Brik tymofii sunbelt presentation

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“Euro-Maidan” Revolution in Ukraine. Facebook & Social Capital Sunbelt, Brighton, 2015 Tymofii Brik PhD student Carlos III

Transcript of Brik tymofii sunbelt presentation

“Euro-Maidan” Revolution in Ukraine.

Facebook & Social Capital

Sunbelt, Brighton, 2015

Tymofii BrikPhD studentCarlos III

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

Euro-Maidan

President Yanukovich does not sign an

agreement with EU, Students’ protests

are severely attacked

Spontaneous protests reacting to the attack

on students

Organized protest with anti-

governmental and pro-EU rhetoric

Violent protests with wounded and killed,

President fled the country

November 2013 December 2013 January 2014 February 2014

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

Volunteering organizations:

• Supplies (food, water, clothing, shelter, medicine, weapons)

• Psychological support• Legal advice• Information coverage + international• Analytics• Protection (Maidan guards and the neighborhood

watch)• Traffic

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Can it be explained by Internet

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Online communication and social capital

(1) Online networks are the forms of social capital (structural holes, information asymmetry)

(2) Online networks spread information as public good (trust, commitment, community, predictable behavior)

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Online communication and civil society

(1) Online communication serves as a public sphere

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

Data

• Research Project “Revolutions-Actions-Cooperation-Online” (RACOON)

• The data were collected from the EuroMaidan Facebook page

• I used Netvizz application on the weekly basis• Overall, 27,458 posts and 1,123,049 comments

generated on this Facebook page from November 2013 to May 2014 are analyzed by means of social network analysis tools.

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Limitations

• No “real” friendship ties• No private messages• No broad social context

FACEBOOK PAGE – A PUBLIC SPHERE?

Average posts per week

EuroMaidan Facebook page ( 23.11.2013-31.05.2014)XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

Information posted, %

EuroMaidan Facebook page ( 23.11.2013-31.05.2014)

Video-links

Own content/text

Photo

Text-links

7

17

22

54

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Descriptives

Descriptive statistics, EuroMaidan Facebook page ( 23.11.2013-31.05.2014)

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Interactions

Averages per day. EuroMaidan Facebook page, ( 23.11.2013-31.05.2014)

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Comment/Share ratio

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Comment/Share ratio

SOCIAL NETWORK ANALYSIS

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First part

• 200 posts are randomly selected for a certain stage of the revolution (4 waves)

• Each post includes comments• The network of comments to posts is the 2-

mode behavioral network• These networks are transformed into 1-mode

behavioral networks • 2-mode networks are simulated in Pajak and

then transformed to 1-mode state

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

Descriptives

Periodization by Sviatnenko & Vinogradov (2014)

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Density

Pro-European Dignity Violent After EuroMaidan

0.01

0.02 0.02 0.020.02

0.050.05

0.08

at random empirical

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

Transitivity

Pro-European Dignity Violent After EuroMaidan

0.390.36

0.390.35

0.66 0.650.67 0.67

at random empirical

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Part 2

• Longitudinal analysis:– 400 people are randomly selected during the 1

week of the communication– The links between them are built – The same 400 people and links between them are

followed in all stages of the revolution

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Limitation (?)

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

Limitation (?)

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

Limitation (?)

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

Limitation (?)

Likes

Likes

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Descriptives

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XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton

Conclusions

• Facebook page as public sphere As data suggest the period of revolution itself was not a time of many conversations. • Social capital on individual levelCloseness centrality and betweenness centrality both correlate with likes received. However, their influence was conditioned on the stage of the revolution.

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Work in progress (Anti-Maidan)