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Scalpers, Intra-Day, Position & Swing traders alike benefit from the correlations seen between the US
Dollar Futures Index (DX) & Commodity Futures such as Gold (GC) & Crude Oil (GC). The US Dollar
Index Futures is one of the most widely-recognized electronically-trader markets in the world.
Comparing the USD against a basket of major currencies, this futures index has relatively low daily
trading volume compared to Euro or Pound, and is primarily used for its strong correlations to aid
traders in many different situations. Professional traders watch the Dollar Index at the times it is most
active, which occurs from 8am to 12pm EST during trading days. The times also correspond well with
Crude Oil & Gold futures, which also see more activity at these times as well.There are many ways to
use the US Dollar Index for trading opportunities, but most traders find the DX to be most
consistently-used as a filter for high-risk trades.
Trade Commodites
Let's first discuss the basic correlation that traders use. There is a negative correlation between the DX
and almost every other market that traders watch. The Dollar is negative to other currencies b/c it's the
world reserve currency, and it's negative to commodities b/c of the simple laws of supply and demand.
Let's focus on the correlation to Gold & Crude Oil Futures.
(When the Dollar is rising, Crude Oil & Gold falls)
As traders, there are lots of different times in the day when the dollar begins to move more
dramatically, such as the open of the US Markets @ 9:30am EST, before and after major news events
such as Jobless Claims Reports or FOMC News. We look for the Dollar to begin its trend, and using the
negative correlation between these markets, we look for crude oil & gold opportunities to the opposite
of the dollar's trend. When the Dollar is trending, traders use Breakout Patterns to capitalize on thiscorrelation. With the dollar rising, look for high-percentage entries to the short side of Gold or Crude Oil
Futures.
(When the Dollar is flat, the Crude Oil & Gold is flat)
Most traders will use the Dollar correlation as a filter because it allows them to avoid high-risk entries on
Gold & Crude Oil Futures. Without a trend on Dollar, the Gold & Crude Oil Futures also show flat price
action, and tend to reverse their current trends often. The dollar has a tendency to get very choppy
during indecisive times in the market, and we tend to stay away from higher-risk trading on Crude Oil &
Gold during these times.
(When the Dollar is Flat, Traders use Trend-Reversal Patterns to Capitalize on this correlation)
Another important thing to watch on the Dollar is key Support & Resistance around simple chart
patterns. For example, using a Head & Shoulders pattern on the Dollar, traders will avoid trading Gold &
Crude Oil when the Dollar attempts to complete the trend reversal. Smart traders will wait to trade the
reaction to the move around these extreme levels, rather than trying to be the first to enter the market
when the Dollar here. In closing, the Dollar Index Futures can be used very effectively with a negative
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correlation with many of the market we love to trade. Of all the uses for this index, the most effective
way most traders use the Dollar is as a filter, to avoid taking high-risk trades on other markets such as
Crude Oil & Gold.
http://www.liveoilprices.co.uk/oil/tag/dollar-index/page/9/
Tag Archive: Dollar-Index
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Brent oil trading near $78 as Dollar Index moves higher
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Brent oil trading at $78, US Dollar Index slides under 80
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Brent oil trading firm at $78, eyes on US Dollar Index
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