Business Stats Basic

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    Business statistics

    Session 1

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    Learning Objectives

    Define statistics.

    Become aware of a wide range ofapplications of statistics in business.

    Differentiate between descriptive andinferential statistics.

    Classify numbers by level of data andunderstand why doing so is important whydoing so is important .

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    Statistics in Business

    Accounting auditing and cost estimation

    Economics regional, national, and international economicperformance

    Finance investments and portfolio management

    Management human resources, compensation, andquality management

    Management Information Systems performance ofsystems which gather, summarize, and disseminateinformation to various managerial levels

    Marketing market analysis and consumer research

    International Business market and demographic analysis

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    What is Statistics?

    Science of gathering, analyzing,interpreting, and presenting data onvarious topics

    Branch of mathematics Course of study

    Facts and figures

    Measurement taken on a sample Type of distribution being used to analyze

    data

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    Statistics in Business

    Statistics science dealing with thecollection, analysis, interpretation, andpresentation of numerical data

    Branches of statistics Descriptive using data gathered on a group

    to describe or reach conclusions about thegroup.

    Inferential data gathered from a sample and

    used to reach conclusions about the populationfrom which the data was gathered

    Used to draw conclusions about the group orsimilar groups

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    Population

    Population of cars

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    Population and Census Data

    Identifier Color MPG

    RD1 Red 12

    RD2 Red 10

    RD3 Red 13RD4 Red 10

    RD5 Red 13

    BL1 Blue 27

    BL2 Blue 24

    GR1 Green 35

    GR2 Green 35

    GY1 Gray 15

    GY2 Gray 18

    GY3 Gray 17

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    Sample and Sample Data

    Sample of cars

    Identifier Color MPG

    RD2 Red 10

    RD5 Red 13

    GR1 Green 35

    GY2 Gray 18

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    Parameter vs. Statistic

    Parameter descriptivemeasure of the population

    Usually represented by Greekletters

    Statistic descriptive measure

    of a sample Usually represented by Roman

    letters

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    Symbols for Population Parameters

    Most commonly used symbols are:

    parameterpopulationdenotes2

    denotes population variance

    denotes population standard deviatio

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    Symbols for Sample Statistics

    meansampledenotesx2

    S denotes sample variance

    Sdenotes sample standard deviatio

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    Process of Inferential Statistics

    )(parameter

    Population1.

    )(statistic

    xSample3.

    estimateto

    xCalculate4.

    samplerandom

    aSelect2.

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    Statistics in Business

    Difference between a parameter andstatistic is only important in the useof inferential statistics

    Calculations of parameter can be costprohibitive

    When cost prohibitive, a sample calculatesappropriate statistics.

    Researchers use the calculation as anestimate of the parameter.

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    Levels of Data Measurement

    Nominal In nominal measurementthe numerical values just "name" theattribute uniquely.

    No ordering of the cases is implied. Forexample, jersey numbers in basketballare measures at the nominal level.

    A player with number 30 is not more of

    anything than a player with number 15,and is certainly not twice whatevernumber 15 is.

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    Levels of Data Measurement

    Ordinal - A variable is ordinalmeasurable if ranking is possible forvalues of the variable.

    For example, a gold medal reflectssuperior performance to a silver orbronze medal in the Olympics, or youmay prefer French toast to waffles, andwaffles to oat bran muffins.

    First, Second are ordinalmeasurements.

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    Levels of Data Measurement

    Ratio in ratio measurement there isalways an absolute zero that ismeaningful.

    This means that you can construct ameaningful fraction (or ratio ) with aratio variable.

    In applied social research most "count"

    variables are ratio, for example, thenumber of clients in past six months.

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    Nominal Level Data

    Numbers are used to classify orcategorize

    Example: Employment Classification

    1 for Educator

    2 for Construction Worker

    3 for Manufacturing Worker

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    Ordinal Level Data

    Numbers are used to indicate rank or order Relative magnitude of numbers is meaningful Differences between numbers are not

    comparable

    Example: Ranking productivity ofemployeesExample: Position within an organization 1 for President 2 for Vice President 3 for Plant Manager 4 for Department Supervisor 5 for Employee

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    Ordinal Data

    Faculty and staff should receivepreferential treatment for parkingspace.

    1 2 3 4 5

    StronglyAgree

    Agree StronglyDisagree

    DisagreeNeutral

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    Interval Level Data

    Interval Level data - Distances betweenconsecutive integers are equal Relative magnitude of numbers is meaningful

    Differences between numbers are comparable

    Location of origin, zero, is arbitrary

    Vertical intercept of unit of measure transformfunction is not zero (Y=b+aX).

    Example: Fahrenheit Temperature=32+9/5Centigrade

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    Ratio Level Data

    Highest level of measurement

    Relative magnitude of numbers is meaningful

    Differences between numbers are comparable

    Location of origin, zero, is absolute (natural)

    Vertical intercept of unit of measure transformfunction is zero (Y=aX).

    Statistician can create ratios with data.

    Examples: Height, Weight, and Volume

    Example: Monetary Variables, such as Profit andLoss, Revenues, Expenses, Financial ratios - such asP/E Ratio, Inventory Turnover, and Quick Ratio.

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    Categories of statistical techniques

    Parametric statistics requires that the databe interval or ratio(metric data orquantitative).

    Non Parametric used if data are nominal orordinal(nonmetric or qualitative)

    Non parametric statistics can be used toanalyze interval or ratio data.

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    Data Level, Operations, andStatistical Methods

    Data Level Meaningful OperationsStatisticalMethods

    Nominal

    Ordinal

    Interval

    Ratio

    Classifying and counting

    All of the above plus ranking

    All of the above plus addition,subtraction, multiplication

    and division

    Almost all operations

    Nonparametric

    Nonparametric

    Parametric

    Parametric

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    Part II:Charts and Graphs

    Learning Objectives

    Recognize the difference between

    grouped and ungrouped data Construct a frequency distribution

    Construct a histogram, a frequencypolygon, an ogive, a pie chart, a stemand leaf plot and a scatter plot

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    Ungrouped Versus Grouped Data

    Ungrouped data

    have not been summarized in any way

    are also called raw data

    Grouped data

    have been organized into a frequencydistribution

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    Example of Ungrouped Data

    42

    30

    53

    50

    52

    30

    55

    49

    61

    74

    26

    58

    40

    40

    28

    36

    30

    33

    31

    37

    32

    37

    30

    32

    23

    32

    58

    43

    30

    29

    34

    50

    47

    31

    35

    26

    64

    46

    40

    43

    57

    30

    49

    40

    25

    50

    52

    32

    60

    54

    Ages of a Sample of

    Managers from

    Urban Child Care

    Centers in the

    United States

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    Frequency Distribution

    Frequency Distribution summary ofdata presented in the form of classintervals and frequencies

    Vary in shape and design

    Constructed according to the individualresearcher's preferences

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    Frequency Distribution

    Steps in Frequency Distribution Step 1 - Determine range of frequency

    distribution

    Range is the difference between the high and

    the lowest numbers Step 2 determine the number of classes

    Dont use too many, or two few classes

    Step 3 Determine the width of the classinterval

    Approx class width can be calculated bydividing the range by the number of classes.

    Values fit into only one class

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    Frequency Distribution of ChildCare Managers Ages

    Class Interval Frequency

    20-under 30 6

    30-under 40 18

    40-under 50 11

    50-under 60 11

    60-under 70 3

    70-under 80 1

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    Data Range

    42

    30

    53

    50

    52

    30

    55

    49

    61

    74

    26

    58

    40

    40

    28

    36

    30

    33

    31

    37

    32

    37

    30

    32

    23

    32

    58

    43

    30

    29

    34

    50

    47

    31

    35

    26

    64

    46

    40

    43

    57

    30

    49

    40

    25

    50

    52

    32

    60

    54

    Range = Largest - Smallest

    = 74 - 23

    = 51

    smallest

    Largest

    Smallest

    largest

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    Number of Classes and Class Width

    The number of classes should be between 5 and 15.

    Fewer than 5 classes cause excessive summarization.

    More than 15 classes leave too much detail.

    Class Width Divide the range by the number of classes for an

    approximate class width

    Round up to a convenient number

    10=WidthClass

    8.5=6

    51=WidthClasseApproximat

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    Class Midpoint

    The midpoint of each class interval is called theclass midpoint or the class mark.

    Class Midpoint =beginning class endpoint + ending class endpoint

    2

    =30 + 40

    2

    = 35

    Class Midpoint = class beginning point +1

    2class width

    = 30 +1

    210

    = 35

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    Relative Frequency The relative frequency is the proportion of the total frequency

    in any given class interval in a frequency distribution.

    18

    50

    RelativeClass Interval Frequency Frequency

    20-under 30 6 .12

    30-under 40 18 .36

    40-under 50 11 .22

    50-under 60 11 .22

    60-under 70 3 .06

    70-under 80 1 .02

    Total 50 1.00

    6

    50

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    Cumulative Frequency

    The cumulative frequency is a running total offrequencies through the classes of a frequencydistribution.

    Class Interval Frequency Cumulative Freq0-under 30 6 6

    30-under 40 18 24

    40-under 50 11 35

    50-under 60 11 46

    60-under 70 3 4970-under 80 1 50

    Total 50

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    Relative Frequency

    Relative frequency is the proportion of thetotal frequency that is in any given classinterval in a frequency distribution

    Relative frequency = individual class frequencydivided by the total frequency

    Example => Frequency/Total = 16/40 =.40

    Probability of occurrence

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    Cumulative Frequency

    Cumulative frequency the runningtotal of frequencies through theclasses of a frequency distribution

    Cumulative frequency for each class isthe frequency for that class intervaladded to the preceding cumulative total

    At the last interval, the cumulative totalequals the sum of the frequencies

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    Class Midpoints, Relative Frequencies,and Cumulative Frequencies

    Class Interval Frequency Midpoint Relative freq Cum.freq

    20-under 30 6 25 .12 630-under 40 18 35 .36 24

    40-under 50 11 45 .22 35

    50-under 60 11 55 .22 46

    60-under 70 3 65 .06 49

    70-under 80 1 75 .02 50

    Total 50 1.00

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    Common Statistical Graphs

    Stem and Leaf Plot -- display is a graphical methodof displaying data. It is particularly useful when yourdata are not too numerous.

    Scatter Plot-- type of display using Cartesiancoordinates todisplay values for two variables for a set of data.

    The data is displayed as a collection of points, each having thevalue of one variable determining the position on the horizontalaxis and the value of the other variable determining theposition on the vertical axis.A scatter plot is also called a scatter chart, scatter diagram

    and scatter graph.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cartesian_coordinateshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cartesian_coordinates
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    Histogram

    Class Interval Frequency

    20-under 30 6

    30-under 40 18

    40-under 50 11

    50-under 60 11

    60-under 70 3

    70-under 80 1

    0

    10

    20

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

    Years

    Frequency

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    Histogram Construction

    Class Interval Frequency

    20-under 30 6

    30-under 40 18

    40-under 50 11

    50-under 60 11

    60-under 70 3

    70-under 80 1

    0

    10

    20

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

    Years

    Frequency

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    Frequency Polygon

    Class Interval Frequency

    20-under 30 6

    30-under 40 18

    40-under 50 11

    50-under 60 11

    60-under 70 3

    70-under 80 1

    0

    10

    20

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

    Years

    Frequency

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    Ogive

    Cumulative

    Class Interval Frequency20-under 30 630-under 40 2440-under 50 35

    50-under 60 4660-under 70 4970-under 80 50

    0

    20

    40

    60

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

    Years

    Frequenc

    y

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    Complaints by Amtrak Passengers

    COMPLAINT NUMBE

    R

    PROPORTION DEGREES

    Stations, etc. 28,000 .40 144.0

    TrainPerformance

    14,700 .21 75.6

    Equipment 10,500 .15 50.4

    Personnel 9,800 .14 50.6

    Schedules,

    etc.

    7,000 .10 36.0

    Total 70,000 1.00 360.0

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    Complaints by Amtrak Passengers

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    Second Quarter U.S. TruckProduction

    Second Quarter TruckProduction in the U.S.(Hypothetical values)

    2dQuarterTruck

    Production

    Company

    A

    B

    C

    D

    E

    Totals

    357,411

    354,936

    160,997

    34,099

    12,747

    920,190

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    Second Quarter U.S. TruckProduction

    39%

    17%

    4%1%

    39%

    A B C D E

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    Pie Chart Calculations for CompanyA

    2d QuarterTruck

    ProductionProportion DegreesCompany

    A

    B

    C

    D

    E

    Totals

    357,411

    354,936

    160,997

    34,099

    12,747

    920,190

    .388

    .386

    .175

    .037

    .014

    1.000

    140

    139

    63

    13

    5

    360

    357,11/920,190

    .388*360

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    Safety Examination Scoresfor Plant Trainees

    86

    76

    23

    77

    81

    79

    68

    77

    92

    59

    68

    75

    83

    49

    91

    47

    72

    82

    74

    70

    56

    60

    88

    75

    97

    39

    78

    94

    55

    67

    83

    89

    67

    91

    81

    Raw Data

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    Construction of Stem and Leaf Plot

    86

    76

    23

    77

    81

    79

    68

    77

    92

    59

    68

    75

    83

    49

    91

    47

    72

    82

    74

    70

    56

    60

    88

    75

    97

    39

    78

    94

    55

    67

    83

    89

    67

    91

    81

    Raw Data

    Stem

    Stem

    Leaf

    Leaf

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    3

    9

    7 9

    5 6 9

    0 7 7 8 8

    0 2 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 9

    1 1 2 3 3 6 8 9

    1 1 2 4 7

    Stem Leaf

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    Scatter Plot

    RegisteredVehicles

    (1000's)

    Gasoline Sales(1000's of

    Gallons)

    5 60

    15 120

    9 90

    15 140

    7 60

    0

    100

    200

    0 5 10 15 20Registered Vehicles

    GasolineSales

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