Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money...

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Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific April 2016

Transcript of Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money...

Page 1: Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific ... Indonesia

Breaking Down the Barriers

for Mobile Money in Asia

Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific

April 2016

Page 2: Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific ... Indonesia

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0

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2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Wo

rld

wid

e M

ob

ile

Pa

ym

en

ts (

US

$B

)

Remote Proximity

Mobile Payments Are Set to Grow at an

Impressive Rate Worldwide Up to 2017

IDC projects that mobile

payments will account for more

than US$1 trillion in value in

2017.

The bulk of mobile payments

today come from remote

payments, typically related to

mobile commerce transactions.

However, proximity payments

are rising fast, driven mainly by

NFC based transactions

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Asia/Pacific seems unlikely to follow the payments

evolutionary path of already developed nations

Taiwan

Aus&NZ

China

Hong Kong

IndiaIndonesia

Korea

Malaysia

Philippines

Singapore

Thailand

Vietnam

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

-10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0%

The bulk of the population in Asia

have low credit card penetration rates

as well as debit card penetration

rates, swiping plastic is not yet in the

culture for many and with technology

advancements, it becomes unlikely

that it will evolve that way

Deb

it C

ard

Pe

ne

trati

on

(%

)

Credit Card Penetration (%)

Page 4: Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific ... Indonesia

Mobile Payments in the West:

Driven by Plastic

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Wallets Universal Credit Cards

Credit Card

Emulators

Page 5: Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific ... Indonesia

But in Asia, Limited Card Adoption Shifts the

Focus to Mobile Wallets

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Third Party Telco-Led

Bank-Led

Page 6: Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific ... Indonesia

There are a lot of factors pushing payments in

Asia/Pacific to follow its own unique path

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Large population markets in

Asia/Pacific have low credit card

penetration rates

Financial Inclusion policies in

markets such as India & Thailand

are trying to push debit card

usage

NFC penetration for smartphones is

still relatively low across

Asia/Pacific

QR codes have emerged in some

markets as technology-agnostic

methods of payment

Financial Instruments Technology

Page 7: Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific ... Indonesia

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Five Main Criteria for Assessing mPayment

Market Readiness

Financial Readiness

Cultural Readiness

Regulatory Readiness

Technology Readiness

Market Need for Mobile Payments

Page 8: Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific ... Indonesia

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92

8582 82

73 72 72 71 69 68

62

56

0

10

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Card Payments Leaders

Mobile Payments Leaders Mobile Money Leaders

We Then Grouped Markets into clusters

Depending on Their Rank and Characteristics

Page 9: Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific ... Indonesia

An Explanation of the Clusters and Their

Associated Characteristics

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Card Payments Leaders

Mobile Payments

Leaders

Mobile Money Leaders

Hi tech and high income markets

unlikely to give up their cards,

NFC will be the major model

Middle income markets with a lot

of smartphones but with low card

usage - the perfect brew for

mobile wallets to flourish

Emerging markets which lack the

infrastructure for internet based

payments, mobile money is the

most effective method here

Page 10: Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific ... Indonesia

Asia/Pacific Payments Landscape 2015

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Credit Card & Debit Card Annual Spend (US$)

Sm

art

ph

on

e In

sta

lle

d B

as

e (

%)

Taiwan

Aus&NZ

China

Hong Kong

India

Indonesia

Korea

Malaysia

Philippines

Singapore

Thailand

Vietnam

Size of spheres indicate

mCommerce market size

C: Mobile Money Leaders

A: Card Payments

Leaders

B: Mobile Payments

Leaders

Lo

w

Low High

Hig

h

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What We See Today

Bank A Bank B Bank C Bank D

Telco A Telco B Telco C Telco D

Mobile Phone A Mobile Phone B Mobile Phone C Mobile Phone D

How to start using a mobile payment

Highly limited customer pools who need to have a combination of a bank with a telco

and maybe even a certain phone brand before they can make payments

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What Can be Done..

Bank A Bank B Bank C Bank D

Telco A Telco B Telco C Telco D

Mobile Phone A Mobile Phone B Mobile Phone C Mobile Phone D

Situation after regulator intervention

Already seen in Thailand, Indonesia, Pakistan

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What We See Today in “Branchless Banking”

Signing up for branchless banking and payments

What can be done..

Branchless banking

needs a visit to

the…..branch?

Use mobile agents to

digitize and mobilize

whole process

Page 14: Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific ... Indonesia

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What We See Today in Cross Border Remittances..

Cross border remittances

What can be done..

Physical visit to money

transfer

Technologies like

Ripple and Bitcoin can

make these transfers

possible quicker and

cheaper

Page 15: Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific ... Indonesia

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Technologies like Ripple Could Change Things

Even Further – Uberfication of Remittance…

Agent 1 Agent 2 Agent 3 Agent 4

Joe wants to send

USD 2,000 back to

Philippines

Agents receive

notification of incoming

transfer request and

makes bidAgent bid of 93,750 Peso is the

highest and selected

Agent deposits money in mobile money

account in Philippines

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Indonesia’s financial services authority

(OJK) has helped catalyze much growth

Source: KPMG

Lack of access to sufficient

capital

The perception that

financing microfinance

institutions is high risk

Excessive regulatory

hurdles (Identification

documents for processes)

Inefficiency of large numbers of

MFIs and their lack of integration

into the financial system

Inadequate outreach to remote

and marginal areas

State backed MFIs crowding out

private institutions

2007 | Bank Indonesia introduces

Credit for Business program

(KUR), a 70% credit guarantee for

MFIs lending to MSMEs

2009 | BI rules that at least 20% of

bank loan portfolios be dedicated

to MSME loans by 2018

2012 | New relaxed regulation on

Funds Transfer easing cash-out

regulations and P2P transfer

requirements for agents

2013 | New Microfinance Law

drafted. Aims to increase oversight

of smaller MFIs

2013-2014 | BI pilots branchless

banking with five BUKU IV state

owned banks and three telecom

companies.

2014 | OJK introduced new

branchless banking regulations, to

ease agent use and

documentation requirements for all

commercial banks.

2015 ongoing | Microfinance law

and branchless banking

regulations enacted.

Perceived

issues holding

back

microfinance

growth

Regulatory

action

Page 17: Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia · Breaking Down the Barriers for Mobile Money in Asia Michael Sek Pheng Yeo, IDC Financial Insights Asia/Pacific ... Indonesia

• Interoperability is absolutely crucial to achieving scale in markets, this

should be the first priority for regulators

• Government intervention can make a huge difference, India and Thailand

are examples of governments making huge steps in electronic payments via

various schemes

• New services need new ways of thinking: New financing and payments

especially for the unbanked may require different assessment and

underwriting methods, as well as new business models

- If you are not sure how to create a framework to assess, open the floor up

to external participants

• Be open minded to new technologies and construct frameworks to allow for

their services to flourish : Bank and Fintech collaborations may be key here

in providing a balance of new services and stability

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Encouraging growth and breaking down the

barriers