Business Information PLICIT · Economics Department Renngasse 2 A-1010 Vienna Austria Tel. +43 (0)...

CEE Economic DataOutlook for 2004Issue 2

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Economics Department

Renngasse 2A-1010 ViennaAustria

Tel. +43 (0) 50505-41952Fax +43 (0) 50505-41050e-mail: [email protected]

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CONTENTS

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bulgaria

Croatia

Czech Republic

Estonia

Hungary

Latvia

Lithuania

Poland

Romania

Russia

Serbia and Montenegro

Slovakia

Slovenia

Ukraine

Bosna i Hercegovina

±êÛÓÐàØï

Hrvatska

Ceská republika

Eesti

Magyarország

Latvija

Lietuva

Polska

Romania

ÀÞááØï

Srbija i Crna Gora

Slovensko

Slovenija

ÃÚàÐ÷ÝÐ

ˇ

^

ˇ

Structural IndicatorsStrukturni pokazatelji

51,129

3.9

Dragon âovic, Borislav Paravac,Sulejman Tihic

Adnan Terzic

5.6

1,470

28.2

HVB BANK FRA ANDELA ZVIZDOVICA 1/18BA-71000 SARAJEVOBOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

Gross domestic product by economic sectorsBruto nacionalni prozvod po privrednim sektorima

TEL. (+387 33) 250 900FAX (+387 33) 250 921

PovrÂina (km2)

StanovniÂtvo (u milionima)

Predsjednik

Premijer

BDP (za 2002. godinu, u milijardama EUR)

BDP po glavi stanovnika (BDP za 2002. godinu, u EUR)

Izvoz u % BDP-a (2002)

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2002 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2002 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2002)

4

Agriculture and forestry Poljoprivreda i Âumarstvo 13.0

Industry Industrija 32.7

Construction Gradevinarstvo 8.2

Services Usluge 46.1

´

´´

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

5.4 4.5 3.8 3.3 4.5

8.8 12.2 9.2 – –

5.3 –12.9 –2.5 – –

1.9 1.9 –0.2 1.0 1.5

14.0 7.0 1.7 1.2 2.0

–9.9 –5.8 –4.0 –2.2 –3.0

1,248 1,304 1,072 1,180 1,350

4,132 4,371 4,171 3,710 3,830

–26.3 –31.2 –39.8 –23.1 –18.4

158 145 299 290 340

64.5 53.2 47.2 46.1 44.5

1.96 1.96 1.96 – –

2.12 2.19 2.07 – –

13.9 89.3 7.0 – –

IndicatorsPokazatelji

BOSNA I HERCEGOVINA

Realni BDP (realni bruto nacionalni proizvod)

Industrijska proizvodnja (realna) Federacija

Industrijska proizvodnja (realna) Republika Srpska

PotroÂaãke cijene Federacija (godiÂnji prosjek)

PotroÂaãke cijene Republika Srpska (godiÂnji prosjek)

BudÏetska ravnoteÏa (u % BDP-a)

Izvoz robe (u mil. EUR)

Uvoz robe (u mil. EUR)

Platni bilans (u % BDP-a)

Direktne strane investicije (neto priliv u mil. EUR)

Bruto inostrani dug (u % BDP-a)

BAM/EUR (godiÂnji prosjek)

BAM/USD (godiÂnji prosjek)

Monetarni agregat M2 (u odnosu naprethodnu godinu, u %)

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %) Federation

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %) RS

Consumer prices (yearly average) Federation

Consumer prices (yearly average) RS

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, net in EUR mn)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate : BAM/EUR

Average exchange rate : BAM/USD

Monetary aggregate M2 (yoy, in %)

5

COMMERCIAL BANKBIOCHIM PLC.1, IVAN VAZOV STR.BG-1026 SOFIABULGARIA

BULGARIA

TEL. (+359 2) 9269 210FAX (+359 2) 9269 440

Agriculture and forestry ÁÕÛáÚÞ Ø ÓÞàáÚÞ áâÞßÐÝáâÒÞ 12.5

Industry ¿àÞÜØèÛÕÝÞáâ 27.8

Services ÃáÛãÓØ 59.7

6

Structural IndicatorsÁâàãÚâãàÝØ ØÝÔØÚÐâÞàØ

110,994

7.8

Georgi Parwanow

Simeon Sakskoburggotski

16.6

2,110

53.2

Gross domestic product by economic sectors±àãâÕÝ ÒêâàÕèÕÝ ßàÞÔãÚâ ßÞ ÞâàÐáßØ

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




¿ÛÞé (ÚÒ.ÚÜ)

½ÐáÕÛÕÝØÕ Ò ÜÛÝ.

¿àÕ×ØÔÕÝâ

¼ØÝØáâêà-ßàÕÔáÕÔÐâÕÛ

±²¿ (2002, Ò µÒàÞ. é.Ô.)

±²¿ ÝÐ çÞÒÕÚ Þâ ÝÐáÕÛÕÝØÕâÞ(2002, Ò µÒàÞ)

¸×ÝÞá Ò % Þâ ±²¿ (2002)

±êÛÓÐàØï

7

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

5.8 4.0 4.8 4.3 4.7

10.6 4.1 3.5 6.0 7.0

15.4 23.3 9.3 15.3 14.0

10.3 7.4 5.8 2.5 3.8

18.1 17.5 17.4 15.0 14.0

–1.1 –0.9 –0.8 –0.8 –0.7

5,220 5,706 6,012 6,700 7,500

6,492 7,470 7,695 8,900 9,800

–5.9 –6.2 –4.4 –6.1 –4.7

1,084 907 510 900 770

93.4 78.1 70.1 61.7 60.0

1.96 1.96 1.96 – –

2.12 2.18 2.08 – –

28.8 26.0 12.2 – –

5.1 4.7 3.3 – –

Indicators¸ÝÔØÚÐâÞàØ


Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment (yearly average)







Average exchange rate: BGN/EUR

Average exchange rate: BGN/USD


3-month yield on government bonds (end of period, in %)

ÀÕÐÛÕÝ ±²¿ (áßàïÜÞ ßàÕÔxÞÔÝÐâÐ ÓÞÔØÝÐ, Ò %)

¿àÞÜØèÛÕÝÞ ßàÞØ×ÒÞÔáâÒÞ (áßàïÜÞ ßàÕÔxÞÔÝÐâÐ ÓÞÔØÝÐ, Ò %)

±àãâÝØ ØÝÒÕáâØæØØ (áßàïÜÞ ßàÕÔxÞÔÝÐâÐ ÓÞÔØÝÐ, Ò %)

¸ÝÔÕÚá ÝÐ ßÞâàÕÑØâÕÛáÚØâÕ æÕÝØ (áàÕÔÝÞ ÓÞÔØèÝÞ)

±Õ×àÐÑÞâØæÐ (áàÕÔÝÞ ÓÞÔØèÝÞ)

±îÔÖÕâÕÝ ÔÕäØæØâ (Ò % Þâ ±²¿)

ÁâÞÚÞÒ Ø×ÝÞá (Ò µÒàÞ é.Ô.)

ÁâÞÚÞÒ ÒÝÞá (Ò µÒàÞ é.Ô.)

ÂÕÚãéÐ áÜÕâÚÐ (Ò % Þâ ±²¿)

ÇãÖÔÕáâàÐÝÝØ ÔØàÕÚâÝØ ØÝÒÕáâØæØØ(ßàØâÞÚ, ÝÕâÝÞ Ò µÒàÞ é.Ô.)

±àãâÕÝ ÒêÝèÕÝ ÔêÛÓ (Ò % Þâ ±²¿)

ÁàÕÔÕÝ ÒÐÛãâÕÝ Úãàá: BGN/EUR

ÁàÕÔÕÝ ÒÐÛãâÕÝ Úãàá: BGN/USD

¿ÐàØçÕÝ ÐÓàÕÓÐâ ¼2 (áßàïÜÞ ßàÕÔxÞÔÝÐâÐ ÓÞÔØÝÐ, Ò %)

´ÞxÞÔÝÞáâ ßÞ 3-ÜÕáÕçÝØ áêÚàÞÒØéÝØ ÑÞÝÞÒÕ (Ò ÚàÐï ÝÐ ßÕàØÞÔÐ, Ò %)

Structural IndicatorsStrukturni pokazatelji

56,542

4.4

Stjepan Mesic

Ivica Raãan

23.8

5,410

47.0

CROATIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectorsBruto domaci proizvod po djelatnostima



Construction Gradevinarstvo 5.3


Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




8

SPLITSKA BANKAR. BOSKOVICA 16HR-21000 SPLITCROATIA

TEL. (+385 21) 304 304FAX (+385 21) 304 034

¯

PovrÂina (km2)

StanovniÂtvo u mio

Predsjednik republike

Predsjednik vlade

BDP (2002. u mld EUR)

BDP po glavi stanovnika (2002. u EUR)

Izvoz u % BDP (2002)

´

´

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

2.9 3.8 5.2 4.5 3.5

1.7 6.0 5.4 5.0 4.2

–3.5 9.7 10.1 14.0 5.0

6.2 4.9 2.2 1.5 2.5

21.5 22.3 22.5 19.5 19.0

–6.3 –6.5 –5.2 –4.6 –4.5

4,941 5,311 5,279 5,500 5,700

8,444 9,888 10,859 12,200 12,100

–2.5 –3.7 –7.1 –6.9 –5.6

1,178 1,740 1,036 1,360 1,080

59.9 57.9 68.2 71.7 71.0

7.64 7.47 7.41 – –

8.27 8.34 7.86 – –

30.7 31.1 33.0 – –

6.7 4.9 – – –

IndicatorsPokazatelji

HRVATSKA

9












Average exchange rate: HRK/EUR

Average exchange rate: HRK/USD



Realni BDP (u odnosu na prethodnu godinu, u %)

Industrijska proizvodnja (realno, u odnosu na prethodnu godinu, u %)

Investicije u osnovna sredstva (realno, u odnosu na prethodnu godinu, u %)

TroÂkovi Ïivota (godiÂnji prosjek)

Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosjek)

Proraãunska ravnoteÏa (u % BDP)

Izvoz robe (u mio EUR)

Uvoz robe (u mio EUR)

Tekuci raãun (u % BDP)

Izravna inozemna ulaganja (neto priljev, u mio EUR)

Bruto inozemni dug (u % BDP)

Prosjeãni devizni teãaj: HRK/EUR

Prosjeãni devizni teãaj: HRK/USD

Monetarni agregat M2 (u odnosu na prethodnu godinu, u %)

Tromjeseãna dobit od drÏavnih obveznica (kraj razdoblja, u %)

´

Address

SPLITSKA BANKA /CROATIAR. BOSKOVICA 16HR-21000 SPLIT

CROATIATEL. (+385 21) 312 777FAX (+385 21) 312 586

Structural IndicatorsStrukturální ukazatele

78,866

10.3

Václav Klaus

Vladimir Spidla

73.8

7,200

65.2

CZECH REPUBLIC

Gross domestic product by economic sectorsHrub˘ domácí produkt podle hospodáfisk˘ch sektorÛ

Agriculture and forestry Zemûdûlství a lesnictví 3.8

Industry PrÛmysl 31.6

Construction Stavebnictví 6.8

Services SluÏby 57.8

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




10

HVB BANK NAM. REPUBLIKY 3ACZ-110 00 PRAHA 1CZECH REPUBLIC

TEL. (+420) 221 112 111 FAX (+420) 221 112 132

Rozloha (km2)

Poãet obyvatel v mil.

Prezident

Pfiedseda vlády

HDP (2002, v mld. EUR)

HDP na jednoho obyvatele (2002, v EUR)

V˘voz v % HDP (2002)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

3.3 3.1 2.0 2.8 3.1

5.1 6.8 4.8 5.5 5.0

5.3 5.5 0.6 2.3 4.0

3.9 4.7 1.8 0.2 2.9

9.0 8.5 9.2 10.0 10.0

–4.4 –5.1 –6.7 –6.2 –5.5

31,430 37,267 40,600 41,900 46,400

34,816 40,690 43,000 44,100 48,400

–5.3 –5.8 –5.3 –4.9 –4.7

5,346 5,387 8,739 3,930 4,360

41.6 39.4 37.6 34.4 32.6

35.7 34.1 30.8 – –

38.6 38.0 32.6 – –

6.5 11.1 3.7 – –

5.4 4.6 2.6 – –

IndicatorsUkazatele

CESKÁ REPUBLIKA












Average exchange rate: CZK/EUR

Average exchange rate: CZK/USD



11

Reáln˘ HDP (meziroãní rÛst, v %)

PrÛmyslová v˘roba (reálná, meziroãní rÛst, v %)

Tvorba hrubého fixního kapitálu (reálná, meziroãní rÛst, v %)

Spotfiebitelské ceny (roãní prÛmûr)

Nezamûstnanost (roãní prÛmûr)

Bilance rozpoãtu (v % HDP)

V˘voz zboÏí (v mil. EUR)

Dovoz zboÏí (v mil. EUR)

BûÏn˘ úãet (v % HDP)

Pfiímé zahraniãní investice (vstupy, ãistá vyÂe v mil. EUR)

Hrubá zahraniãní zadluÏenost (v % HDP)

PrÛmûrn˘ smûnn˘ kurz: Kã/EUR

PrÛmûrn˘ smûnn˘ kurz: Kã/USD

PenûÏní agregát M2 (meziroãní rÛst, v %)

3-mûsíãní v˘nos z vládních dluhopisÛ(konec lhÛty, v %)

ˇ

Structural IndicatorsStruktuurilised tegurid

45,227

1.4

Arnold Rüütel

Juhan Parts

6.9

5,080

84.2

ESTONIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectorsRKP majandussektorite lõikes

Agriculture and forestry Põllumajandus ja metsandus 6.5

Industry Majandusharu 21.8

Construction Ehitus 6.4

Services Teenindus 65.3

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




12

VEREINS- UND WESTBANKREPRESENTATIVE OFFICE FOR ESTONIAPÄRNU MNT. 15/TATARI 2EST-10141 TALLINN, ESTONIA

TEL. (+372) 668 4660FAX (+372) 668 4661

Pindala (km2)

Rahvastik, mln

President

Peaminister

Rahvuslik koguprodukt (RKP) (2002 a. mlr EUR)

Rahvuslik koguprodukt (RKP) elaniku kohta (2002 a. EUR-es)

Eksport % RKP (2002)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

7.3 6.5 6.0 4.5 5.0

14.6 8.9 4.6 8.0 8.5

13.3 12.2 16.1 15.0 16.0

4.0 5.8 3.6 1.5 3.0

13.6 12.6 10.3 10.5 10.0

–0.7 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.2

3,601 3,750 3,713 3,830 4,030

4,441 4,630 4,878 5,240 5,560

–5.8 –6.0 –12.3 –15.3 –11.9

358 383 198 510 390

57.9 58.9 65.0 69.8 71.0

15.65 15.65 15.65 – –

16.98 17.48 16.60 – –

26.5 21.1 17.0 – –

5.6 3.7 3.5 – –

IndicatorsTegurid

EESTI












Average exchange rate: EEK/EUR

Average exchange rate: EEK/USD



13

Reaalne RKP (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Majandustoodang (tegelik, võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Bruto põhikapital (tegelik, võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Tarbija hinnad (aasta keskmine)

Töötus (aasta keskmine)

Eelarve bilanss (% RKP)

Kauba eksport (EUR mln)

Kauba import (EUR mln)

Jooksev maksebilanss (% RKP)

Välismaised otseinvesteeringud (neto mln EUR)

Brutto välisvõlg (% RKP)

Keskmine vahetuskurss: EEK/EUR

Keskmine vahetuskurss: EEK/USD

Raha ringlus (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Riigi obligatsioonide kolme kuu tootlus(perioodi lõpp, %)

Structural IndicatorsAlapadatok

93,033

10.1

Ferenc Mádl

Péter Medgyessy

69.9

6,920

64.5

HUNGARY

Gross domestic product by economic sectorsBruttó hazai össztermék hozzáadott értéke

Agriculture and forestry Mezogazdaság és erdogazdálkodás 4.2

Industry Ipar 31.4

Construction Építoipar 5.2

Services Szolgáltatások 59.2

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




14

HVB BANK HUNGARY RT.AKADÉMIA UTCA 17.H-1054 BUDAPESTHUNGARY

TEL. (+36 1) 269 0812FAX (+36 1) 353 4959

´́

´́´́

´́ ´́

Terület (km2)

Népesség (millió)

Köztársasági elnök

Miniszterelnök

Bruttó hazai össztermék (2002, mrd EUR)

Egy fore eso bruttó hazai össztermék(2002, EUR)

Kivitel a GDP %-ában (2002)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

5.2 3.8 3.3 3.0 3.0

18.1 3.6 2.8 5.0 6.0

6.6 3.1 5.8 3.0 4.0

9.8 9.2 5.3 4.5 6.1

6.4 5.7 5.8 6.0 5.9

–3.4 –3.3 –9.9 –5.5 –4.0

27,988 31,346 36,821 37,200 39,500

29,904 33,611 39,024 40,800 43,000

–6.2 –3.4 –4.0 –5.9 –5.3

214 810 891 400 900

64.3 64.8 55.2 58.0 59.2

260.1 256.7 243.0 – –

282.4 286.5 258.0 – –

12.7 17.2 13.8 – –

11.6 9.8 7.9 – –

IndicatorsGazdasági mutatók

MAGYARORSZÁG












Average exchange rate: HUF/EUR

Average exchange rate: HUF/USD



15

Reál bruttó hazai össztermék (év/év, %)

Ipari termelés (reál, év/év, %)

Bruttó felhalmozás (reál, év/év, %)

Fogyasztói árindex (éves átlag)

Munkanélküliségi ráta (éves átlag)

Költségvetési egyenleg (a GDP %-ában)

Áruexport (millió EUR)

Áruimport (millió EUR)

Folyó fizetési mérleg egyenlege (a GDP %-ában)

Külföldi muködotoke (beáramlás, nettó, millió EUR)

Bruttó külföldi adósság (a GDP %-ában)

Átlagos árfolyam: HUF/EUR

Átlagos árfolyam: HUF/USD

M2 monetáris aggregátum változása (év/év, %)

3 hónapos államkötvény hozama (a periódus végén %)

´́ ´́ ´́

Structural IndicatorsStrukturas radıtaji

64,589

2.3

Vaira Vike–Freiberga

Einars Repse

8.9

3,800

45.1

LATVIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectorsIKP pa sektoriem

Agriculture and forestry Lauksaimniecıba un meÏsaimniecıba 4.8

Industry Rupniecıba 18.5

Construction Celtniecıba 6.1

Services Pakalpojumi 70.6

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




16

A/S VEREINSBANK RIGAELIZABETES STR. 63LV-1050 RIGALATVIA

TEL. (+371) 708 5500FAX (+371) 708 5507

¯Platıba (km2)

Iedzıvotaju skaits, milj.

Prezidente

Premjerministrs

IKP (2002, miljardos EUR)

IKP uz vienu iedzıvotaju (2002, EUR)

Eksports % no IKP (2002)

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯

¯ ¯¯ ¯

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

6.8 7.9 6.1 6.2 6.4

3.2 6.9 5.8 6.3 6.7

20.0 17.0 7.6 8.3 9.0

2.6 2.5 1.9 2.9 3.2

14.4 13.1 12.4 11.5 11.0

–2.8 –2.1 –2.5 –2.8 –3.0

2,229 2,472 2,676 2,903 3,110

3,379 3,980 4,202 4,435 4,690

–6.9 –9.6 –7.6 –8.8 –8.2

434 169 461 435 446

65.7 72.8 75.5 74.0 71.4

0.56 0.56 0.58 – –

0.61 0.63 0.62 – –

21.0 23.2 20.7 – –

4.1 5.8 5.8 – –

IndicatorsRadıtaji

LATVIJA












Average exchange rate: LVL/EUR

Average exchange rate: LVL/USD



17

Realais IKP (salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

Rupniecıbas produkcija (reala, salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

Kopeja pamatkapitala veidoÂanas(reala, salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

Paterina cenas (gada videjas)

Bezdarbs (gada videjais)

BudÏeta atlikums (% no IKP)

Preãu eksports (milj. EUR)

Preãu imports (milj. EUR)

TekoÂais konts (% no IKP)

Arvalstu tieÂas investıcijas (iepludums, neto milj. EUR)

Kopejais arejais parads (% no IKP)

Videjais valutas mainas kurss: LVL /EUR

Videjais valutas mainas kurss: LVL /USD

Naudas lıdzeklu kopums M2 (salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

3 meneÂu valsts paradzımju ienesıgums (perioda beigas, %)

¯

¯¯ ¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯ ¯ ¯ ¯

¯ ¯ ¯ ¯

¯

¯ ¯ ¯¸

¯ ¯ ¸

¯ ¯ ¸

¯ ¯ ¯ ¯¯

¯¯

¯¸

¯ ¯ ¯

Structural IndicatorsBendrieji rodikliai

65,200

3.5

Rolandas Paksas

Algirdas Brazauskas

14.7

4,240

53.9

LITHUANIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectorsBendras vidaus produktas pagal ekonominius sektorius

Agriculture and forestry ˚emes ukis ir miÂkininkyste 7.7

Industry Pramone 23.6

Construction Statyba 6.5

Services Paslaugos 62.2

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




18

VEREINS- UND WESTBANK AGVILNIUS BRANCHVILNIAUS STR. 35/3LT-2001 VILNIUSLITHUANIA

TEL. (+370 5) 2745 300FAX (+370 5) 2745 307

Plotas (km2)

Gyventoju skaiãius, mln

Prezidentas

Ministras pirmininkas

Bendras vidaus produktas (BVP, bil. Euras)

BVP tenkantis 1 gyventojui (2002, Euras)

Eksportas % nuo BVP (2002)

¸

˙ ˙

˙

IndicatorsRodikliai

LIETUVA












Average exchange rate: LTL/EUR

Average exchange rate: LTL/USD



19

BVP (metinis, %)

Pramones apimtis (grynas, metinis, %)

Bendro pagrindinio kapitalo sudarymas (grynas, metinis, %)

Vartojimo prekiu kainos (vidutines metines)

Nedarbo lygis (vidutinis metinis)

BiudÏeto balansas (% lyginant su BVP)

Prekiu eksportas (mln. Euras)

Prekiu importas (mln. Euras)

Einamoji saskaita (% lyginant su BVP)

Tiesiogines uÏsienio investicijos (TUI) (grynos iplaukos mln. Euras)

Bendra uÏsienio skola (% nuo BVP)

Vidutinis valiutos kursas: LTL/ Euras

Vidutinis valiutos kursas: LTL/ JAV dol.

Gautos iplaukos M2 (metines, %)

Vyriausybes 3–ju metu obligaciju iÂleidimas (laikotarpio pabaigoje, %)

˙

˙˙¸

¸

¸

¸

˙

¸ ˙

¸ ¸ ¸˙

˜

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

4.0 6.5 6.7 6.3 6.5

5.3 15.9 7.5 8.0 8.5

–3.9 15.0 12.4 9.0 10.0

1.0 1.3 0.3 –0.5 1.5

15.4 17.4 13.8 11.0 10.0

–2.7 –2.3 –1.2 –2.1 –2.9

4,382 5,456 6,388 7,096 7,675

5,576 6,693 7,691 8,486 9,152

–6.0 –4.8 –5.3 –6.0 –5.7

406 498 757 666 782

43.7 44.4 40.5 41.0 40.2

3.70 3.58 3.45 – –

4.00 4.00 3.65 – –

9.3 18.5 20.1 – –

5.5 4.5 2.5 – –

Structural IndicatorsWskazniki strukturalne

312,685

38.6

Aleksander Kwasniewski

Leszek Miller

200.4

5,190

19.5

POLAND

Gross domestic product by economic sectorsProdukt Krajowy Brutto z podzialem na sektory gospodarki

Agriculture and forestry Rolnictwo i lesnictwo 3.1

Industry Przemysl 23.8

Construction Budownictwo 6.7

Services Uslugi 66.4

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




20

Obszar (km2)

Ludnosã w mln

Prezydent

Premier

Produkt Krajowy Brutto (PKB za rok 2002, w bln EUR)

PKB na jednego mieszkanca (za rok 2002, w EUR)

Udzial eksportu w PKB (2002)–

´

–

–

–

BANK PRZEMYSLOWO-HANDLOWY PBK S.A.AL. POKOJU 1PL-31-548 KRAKÓWPOLAND

TEL. (+48 12) 618 68 88FAX (+48 12) 618 68 63

´

–

´

ı

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

4.0 1.0 1.4 3.5 4.2

7.1 –0.1 1.4 8.0 7.7

3.1 –9.8 –6.8 1.8 10.6

10.1 5.5 1.9 0.8 2.9

13.9 16.1 17.8 18.0 17.7

–2.6 –5.1 –5.7 –5.7 –6.0

30,569 33,789 34,820 35,800 38,400

44,815 46,819 45,760 45,800 50,300

–6.1 –3.9 –3.6 –3.7 –3.9

8,972 7,807 4,350 2,900 3,700

42.4 39.2 44.1 42.8 41.6

4.01 3.67 3.85 – –

4.35 4.09 4.08 – –

11.9 9.2 –2.1 – –

17.3 10.8 6.2 – –

IndicatorsWskazniki

POLSKA

21












Average exchange rate: PLN/EUR

Average exchange rate: PLN/USD



PKB realny (rok po roku, w %)

Produkcja sprzedana przemyslu (realna, rok po roku, w %)

Naklady brutto na srodki trwale (realna, rok po roku, w %)

Srednioroczne ceny produktów konsumpcyjnych

Bezrobocie (srednie w ciagu roku)

Bilans budzetu (w % PKB)

Eksport towarów (w mln EUR)

Import towarów (w mln EUR)

Saldo rachunku biezacego (udzial w PKB w %)

Bezposrednie inwestycje zagraniczne (wplywy netto w mln EUR)

Dlug zagraniczny (w % PKB)

Sredni kurs: PLN do EUR

Sredni kurs: PLN do USD

Agregat pieniezny M2, rok do roku

3-miesieczny dochód z obligacji rzadowych (na koniec okresu, w %)

–

–

– ––

¸

–

¯

–

––

¸

¸

¸

¸

Address

BANK PRZEMYSLOWO-HANDLOWY PBK SATOWAROWA STR. 25APL-00-958 WARSZAWA

POLANDTEL. (+48 22) 531 8000FAX (+48 22) 531 8640

˙

–

–

˙

˙

´

Structural IndicatorsIndicatori de structura

237,500

21.6

Ion Iliescu

Adrian Nastase

48.4

2,240

35.4

ROMANIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectorsProdusul Intern Brut si Valoarea Bruta Adaugata pe sectoare

Agriculture and forestry Agricultura si silvicultura 13.1

Industry Industrie 31.3

Construction Constructii 5.6

Services Servicii 50.0

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




22

HVB BANK 37 DR. GRIGORE MORA STR. RO-71278 BUCHARESTROMANIA

TEL. (+40 21) 203 2222FAX (+40 21) 230 8485

ˇ ˇ

ˇ

ˇ ˇ ˇ

Suprafata (km2)

Populatia, ın mil.

Presedinte

Prim Ministru

PIB (2002, ın mrd. EUR)

PIB / cap de locuitor (2002, ın EUR)

Exporturi ın % din PIB (2002)

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

¸

¸

¸

¸

¸

¸

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

1.8 5.3 4.9 4.4 4.8

8.7 8.2 6.0 4.5 5.5

5.5 6.6 8.3 7.5 8.0

46.2 34.5 22.5 15.1 12.3

10.9 9.0 10.2 8.5 8.0

–3.6 –3.3 –2.7 –2.7 –4.0

11,215 12,707 14,659 15,900 17,600

13,037 16,020 17,421 19,000 21,000

–3.7 –5.9 –3.4 –4.1 –4.4

1,084 1,167 1,169 1,100 1,600

29.8 31.6 32.9 32.4 32.0

19,961 26,059 31,255 – –

21,693 29,061 33,055 – –

38.0 46.2 38.2 – –

44.0 34.4 16.3 – –

IndicatorsIndicatori

ROMANIA












Average exchange rate: ROL/EUR

Average exchange rate: ROL/USD



23

PIB real (an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Productia industriala (reala, an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Formarea bruta de capital (reala, an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Preturi de consum (media anuala)

Rata somajului (media anuala)

Soldul balantei (ın % din PIB)

Exportul de bunuri (ın mil. EUR)

Importul de bunuri (ın mil. EUR)

Cont curent (ın % din PIB)

Investitiile straine directe (net ın mil. EUR)

Datoria externa bruta (ın % din PIB)

Cursul mediu de schimb: ROL/EUR

Cursul mediu de schimb: ROL/USD

Masa Monetara M2 (an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Randamentul titlurilor de stat cu maturitate 3 luni (sfarsitul perioadei, ın %)

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˇ ˇ

ˇ ˇ

ˇ

ˇ

ˇ

ˇ ˇ

ˇ

ˇ ˆ¸

¸

¸

¸

¸

ˇ

¸

Structural IndicatorsÁâàãÚâãàÝëÕ ¿ÞÚÐ×ÐâÕÛØ

17,075,400

143.3

Vladimir Putin

Mikhail Kasyanov

364.5

2,540

38.5

RUSSIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors²ÐÛÞÒÞÙ ÒÝãâàÕÝÝØÙ ßàÞÔãÚâ ßÞ áÕÚâÞàÐÜíÚÞÝÞÜØÚØ

Agriculture and forestry ÁÕÛìáÚÞÕ Ø ÛÕáÝÞÕ xÞ×ïÙáâÒÞ 5.8

Industry ¿àÞÜëèÛÕÝÝÞáâì 26.5

Construction ÁâàÞØâÕÛìáâÒÞ 7.3

Services ÁäÕàÐ ãáÛãÓ 60.4

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




24

INTERNATIONAL MOSCOW BANKPRECHISTENSKAYA EMB. 9 RF-119034 MOSCOWRUSSIAN FEDERATION

TEL. (+7 095) 258 7200 FAX (+7 095) 258 7272

¿ÛÞéÐÔì (ÚÜ2)

½ÐáÕÛÕÝØÕ Ò ÜÛÝ.

¿àÕ×ØÔÕÝâ

¿àÕÜìÕà-ÜØÝØáâà

²²¿ (2002 ., Ò ÜØÛÛØÐàÔÐx µÒàÞ

²²¿ ÝÐ Ôãèã ÝÐáÕÛÕÝØï (2002 .,Ò µÒàÞ)

¾ÑêÕÜ íÚáßÞàâÐ Ò % Þâ ²²¿ (2002)

s

s

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

9.0 5.0 4.3 6.7 4.9

11.9 4.9 3.7 7.1 6.6

13.2 11.6 3.0 12.3 9.2

20.8 21.5 15.8 13.7 10.3

10.5 9.0 8.0 8.5 8.8

3.0 3.9 1.0 0.2 0.0

114,209 113,410 113,400 115,100 110,900

48,535 60,005 64,400 66,800 70,600

17.9 11.3 9.0 7.3 5.9

2,936 2,756 3,100 4,400 5,300

54.0 42.4 42.3 36.9 33.2

26.0 26.2 29.7 – –

28.2 29.2 31.4 – –

59.3 36.7 21.1 – –

12.8 14.7 13.2 – –

Indicators¿ÞÚÐ×ÐâÕÛØ

ÀÞááØï

25












Average exchange rate: RUB/EUR

Average exchange rate: RUB/USD



ÀÕÐÛìÝëÙ ²²¿ (ÝÐ ÚÞÝÕæ ÓÞÔÐ, Ò %)

¾ÑêÕÜ ßàÞØ×ÒÞÔáâÒÐ (àÕÐÛìÝëÙ, Ò %)

¸ÝÒÕáâØæØØ Ò ÞáÝÞÒÝÞÙ ÚÐÛØâÐÛ (àÕÐÛìÝëÙ, Ò %)

¿ÞâàÕÑØâÕÛìáÚØÕ æÕÝë (áàÕÔÝØÕ ×Ð ÓÞÔ)

ÃàÞÒÕÝì ÑÕ×àÐÑÞâØæë (áàÕÔÝØÙ ×Ð ÓÞÔ)

±îÔÖÕâÝëÙ ÑÐÛÐÝá (Ò % Ú ²²¿)

¾ÑêÕÜ íÚáßÞàâÞÒ (Ò ÜØÛÛØÞÝÐx µÒàÞ)

¾ÑêÕÜ ØÜßÞàâÞÒ (Ò ÜØÛÛØÞÝÐx µÒàÞ)

ÁçÕâ âÕÚãèØx ÞßÕàÐæØÙ (Ò % Ú ²²¿)

¿àïÜëÕ ØÝÞáâàÐÝÝëÕ ØÝÒÕáâØæØØ (ßàØâÞÚ, çØáâëÕ Ò ÜØÛÛØÞÝÐx µÒàÞ)

¾ÑêÕÜ ÒÝÕèÝÕÓÞ ÔÞÛÓÐ (Ò % Ú ²²¿)

ÁàÕÔÝØÙ Úãàá RUB/EUR

ÁàÕÔÝØÙ Úãàá RUB/USD

´ÕÝÕÖÝëÙ ÐÓàÕÓÐâ ¼2 (ÝÐ ÚÞÝÕæ ÓÞÔÐ, Ò %)

´ÞxÞÔÝÞáâì ×Ð 3 ÜÕáïæÐ ßÞ ÓÞáãÔÐàáâÒÕÝÝëÜ ÞÑÛØÓÐæØïÜ (ÝÐ ÚÞÝÕØ ØÕàØÞÔÐ, Ò %)

Structural IndicatorsStrukturalni indikatori

102,713

10.6

Svetozar Marovic

Zoran Zivkovic (Serbia)Milo Djukanovic (Montenegro)

16.6

1,570

20.6

HVB BANKRAJICEVA 27–29SCG-11000 BEOGRADSERBIA AND MONTENEGRO

SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO

Gross domestic product by economic sectorsBruto nacionalni proizvod po privrednim sektorima

TEL. (+381 11) 3204 500 FAX (+381 11) 3342 200



Construction Graêevinarstvo 5.7


PovrÂina (km2)

StanovniÂtvo (u milionima)

Predsednik

Premijer

Bruto nacionalni proizvod (za 2002. godinu, u milijardama EUR)

Bruto nacionalni proizvod po glavi stanovnika (za 2002. godinu u EUR)

% izvoza u bruto nacionalnom proizvodu(2002)

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




26

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

5.0 5.5 4.0 3.0 4.0

10.9 0.0 1.7 0.5 2.0

13.3 – – – –

75.7 88.9 19.2 11.9 8.0

26.8 27.9 31.2 32.0 30.0

–0.9 –1.4 –5.0 –4.5 –4.8

2,080 2,235 2,549 2,800 3,500

4,015 5,398 6,680 7,100 8,100

–6.0 –9.7 –12.7 –10.7 –10.4

27 184 594 700 600

111.9 103.2 75.2 62.3 56.3

34.9 59.4 60.5 – –

37.5 66.7 63.9 – –

80.4 109.5 84.8 – –

– – – – –

IndicatorsIndikatori

SRBIJA I CRNA GORA

Realni bruto nacionalni proizvod (godina za godinu, u %)

Industrijski proizvod (realan, godina za godinom, u %)

Bruto stalna akumulacija kapitala (realna, godina za godinom, u %)

PotroÂaãke cene (godiÂnji prosek)

Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosek)

Bilans budÏeta (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)

Izvoz robe (u milionima EUR)

Uvoz robe (u milionima EUR)

Platni bilans (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)

Direktne strane investicije (priliv, neto u milionima EUR)

Bruto inostrani dug (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)

Proseãni kurs razmene: YUM/EUR

Proseãni kurs razmene: YUM/USD

Novãana masa M2 (u %)

Tromeseãni prihod od vladinih obveznica (kraj perioda, u procentima)



Gross fixed capital formation









Average exchange rate : YUM/EUR

Average exchange rate : YUM/USD



27

Structural IndicatorsZákladné údaje

48,845

5.4

Rudolf Schuster

MikuláÂ Dzurinda

25.1

4,640

74.0

SLOVAKIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectorsHrub˘ domáci produkt a hrubá pridaná hodnota v ekonomick˘ch sektoroch

Agriculture and forestryPol’nohospodárstvo a lesné hospodárstvo 4.1

Industry Priemysel 24.4

Construction Stavebníctvo 4.6

Services SluÏby 66.9

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




28

HVB BANK MOSTOVÁ 6SK-814 16 BRATISLAVA 1SLOVAKIA

TEL. (+42 12) 5969 1111FAX (+42 12) 5969 9406

Rozloha (km2)

Obyvatel’stvo (v mil.)

Prezident

Predseda vlády

HDP (2002, v mld. EUR)

HDP (2002 v EUR) na 1 obyvatel’a

V˘voz v % HDP (2002)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

2.2 3.3 4.4 3.7 3.9

8.7 6.9 6.6 6.1 7.1

1.2 9.6 –0.9 1.5 10.3

12.2 7.1 3.3 8.5 5.4

18.2 18.3 17.8 15.3 14.9

–3.9 –4.8 –7.2 –5.1 –4.1

12,782 14,102 15,180 18,300 18,200

13,740 16,486 17,440 19,300 19,800

–3.3 –8.6 –8.2 –1.8 –4.6

2,077 1,674 4,070 1,200 1,700

54.9 55.1 55.7 48.8 44.5

42.6 43.2 42.7 – –

46.2 48.3 45.3 – –

14.9 13.1 4.9 – –

7.7 7.5 5.2 – –

IndicatorsUkazovatele

SLOVENSKO












Average exchange rate: SKK/EUR

Average exchange rate: SKK/USD



29

Reálny HDP (medziroãne, v %), HDP v stálych cenách

Priemyselná v˘roba (v stálych cenách, medziroãne, v %)

Hrubé hmotné investície (v stálych cenách,medziroãne, v %)

Spotrebitel’ské ceny (roãn˘ priemer)

Nezamestnanost’ (roãn˘ priemer)

Saldo rozpoãtu (v % z HDP)

Export tovarov (v mil. EUR)

Import tovarov (v mil. EUR)

BeÏn˘ úãet platobnej bilancie (v % z HDP)

Priame zahraniãné investície (prílev, netto v mil. EUR)

Celkové zahraniãné zadlÏenie (v % z HDP)

Priemern˘ v˘menn˘ kurz (SKK/EUR)

Priemern˘ v˘menn˘ kurz (SKK/USD)

Menov˘ agregát M2 (medziroãne, v %)

3–mesaãn˘ v˘nos zo Âtátnych dlhopisov (koniec obdobia v %)

Structural IndicatorsStrukturni kazalci

20,273

1.9

Janez DrnovÂek

Anton Rop

23.4

11,710

57.8

SLOVENIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectorsBruto domaãi proizvod po gospodarskih panogah

Agriculture and forestry Kmetijstvo in gozdarstvo 3.3


Construction GradbeniÂtvo 5.8

Services Storitve 60.2

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




30

BANK AUSTRIACREDITANSTALT SLOVENIJASMARTINSKA 140SI -1000 LJUBLJANASLOVENIA

TEL. (+386 1) 5876 600FAX (+386 1) 5876 684

povrÂina (km2)

prebivalstvo v mio

predsednik republike

predsednik vlade

BDP (2002 v mlrd EUR)

BDP na prebivalca (2002 v EUR)

izvoz v % od BDP (2002)

ˇ

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

4.6 2.9 3.2 2.4 3.5

6.2 2.9 2.4 0.8 3.0

0.2 –1.9 3.1 4.5 5.0

8.9 8.4 7.5 5.6 4.7

7.0 6.5 6.3 6.4 6.3

–1.3 –1.3 –3.0 –1.5 –1.7

9,574 10,448 11,083 11,500 12,300

10,801 11,137 11,344 12,000 12,900

–2.9 0.2 1.7 –0.3 –0.3

770 415 1,828 270 450

32.8 34.5 40.4 38.7 37.2

205.0 217.2 226.2 – –

222.7 243.3 242.7 – –

9.0 26.6 22.3 – –

11.5 8.0 8.1 – –

IndicatorsKazalci

SLOVENIJA












Average exchange rate: SIT/EUR

Average exchange rate: SIT/USD



31

realni BDP (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)

industrijska proizvodnja (realno, v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)

investicije v osnovna sredstva (realno, v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)

cene Ïivljenjskih potrebÂãin (letno povpreãje)

nezaposlenost (letno povpreãje)

proraãunsko ravnoteÏje (v % od BDP)

izvoz blaga (v mio EUR)

uvoz blaga (v mio EUR)

tekoãi raãun (v % od BDP)

neposredne tuje naloÏbe (neto priliv, v mio EUR)

bruto zadolÏenost v tujini (v % od BDP)

povpreãni menjalni teãaj: SIT/EUR

povpreãni menjalni teãaj: SIT/USD

denarni agregat M2 (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %

trimeseãna donosnost drÏavnih obveznic (konec obdobja, v %)

Structural IndicatorsÁâàãÚâãàÝi ¿ÞÚÐ×ÝØÚØ

603,700

48.0

Leonid D. Kuchma

Viktor Yanukovych

43.8

910

56.4

UKRAINE

Gross domestic product by economic sectors²ÐÛÞÒØÙ ²ÝãâàöèÝöÙ ¿àÞÔãÚâ ßÞ µÚÞÝÞÜöçÝØå ÁÕÚâÞàÐå

Agriculture and forestryÁöÛìáìÚÕ ÓÞáßÞÔÐàáâÒÞ âÐ ÛöáÝØæâÒÞ 12.8

Industry ¿àÞÜØáÛÞÒöáâì 36.0

Construction ±ãÔöÒÝØæâÒÞ 7.0

Services ¿ÞáÛãÓØ 44.2

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




32

¿ÛÞéÐ (ÚÜ2)

½ÐáÕÛÕÝÝï Ò ÜÛÝ.

¿àÕ×ØÔÕÝâ

Ò.Þ. ¿àÕÜ’ôà-¼öÝöáâà

²²¿ (Ò 2002 à. Ò ÜÛàÔ. ¤ÒàÞ)

²²¿ ½Ð Ôãèã ÝÐáÕÛÕÝÝï(Ò 2002 à. Ò ¤ÒàÞ)

µÚáßÞàâØ Ò % ÒöÔ ²²¿ (2002)

HVB UKRAINE14-A, YAROSLAVIV VALUA-01034 KYIVUKRAINE

TEL. (+380 44) 230 3300FAX (+380 44) 230 3391

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

5.8 9.2 4.8 7.0 5.0

12.9 14.2 7.0 10.0 8.0

6.5 13.2 6.0 15.0 10.0

28.2 12.3 0.8 8.0 6.0

4.2 3.9 3.8 4.2 4.5

0.2 –1.7 0.2 –0.4 –0.4

17,009 19,075 19,730 21,200 20,100

16,167 18,854 18,980 20,600 20,000

4.8 3.7 7.7 7.5 5.5

487 858 730 900 1,000

63.5 53.7 45.9 38.5 35.2

5.0 4.8 5.0 – –

5.4 5.4 5.3 – –

44.5 43.4 42.2 – –

– 22.0 9.0 – –

Indicators¿ÞÚÐ×ÝØÚØ

ÃÚàÐ÷ÝÐ












Average exchange rate: UAH/EUR

Average exchange rate: UAH/USD



33

²²¿ àÕÐÛÝØÙ (×ÜöÝÐ ×Ð àöÚ, Ò %)

¾ÑáïÓ ßàÞÜØáÛÞÒÞ÷ ßàÞÔãÚæö÷ (àÕÐÛÝØÙ, ×ÜöÝÐ ×Ð àöÚ, Ò %)

ÄÞàÜãÒÐÝÝï äöÚáÞÒÐÝÞÓÞ ÚÐßöâÐÛã(àÕÐÛÝØÙ, ×ÜöÝÐ ×Ð àöÚ, Ò %)

ÁßÞÖØÒçö æöÝØ (áÕàÕÔÝöÙ àöçÝØÙ ßÞÚÐ×ÝØÚ)

±Õ×àÞÑöââï (áÕàÕÔÝöÙ àöçÝØÙ ßÞÚÐ×ÝØÚ)

±ÐÛÐÝá ÑîÔÖÕâã (Ò % ÒöÔ ²²¿)

µÚáßÞàâ âÞÒÐàöÒ (Ò ÜÛÝ. ¤ÒàÞ)

¦ÜßÞàâ âÞÒÐàöÒ (Ò ÜÛÝ. ¤ÒàÞ)

ÀÐxãÝÞÚ ßÞâÞçÝØx ÞßÕàÐæöÙ (Ò % ÒöÔ ²²¿)

¿àïÜö öÝÞ×ÕÜÝö öÝÒÕáâØæö÷ (Ò ÜÛÝ. ¤ÒàÞ)

·ÞÒÝöèÝöÙ ÑÞàÓ (Ò % ÒöÔ ²²¿)

ÁÕàÕÔÝöÙ Úãàá ÞÑÜöÝã: ÓàØÒÝï/¤ÒàÞ

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ImpressumPublished by Bank Austria Creditanstalt AG, Vienna,A-1030 Vienna, Vordere Zollamtsstrasse 13A-1010 Vienna, Am Hof 2

Edited by Bernhard Sinhuber (Economics Department)Telephone: +43 (0) 50505 41964,e-mail: [email protected]

Production: Department Group Public Relations, Patrizia Reidl

Graphic design and front page image: Miriam Weigel Front page: Christian HorvathPrinted by Uhl

Sources: National statistics, Bank Austria Creditanstalt Economics Department

Closing date: October 7th, 2003

Group Public RelationsPublications

Landstrasser Hauptstrasse 1A-1010 ViennaAustria

Tel. +43 (0) 50505-56137Fax +43 (0) 50505-56945e-mail: [email protected]

You will also findeconomic analyses on Bank Austria Creditanstalt's homepage:www.ba-ca.com

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