism is
no longer a serious problem inBritish society. (“The queen cur-rently has an equerry,” or top aide,“who is black,” exclaimed theroyal commentator Dickie Arbi-ter, by way of evidence.) Manyblacks, for their part, say the royalwedding is a distraction from therise of intolerance and anti-immi-grant nativism in Brexit-era Brit-ain.
What the Royal Bride-to-BeRepresents to Black Londoners
By ELLEN BARRY
Tshego Lengolo, 11, sees her-self in Meghan Markle.
ANDREW TESTA FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES
Continued on Page 10
The federal tax overhaul cuttaxes for millions of Americanfamilies and businesses. But thelaw also had an unintended effect:raising the state-tax bite in nearlyevery state that has an incometax.
Now, governors and state legis-lators are contending with how toadjust their own tax codes toshield their residents from payingmore or, in some cases, whether toapply any of the unexpected reve-nue windfall to other priorities in-stead.
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act,which President Trump signedinto law in December, did not di-rectly affect state budgets. It cutfederal tax rates, while alsochanging or eliminating variousexemptions and deductions thataffect tax calculations. But be-cause most state income taxes aretightly bound to the federal taxcode, the federal changes willhave big consequences for bothstate budgets and taxpayers.
“Residents of the majority ofstates would experience an unleg-islated tax increase,” said JaredWalczak, an analyst with the TaxFoundation, a conservative thinktank.
In Minnesota, the state esti-mates that residents could paymore than $400 million in addi-tional state taxes in the next fiscalyear because of the new federallaw. That has set off a fight overhow to respond. The state’s Demo-cratic governor wants to givemost of that money back to Min-nesotans through tax cuts aimedat low- and moderate-income fam-ilies; the Republican-controlledlegislature wants broader-basedtax cuts. Both sides say they must
FEDERAL TAX CUTSGIVE MANY STATESA CASH WINDFALL
DEBATE IN STATEHOUSES
Considering Whether toUse Extra Money or
Shield Residents
By BEN CASSELMAN
Continued on Page 17
NEWS ANALYSIS
WASHINGTON — Five daysbefore President Trump pulledout of what he called the “horri-ble” Iran nuclear deal, Secretaryof State Mike Pompeo told diplo-mats from Britain, France andGermany that he believed thepact could still be saved.
If Mr. Pompeo could win a fewmore days for negotiations, hetold the Europeans in a confer-ence call on May 4, there was achance — however small — thatthe two sides could bridge a gapover the agreement’s “sunsetprovisions,” under which restric-tions on Iran’s nuclear programexpire in anywhere from sevento 13 years.
By May 7, when Britain’s for-eign secretary, Boris Johnson,made the rounds in Washington,that hope had vanished. Mr.Pompeo told him that not onlyhad Mr. Trump decided to pullout of the deal brokered by hispredecessor, Barack Obama, buthe was also going to reimposethe harshest set of sanctions onIran that he could.
The frantic final days beforeMr. Trump’s announcementdemonstrate that the Iran dealremained a complicated, divisiveissue inside the White House,even after the president re-stocked his war cabinet withmore hawkish figures like Mr.Pompeo and John R. Bolton, thenew national security adviser.
How that debate unfoldedoffers an insight into the shiftingbalance of power on Mr. Trump’snational security team in hissecond year in office.
Mr. Bolton is emerging as aninfluential figure, with a clearchannel to the president and anability to control the voices hehears. Defense Secretary JimMattis, who opposed leaving thedeal but did not push the case asvocally toward the end, appears
Aides’ DivideOn Iran Bares
A Deeper RiftTrump Team at OddsOver ‘Rogue’ Nations
By MARK LANDLER
Continued on Page 9
Concern that drivers with dementia arecausing accidents has prompted Japa-nese authorities to urge older people tosurrender their licenses. PAGE 6
INTERNATIONAL 4-12
Japan’s Aging DriversA growing nationwide movement toincrease the turnout rate of formerfelons is being led by activists who haveserved time behind bars. PAGE 16
NATIONAL 16-24
Ex-Felons Get Out the VoteTim Tebow, playing for a Mets affiliate,the Binghamton Rumble Ponies, hascaused a boom in business. His perform-ance? That’s beside the point. PAGE 1
SPORTSSUNDAY
The Most Famous Rumble PonyThe nation’s housing policy for the poorcan feel like a giant lottery. With notenough subsidized housing, San Fran-cisco actually held a lottery. PAGE 1
SUNDAY BUSINESS
95 Apartments. 6,580 Apply.
U(DF47D3)W+#!}!/!#!{
Gerard Alexander PAGE 1
SUNDAY REVIEW
Printed in Chicago $6.00
Mostly cloudy north. Showers orthunderstorms. Partly cloudy south.Highs in the 60s to lower 90s. Show-ers or thunderstorms tonight. De-tails are in SportsSunday on Page 8.
National Edition
