Brexit Express April 2019 - comresglobal.com · Brexit Express – April 2019 ComRes interviewed...
Transcript of Brexit Express April 2019 - comresglobal.com · Brexit Express – April 2019 ComRes interviewed...
Brexit Express – April 2019
ComRes interviewed 1,061 GB adults online on 16 April 2019. Data were weighted to be demographically
representative of all GB adults by age, gender and region. Voting intention questions were also weighted by past
vote recall and likelihood to vote. Additional questions relating to the EU were weighted by 2016 EU Referendum
results. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at
www.comresglobal.com
All press releases or other publications must be checked with ComRes before use. ComRes requires 48 hours to
check a press release unless otherwise agreed.
For information about commissioning research please contact [email protected] or call +44 (0)20 7871 8660.
To register for Pollwatch, featuring commentary and insight from the ComRes team, please email: [email protected]
REPUTATION | COMMUNICATIONS | PUBLIC POLICY
Four Millbank | London | SW1P 3JA | T. +44 (0)20 7871 8660
Rond-Point Schuman / Schumanplein 6 | Box 5 | 1040 Bruxelles | T. +32 (0)2 234 63 82
51/F Raffles City | No.268 Xi Zang Middle Road | HuangPu District Shanghai | 200001 China | T. +86 (0)21 2312 7674
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
9713514811355788786118431011801651961891961355365251061Unweighted base
94*14914310253*77*94*89*12245*92*2451571881701841185435181061Weighted base
406546537344333456211537063424419195197392Conservative42%IJO44%IJOQ32%JO52%IJKlOQ14%43%IJOq45%IJOq37%IJO36%IJO13%23%62%CDEFG45%CDEF34%CDe25%c24%17%36%38%37%
1950592826212636532825475163758451192179371Labour20%34%S41%IMNPS27%48%IMNPrS27%28%41%imnPS44%IMNPS62%IKLMNP27%19%32%H34%H44%FGH46%FGH44%fGH35%35%35%
QRS
1571284136524189151385234568Liberal Democrat16%IKlMNq5%9%N8%N7%n2%3%7%n4%6%4%7%6%8%8%4%4%4%9%B6%
R
----------29-66773141529SNP----------32%JKLMNOP-4%H3%H4%H4%H2%H3%3%3%
QRS
----3-------1-111213Plaid Cymru----6%IKLMNPQ-------*-**1%***
RS
38332510251117611542232245Other4%5%i2%3%4%7%Iq11%IjkLPQs3%4%2%1%7%CDe4%6%cd3%2%2%4%4%4%
11181878101110106999202329286850119Did not vote12%12%13%7%15%13%12%11%8%13%10%4%5%11%gH14%GH16%GH24%dEFGH13%10%11%
3-3235-1214-3943518523Don't remember3%R-2%2%r5%MR6%klMR-1%2%2%r4%mR-2%H5%dH2%H1%h5%dH3%A1%2%
3-2--21-21--31-537411Prefer not to say4%ilpR-1%--2%r1%-2%2%r--2%eH1%-2%EH2%EH1%1%1%
Page 1
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 1
Q1. Thinking back to the (UK) General Election of June 2017, which party, if any, did you vote for?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
24738592661714524695440793643611061Unweighted base
25229*54*26518444049248*29*68*3713921061Weighted base
123-126167117268----392392Conservative49%IJK-21%IK2%91%IJKL27%55%G----100%BCDE37%
58272365215131---371-371Labour23%HK7%14%H89%HJKL3%49%F27%---100%ACDE-35%
17-29525510--68--68Liberal Democrat7%HI-53%HIKL2%1%12%F2%--100%ABDE--6%
123-11217-29---29SNP1%78%HIJL-1%*5%F2%-100%ABCE---3%
2----213----3Plaid Cymru1%----1%*6%ABC----*
32121-73545----45Other13%HIJk2%Hi3%HI*-2%7%G94%ABCD----4%
16441581428-----119Did not vote6%12%h7%6%5%3%6%g-----11%
3---168-----23Don't remember1%---1%1%2%-----2%
--11-43-----11Prefer not to say--2%hL*-1%1%-----1%
Page 2
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 2
Q1. Thinking back to the (UK) General Election of June 2017, which party, if any, did you vote for?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
7811712310144607575103358717315016615915793436462898Unweighted base
77*13012092*42*61*82*79*108*37*79*23614315814314782*449459908Weighted base
406546537344333456211537063424419195197392Conservative52%IJOq50%IJOq38%iJO57%IJKlOQ18%55%IJkOQ52%IJOq42%IJO41%IJO16%26%65%CDEFG49%CDE40%Cde30%30%24%43%43%43%
1950592826212636532825475163758451192179371Labour25%38%s49%IMnPS30%61%IMNPRS34%32%46%imPS49%IMnPS75%IKLMNP31%20%35%H40%H53%FGH57%FGH63%FGH43%39%41%
QRS
1571284136524189151385234568Liberal Democrat19%IjKlMN5%10%mn9%n9%n2%4%8%4%7%5%8%6%9%9%5%6%5%10%B7%
pqR
----------29-66773141529SNP----------37%JKLMNOP-4%H4%H5%H5%H3%H3%3%3%
QRS
----3-------1-111213Plaid Cymru----7%IKLMNPQ-------1%-1%1%1%***
RS
38332510251117611542232245Other4%6%i3%4%5%9%Iq13%IjkLPQs3%5%2%1%7%d5%7%d3%3%3%5%5%5%
Page 3
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 3
Q1. Thinking back to the (UK) General Election of June 2017, which party, if any, did you vote for?Base: All respondents who say who they voted for
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
2283454248161427430544079364361898Unweighted base
23325*50*24917541745348*29*68*371392908Weighted base
123-126167117268----392392Conservative53%IJK-23%IK2%96%IJKL28%59%G----100%BCDE43%
58272365215131---371-371Labour25%HK8%15%H95%HJKL3%52%F29%---100%ACDE-41%
17-29525510--68--68Liberal Democrat7%HI-58%HIKL2%1%13%F2%--100%ABDE--7%
123-11217-29---29SNP1%89%HIJL-1%*5%F2%-100%ABCE---3%
2----213----3Plaid Cymru1%----1%*6%ABC----*
32121-73545----45Other14%HIJk3%Hi4%HI*-2%8%G94%ABCD----5%
Page 4
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 4
Q1. Thinking back to the (UK) General Election of June 2017, which party, if any, did you vote for?Base: All respondents who say who they voted for
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
9713514811355788786118431011801651961891961355365251061Unweighted base
94*14914310253*77*94*89*12245*92*2451571881701841185435181061Weighted base
5589916227396060852960185991151009959323334658Absolutely certain (10)58%60%64%n61%51%50%64%n67%No69%NO66%65%No76%CDEFG63%Cd61%c59%54%50%60%65%b62%to vote
51111116593105915151813177404685(9)5%8%8%11%l12%l7%9%4%8%11%9%6%10%9%8%9%6%7%9%8%
71017836557467811172015393877(8)8%7%12%km8%5%7%5%5%6%8%6%3%5%6%10%gH11%fGH12%FGH7%7%7%
956333722136388710222041(7)9%iKlPr3%4%2%5%4%7%K2%1%2%3%2%2%4%4%4%8%dGH4%4%4%
123313321-45-745216723(6)1%1%2%3%3%3%3%3%1%-4%2%g-4%G2%g2%G1%3%a1%2%
385345-66237858105251844(5)3%5%M3%m2%8%M7%M-6%M5%M4%m3%3%5%3%4%6%5%5%4%4%
3-12-2--1111213133710(4)3%R-1%2%-2%r--1%2%r1%*1%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%
-112-2213--1221427512(3)-1%1%2%-2%2%1%2%--1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%
26-31---3-254122211516(2)2%4%lmnQ-3%Q2%---2%q-2%q2%3%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%
5754555431273138104261844Certain not to vote (1)5%5%3%3%9%IKq6%5%4%2%2%2%3%2%7%Gh5%5%g4%5%3%4%
671101208136497468101387420812214312913681402418820NET: 8-1071%74%83%NOrS80%N68%64%78%n77%n83%NOS85%Nos81%No85%CDEF78%c76%76%74%69%74%81%B77%
15151510812101094101913222222196552118NET: 4-716%k10%10%10%16%16%k10%11%8%8%11%8%9%12%13%12%16%GH12%10%11%
Page 5
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 5
Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certainNOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
94*14914310253*77*94*89*12245*92*2451571881701841185435181061Weighted base
7145867759141391612158442872NET: 1-37%10%q4%8%11%ijq8%8%5%7%2%4%5%6%8%7%8%6%8%a5%7%
59333946324612771010322051Don't know6%6%2%2%5%12%iKmPQ4%7%kq2%5%5%2%8%fH4%4%6%h8%fH6%4%5%
8.468.468.91NO8.628.048.148.788.84o8.85no9.09no8.97NO9.09CDEF8.87cd8.548.538.398.368.528.83B8.67Mean
2.592.712.052.482.982.792.402.362.351.902.072.172.272.632.502.582.452.582.272.44Standard deviation
0.270.240.170.240.410.340.260.270.220.300.210.160.180.190.190.190.220.120.100.08Standard error
Page 6
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 5
Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certainNOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
24738592661714524695440793643611061Unweighted base
25229*54*26518444049248*29*68*3713921061Weighted base
1922244193132312314302250260273658Absolutely certain (10)76%75%81%73%72%71%F64%63%74%73%70%70%62%to vote
152429234535215383385(9)6%5%8%11%l12%L10%f7%3%5%7%10%8%8%
172320162731433262677(8)7%8%5%7%9%6%6%9%10%4%7%7%7%
12211171515212151341(7)5%6%3%4%4%3%3%3%2%3%4%3%4%
71-728112127323(6)3%3%-3%1%2%2%4%a3%4%a2%1%2%
912641619312111044(5)3%3%3%2%2%4%4%6%3%3%3%3%4%
-----35--11510(4)-----1%1%--1%*1%1%
-----451--3312(3)-----1%1%2%--1%1%1%
-----1112-11616(2)-----*2%G5%aB-1%*2%b2%
-----519--131044Certain not to vote (1)-----1%4%G--1%1%2%b4%
2242651241171384380362658324332820NET: 8-1089%89%94%91%93%87%F77%75%90%e85%87%E85%e77%
2833241342516273432118NET: 4-711%11%6%9%7%10%10%13%8%11%9%8%11%
-----11353-261972NET: 1-3-----2%7%G7%B-2%2%5%B7%
Page 7
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 6
Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certainNOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
25229*54*26518444049248*29*68*3713921061Weighted base
-----3263127851Don't know-----1%5%G5%3%2%2%2%5%
9.389.379.589.419.449.18F8.698.659.42e9.189.25aE9.018.67Mean
1.301.281.091.171.091.742.472.351.241.821.582.112.44Standard deviation
0.080.210.140.070.080.080.120.330.200.210.080.110.08Standard error
Page 8
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 6
Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certainNOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
8211313799466077741053991165141172165168112455468923Unweighted base
80*12513390*45*60*83*78*11041*83*22513416414815798465463927Weighted base
1831552113152023372013283046516644132133265Labour22%25%41%IlMNPR24%30%i24%24%29%i34%Is49%ILMNoP16%12%22%H28%H35%GH42%FGH44%FGH28%29%29%
SRS
182518236182615183166925371824118896184Conservative23%Jq20%j14%25%JoQ13%29%JkOQ31%iJKOQ19%16%7%19%31%CDEfG19%22%CdE12%15%12%19%21%20%
1319101466912232350271812465463117Brexit Party17%IjQ15%Ijq7%15%Ijq14%I10%10%i16%Ijq21%IJmnQ4%4%22%CDEF20%CDEF11%D8%D3%6%12%14%13%
461372359335146616146243761Change UK - The5%5%10%K8%5%5%6%12%Kr3%7%6%6%4%3%11%FGh9%F6%5%8%b7%Independent Group
71010102324521157810123193654Liberal Democrat8%I8%I7%i11%IkM4%5%3%5%4%4%1%7%5%5%7%8%4%4%8%B6%
234325425251476632201737UKIP3%2%3%4%5%8%qr4%3%5%5%6%6%d5%4%4%2%2%4%4%4%
----------29-56773151429SNP----------35%JKLMNOP-4%H4%H5%H4%H3%H3%3%3%
QRS
24321123512415456101525Green Party2%4%2%2%3%1%2%3%5%2%2%2%1%3%2%3%6%Gh2%3%3%
----3------11--11223Plaid Cymru----8%IjKLMNP------1%1%--*1%***
QRS
-31---2111-221121549Other-2%1%---3%1%1%3%-1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%
-13----1--1--21-3335Prefer not to say-1%2%----1%--1%--1%1%-3%DGH1%1%1%
Page 9
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 7
Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs to Westminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
80*12513390*45*60*83*78*11041*83*22513416414815798465463927Weighted base
1723181091015912792924292320139444138Don't know21%ik19%13%12%19%16%18%11%11%18%11%13%18%18%15%12%14%20%A9%15%
Page 10
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 7
Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs to Westminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
2473859266171435403483974349331923Unweighted base
25229*54*26518442442542*28*64*357360927Weighted base
---265-162731152366265Labour---100%HJKL-38%F17%2%5%8%A66%ACDE2%29%
----18469105-125167184Conservative----100%IJKL16%25%G-3%3%1%46%BCDE20%
117----211514121578117Brexit Party46%HIJK----*27%G33%aBCD3%2%4%22%BCD13%
61----35182-13221861Change UK - The24%HIJK----8%F4%4%-20%ABDE6%5%7%Independent Group
--54--4262-2971254Liberal Democrat--100%HIKL--10%F1%5%-45%ABDE2%3%6%
37----1347-152137UKIP15%HIJK----*8%G16%ABCD-1%2%6%B4%
-29---205123-2-29SNP-100%HIJL---5%F1%2%A80%ABCE-1%-3%
25----19351112525Green Party10%HIJk----4%F1%12%ABC2%1%3%1%3%
3----212-1--3Plaid Cymru1%i----1%*5%AB-2%AB--*
9----365--319Other4%HI----1%1%12%ABCD--1%*1%
-----4--1--15Prefer not to say-----1%F--3%AB--*1%
-----655941114952138Don't know-----15%14%10%5%17%d14%14%15%
Page 11
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 8
Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs to Westminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
6591116883750636593328114411614014014794359422781Unweighted base
63*101*11379*36*51*68*68*98*33*74*19711013312513882*368417784Weighted base
1831552113152023372013283046516644132133265Labour28%30%i48%IlMNPR27%37%I29%29%33%I38%I60%IKLMNo18%14%27%H35%H41%GH48%FGH53%eFGH36%32%34%
SPRS
182518236182615183166925371824118896184Conservative29%JQ25%j16%29%JQ16%35%iJKoQ37%IJKlOQ22%18%9%21%35%CDEG23%e28%CDE14%17%14%24%23%23%
1319101466912232350271812465463117Brexit Party21%IjQ19%IjQ9%17%Iq17%I12%i13%i18%Iq24%IJmnQ5%4%25%CDEF24%CDEF14%D9%D3%7%15%15%15%
461372359335146616146243761Change UK - The6%6%12%K9%7%6%7%14%Kr4%9%7%7%5%4%13%FGh10%f7%6%9%8%Independent Group
71010102324521157810123193654Liberal Democrat10%I10%I8%I12%Ikm5%6%3%5%5%5%2%7%6%6%8%9%4%5%9%b7%
234325425251476632201737UKIP4%3%3%4%6%10%qr5%3%5%6%7%7%d6%5%5%2%2%6%4%5%
----------29-56773151429SNP----------39%JKLMNOP-5%H5%H6%H5%H4%H4%3%4%
QRS
24321123512415456101525Green Party3%4%2%2%3%2%2%4%5%3%2%2%1%4%3%4%7%GH3%4%3%
----3------11--11223Plaid Cymru----9%IjKLMNP------1%1%--1%1%***
QRS
-31---2111-221121549Other-3%1%---3%1%1%3%-1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%
Page 12
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 9
Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs to Westminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
2473859266171365347433662302282781Unweighted base
25229*54*26518435536638*26*53*308307784Weighted base
---265-162731152366265Labour---100%HJKL-46%F20%2%5%10%A77%ACDE2%34%
----18469105-125167184Conservative----100%IJKL20%29%G-3%4%2%54%BCDE23%
117----211514121578117Brexit Party46%HIJK----*31%G36%BCD3%3%5%25%BCD15%
61----35182-13221861Change UK - The24%HIJK----10%F5%4%-24%ABDE7%6%8%Independent Group
--54--4262-2971254Liberal Democrat--100%HIKL--12%F2%5%-55%ABDE2%4%7%
37----1347-152137UKIP15%HIJK----*9%G18%ABCD-2%2%7%B5%
-29---205123-2-29SNP-100%HIJL---6%F1%2%A87%ABCE-1%-4%
25----19351112525Green Party10%HIJk----5%F1%14%ABCd3%2%4%2%3%
3----212-1--3Plaid Cymru1%i----1%*6%AB-2%AB--*
9----365--319Other4%HI----1%2%13%ABCD--1%*1%
Page 13
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 10
Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs to Westminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
17222111910149127102125322521189646142Unweighted base
17**24**20**10**9**10**15**10**12**7**10**29**24**31*23**20**16**97*46*143Weighted base
331212311--25234114317Change UK - The18%12%5%19%14%19%22%11%8%--8%21%7%11%20%5%14%7%12%Independent Group
2231122----351-1210212Conservative12%6%14%8%11%20%10%----11%19%3%-5%12%10%4%8%
141-----31--151-36410Labour4%17%4%-----25%15%--4%17%4%-16%6%8%7%
---1--1-21111211-426UKIP---8%--7%-18%13%10%4%4%7%4%4%-4%5%4%
112-1-1----1113--426Liberal Democrat7%4%9%-9%-7%----4%4%3%12%--4%3%4%
11-------1-3--1---44Brexit Party8%6%-------13%-10%--4%---8%B3%
1--------3-1--11-213Green Party5%--------34%-5%--4%4%-2%3%2%
----2-------1--1-112Plaid Cymru----23%-------4%--5%-1%2%1%
--------------------SNP--------------------
-1-----------1----11Other-4%-----------3%----2%1%
-13----1-----1112235Prefer not to say-4%14%----9%-----3%4%5%11%2%6%3%
811117468862916111813119552378Don't know47%46%54%65%43%61%54%80%48%26%90%58%44%57%56%57%56%57%51%55%
Page 14
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 11
Q4. If it were a legal requirement for you to vote, do you think you would probably vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) but who say don't know or prefer not to say
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
-----705653124749142Unweighted base
-**-**-**-**-**69*59*4**2**11**49*53*143Weighted base
-----87--24817Change UK - The-----12%12%--18%8%16%12%Independent Group
-----55---11112Conservative-----8%9%---2%20%B8%
-----43--17-10Labour-----6%5%--7%15%A-7%
------41--126UKIP------7%G26%--2%3%4%
-----42--3116Liberal Democrat-----5%4%--25%2%2%4%
------4---134Brexit Party------6%G---2%5%3%
-----211--3-3Green Party-----3%2%17%--5%-2%
-----2----2-2Plaid Cymru-----3%----4%-1%
-------------SNP-------------
------1----11Other------2%----2%1%
-----31----15Prefer not to say-----4%2%----2%3%
-----4131226292678Don't know-----60%52%57%100%51%59%50%55%
Page 15
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 12
Q4. If it were a legal requirement for you to vote, do you think you would probably vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) but who say don't know or prefer not to say
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
741021239242546966993782153130152150155100399441840Unweighted base
72*113*12083*41*54*75*69*104*39*75*20912414513414587*408436844Weighted base
1835562113152023402113283152526646138137275Labour25%31%i46%IlMNPR26%32%i27%26%33%I39%Ips54%ILMNoP18%13%25%H36%gH39%GH46%fGH53%EFGH34%31%33%
SRS
202721237202715183167230381825139798196Conservative28%Jkq24%J18%28%Jkq16%36%iJKlOQ36%IJKlOQ21%j17%8%21%j35%CDEg24%E26%CdE13%17%15%24%22%23%
r
1520101466912233353271813465466121Brexit Party20%IjQ18%IQ8%16%Iq15%I11%11%17%Iq23%IJmnQ7%4%25%CDEF22%CDEF13%D9%D3%7%13%15%14%
69149458104351611819187384078Change UK - The9%8%12%K11%k9%9%11%15%K4%8%7%8%9%5%14%Fh12%F8%9%9%9%Independent Group
81111103334521168813123233760Liberal Democrat11%I10%I10%I12%Ik6%6%4%5%5%5%2%8%6%6%9%8%4%6%9%7%
234425527361588742241943UKIP3%3%3%5%6%9%qr6%3%7%7%8%7%cd6%6%5%3%2%6%4%5%
----------29-56773151429SNP----------39%JKLMNOP-4%H4%H5%H5%H3%H4%3%3%
QRS
24321123532615566121628Green Party3%4%2%2%3%2%2%4%5%9%pq2%3%1%4%3%4%7%G3%4%3%
----5------12--21335Plaid Cymru----13%IJKLMNP------1%1%--1%1%1%1%1%
QRS
-41---2111-2221215510Other-4%p1%---3%1%1%3%-1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%
Page 16
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 13
Q3/Q4. Voting IntentionBase: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party at Q3 or Q4
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
2473859266171390373453668321306840Unweighted base
25229*54*26518438039440*26*58*328332844Weighted base
---265-166761162436275Labour---100%HJKL-44%F19%2%5%10%A74%ACDE2%33%
----18475110-126177196Conservative----100%IJKL20%28%G-3%3%2%53%BCDE23%
117----211914121681121Brexit Party46%HIJK----*30%G35%BCD3%3%5%24%BCD14%
61----43252-15262678Change UK - The24%HIJK----11%F6%4%-25%ABDE8%d8%d9%Independent Group
--54--4582-3281360Liberal Democrat--100%HIKL--12%F2%5%-54%ABDE3%4%7%
37----1388-162343UKIP15%HIJK----*10%G20%ABCD-1%2%7%Bc5%
-29---205123-2-29SNP-100%HIJL---5%F1%2%A87%ABCE-1%-3%
25----21461114528Green Party10%HIJk----6%F1%15%ABCd3%1%4%A2%3%
3----412-12-5Plaid Cymru1%i----1%*6%AB-2%A1%-1%
9----375--3210Other4%HI----1%2%12%ABCD--1%1%1%
Page 17
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 14
Q3/Q4. Voting IntentionBase: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party at Q3 or Q4
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
9713514811355788786118431011801651961891961355365251061Unweighted base
94*149*143*102*53*77*94*89*122*45**92*245157188170184*118*5435181061Weighted base
33603435173343375813291428179473113196196392Leave35%40%Q24%35%31%42%Q46%iQ42%Q48%IoQ29%32%58%CDEF51%CDE42%CDE28%Cd17%11%36%38%37%
2238494222223137401347875964586927164199364Remain23%25%34%41%rS41%s29%32%42%rS33%30%51%KMNQRS35%c38%C34%34%37%c23%30%38%B34%
3651602415212014211515161141648277173119292Did not vote39%IKLMp34%IKL42%IKLMnP23%28%27%22%16%17%33%16%6%7%22%GH38%FGH45%FGH65%DEFGH32%A23%27%
1--1-2-*3-1-3212*617Can't remember1%--1%-2%-*2%-1%-2%h1%*1%*1%*1%
3*-------4--32-*1427Prefer not to say3%*-------9%--2%h1%-*1%1%*1%
Page 18
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 15
Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
24738592661714524695440793643611061Unweighted base
23131**64**27119136439248**29**68*3713921061Weighted base
148455290-392296797241392Leave64%HI13%7%19%47%I-100%G60%21%11%26%C61%BC37%
51183612471364-71946168115364Remain22%58%56%46%L37%L100%F-15%65%68%AB45%A29%34%
319239330--1241410436292Did not vote13%28%37%34%HL16%--26%14%21%A28%A9%27%
1--1------1-7Can't remember*--*------*-1%
---2------2-7Prefer not to say---1%------*-1%
Page 19
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 16
Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
7611712310248667979106349117715517916115990449472921Unweighted base
55*978377*38*55*74*75*98*26**77*2291401421059939*360395756Weighted base
33603435173343375813291428179473113196196392Leave60%IopQ61%IOPQ41%46%43%60%IQ59%IQ50%59%IopQ49%38%62%CDE58%CDE55%CDe45%cD31%32%54%50%52%
2238494222223137401347875964586927164199364Remain40%39%59%KMNRS54%kRs57%kRs40%41%50%41%51%62%KMNRS38%42%45%55%fGH69%EFGH68%eFGH46%50%48%
Page 20
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 17
Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016?Base: All respondents who say which way they voted
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
2323452234160452469513975338354921Unweighted base
19922*40*17616136439236*25*54*265356756Weighted base
148455290-392296797241392Leave75%HIJK19%11%29%J56%IJK-100%G80%aBCD25%13%37%C68%BCD52%
51183612471364-71946168115364Remain25%81%HL89%HIL71%HL44%L100%F-20%75%AE87%ABE63%AE32%e48%
Page 21
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 18
Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016?Base: All respondents who say which way they voted
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
9713514811355788786118431011801651961891961355365251061Unweighted base
94*149*143*102*53*77*94*89*122*45**92*245157188170184*118*5435181061Weighted base
388288402939485055246089648610012589276278554Remain41%55%p61%KPS40%54%50%51%56%ps45%54%65%KmnPS36%41%46%59%fGH68%FGH76%EFGH51%54%52%
37594146173043345913261467977463820197208405Leave40%40%28%46%IQ33%38%45%IQ38%49%IoQ29%28%59%CDEF50%CDE41%CDE27%20%17%36%40%38%
157138284463410101719145532274Would not vote16%IKLMoR5%9%8%4%10%4%5%5%8%5%4%6%9%h11%H7%5%10%A4%7%
---3-1----1-1--4-415Can't remember---3%-1%----1%-1%--2%h-1%**
4-245--2241*3764314923Prefer not to say4%r-2%4%r9%IKlMNQR--2%1%9%1%*2%h3%H3%H2%3%h3%2%2%
Page 22
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 19
Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
24738592661714524695440793643611061Unweighted base
23131**64**27119136439248**29**68*3713921061Weighted base
8227542106432341192346274123554Remain36%87%85%77%HL33%89%F11%39%79%68%A74%A31%52%
146354912433334295984257405Leave63%I11%8%18%65%I9%85%G60%19%13%23%66%BC38%
3151025161112121074Would not vote1%2%8%4%1%1%4%G1%2%18%AB3%3%7%
----11----115Can't remember----**----***
---212*--1-123Prefer not to say---1%***--1%-*2%
Page 23
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 20
Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
81129138102527083811123795173155177173178124482498980Unweighted base
76*142*128*87*46*68*90*84*114*37**86*235143164145*162*110*473486959Weighted base
388288402939485055246089648610012589276278554Remain51%58%68%KmPs47%62%57%53%60%48%65%70%KmPS38%45%53%H69%FGH77%FGH82%eFGH58%57%58%
37594146173043345913261467977463820197208405Leave49%Iq42%32%53%IQ38%43%47%iq40%52%IQ35%30%62%CDEF55%CDE47%CDE31%c23%18%42%43%42%
Page 24
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 21
Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?Base: All respondents who say which way they would vote
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
2443757258167442444533974351348980Unweighted base
22830**59**25918835637647**28**55*358380959Weighted base
8227542106432341192346274123554Remain36%89%92%81%HL34%91%F11%39%81%83%A77%A32%58%
146354912433334295984257405Leave64%I11%8%19%66%I9%89%G61%19%17%23%68%BC42%
Page 25
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 22
Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?Base: All respondents who say which way they would vote
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
9713514811355788786118431011801651961891961355365251061Unweighted base
94*149*143*102*53*77*94*89*122*45**92*245157188170184*118*5435181061Weighted base
38728148232646494920501377579769242236265500Absolutely certain (10)40%48%57%KNs47%43%34%48%55%kN41%44%54%kN56%CeF48%c42%45%50%c35%43%51%B47%to vote
269625436428128883252348(9)2%4%6%6%3%6%5%3%5%10%2%3%8%h4%5%4%3%5%4%5%
3518324853654101362110342963(8)3%4%13%KPrs3%4%5%8%6%3%14%5%2%6%H7%H4%11%EH8%H6%6%6%
10952357-8353615121011292756(7)10%Lp6%l4%2%5%l6%L7%L-7%L6%5%l1%4%8%H7%H5%h10%H5%5%5%
2142-43326137651057291140(6)2%9%lPq2%-8%Pq4%3%2%5%p2%3%3%4%2%6%3%6%5%A2%4%
431017367716471892310814453983(5)4%2%7%17%ioQRS6%7%8%8%13%Rs9%8%8%6%12%Dg6%5%12%d8%7%8%
1115261211453337581725(4)1%1%1%5%4%8%KmQRs1%2%1%1%5%k2%2%1%2%4%5%2%3%2%
131111424--3442228917(3)1%2%1%1%2%1%4%2%4%--1%3%2%1%1%2%1%2%2%
76-111-22-444372214923(2)7%kMnpQ4%q-*3%1%-2%1%-4%mQ2%3%2%4%1%2%3%2%2%
1721109911971425381326221055856114Certain not to vote (1)18%Ilq14%7%9%16%i14%9%8%11%5%6%16%CDg8%14%CD13%cd5%4%11%11%11%
43831085726355857593056149971009112055294317611NET: 8-1046%56%75%iKmNOP56%50%45%61%n63%kNs48%68%61%kns61%c62%C53%53%65%Cef47%54%61%b58%
RS
17271925122018103081934244535303811194205NET: 4-718%18%13%24%lq22%26%Lq19%11%25%Lq18%21%14%15%24%gH20%16%32%DeGH20%18%19%
Page 26
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 23
Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely wouldyou be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to voteBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
94*149*143*102*53*77*94*89*122*45**92*245157188170184*118*5435181061Weighted base
24301111111213102029452133311498074154NET: 1-326%ILmPQ20%Q8%11%21%Q15%13%12%16%5%10%18%cD14%17%cD18%cD8%8%15%14%15%
109594116121348171511141916583391Don't know11%q6%4%9%8%15%Q6%13%Q11%q9%8%7%9%6%8%11%13%f11%A6%9%
6.647.308.36KNOpr7.476.886.827.728.02knS7.148.217.92nS7.497.787.127.238.16EF7.397.417.647.53MeanS
3.743.452.663.183.563.383.043.113.272.502.973.553.103.323.402.712.753.223.223.22Standard deviation
0.410.310.220.310.500.400.340.360.310.390.310.280.250.250.260.200.250.150.140.10Standard error
Page 27
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 23
Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely wouldyou be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to voteBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
24738592661714524695440793643611061Unweighted base
23131**64**27119136439248**29**68*3713921061Weighted base
143204615296228191211933208204500Absolutely certain (10)62%H64%72%56%50%63%F49%44%64%49%56%52%47%to vote
91416102619211212048(9)4%2%6%6%5%7%5%4%4%1%6%5%5%
61426132020215331863(8)3%2%6%10%L7%l6%5%3%2%8%9%a5%6%
8311319169611191756(7)4%8%2%5%10%iL4%2%12%2%1%5%4%5%
8-21521491-618940(6)3%-3%6%h1%4%2%1%-9%A5%2%4%
181510152126618193183(5)8%4%8%4%8%6%7%12%4%11%b5%8%8%
44*75810-4291025(4)2%13%1%3%3%2%2%-14%3%2%2%2%
1--34871--41017(3)*--1%2%2%2%1%--1%3%2%
1-14349--64523(2)1%-1%2%2%1%2%--8%AB1%1%2%
191-10196626141748114Certain not to vote (1)8%2%-4%10%I2%16%G13%2%6%5%12%B11%
1592154195119274229252039262242611NET: 8-1069%68%84%72%h62%75%F58%51%70%57%70%ac62%58%
388945415853126176467205NET: 4-716%25%13%17%21%16%14%26%21%25%17%17%19%
21111826187771102663154NET: 1-39%2%1%6%13%i5%20%G14%2%14%b7%16%B15%
Page 28
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 24
Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely wouldyou be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to voteBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
23131**64**27119136439248**29**68*3713921061Weighted base
13111361332423202091Don't know6%5%1%5%3%4%8%G9%7%4%5%5%9%
8.278.439.088.41H7.708.68F7.277.398.477.398.36AC7.597.53Mean
2.902.561.822.503.082.273.553.252.643.152.573.303.22Standard deviation
0.190.420.240.160.240.110.170.470.430.360.140.180.10Standard error
Page 29
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 24
Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely wouldyou be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to voteBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
64941288339496964893682127125141147157100387410797Unweighted base
59*109*126*76*36**48*75*65*88*38**71*178*118142*122*143*88*397393790Weighted base
9226113131218172821819243836783013094224Labour15%20%49%IkLMNP17%37%26%i24%i27%I32%IpS55%11%11%20%h27%H29%H54%CEFGH34%gH33%A24%28%
RS
12159173101611113133915231114166357119Conservative21%Q14%7%22%Q10%21%Q21%Q17%q12%7%18%Q22%DEg13%17%9%10%19%16%14%15%
122012154791619*454321512524475119Brexit Party20%I18%i10%20%I11%16%12%24%IQ22%Iq1%6%30%CDEF27%CDEF10%d9%d3%3%11%19%B15%
7712653610222119617810214162Change UK - The12%ik6%9%7%15%6%9%15%IK3%5%3%6%8%5%14%dFh6%12%5%10%B8%Independent Group
420117124343121766138184361Liberal Democrat6%19%IKlmn9%i10%i3%4%5%5%4%8%2%12%f6%4%5%9%9%4%11%B8%
1232128-634947103125934UKIP2%2%3%3%3%5%11%Lqr-7%l8%6%l5%4%5%8%d2%2%6%A2%4%
23531242433618656102232Green Party4%3%4%4%3%4%5%4%5%7%4%3%1%6%g5%g4%6%g3%6%b4%
----------25265831131225SNP----------35%KLMNPQR1%5%h3%7%H2%1%3%3%3%
S
----2-------1--1*1*2Plaid Cymru----5%-------1%--*****
-21-----11-12--2-224Other-1%1%-----1%2%-1%1%--1%-1%1%1%
-21--1-------1111224Prefer not to say-2%1%--3%-------1%1%1%1%*1%1%
Page 30
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 25
Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party,Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
59*109*126*76*36**48*75*65*88*38**71*178*118142*122*143*88*397393790Weighted base
121691258105132111717331411126836104Don't know21%Q15%7%16%14%16%13%8%15%7%16%10%15%23%DEH12%8%14%17%A9%13%
Page 31
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 25
Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party,Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
2083556233142397325393567312275797Unweighted base
19325*62**23315532427337**22*54*317299790Weighted base
121209-112344-42012224Labour*6%HL1%90%HKL-34%F12%12%-7%A64%ACD1%28%
1--11135146-1-2110119Conservative1%--*73%IKL16%17%-3%-1%37%BCD15%
83-122471129131392119Brexit Party43%HIK-2%1%16%IK2%41%G24%2%6%4%31%BCD15%
44-22430141-13182262Change UK - The23%HIK-3%1%3%9%F5%3%-24%ABD6%8%8%Independent Group
4-5221335*119112161Liberal Democrat2%-84%1%1%10%F2%1%3%36%ABD4%7%8%
27----2249-161534UKIP14%HIK----*9%G24%-1%2%5%4%
20115123491214532Green Party11%HI5%H2%2%*7%F1%25%5%3%4%2%4%
-21---193-18-4-25SNP-86%HIL---6%F1%-82%ABC-1%-3%
2----2-2----2Plaid Cymru1%----1%-5%----*
4----232--3-4Other2%i----1%1%5%--1%-1%
-----1*---*14Prefer not to say-----**---**1%
7151111432811124532104Don't know4%3%9%5%7%13%10%2%5%22%Ad14%11%13%
Page 32
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 26
Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party,Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
5179114763340615878327011410811613013985324368692Unweighted base
47*91*115*64*31**39**65*59*75*35**60*160*101108*106*131*75*326355682Weighted base
9226113131218172821819243836783013094224Labour18%24%53%IkLMPR21%43%32%28%i29%i38%Ips59%13%12%23%H35%gH34%H59%cEFGH40%gH40%A26%33%
S
12159173101611113133915231114166357119Conservative26%Q17%7%26%Q11%26%24%Q19%q14%8%21%Q24%DE15%22%de11%11%22%19%16%18%
122012154791619*454321512524475119Brexit Party25%Iq22%i11%24%Iq13%19%14%26%IQ25%IQ1%7%33%CDEF32%CDEF13%cD11%d4%3%13%21%B17%
7712653610222119617810214162Change UK - The15%iK7%10%9%17%7%10%16%IK3%6%3%7%9%6%16%dFh6%14%6%11%b9%Independent Group
420117124343121766138184361Liberal Democrat8%22%IKLm10%11%i4%5%6%6%5%8%2%13%7%5%6%10%11%5%12%B9%
1232128-634947103125934UKIP3%2%3%4%3%6%13%Lqr-8%L9%7%l5%4%6%9%D2%2%8%A3%5%
23531242433618656102232Green Party5%4%4%5%4%5%6%4%6%7%4%4%1%7%G6%g4%7%g3%6%5%
----------25265831131225SNP----------42%KLMPQRS1%6%h4%8%H3%1%4%3%4%
----2-------1--1*1*2Plaid Cymru----5%-------1%--*1%***
-21-----11-12--2-224Other-2%1%-----1%2%-1%2%--1%-1%1%1%
Page 33
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 27
Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party,Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
2043453219130341290383356273243692Unweighted base
18524**57**222143*28024536**21*42*271266682Weighted base
121209-112344-42012224Labour*6%1%94%HL-40%F14%12%-10%Ad74%ACD1%33%
1--11135146-1-2110119Conservative1%--*79%IL18%19%-3%-1%41%BCD18%
83-122471129131392119Brexit Party45%HI-2%1%17%I2%46%G24%2%7%5%35%BCD17%
44-22430141-13182262Change UK - The24%HI-3%1%3%11%F6%3%-31%ABD7%8%9%Independent Group
4-5221335*119112161Liberal Democrat2%-91%1%1%12%F2%1%3%46%ABD4%8%9%
27----2249-161534UKIP14%HI----1%10%G24%-2%2%5%5%
20115123491214532Green Party11%HI5%2%2%1%8%F2%25%6%4%5%2%5%
-21---193-18-4-25SNP-89%---7%F1%-86%ABC-1%-4%
2----2-2----2Plaid Cymru1%----1%-5%----*
4----232--3-4Other2%i----1%1%5%--1%-1%
Page 34
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 28
Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party,Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
9713514811355788786118431011801651961891961355365251061Unweighted base
94*14914310253*77*94*89*12245*92*2451571881701841185435181061Weighted base
49726949263845426026431257491819948-518518Male51%49%48%48%48%49%48%47%49%58%46%51%c47%48%48%54%C41%-100%B49%
46767553283949476219491208397888570543-543Female49%51%52%52%52%51%52%53%51%42%54%49%53%52%52%46%59%Dh100%A-51%
Page 35
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 29
GenderBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
24738592661714524695440793643611061Unweighted base
25229*54*26518444049248*29*68*3713921061Weighted base
137143613396231239241545179197518Male55%50%65%hI50%52%52%49%49%51%66%ABe48%50%49%
114151913288209253241423192195543Female45%50%35%50%J48%j48%51%51%c49%34%52%C50%C51%
Page 36
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 30
GenderBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
9713514811355788786118431011801651961891961355365251061Unweighted base
94*14914310253*77*94*89*12245*92*2451571881701841185435181061Weighted base
101223539151013512-----118704811818-2410%8%16%oPR5%6%12%p16%oPr11%11%12%13%p-----100%DEFGH13%a9%11%
831441111101510171115----184-859918425-349%21%lPS31%IKLMNP11%21%pS13%16%12%14%25%lPS16%----100%CEFGH-16%19%17%
rS
142131161012111617815---170--888117035-4415%14%21%m16%19%15%11%17%14%17%17%---100%CDFGH--16%16%16%
172426231011201024617--188---979118845-5418%16%18%22%L18%15%21%l11%20%l13%18%--100%CDEGH---18%18%18%
20181111917101921714-157----837415755-6421%mPQr12%8%11%17%Q22%mPQr11%21%mpQr17%Q16%q15%q-100%CDEFH----15%14%15%
25439361018242530719245-----12012524565+26%Q29%Q6%35%IJknOQ19%Q23%Q25%Q28%Q24%Q17%Q21%Q100%CDEFG-----22%24%23%
51.71iJmQ48.83Q39.1253.38IJMn47.42Q48.87Q47.08Q50.75jQ49.69Q45.00Q47.12Q71.24CDEF59.16CDEF49.77CDE39.50CD29.98C21.7447.6548.2547.94Average ageOQRG
Page 37
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 31
AgeBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
24738592661714524695440793643611061Unweighted base
25229*54*26518444049248*29*68*3713921061Weighted base
213344115227335511911818-248%10%6%16%HjL6%12%F5%6%9%8%14%A5%11%
2971266249851578844418425-3411%24%hL22%hL25%HL13%22%F10%9%25%AcE12%23%ACE11%17%
39710511876685713754217035-4415%h25%H18%h19%H10%17%14%11%24%Ae19%a20%A11%16%
366846377110111615636318845-5414%22%14%18%20%16%21%g23%21%22%17%16%18%
435730255889769517015755-6417%i19%13%11%14%13%18%g15%21%13%14%18%15%
85-1528698415717-184715324565+34%IK-27%IK10%K38%IK19%32%G36%BD-27%BD13%D39%BCD23%
52.36IK41.8448.70Ik41.2454.20IJK45.4853.56G53.78BD42.6350.89BD43.0855.48BCD47.94Average age
Page 38
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 32
AgeBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
9713514811355788786118431011801651961891961355365251061Unweighted base
94*14914310253*77*94*89*12245*92*2451571881701841185435181061Weighted base
----------92191417151512494392Scotland----------100%JKLMNOP8%9%9%9%8%10%9%8%9%
QRS
---------45-7768115192645North East---------100%IKLMNOP-3%5%3%4%6%5%3%5%4%
QRS
--------122--3021241717136260122North West--------100%IJLMNOP--12%13%13%10%9%11%11%12%12%
QRS
-------89---251910161010474289Yorkshire & Humberside-------100%IJKMNOP---10%f12%DF5%9%6%8%9%8%8%
QRS
------94----241020111515494594West Midlands------100%IJKLNOP----10%7%10%6%8%13%Eg9%9%9%
QRS
-----77-----18171112109393877East Midlands-----100%IJKLMOP-----7%11%d6%7%6%8%7%7%7%
QRS
----53------1091010113282653Wales----100%IJKLMNP------4%6%5%6%6%3%5%5%5%
QRS
---102-------361123161155349102Eastern---100%IJKLMNO-------15%CDG7%12%CD10%c6%5%10%10%10%
QRS
--143--------911263144237569143London--100%IJKLMNO--------4%7%14%GH18%GH24%FGH19%GH14%13%14%
PRS
Page 39
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 33
GO RegionBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
RegionAgeGenderYork-
shire &SouthSouthEast-East Mid-West Mid-Humb-NorthNorthScot-WestEastLondonernWaleslandslandsersideWestEastland65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
(s)(r)(q)(p)(o)(n)(m)(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
94*14914310253*77*94*89*12245*92*2451571881701841185435181061Weighted base
-149---------4318242131127672149South East-100%IJKLMNO---------17%c12%13%12%17%c10%14%14%14%
PQS
94----------25201714810464994South West100%IJKLMN----------10%D12%D9%d9%4%8%8%9%9%
OPQR
Page 40
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 33
GO RegionBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
OtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeRemainLeaveOtherSNPDemocratLabourConservativeTotal(l)(k)(j)(i)(h)(g)(f)(e)(d)(c)(b)(a)
24738592661714524695440793643611061Unweighted base
25229*54*26518444049248*29*68*3713921061Weighted base
15291131650331294252192Scotland6%100%HIJL2%5%8%11%F7%1%100%ABCE6%7%5%9%
9-220318181-228645North East3%-3%7%HkL2%4%4%2%-4%7%Ad2%4%
38-5371846655-55345122North West15%K-9%k14%K10%k11%13%11%D-7%d14%cD11%D12%
27-4231540432-6363389Yorkshire & Humberside11%K-6%9%k8%k9%9%5%-9%d10%D9%d8%
21-22026345310-3264394West Midlands8%k-4%7%k14%IJKl8%11%22%ABCD-4%7%d11%bcD9%
15-3151825415-1213477East Midlands6%-6%5%10%k6%8%11%CD-2%6%9%Cd7%
15-213625225-426753Wales6%-3%5%3%6%4%11%AD-6%a7%Ad2%5%
26-10212350433-82853102Eastern10%K-18%IK8%k12%K11%9%7%-12%D7%d13%BD10%
31-10551872483-125946143London12%K-18%K21%HKL10%k16%F10%7%-18%De16%De12%D14%
35-10312550818-75065149South East14%K-19%K12%K14%K11%16%G16%D-10%D13%D17%D14%
21-7181830463-15194094South West8%k-12%K7%10%k7%9%7%-22%ABDE5%10%BD9%
Page 41
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 34
GO RegionBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Page 1
Page Table Title Base Description Base
� 1 1 Q1. Thinking back to the (UK) General Election of June 2017, which party, if any, did you vote for?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 2 2 Q1. Thinking back to the (UK) General Election of June 2017, which party, if any, did you vote for?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 3 3 Q1. Thinking back to the (UK) General Election of June 2017, which party, if any, did you vote for?
Base: All respondents who say who they voted for
898
� 4 4 Q1. Thinking back to the (UK) General Election of June 2017, which party, if any, did you vote for?
Base: All respondents who say who they voted for
898
� 5 5 Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 6 5 Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 7 6 Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 8 6 Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 9 7 Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs toWestminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP, Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
923
Page 2
Page Table Title Base Description Base
� 10 7 Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs toWestminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP, Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
927
� 11 8 Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs toWestminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP, Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
923
� 12 9 Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs toWestminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP, Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
781
� 13 10 Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs toWestminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP, Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
781
� 14 11 Q4. If it were a legal requirement for you to vote, do you think you would probably vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,
Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) but who say don't know or prefer not to say
142
� 15 12 Q4. If it were a legal requirement for you to vote, do you think you would probably vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,
Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) but who say don't know or prefer not to say
142
� 16 13 Q3/Q4. Voting Intention Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party at Q3 or Q4
840
� 17 14 Q3/Q4. Voting Intention Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party at Q3 or Q4
840
Page 3
Page Table Title Base Description Base
� 18 15 Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016? Base: All respondents 1061
� 19 16 Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016? Base: All respondents 1061
� 20 17 Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016? Base: All respondents who say which way they voted
921
� 21 18 Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016? Base: All respondents who say which way they voted
921
� 22 19 Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 23 20 Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 24 21 Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?
Base: All respondents who say which way they would vote
980
� 25 22 Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?
Base: All respondents who say which way they would vote
980
� 26 23 Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote
Base: All respondents 1061
� 27 23 Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote
Base: All respondents 1061
Page 4
Page Table Title Base Description Base
� 28 24 Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote
Base: All respondents 1061
� 29 24 Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote
Base: All respondents 1061
� 30 25 Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party, Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
797
� 31 25 Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party, Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
790
� 32 26 Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party, Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
797
� 33 27 Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party, Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
692
Page 5
Page Table Title Base Description Base
� 34 28 Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party, Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
692
� 35 29 Gender Base: All respondents 1061
� 36 30 Gender Base: All respondents 1061
� 37 31 Age Base: All respondents 1061
� 38 32 Age Base: All respondents 1061
� 39 33 GO Region Base: All respondents 1061
� 40 33 GO Region Base: All respondents 1061
� 41 34 GO Region Base: All respondents 1061