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    Break Even Analysis

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    Break Even Analysis_v1 Dr. Harald Fien 2

    Break Even Analysis

    Break even

    Break even is a level of output and sales where total costs equals

    total revenue

    At this point the firms is making neither profit nor loss

    At output above break even the firm will be in profit

    At output below break even the firm will be making a loss

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    Break Even Analysis_v1 Dr. Harald Fien 3

    Break Even Analysis

    Assumptions

    All other variables remain constant

    A single product is produced

    Costs can be divided into fixed and variable elements There is a linear (straight line) relationship between output and total costs -

    variable costs per unit remain unchanged

    There is a linear relationship between output and sales revenue each unitis sold at the same price

    All output can be sold at the given price The analysis applies to the relevant range only

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    Break Even Analysis

    Costs

    Fixed costs

    Do not rise with output

    Examples

    rent

    rates

    administrative costs

    interest payments

    Variable costs

    Rise as output rises

    Examples :

    cost of materials

    labour costs

    Total costs = fixed costs + varable

    costs

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    Break Even Analysis

    Total revenue

    Also known as sales revenue or turnover

    Total revenue = quantity sold x price per unit

    This rises as sales rise

    If we assume that price is uniform throughout then there is a linear

    relationship between total revenue and sales volume

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    Break Even Analysis

    Graphical analysis

    Salesand

    cos

    ts()

    Sales / production (units)

    Total fixed costs

    Sales revenue

    Total costs

    Breakeven

    point

    Breakeven quantity

    Breakeven

    sales

    Sales revenue less

    Total costs

    = profit

    Variable costs

    = total costs

    less fixed costs

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    Break Even Analysis_v1 Dr. Harald Fien 7

    Break Even Analysis

    Notes on the break even graph (1)

    Fixed cost are shown as horizontal straight line

    Variable cost are added to the fixed costs

    Hence total costs start part way up the vertical axis

    Total sales revenue starts from the origin and rise in the form of a

    straight line

    Break even occurs at the intersection of total costs and total revenue We can read off both the break even quantity (horizontal axis) and

    break even revenue (vertical axis)

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    Break Even Analysis

    Notes on the break even graph (2)

    The triangles between the total cost and total revenue curves areareas of loss (to the left of break even point) or profit (to the right of

    the break even point) The actual profit or loss can be read off as the vertical distance

    between total cost and total revenue

    The gap between current output and sales and break even output

    and sales is known as the margin of safety

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    Break Even Analysis_v1 Dr. Harald Fien 9

    Break Even Analysis

    Contribution

    Contribution is equal to Sales revenue minus variable costs

    This is not the same as profit since so far only variable costs have

    been taken into account Contribution per unit = revenue per unit (i.e. price) minus variable

    cost per unit

    Contribution per unit can be regarded as that units contribution to:

    Fixed costs and

    Profits

    Once fixed costs have been covered the contribution is to profits

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    Break Even Analysis_v1 Dr. Harald Fien 10

    Break Even Analysis

    Break even formulae

    Contribution per unit

    = selling price minus variable costs per unit

    Break even (qu)

    = Fixed costs

    Contribution per unit

    Break even () =

    Fixed costs x Price

    Contribution per unit

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    Break Even Analysis

    Example

    Given data

    Fixed costs: 500k

    Variable costs per unit: 13Selling price per unit: 19

    Calculations

    Contribution per unit: (19 - 13) 6

    Break even quantity: 500k/6 = 83,334 unitsBreak even revenue: (500k/6) x 19 = 1,583,333

    Note: for break output in quantity terms always round up to the nearest whole number.Never round down

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    Break Even Analysis

    Rise in selling price

    As price rises the total revenue curve rises at a steeper angle

    Break even occurs at a lower level of

    Sales volume and

    Sales revenue

    Also at each quantity level profits will be higher than before

    But we are assuming the customers are not deterred from buying asa result of the higher price

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    Break Even Analysis_v1 Dr. Harald Fien 13

    Break Even Analysis

    Rise in variable costs

    The total cost curve starts at the some as before but rises at a

    steeper angle

    Break even occurs at a higher level of

    sales volume

    sales revenue

    At each quantity level profits will be lower

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    Break Even Analysis

    Rise in fixed costs

    The starting point for total revenue moves up the vertical axis

    The new total cost curve is parallel with the old one but at a higher

    level

    Break even occurs at a higher level

    sales volume

    sales revenue

    Profits are lower at each level of sales

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    Break Even Analysis

    Margin of safety

    This is equal to current output minus break even output

    Measures how far sales can fall before the business starts to make

    a loss

    Once break even output/sales is reached then the contribution on

    each additional unit goes towards profit

    As a result we can calculate profits as follows:

    Profit = margin of safety x contribution per unit

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    Break Even Analysis

    Target rate of profit

    We can adapt break even to calculate the level of sales needed to

    reach a profit target

    Treat the target level of profits as a kind of fixed cost

    Therefore output and sales needed to reach the target level of

    profits =

    fixed costs + profit target

    contribution per unit

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    Break Even Analysis_v1 Dr. Harald Fien 17

    Break Even Analysis

    Uses of break even analysis

    A tool for use in planning

    A new start up business can estimate the required level of sales

    before it starts to make a profit

    Similarly it can be used in new product development to estimate

    sales needed to break even on a new product

    Measures profit at different level of sales

    It can be used in modelling what if scenarios

    It helps identify the impact of price or cost changes

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    Break Even Analysis

    Limitations of break even analysis

    Assumptions on which the analysis is based are not valid

    No costs are truly fixed -the divide between fixed and variable costs

    is not clear cut Cost curves are not necessarily linear. As output rises it does not

    follow that there will be a proportionate increase in sales

    Takes no account of economies of scale and bulk buying discounts

    Production and sales are assumed to be the same but it is

    unrealistic to assume that all output is sold at and at a uniform price It is a static model and needs to be reworked whenever there is a

    change in anyone of the variables

    The analysis is only as good as the information provided

    It ignores outside variables such as the reaction of competitors

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    Break Even Analysis

    Lessons Learned

    What is a break even analysis?

    Show a principal graphical break even analysis.

    What are uses of break even analysis?

    What are limitations of break even analysis?