By George Harrison ALL RIGHTS RESERVED - wdgann-lost … · When we move to Trading Methods with...

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Transcript of By George Harrison ALL RIGHTS RESERVED - wdgann-lost … · When we move to Trading Methods with...

By George Harrison

‘Increase Your Odds of Trading Success’

Is Owned By:

Mr. George R. Harrison

© 2018 Christiansted, U.S.V.I.

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Limited digital reading access is granted . No copying/printing permitted.

NOTICE: This is a Private Access document protected by contract. All owners of this manual have acknowl-

edged reading, understanding and accepting a Risk Disclaimer and Non-Disclosure Agreement. All Clients

must submit a signed Risk Disclosure, Release & Non-Disclosure Agreement before obtaining or reading this

course material.

IMPORTANT NOTICE: Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk.

You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options mar-

kets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell fu-

tures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses

similar to those discussed on our web site or this publication. The past

performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

DAYTRADING involves high risks and YOU can LOSE a lot of money. Hypothetical or simulated

performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results

do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the

“Increase Your Odds of Trading Success” © Copyright 2018 George R. Harrison

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or sold

or transmitted by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise,

without the prior written permission of the author, the publisher and the copyright owner.

George R. Harrison; 6002 Diamond Ruby, Ste. 3, PMB 437, Christiansted, 00820-5226, USVI

Trading Is Really Just A ‘Game of Chance’

Though it’s not presented as such, investing and trading are both games conducted on the playing

field of Chance.

Mathematical Probabilities are always at the foundational root of every action taken and, results can

be largely anticipated (even though they’re seldom made public!).

There are ‘elements’ or parts that make up each investor’s ‘trading equation’ and, which, when

added together yield the overall likelihood of success or failure in the long-term from our investment

and trading in the markets.

Here’s the important point: Alter any one of these trading ‘elements’ and, we’ll alter the final results

of of our actions.

What does this mean? It means that if we can INCREASE the Odds of Winning in a few of the

elements that make up the whole trading equation, then, we’ll realize Greater Profits when all is said

and done. To be profitable, we need to INCREASE the Winning percentage of our trading

methods.

It’s Not The Winners We Need To Consider . . .

All Games of Chance have ‘runs’ of winners (called good ‘Luck’ or a ‘winning streak’), and, ‘runs’ of

losers (called ‘bad Luck’ or a ‘losing streak’).

It turns out that both of these are more controllable than we’ve been led to believe.

For a truly random ‘flip of the coin’ , the odds are always 50-50 or 50% of winning or losing.

On the table below, looking at the 50% column on the left and, reading to the right column, we’ll

discover that with those 50-50 odds, we can expect, eventually, to have up to 16 Winners in a row.

However, on the flip side (of that same coin), we can also expect to have up 16 Losing trades in a

row as well, and, that is where the Success and Failure part of the ‘equation’ comes into play.

. . . It’s The Losers That Are The Problem!

As Investors, we have to control our losses as part of money-management or risk control. The ‘risk’

referred to is nothing more than that shown on the chart above. If we know how many potential

‘losers’ we may look forward to in the future, then, we can calculate how much money we’re

willing to assign to each loss in order to preserve our trading accounts. If we lost 3% of our account

on each loss, we’d eventually have a time when we’d lose almost 50% of our account in one single

losing streak!! Losing half of one’s account requires we’d have to make 100% in order to recover!

Commit This Table To Memory - It’s Critical To Know!

This brings us to the table below which is essential to understand in order to drive home the basics

of investment losses vs. gains. Note the Loss column on the left.

The Odds: How Much It Takes To Recover From A Loss

When we lose 50% as shown in the example on the page preceding, look to the right column to see

how much must be made in the future to recover from the loss in the left column. In the 50%

example, this is 100%. That’s hard to do and, a rare investment return to find. This solid math lies at

the root of all investing and trading. We can’t escape them, so, we need to work with them.

The above chart shows the table in a graphic form.

Find the loss incurred or expected on the bottom horizontal axis, then, go vertical to find the

intercept to the red curve and read on the left Vertical axis what the needed return will be to recover

from the original loss.

In the case of our previous 50% loss example, we’d go to the 50% point on the horizontal scale at

the bottom of the chart and move our fingers up vertically to the point where we intersect the red

curved line.

Then, at that point on the chart (which we see as the first vertical line), we go to the left vertical axis

scale and find that we are at the 100% point on the chart.

This shows that losing 50% of our account requires making 100% just in order to recover!

As stated earlier,100% returns on investment are rare events and difficult to achieve.

So, what is one to do?

There are two courses of action will reduce this possibility of loss happening to our own investment

or trading accounts.

* RAISE YOUR ODDS OF SUCCESS By switching to a HIGH WIN-RATIO TRADING METHOD!

* DECREASE THE LOSS PERCENTAGE PER LOSING TRADE to 1% or Less!

Here are the steps in order:

FIRST: We must increase the Odds of our trading success beyond 50%!

Sadly, many trading tools and methods have only 50% or less probabilities associated with them.

Can we do better? Most assuredly!

The G.R. Harrison Trading Collection has developed a number of VERY HIGH (85%++) WIN

PROBABILITY TRADING METHODS. Contact: [email protected]

Increase Your Odds of Winning - Increase Your Profits!

The above graphic reveals just how dramatic the number of winning trades in a row become when

one increases the Win-Ratio of their Trading Method.

The above table gives an even greater insight into just dramatic the changes can be to the positive

when we increase our Win Rate using a new Trading Method.

Here, the yellow represents losing trades for each Win Rate from 5% to 95%.

Here’s how to read it:

Let’s start with our original example of a ‘coin-toss’ percentage of 50-50 or 50%.

First, we find the 50% odds on the left column.

Secondly, we follow that horizontal percentage line to the right to see how many yellow-filled boxes

there are. These represent 100% odds of losing trades in a row.

For the 50% odds line, this shows that there are 100% odds of losing 7 times in a row. Also, the next

box shows a 98% loss probability as well.

Essentially, then, there are virtually 100% odds of throwing 8 heads, tails or having losing or winning

trades in a row over time (in this case 1000 trades were used as the total run).

Longer runs of losing trades become possible over a longer sequence of trades (that’s where the 16

losing trades shown previously came from).

It becomes clear then, that in order to become more consistently successful, we must INCREASE

OUR WINNING ODDS!

Now, let’s see what we can accomplish when we take advantage of HIGH WIN RATE

TECHNIQUES. These may be obtained at: www.wdgann-lost-secrets.com

When we move to Trading Methods with 85%++ Win Probabilities (like those within the G.R. Harri-

son Collection mentioned above), we transition into an entirely new world of profit opportunity.

Go to the 85% Win Rate column on the left and, note when going to the right along that probability

line that we now encounter not 7 yellow boxes, but, only 2 with 100% loss probabilities.

The non-colored box following is at 97%, so, only 3 losing trades in a row are the norm and not 8 as

before at the 50% Win Rate level.

The 90% Win Rate column provides the same low number (with the 3rd non-colored box at only 63%

instead of 97%).

Essentially then, with High Win Rate Trading Methods, we can expected fewer losses in a row which

greatly aids the bottom line.

Keeping ones loss percentages very low (1% and under) is equivalent to increasing our Win Rate as

we’re reducing our needed exposure to market risk in order to recoup losses.

The more exposure to the markets, the greater the risk of losses as well as winners. So, we need to

keep losses as small as possible and let winners grow as much as possible. That’s the winning

balance.

So, there you have it.

A solid foundation to the game of chance called ‘investing’ and, that previously elusive thing called

‘Luck’.

The odds are great that no one ever explained this critical factors to you before.

Better now, though, that never.

And, there’s great news here for all investors or traders.

It turns out that you can improve your ‘Luck’ after all, but, only if you’re willing to take steps to place

yourself in the special, very small group of investors who want to control their lives instead of being

controlled by fuzzy circumstances ‘beyond their control’.

You now know that there is control available, but, you’re the one who must exercise it for yourself.

Improving your Trading Odds of Success is the way to do it as is controlling the losses you’ll accept.

I encourage you to sign up for our ‘Instant Semester’ Learning Program where you’ll be able to

gather 3 or more ‘core’, High Win Rate Trading Methods which will propel you into the realm of 85%

Win Odds AND BETTER!

We offer 4 Semester Levels:

• Semester ‘1’ Level: 3 Core, High Win Rate Trading Methods selected from our Collection for

one, low-cost tuition fee.

• Semester ‘2’ Level: 5 Core/Confirming, High Win Rate Trading Methods. One, low-cost tuition

fee.

• Semester ‘3’ Level: The Harrison-Gann Master Course; 12-Modules plus Excalibur Course

• Semester ‘4 Level: ALL our publications & courses for one single tuition charge.

Contact [email protected] or go to: www.WDGann-Lost-Secrets.com