Broadband for Networked Society - ITU · PDF fileBroadband for Networked Society ......

Broadband for Networked Society

Rizwan Ahmed HydriDG(Licensing),PTA

20 July 2016

Introduction

Worldwide Broadband Growth

Broadband Growth Challenges

Impact of IoT

Broadband Commission Goals

Broadband in Pakistan

Telecommunication Policy 2015

Presentation outline

Introduction

3

ICT – Sustainable Development

Affordable BB• Economic Growth• Social Inclusion• Environmental Protection

Digital Divide Persistent• Access to BB Internet• Access to Remote Areas

Gender Digital Divide

Local Content and Services

Local Languages

Need for Effective Policies

Worldwide Broadband Growth

World Wide BB GrowthMobile BB Growth

125 Years

13 Years

11 Years

8 Years

5 Years

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Fixed Lines

Google Users

MobileSubcriptions

Facebook Users

Mobile BBSubscriptions

Years to Achieve 1 Billion Users From Launch

Source : ITU

7.7 Billion MBB Subscriptions by 2021, as Compared to 3.5 Billion in 2015

Fixed BB Growth

6–920 Million Subscribers by 2019–Sustained Growth Expected in Fixed BB

The Americas177 m23%

Africa4 m0%

Arab States14m2%

Asia & Pacific365m46%

CIS39 m5%

Europe186 m24%

Status of Fixed BB Subscriptions ‐ 2015

Source : ITU


7

Demand Side• After 3 Billion Internet Users , Addition of the Next 4 Billion Challenging• Future Internet Users from Less Educated Rural/Remote Areas• Other Languages and Dialects• Only 5% Languages present on the Internet

7102

500

348

290

130

91

48

24

0 2000 4000 6000

Languages Still in Use in theWorld

Estimated Number ofLocalised Languages

Supported by Google Search

Recognised by Wikipedia

Used by Facebook

Used by Google Translate

Used by Twitter

Used by Linkedin

Source : ITU – UNESCO Study 2015

Languages in 2015


8

Universal Access

Source : Analysys Mason

• CAPEX increases greatly for coverage of last 10%‐20% of population

Impact of IoT

Additional Demand on Speed,

Accessibility

25 Billion Networked

Devices by 2020

Growth in IoT –New Form of Digital Divide

Greater Economic

Growth With Greater Intensity

of ICT Use

Impact of IOT

Source : Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2014‐2019

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

6.1

4.4

2.4 21

1.6

11.6

8.2

4.3

2.9

1.42.5

20142019

Broadband Commission Goals ‐ 2015• BB Commission for Digital Development ‐ 2010

• Set Targets to Promote Digital Inclusion

– National Broadband Plan

– Affordability

– Connecting Homes to BB

– Getting People Online

– Gender Equality

Target 1 : By 2015 All Countries to Have a National BB Plan

12

Countries With a Plan or Strategy in Place, 148,

76%

Countries Without a Plan,

42, 21%

Countries Planning to Introduce a

Strategy, 6, 3%

Status of NBP ‐ 2015

Source : ITU

By and Large the Goal Has Been Achieved

Target 2 : By 2015 Entry Level BB be Made Affordable in Developing Countries

13

Source : ITU

111 Countries With Affordable BB Services & 49 With More Than 5% of GNI p.c.

‐2014

Target 3 : by 2015, 40% of Households in Developing Countries With Internet Access

Source : ITU

The Target is Expected to be Achieved by 2018

81.3 %

46.4 %34.1 %

6.7 %

0

20

40

60

80

100

Developed World Developing LDCs

Proportion of Households With Internet Access

Target 4 : By 2015, Internet Penetration Should Reach 60% Worldwide, 50% in Developing Countries and 15% in LDCs

15

0

20

40

60

80

DevelopedWorld

DevelopingLDCs

82.2%

43.4%

35.3%

9.5%

Internet User Penetration ‐ 2015

Source : ITU

The Target Failed by a Wide Margin. Unlikely to Be Achieved Until 2021

Target 5 : Achieve Gender Equality in Access to BB by 2020

16

Source : ITU

Gap represents difference between Internet user penetration rate for male‐female relative to Internet user penetration rate for males, expressed as a percentage. The gender Internet user gap in LDCs is twice as high as in developing countries

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Developed Developing World LDCs

6.3

15.6

11.1

29.9

5.4

15.4

11

28.9

Percen

tage %

Gender Gap

Gap 2013(%)Gap 2015 (%)

Broadband in Pakistan

History of MBB in Pakistan

18

Sector G

rowth

2004

2014

2016

1st Cellular Spectrum Auction: Telenor & Warid acquired licenses for 2G

• Next Generation Mobile Service (NGMS) Spectrum Auctioned.

• 40 MHz in 1800 MHz and 2100 MHz Bands

10 MHz in 850 MHz Band for NGMS

SOURCE: PTA Data

Fiber Deployment Nation wide 4 Operators have laid long haul fiber N/Ws acrossthe country covering most of the cities

Link Direct ‐ 5000 KM

Wateen ‐ 5700 KM

Multinet ‐ 5000 KM

PTCL ‐ 10,400Km

Total ‐ 26,100Km

SEA‐ME‐WE 3 SEA‐ME‐WE 4

TW‐1 I‐ME‐WE

International ConnectivityCurrent International Connectivity

SEA‐ME‐WE 5 AAE ‐1

International ConnectivityFuture International ConnectivityThis image cannot currently be displayed. This image cannot currently be displayed.

This image cannot currently be displayed.

SRG‐1

International ConnectivityFuture International ConnectivityThis image cannot currently be displayed.

International ConnectivityCellular Coverage(2G)This image cannot currently be displayed.

• Coverage in all populated areas• Most people in Pakistan have access to

basic voice telephony, mostly using mobile phones

International ConnectivityCellular Coverage(3G & 4G)This image cannot currently be displayed.

• Out of 4 phases for n/w roll out ,2 phases have been completed.

Role of USF in BB Proliferation

Source: http://www.usf.org.pk/Projects.aspx

USF BB ProgramNo of Towns with BB Facility 399No of Educational BB Centre 1328

No of Community BB Centre 356N o of BB Connections 0.461 Million

Subsidy to BB Programs 9.5 Billion (PKR)

USF Optical Fiber ProgramNo of Towns 82Laid Optical Fiber length 5722 Km

Subsidy to BB Programs 6.4 billion (PKR)

Broadband Penetration in Pakistan

0.11 0.25 0.55 0.89 1.20 1.52 2.07

8.97

-

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

10.00

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Perc

enta

ge

NGMS Auction in Pakistan

Pakistan Ranked in Top 5 Mobile SubscriptionThis image cannot currently be displayed.


Source‐ Ericsson Mobility Report June 2016

Telecommunication Policy 2015

ContextExpectations

Policy Goals

Telecom Policy 2015VisionUniversally available, affordable and qualitytelecommunication services provided through open,competitive and well managed markets and ubiquitouslyadopted to the benefit of the economy and society.

Policy Statement on Broadband Widespread Availability of Affordable Broadband Services

Provided Over Fixed and Mobile Networks WithCharacteristics That Support Contemporary and NewDigital Applications and Content

Expectations

Telecom Policy 2015Policy Initiatives on Broadband

• Facilitate & Promote Fiber and Wireless NW Rollout

• Ensure Spectrum Availability

• Ensure Suitable Backhaul

• Competition in Retail Broadband

• Develop Regulatory Framework for VoIP

• Regulation for Provision of Hotspots

• Develop Broadband QoS Regime

• Facilitate Content Development

ContextExpectations

Policy Goals

Facilitation of Fiber & Wireless NWs Rollout

Fiber & Wireless NWs

Rollout

Fast Track RoW

Processing Spectrum Refarming, Sharing & Trading

Infrastructure Sharing

Sharing Utility Infrastructure

Develop Wholesale

Fiber Services

Include BB in USF

BB QoSRegime

Prefer Fiber Over Copper

ContextExpectations

Policy Goals

Future Frequency Assignment RoadmapFrequency Band Bandwidth (MHz) Status

700 MHz 703‐748 /758‐803 Under Refarming

850 MHz 824‐834/869‐879 Assigned for NGMS in June 2016

1800 MHz 1775‐1785 /1870‐1880 Available

2100 MHz 1950‐1980 /2140‐2170 10 MHz available, rest is under Refarming

2300 MHz 2300‐2400 Under Refarming

2600 MHz 2500‐2570/2620‐2690 Under Refarming

THANKS

Deployed Broadband Technology Trends

9.3

10.8

79.9

June 2015

Fixed (DSL, HFC, FTTH)Wireless (WiMAX, EvDO, Others)Mobile Broadband

Internet Usage Trend in PakistanSocial

Networking

Facebook

Twitter

Instagram

Pinterest

Linkedin

Main Languages

English

Urdu

Web Portals

Google

Windows Live

Yahoo

Gaming

Playstation

Xbox Live

Ecommerce

Olx

rozee.pk

pakwheels.com

zameen.com

Online Videos

Daily motion

Tune.pk

Broadband Commission Goals ‐ 2015National Broadband Plan ‐ by 2015 All Countries to Have aNational BB Plan

Coverage• Infrastructure• KPIs

Usage• Literacy Programs

• Community Access

Integration• e – education, health, governance , etc.

Beyond NBP •Malaysia’s IoT Roadmap

Phases of a NBP


37

Universal Access• Universal Service Funds


Source : ITU – UNESCO Report 2015

USF Funds With Funding Options for BB ‐ 2013

Fixed BB Growth

38–920 Million Subscribers by 2019 –Sustained Growth Expected in Fixed BB

The Americas177 m23%

Africa4 m0%

Arab States14m2%

Asia & Pacific365m46%

CIS39 m5%

Europe186 m24%

Status of Fixed BB Subscriptions ‐ 2015

Source : ITU

Policy Measures to Increase BB Access

39

Supply Side

Review and update regulatory frameworks regularly

• Amongst Telco's and non‐Telcos like powerlinesInfrastructure sharing

• Measures could include spectrum refarming, sharing and trading.

Ensure availability of clean spectrum to deploy mobile BB.

• USFs, USOs instead of spectrum proceeds, • Reduction in taxes and import duties on telecom equipment and services.

NW expansion through

• Effective whole sale and retail markets and formulation of effective technical standards.Measures to make BB affordable through

Policy Measures to Increase BB Access

40

Demand Side

Availability of Low Cost Devices

Local Applications and Content in Local Languages.

Create User Awareness of BB Availability & Market Prices

Literacy and Training Programs

Focus on women, Handicapped and Impoverished.

Telecom Data Revenue

42.6 50.3

64.7 72.2 90.0 115

12.4 13.7

15.8 16.4

19.3

25.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2009‐10 2010‐11 2011‐12 2012‐13 2013‐14 2014‐15

Percen

tage

Rs. B

illion

Revenue from Data Services by telecom OperatorsShare of Data Revenue in Total Telecom Revenues

Fixed Wired BB Subscription/100 Inhabitants

http://www.itu.int/net4/itu‐d/icteye/


Extensive Data Usage on 3G Networks3G shares % 2G shares %

Voice 3% 87%

Data 97% 13%

1,243 1,322

1,601

1,887 2,392 2,837 2,583 3,021 2,954 3,070 2,892 3,503 3,005

2,908 3,133 2,824

2,888

363 691

4,448

8,634 9,594

13,689 14,841

15,934 16,282 17,942 18,294

20,737 21,932 22,194

24,061

63 143 266 616 996 1,600 1,815 2,536 3,040

3,526 4,701 5,130

6,051

1243 13221964 2578

6903

1161412443

1732518,790

20,604 20,989

23,980 24,339

27,171

29,765 30,149

33,000

‐

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

Jan‐14 Mar‐14 Jun‐14 Sep‐14 Dec‐14 Mar‐15 Jun‐15 Aug‐15 Sep‐15 Oct‐15 Nov‐15 Dec‐15 Jan‐16 Feb‐16 Mar‐16 Apr‐16 May‐16

In Terra Bytes (T

Bs)

2G 3G 4G Total

3G Launch

4G Launch

Outstanding Growth in MBB After Auction

26,611

45,153

168,082

413,809

900,648

1,491,491

2101315

2,721,659

3,795,923

16,885,518

17,709,663

18,918,107

21,186,585

23,203,957

24,810,240

26,315,496

29,323,215

30,966,581

31,645,171

32,717,756

‐

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

Total B

road

band

Sub

scrib

ers

Addition of 29.7 million mobile broadband subscriberssince the launch of 3G and 4G LTE services: more than1.3 million additions per month

National Broadband Plan

45Source‐ The Status of Broadband 2015‐ ITU

Phase 1‐Deployment 2‐Adoption 3‐Integration

Focus BB network availability

BB Access & Capacity Building for effective use

BB integration in economy and society

Examples Optical Fiber Cable & Wireless BB Access networks

Digital literacy programmes,Community access projects

e‐healthE‐governanceE‐educationE‐commerce

Indicators Telecom Indicators Performance Indicators

Outcome/Impact measure

Broadband Focal Issues

46

88% 86% 82% 81%75%

66% 65% 64%

45%37%

31% 29%

14%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Source‐.Planning for Progress‐Why National BB Matters by ITU‐Cisco July 2013

ContextExpectations

Policy Goals

Pakistan Broadband Policy 2004 Policy issued in 2004 by Federal Government

BB defined as “Always on internet connection with a download speed of at least

128kbps connectivity.”

Major policy objectives

Spreading of affordable, always on , bb high speed internet service across

Pakistan.

Encourage entry and growth of new service providers.

Encourage private sector investment in local content generation and BB

service provision

Class licenses will be issued for provision of BB using access platform of

LL,LDI infrastructure

Encouraging the deployment of new technologies WiMAX, FTTH etc.

Broadband Subscribers – Top Five Operators

TelenorMobilink CMPak

PTCLUfone

4,162,616

3,656,345

3,003,222

2,659,120 2,570,283

( June 2015 )

ContextExpectations

Policy Goals

Pakistan Telecom Policy 2015Vision Universally available, affordable and quality telecommunication services

Open Competitive and Well managed markets

Used by all

Benefit to economy and Society

Guiding Principles

Market Driven

Appropriate Regulation

Forward looking

Accelerated Digitalization

Universal Access

Government Intervention Only When necessary

ContextExpectations

Promote competition

Ensure consumer welfare

Encourage Innovation

Promote Private sector investment

Efficient allocation and management of

Spectrum, Infrastructure and Right of ways

Affordable broadband services for every

Pakistani

Maximize the use of Broadband in public sector

especially Health Care, Education and Utilities

Policy Goals

Licensing Framework

VoIP and OTT

Net Neutrality

Satellite based

broadband

Wi‐Fi off‐loading and convergence

Spectrum Re‐farming

Spectrum Trading

Areas of Focus

Policy Goals

Telecom Policy 2015

BB Growth Driver‐IOT This image cannot currently be displayed.


Fixed Vs Mobile Broadband Subscription growth

52



Source‐ ITU

Driver of BB Data DemandThis image cannot currently be displayed.

Fixed Broadband Subscriptions

54



Tremendous growth in Mobile Broadband

55

The rapid expansion of Asia‐Pacific is squeezing other regions in terms of regional market shares. For example, Europe and the Americas both saw declining proportional shares of mobile broadband subscribers from 2014 to 2015 despite absolute increases in the number of subscribers. Source‐ The Status of Broadband 2015‐ ITU


Fixed Vs Mobile Broadband Subscription

56



What is Broadband

57

• Traditionally, broadband has often been defined in terms of data transmissionspeed (i.e., the amount of data that can be transmitted across a networkconnection in a given period of time, typically one second, also known as the datatransfer rate or throughput).

• To address these limitations, some countries and international organizations(e.g., OECD) have decided not to categorize broadband in terms of speed, but areinstead looking at broadband in terms of functionality—focusing on what can andcannot be done with a certain type of connection.

• In general

Broadband means a fixed‐line and /or wireless connection that enables the delivery of voice, video, and data at high speed to any node with a similar connection, whether around the corner or

around the world

Source‐ ITU‐ http://broadbandtoolkit.org/1.2

Broadband Technologies

58

• Fixed BroadBand (FBB)• Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) ‐ Wireline transmission technology that transmits

data faster over traditional copper telephone lines already installed to homes andbusinesses.

• Asymmetric DSL‐ Provides faster speed in the downstream direction than theupstream direction for home users.

• Symmetric DSL‐ typically provides significant bandwidth for both upstreamand downstream e.g. video Conference.

• Cable Modem‐ Provides broadband using the coaxial cables• Fiber ‐ transmits data at speeds far exceeding current DSL or cable modem speeds,

typically by tens or even hundreds of Mbps.• Mobile BroadBand (MBB)

• Wireless LAN‐ provide wireless broadband access over shorter distances to extendthe reach of a "last‐mile" Wireline or fixed wireless broadband connection withina home, building, or campus environment.

• Mobile Broadband‐ Provide wireless broadband services using HSPA,CDMA,LTE,LTE‐A

• Satellite‐ provide wireless broadband in remote or sparsely populated areas usingsatellite. Source‐ https://www.fcc.gov/general/types‐broadband‐connections

MBB – Wireless TechnologiesThis image cannot currently be displayed.

Source‐ 3GPP Alliance, UMTS Forum, InformaTelecoms & Media, Motorola, ZTE, Huawei, internal analysis

THANKS

60

Broadband for Networked Society - ITU · PDF fileBroadband for Networked Society ......

Documents

Transcript of Broadband for Networked Society - ITU · PDF fileBroadband for Networked Society ......