Brief Presentation for the International Conference on Urbanizing … · 2016-03-02 · Brief...
Transcript of Brief Presentation for the International Conference on Urbanizing … · 2016-03-02 · Brief...
Brief Presentation for the International Conference on Urbanizing Deltas of the World on Research Uptake
Bangladesh Delta Plan (BDP) 2100
Catharien Terwisscha van Scheltinga, Bangladesh Delta Plan Formulation Team
With special thanks to colleagues at BDP formulation team and
General Economics Division (GED), Bangladesh Planning Commission
Overview of the presentation 1. Context and background of Bangladesh Delta Plan (BDP) 2100
2. Key characteristics of the BDP2100
3. BDP2100 Vision and Goals
4. Process summary and outputs
5. Hotspots
6. Status (Jan 2016)
7. Knowledge Round Table
Context
Bangladesh: remarkably consistent average economic growth rate of 6% over the last seven years.
Ambitions to become a middle-income country in 2021, well under way
Making this growth sustainable is even more challenging in the face of extreme adverse climate variability, with frequent storm and tidal surges, flooding, and droughts. Climate change is threatening the significant achievements made by Bangladesh in the last two decades.
As for example, If nothing was done, by 2050, climate change impact could make an additional 14% of the country extremely vulnerable to floods and dislocate more than 35 million people in the coastal districts.
Context….
Given the current ambition to attain middle-income country status, and to address the expected impacts of climate change, there is a need for an integrated approach to future land and water management in relation to water safety and food security.
Needed to that is a holistic plan with a long term vision and strategies commonly supported by all relevant stakeholders.
The recent and future anthropogenic changes in the hydrological cycle due to e.g. climate change, construction of dams and barrages in the upstream countries in combination with increasing water demand are expected to make future water governance and management even more challenging.
Initiation of BDP 2100 Preparatory team, 2011
http://bangladesh.nlembassy.org/binaries/content/assets/p
ostenweb/b/bangladesh/netherlands-embassy-in-
dhaka/import/water-management/project-
factsheets/bangladesh-delta-plan-brochure.pdf
MoU, May 2012
The Bangladesh Delta Plan 2100 Formulation Project was
undertaken by the General Economics Division (GED) of the
Planning Commission for implementation over a period of
30 months, starting from March 2014 in cooperation with
and assistance of the Government of the NL (end: Sep 2016)
Total costs: BDT 878.644 million of which BDT 764.712
million NL grant , 113.932 million GOB.
Another MoU betwee BGD, NL, World Bank, 16 June 2015
regarding strengthening water management in Bangladesh
Delta (a.o. assistance for investment planning for BDP2100)
Salient Features of BDP 2100
A holistic, adaptive and long-term (50 to 100 years) strategic plan inter-linking land, environment and water management
The purpose is to maintain a sustainable living environment for the people
BDP provides a vision, scenario and strategies with long-term interventions and an investment plan to solve water sector problem
Conducting 19 Baseline Studies for assessing present status
Building on GoB’s long-term development vision, Perspective Plan of Bangladesh 2010-21 and other existing sectoral plans
Tentative BDP 2100 Vision and Goals Ensure long term water and food security, economic growth and environmental
sustainability while effectively coping with natural disasters, climate change and other delta issues
through robust, adaptive and integrated strategies, and equitable water governance.
Goal 1: Ensure safety from floods and climate change related disasters
Goal 2: Ensure water security and efficiency of water usages
Goal 3: Ensure sustainable and integrated river systems and estuaries management
Goal 4: Conserve and preserve wetlands and ecosystems and promote their wise use
Goal 5: Develop effective institutions and equitable governance for in country and trans-
boundary water resources management
Goal 6: Achieve optimal use of land and water resources
Bangladeshi & Dutch Delta Plans
BDP 2100 incorporates many lessons learned from Dutch Delta Plan:
- Adaptive delta management: long term, flexible and integrative approach
- Strategy making & Scenarios; working with Hotspots
- Governance: already during planning process preparing the institutional setting, funding, fast track of implementation
Also characteristic differences making BDP 2100 a real Bangladeshi Delta Plan
- The Delta Vision and Goals show a broader scope leading to:
- a holistic approach with 19 themes
- large network of stakeholders and involved issues and broad consultation
- challenges related with many opportunities in the ongoing development
- Larger and highly dynamic delta with mighty rivers and more than 400 other rivers
- Other Trans-Boundary and Governance challenges
Copyright Bandudeltas - 201
Investment and Implementation Plan
Formulation of Bangladesh Delta Plan 2100
Monitoring & Evaluation of the BDP 2100
DELTA
ATELIERS
&
TT
INTERACTION
GC
Current Policy Situation
Sectoral status
Drivers & Problems
Integrated Analysis
Finalization of Baseline Studies
Formulation of Delta Vision
Development of Assessment Framework
Scenario Development
Analysis of Strategies
Preferred Strategies
Governance and Legal Framework
Institutional Development & Capacity Building
Preparation of Sectoral & Regional
Arrangements
Dissemination
Financial Mechanisms
ADAPTIVE STRATEGIESBASELINE STUDIES DELTA FRAMEWORK
7th
Five Year Plan
Summary of Process and Outputs of BDP 2100
Deliverable Status Expected date of Completion
Baseline Studies 90% 30 Nov-15
Vision, Scenarios and Assessment Framework 85% 30 Nov-15
Strategy Development 65% 28 Feb-16
Input 7th Five-Year Plan 100%
Investment planning 30% 31 August-16
Delta Ateliers (Workshops) 95%
Delta Framework 65% 31 Jan-16
Implementation Strategy 50% 31 Mar-16
Financing and Private Sector Participation 65% 31 Mar-16
Information Portal / Knowledge Management 70% 31 Dec-15
Capacity Building 50% 31 August-16
Delta Plan Document (1st Draft) Final Draft
25% 30 Jun-16
31 Dec-16
Status of BDP 2100 Formulation Project
Future
The biggest challenge will be mobilizing the fund for the implementation of
Bangladesh Delta Plan 2100; the 7th Five Year Plan indicates a block provision for
at least 2% of the GDP
www.bandudeltas.org
KnowledgeRound Table
BDP Knowledge Round Table, 1 March 2016
• For Delta Plan Document, input required regarding ‘knowledge for the future’
• Knowledge Round Table planned for 1 March 2016
• Preparatory process ongoing
• Using ‘Burning Issues’ as starting point for the round tables, identifying key research questions
• Contact: [email protected] if you want to be involved
BDP Knowledge Round Table: issues and questions 1. Ganges/river/ecosystems If one of the major rivers of the country would have very little
discharge – what would happen?
2. Coast Which water management measures do we foresee in 100 years to
address sediment/salinity?
3. Floods What level of safety against flooding for people, assets, agriculture and
environment does Bangladesh want to provide in 100 years
4. Finance How are sustainable investments and O&M for delta management
prioritized and financed in 2100?
5. Water for Food If food security is to be ensured where will the food production areas be
in 100 years and how will water for food be available?
6. Urban Where do the people live in the country and how will cities deal with water in 2100
(spatial planning, drinking water supply, sanitation, sewage, urban drainage, safety from flooding)
7. Governance How do centralized and decentralized decision making in water management work
together in 2100?
8. Climate change Which parameters to be applied given the cc per region (for downscaling at local level)
9. Adaptive water management (burning issue to be defined) (use of scenarios?)