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Transcript of BRICS Sai Kumar Swamy PGPM, IIM Bangalore. Agenda Origin of Term Other Terms Facts about BRICs ...
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BRICSSai Kumar SwamyPGPM, IIM Bangalore
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Agenda
Origin of Term Other Terms Facts about BRICs Country-wise analysis of
Economy Political Environment Social Indicators
Issues faced by BRICs BRICs - Future
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Origin of Term – GS report 2001 The aggregate size of the BRICs was about 23.3%
(PPP) of world GDP at the end of 2000 Higher than Euroland and Japan
Size of BRICs currently is 8% (as per GDP) Some are larger than G7 nations – China > Italy &
Canada Analysis projected 4 possible scenarios of the future
BRICs rise from 8% to 12% - A BRICs rise from 8% to 27% - D BRICs should be part of Global Economic Policy
Predictions for 2010-11 China to be bigger than Germany Brazil and India closing in on Italy Brazil will experience the weakest growth China will become a better trading nation than the #3
rank it has
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BRICs – Some key Facts
Population – 40% Land – 25% GDP – $13-14Tn Mfcg Goods – China Services – India Raw materials – Russia & Brazil 2050
USA – 38 India – 37 China – 70 Brazil – 11 Russia – 8
Mega-Diverse Countries Resource Rich
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Other Terms
BRIMCBRIMCKBRICKBRICSCEMENT
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Brazil – Key facts
Portuguese colony 5th largest country in the world
8.5Mn sq. Kms 3 time zones
Rich in natural resources World’s largest river – Amazon Population – 192 Mn
5th largest Density of Population – 22 per Sq. Km
Forest Cover – 57% 2nd largest forest area in the world Amazon Heat Sink
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Brazil – Economy
GDP $2.5Tn Rank – 6th PCI – $10,455 Growth rate – 3% Agriculture – 6%; Industry – 27%; Services – 67%
Inflation – 6.5% Labor Force – 100Mn Exports
$200Bn Aircraft, Automobiles, Sugar, Ethanol, Textiles, Iron Ore,
Orange Juice, Beef Imports
$180Bn
Forex Reserves - $350Bn Oil Importer – From 2006 its been self sufficient
in Oil
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Brazil – Social Indicators & Political Environment
Democratic Federal Republic Presidential System
Dilma Roussef Workers Party
Political Environment Stable History of Army rule
HDI 0.813 - HIGH Rank – 75
Poverty – 26% Crime – 23.8 Infant Mortality – 34 Literacy – 88%
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Russia – Key facts Largest country in the world
17Mn sq. Kms 11 time zones
Rich in natural resources Largest Natural Gas reserves 2nd largest Coal reserves Highest Oil producer 4th highest Nuclear Energy
10% of World’s arable land Water resources – 2nd in the world Population – 142 Mn
9th largest Density of Population – 8 per Sq. Km
Forest Cover –26% Largest forest area in the world
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Russia – Economy
Commodity driven economy GDP
$1.4Tn Rank – 10th PCI – $10,521 Growth rate – 4.9% Agriculture – 4%; Industry – 37%; Services – 59%
Inflation – 6.1% Labor Force – 75Mn Exports
$376Bn Oil, Natural Gas, Minerals, Timber, Arms, IT Services
Imports $237Bn
Forex Reserves - $502Bn Economic crisis – 1990s
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Russia – Social Indicators & Political Environment
Federation Semi-Presidential System
President – Head of State Vladimir Putin Dimitry Medvedev
Political Environment Stable
HDI 0.817 - HIGH Rank – 71
Poverty – 14% Crime – 30 Infant Mortality – 69 Literacy –99.4%
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China – Key facts
3rd/4th Largest country in the world 9.6 Mn sq. Kms 1 time zone
Rich in natural resources 10% of World’s arable land World’s largest exporter
2nd largest importer Largest standing army Population – 1338 Mn
Largest Density of Population – 139 per Sq. Km
Forest Cover –20%
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China – Economy GDP
7.3Tn Rank – 2nd PCI – $5184 Growth rate – 9.5%
Distribution of growth Agriculture – 9%; Industry – 47%; Services – 44%
Inflation – 5% Labor Force – 780Mn Exports
$1600Bn Office machinery, telecom equipment, Apparel
Imports $1300Bn
Forex Reserves - $3200Bn Economic reforms – 1978 Energy & Transportation bottlenecks
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China – Social Indicators & Political Environment
People’s Democratic Dictatorship Single Party system Presidential System
Hu Jintao Political Environment
Un-Stable Democratic Movements suppressed
HDI 0.772 - MEDIUM Rank – 91
Poverty – 10% Crime – 30 Infant Mortality – 69 Literacy –99.4%
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ANNEXURES
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BRICs
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Brazil - Map
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Brazil - Resources
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Brazil - Deforestation
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Brazil - Deforestation
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Brazil – GDP Growth Rates
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Brazil – GNI
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Brazil - Exports
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Russia - Map
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Russia - GDP
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Russia – GDP Growth Rates
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Russia - GNI per Capita
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Russia - Exports
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Russian Oil & Gas Pipelines
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China - GDP
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China – GDP Growth Rates
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China – GDP Growth Rates
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China - Distribution of growth
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China – Natural Resources
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China – Exports
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China - GNI per Capita
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Mega-diverse Countries
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Gini
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HDI