Business Agility on the Back of a Napkin …...Business Agility on the Back of a Napkin...

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BOOTSTRAP YOUR BUSINESS MODEL Business Agility on the Back of a Napkin 1 @berniemaloney

Transcript of Business Agility on the Back of a Napkin …...Business Agility on the Back of a Napkin...

Page 1: Business Agility on the Back of a Napkin …...Business Agility on the Back of a Napkin @berniemaloney 1 2 Let’s start here… SO, WHAT IS A BUSINESS MODEL? @berniemaloney SO, WHAT

BOOTSTRAPYOUR BUSINESS MODEL

Business Agility on the Back of a Napkin

1@berniemaloney

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2

Let’s start here…

SO, WHAT IS ABUSINESS MODEL?

@berniemaloney

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SO, WHAT IS ABUSINESS MODEL?

Better yet…

3@berniemaloney

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EXPLAIN YOUR BUSINESS(MODEL) TO A NEIGHBOR

Exercise

2 min each in pairs

4@berniemaloney

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HOW MANY COULD ACCURATELYDESCRIBE THEIR NEIGHBOR’S BUSINESS?

5@berniemaloney

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OR, WAS YOUR EXPERIENCE LIKE THIS?

6@berniemaloney

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NO BUSINESS PLAN SURVIVES FIRST CONTACT WITH A CUSTOMER

Steve Blank

7@berniemaloney

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PLANS ARE WORTHLESS,BUT PLANNING IS EVERYTHING

Dwight D. Eisenhower

8@berniemaloney

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HOW COULD WEDRINK OUR OWN CHAMPAGNE?

Build

Measure

Learn

9@berniemaloney

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ANY PROBLEM CAN BE MADE CLEARER WITH A PICTURE

Dan Roam

10@berniemaloney

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Dan also wrote an earlier, worthwhile book: The Back of the Napkin

11@berniemaloney

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HOW CAN A BUSINESS BE PICTURED?

http://youtu.be/QoAOzMTLP5s

12@berniemaloney

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BUSINESS MODEL CANVAS

13

Partners Offer Key Customers

What you ‘get’What it ‘costs’

Relationship

ChannelResources

Activities

Source:http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com/downloads/business_model_canvas_poster.pdf

@berniemaloney

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WHY IS A MODEL SIGNIFICANT?

14@berniemaloney

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WHY IS A MODEL SIGNIFICANT?DESIGN THINKING

15@berniemaloney

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DESIGN THINKING

• Freezing an idea early risks falling in love with it

• Refining an idea quicklyrisks become attached (sunk cost)

• Objective:Defer judgment & emphasize crude prototypes to help avoid these pitfalls

• Example:IDEO - an illustration of Design AND Agilehttp://youtu.be/M66ZU2PCIcM

16@berniemaloney

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WHY IS A MODEL SIGNIFICANT?

17@berniemaloney

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Build

Measure

Learn

18@berniemaloney

Lean Startup / Eric Ries: Build-Measure-Learn

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A MODEL MIGHT LOOK GREAT ON PAPER…

19@berniemaloney

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… REMEMBER IT’S A SET OF HYPOTHESES

guess

20@berniemaloney

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Build

Measure

Learn

21@berniemaloney

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COST PER TEST / LESSONS = ?

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http://www.automobilesreview.com/uploads/2012/09/Mercedes-Benz-SLS-AMG-Coupe-Electric-Drive-651.jpg

@berniemaloney

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COST PER TEST / LESSONS = ?

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http://image.internetautoguide.com/f/auto-news/2010-mercedes-amg-sls-crash-test-videos/31178790/mercedes-sls-amg-crash-test-video-germany-tuv.jpg

@berniemaloney

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HOW ABOUT AN EXAMPLE?

24@berniemaloney

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HOW ABOUT AN EXAMPLE?

25

Better yet…

@berniemaloney

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BUS 15 @ STANFORD

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Experiencein ProductManagement& Agile

Silicon Valley

Prepare outline; develop materials; coordinate efforts; time to teach…

Stanford

Partners Offer Key Customers

What we ‘get’What it ‘costs’Feedback; fresh perspective; resume enhancer; honorarium; contacts…

GuestSpeakers

Curious aboutProd Mgt &/orAgile

Very Early Entrepreneurs

Live Class

Relationship

Channel Experienced &want increased results

Live Class

direct

Personal(vs automated)

Resources

Activities

BrandRoomsEquipment

Marketing

Experience

@berniemaloney

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BUS 15 @ STANFORD

27

Experiencein ProductManagement& Agile

Silicon Valley

Prepare outline; develop materials; coordinate efforts; time to teach…

Stanford

Partners Offer Key Customers

What we ‘get’What it ‘costs’Feedback; fresh perspective; resume enhancer; honorarium; contacts…

GuestSpeakers

Curious aboutProd Mgt &/orAgile

Very Early Entrepreneurs

Live Class

Relationship

Channel Experienced &want > resultsLive Class

direct

Personal(vs automated)

Resources

Activities

BrandRoomsEquipment

Marketing

How could inspect/adapt be applied?

Experience

@berniemaloney

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HOW ABOUT…?

28

Experiencein ProductManagement& Agile

East Bay Area

Prepare outline; develop materials; coordinate efforts; time to teach…

Berkeley

Partners Offer Key Customers

What we ‘get’What it ‘costs’Feedback; fresh perspective; resume enhancer; honorarium; contacts…

GuestSpeakers

Curious aboutProd Mgt &/orAgile

Very Early Entrepreneurs

Live Class

Relationship

Channel Experienced &want > resultsLive Class

direct

Personal(vs automated)

Resources

Activities

BrandRoomsEquipment

Marketing

Experience

Experienceat Stanford

@berniemaloney

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OTHER VALUES OF THE BM CANVAS

• Ecosystems Win

– Microsoft Office

– iTunes

– Search + Ads

• Canvas Maps an EcosystemFits a single visual field = shifts brain processes

• Looks at Market & Opportunityover chasing a competitor’s ‘tail lights’

29@berniemaloney

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Ready for a Group Exercise?

30

Partners Offer Key Customers

What we ‘get’What it ‘costs’

Relationship

ChannelResources

Activities

@berniemaloney

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EXERCISE: BUSINESS MODEL CREATION

• Form Teams

• Product: Biodegradable Bag(ok for fertilizer)

• 5 minutes:Create (at least 1) business model

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http://www.naparecycling.com/uploads/plastic%20bag.png

@berniemaloney

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BUSINESS MODEL CANVAS

32

Partners Offer Key Customers

What you ‘get’What it ‘costs’

Relationship

ChannelResources

Activities

Source:http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com/downloads/business_model_canvas_poster.pdf

@berniemaloney

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INSIGHTS: CREATING A BUSINESS MODEL

@berniemaloney 33

http://www.garabatosydibujos.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/conocer.jpg

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This is a crude prototype

34

Partners Offer Key Customers

What we ‘get’What it ‘costs’

Relationship

ChannelResources

Activities

@berniemaloney

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EXERCISE: BUSINESS MODEL CREATION

• Form Teams

• Product: Biodegradable Bag(ok for fertilizer)

• 5 minutes:Create (at least 1) business model

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How could you “unit test” the product?

@berniemaloney

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THERE ARE NO FACTS IN THE BUILDING…SO GET OUT AND TALK TO CUSTOMERS

Steve Blank

36@berniemaloney

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CUSTOMER DEVELOPMENT

CustomerDiscovery

CustomerValidation

CustomerCreation

CompanyBuilding

pivot

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Source: Steve BlankThe Four Steps to the Epiphany

@berniemaloney

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TWO PHASES

CustomerDiscovery

CustomerValidation

CustomerCreation

CompanyBuilding

pivot

Search Execution

38@berniemaloney

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ENLIGHTENED TRIAL & ERROR SUCCEEDS OVER THE PLANNING OF LONE GENIUS

Peter Skillman

39@berniemaloney

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APPLY THE SCIENTIFIC METHOD: RUN EXPERIMENTS

test

40@berniemaloney

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WITH VALIDATION, ITERATE (PIVOT) MODEL AND RUN FURTHER EXPERIMENTS

valid

41@berniemaloney

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PIVOTING:LEARNING CHEAPLY FROM FAILURE

42@berniemaloney

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Build

Measure

Learn

43@berniemaloney

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THE WAY TO SUCCEED IS TO DOUBLE YOUR FAILURE RATE

Thomas Watson

Founder of IBM

44@berniemaloney

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HP MEDIASMART (RETAIL) TVS

45

AmericanBrand

CircuitCity

Cost-plus Mat’l; Design; Supply Chain; Placements

Asian TV BrandYou know

Partners Offer Key Customers

RevenuesCostsJust enough to break even at intro,Not enough to sustain price drops

CinemaNow

Best Buy

Relationship

Channel

Direct

Direct B2C

Indirect B2B2C

Resources

Activities

GlassTV KnowHow

MicrosoftInternetContent

Asian TV BrandNew to USA

Netflix

RetailElectronics

Leading EdgeInternet TV

KnownBrand

IPTV VisionaryAdopters

Manufacturing

Set Devel’mnt

Licensing

Volume Retail

futureproofing

@berniemaloney

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HP COMMERCIAL TVS

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AmericanBrand

HP Sales

Cost-plus Mat’l; Design; Supply Chain;

Asian TV BrandYou know

Partners Offer Key Customers

RevenuesCostsSustainable Margin

CDW

Relationship

Channel

Direct B2B

Indirect B2B2B

Resources

Activities

GlassTV KnowHow

Asian TV BrandNew to USA

CommercialSuppiers

KnownBrand

Manufacturing

Set Devel’mnt CompetivePrice

Direct HPAccounts

@berniemaloney

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VIZIO TVS (2006)

47

AmericanBrand

Costco

Competitive Mat’l; Design; Supply Chain;

Asian TV BrandYou know

Partners Offer Key Customers

RevenuesCostsSustainable MarginSustainable Volume

Relationship

Channel

Direct

Direct B2C

Indirect B2B2C

Resources

Activities

GlassTV KnowHow

Asian TV BrandNew to USA

WarehouseClubs

ValuePricingManufacturing

Set Devel’mnt

ValueBuyers

@berniemaloney

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LAYERING IN MARKET RESEARCH

48

Partners Offer Key Customers

RevenuesCosts

Relationship

ChannelResources

Activities

RetailElectronics

Leading EdgeInternet TV

IPTV VisionaryAdopters

ValueBuyersCommercial

Suppiers

ValuePricing

1Ks

100s@1Ks

10s@1Ks

1M+

@berniemaloney

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PIVOTS ARE BUSINESS MODEL CHANGES WITHOUT CRISIS

Steve Blank

49@berniemaloney

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CustomerDiscovery

CustomerValidation

CustomerCreation

CompanyBuilding

pivot

50

Test & Adapt the model until you can prove it works

@berniemaloney

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HOW TO PROVE IT WORKS?

• MVP

– Minimum Viable Product

– Sale of a Product (it’s viable!)

• PMF

– Product Market Fit

– Is it the right customer segment?

– Is the segment sustainable?

– Is the product / model sustainable?

51@berniemaloney

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Build

MeasureLearn

Release

Measure

Earn $

Noted by Jeff Patton (Aug ‘12 DFWScrum)52@berniemaloney

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CustomerDiscovery

CustomerValidation

CustomerCreation

CompanyBuilding

pivot

Search Execution

53

MVP PMF

@berniemaloney

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EXERCISE: BUSINESS MODEL CREATION

• Form Teams

• Product: Biodegradable Bag(ok for fertilizer)

• 5 minutes:Create (at least 1) business model

54

Want a model comparison?

@berniemaloney

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BASIC SANITATION

55

Image Source: http://www.whale.to/a/bangladesh.html

@berniemaloney

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ACCESS TO SANTIATION

• 4 out of 10 people lack even simple latrines(2.6 billion people)

• A solution?

56@berniemaloneyhttp://greenupgrader.com/files/2009/04/peepoo6.jpg

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PEEPOO BAG

• Single use toilet bag

• Self sanitizing

• Low production cost

• Biodegradable – turns into fertilizer

• (initially) targeted at poor people

• People already pay for sanitation

57@berniemaloney

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WHO / WHERE ELSE COULD USE THIS?

58

Partners Offer Key Customers

What you ‘get’What it ‘costs’

Relationship

ChannelResources

Activities

@berniemaloney

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MULTIPLE MODELS FOR 1 PRODUCT

59@berniemaloney

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This is a crude prototype of a business

60

Partners Offer Key Customers

What we ‘get’What it ‘costs’

Relationship

ChannelResources

Activities

@berniemaloney

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MULTIPLE MODELS FOR 1 PRODUCT

61@berniemaloney

Want another Group Exercise?

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EXERCISE: BUSINESS MODEL CREATION

• Form Teams

• Product: Coffee

• 7 minutes:Create a business modelAND 3 “systems” Testsof PMF

62

http://www.thecoffeebeanshop.com/images/CoffeeBeanCloseup6beansR.jpg

@berniemaloney

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BUSINESS MODEL CANVAS

63

Partners Offer Key Customers

What you ‘get’What it ‘costs’

Relationship

ChannelResources

Activities

Source:http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com/downloads/business_model_canvas_poster.pdf

@berniemaloney

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INSIGHTS: CREATE + TEST A BUSINESS MODEL

@berniemaloney 64

http://www.garabatosydibujos.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/conocer.jpg

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EXERCISE: BUSINESS MODEL CREATION

• Form Teams

• Product: Coffee

• 5 minutes:Create (at least 1) business model

65

http://www.thecoffeebeanshop.com/images/CoffeeBeanCloseup6beansR.jpg

@berniemaloney

Want a model comparison?

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66

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4f/Pike_Place_Market_-_Starbucks_circa_1977A.jpg

@berniemaloney

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67

http://www.alfredhoesliag.ch/typo3temp/pics/20bc77213a.jpg

@berniemaloney

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ALTERNATIVE: LEAN CANVAS

68

http://practicetrumpstheory.com/the-10x-product-launch/

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69

http://practicetrumpstheory.com/the-10x-product-launch/

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BUSINESS VALUE CANVAS

70

Partners Offer Key Customers

What you ‘get’What it ‘costs’

Relationship

ChannelResources

Activities

@berniemaloney

gains

pains

customerjobs

gaincreators

painrelievers

products & services

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EXTENDING THE BUSINESS MODEL CANVAS

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BUSINESS TO CONSUMERB2C

72@berniemaloney

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BUSINESS TO BUSINESS TO CONSUMERB2B2C

73@berniemaloney

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OR AN ENTIRE VALUE CHAIN

74@berniemaloney

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OR MULTIPLE MODELS FOR 1 PRODUCT

75@berniemaloney

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ARE PRODUCTS THIS EASY TO ITERATE?

76@berniemaloney

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WHICH ONE(S) BEST FIT MARKET?

77@berniemaloney

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CustomerDiscovery

CustomerValidation

CustomerCreation

CompanyBuilding

pivot

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Each Experiment amounts toan (Agile) Iteration of

the Businessthe Ecosystem

@berniemaloney

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IF YOU DON’T WORK UNDER TIME CONSTRAINTS, YOU COULD NEVER GET ANYTHING DONE. IT’S A MESSY PROCESS, IT COULD GO ON FOREVER.

Dave Kelley

79@berniemaloney

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FAIL OFTEN,IN ORDER TO SUCCEED SOONER

IDEO

80@berniemaloney

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@berniemaloney 82

Bernie Maloney, CSPPE, CSM, CSPO

bit.ly/speedmygenius

Agile CoachAccelerating Genius

Turning Strategies into ResultsFrom Startup to Beyond $100M